September 27, 1999 - Bradley Has 39-Point Lead Over Gore With Jersey Dems, Quinnipiac College Poll Finds; Favorite Son Tops Bush 55 - 35 In Presidential Race
Former Sen. Bill Bradley beats Vice President Al Gore 63 - 24 percent in a New Jersey Democratic Primary, according to a Quinnipiac College Poll released today, doubling his 54 - 35 percent lead in a July 26 Quinnipiac College Poll.

If Bradley faced Texas Gov. George W. Bush, the Republican, in a presidential election in New Jersey, the native son would win 55 - 35 percent, the independent Quinnipiac College Poll finds. The July 26 poll showed Bradley ahead 53 - 38 percent.

In a Gore-Bush presidential matchup, the Republican wins 48 - 40 percent, compared to 51 - 40 percent in the July 26 poll.

In the Bradley-Bush matchup, men favor the former Knicks basketball player 51 - 39 percent, while women back Bradley 57 - 32 percent. Republican voters stay with Bush 72 - 20 percent, while Democratic voters stay with Bradley 89 - 6 percent and independent voters go to Bradley 58 - 28 percent.

In the Gore-Bush face off, men shift to the Republican 54 - 34 percent, while women vote 45 - 42 percent for Gore, a statistical tie. Independent voters also shift to Bush 45 - 37 percent.

"New Jersey voters sent Bill Bradley to the Senate three times. They would be delighted to send him to the White House this time," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac College Polling Institute.

"The questions is, can Favorite Son Bradley pack up this support and take it on the road," Carroll said.

"New Jersey is a swing state in presidential politics and the Quinnipiac College Poll numbers say it would swing Republican if the Democrats put Vice President Gore on the ballot."

By a 61 - 11 percent margin, New Jersey voters have a favorable opinion of Bradley, while 19 percent have a mixed opinion and 9 percent haven't heard enough to form an opinion. These numbers are unchanged since July 26. Among the other possible candidates:
                           Favorable     Unfavorable     Mixed     No Opinion
                           
Gore                        25%              38%            29%           7%
Bush                        35               26             24           14



"Gore's favorability has dropped from a 29 - 29 percent split July 26 to a 25 - 38 percent negative. Bush is going in the same direction, down from 45 - 22 percent favorable to 35 - 26 percent," Carroll said.

Campaign Finance

Changing the way political campaigns are paid for should be a high priority, according to 54 percent of New Jersey voters, while 26 percent say it should be a low priority and 17 percent say it should not be a priority at all.

And by an overwhelming 79 - 19 percent margin, voters favor limits on "soft money" contributions, where individuals and groups give money to political parties.

"Responses from Democrats and Republicans to these campaign finance questions are identical," Carroll said. "The voters agree that campaign financing is a big problem and there should be limits."

From September 14 - 23, Quinnipiac College surveyed 1,212 New Jersey residents who say they are registered voters. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percent.

The Quinnipiac College Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut as a public service and for research.

For additional data: www.quinnipiac.edu (New site launched Sept. 20. Please reset bookmarks.)

4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling his job as President?

                                                           Jul 26
                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   1999


Approve 55% 27% 84% 54% 50% 58% 59%

Disapprove 43 72 15 44 47 40 38

DK/NA 2 2 1 2 2 2 2



22. How much attention have you been paying to the election campaign for President in the year 2000 -- a lot, some, only a little, or none at all?

                                                           Jul 26
                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   1999


A lot 31% 37% 28% 30% 37% 27% 27%

Some 43 44 46 41 41 45 41

Only a little 21 16 22 23 18 23 25

None at all 5 3 4 6 5 5 6

DK/NA - - - - - - -



23. Is your opinion of Vice President Al Gore favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                           Jul 26
                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   1999


Favorable 25% 11% 46% 22% 21% 29% 29%

Unfavorable 38 63 12 37 48 29 29

Mixed 29 19 33 35 25 32 34

Haven't hrd enough 7 6 8 6 5 9 7

REFUSED - - - 1 - - 1



24. Is your opinion of former New Jersey Senator Bill Bradley favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                           Jul 26
                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   1999


Favorable 61% 51% 73% 62% 62% 60% 61%

Unfavorable 11 19 5 8 14 8 11

Mixed 19 24 13 20 18 20 18

Haven't hrd enough 9 7 9 9 6 12 10

REFUSED - - - 1 - - 1



25. Is your opinion of Texas Governor George W. Bush favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                           Jul 26
                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   1999


Favorable 35% 61% 15% 30% 39% 32% 45%

Unfavorable 26 7 48 27 26 26 22

Mixed 24 23 25 25 23 25 19

Haven't hrd enough 14 8 13 18 11 17 13

REFUSED - - - 1 1 - 1



26. If the election for President in the year 2000 were being held today and the candidates were Vice President Al Gore the Democrat, and Texas Governor George W. Bush the Republican, for whom you would vote?

                                                           Jul 26
                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   1999


Gore 40% 9% 79% 37% 34% 45% 40%

Bush 48 86 11 45 54 42 51

SOMEONE ELSE (VOL) 3 - 3 6 4 3 1

WOULDN'T VOTE (VOL) 3 1 3 3 4 2 2

DK/NA 6 3 4 9 4 8 6



27. If the election for President in the year 2000 were being held today and the candidates were former United States Senator Bill Bradley the Democrat, and Texas Governor George W. Bush the Republican, for whom you would vote?
                                                           Jul 26
                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   1999


Bradley 55% 20% 89% 58% 51% 57% 53%

Bush 35 72 6 28 39 32 38

SOMEONE ELSE (VOL) 2 1 1 3 2 1 1

WOULDN'T VOTE (VOL) 1 - 1 1 2 1 1

DK/NA 7 7 2 10 6 9 7



29. (If registered Democrat) If the Democratic Primary for President in the year 2000 were being held today and the candidates were Vice President Al Gore and former New Jersey Senator Bill Bradley, for whom would you vote?

                        Registered
                        Democrats


Jul 26 Tot 1999

Gore 24% 35%

Bradley 63 54

SOMEONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1

WON'T VOTE (VOL) 2 1

DK/NA 10 9



30. Turning to the issue of campaign financing.. Do you think changing the way political campaigns are paid for should be a high priority for the President and Congress this year, a low priority, or not a priority at all?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


High priority 54% 51% 51% 60% 59% 49%

Low priority 26 26 28 25 23 29

Not a priority at all 17 19 17 13 15 17

DK/NA 4 4 4 2 2 5



31. Under current election law, individuals and interest groups are allowed to make unlimited contributions to political parties. Do you think there should be limits on contributions to political parties or not?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Yes, limits 79% 78% 78% 83% 79% 78%

No, no limits 19 20 21 16 20 19

DK/NA 2 2 2 1 1 3