October 19, 2005 - Corzine Widens Lead Over Forrester In New Jersey, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Democrats Are More Corrupt, Voters Say 2-1
Democratic U. S. Sen. Jon Corzine has opened a 50 - 43 percent likely voter lead over Republican Douglas Forrester in the race for Governor of New Jersey, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Seven percent are undecided.

This compares to a 48 - 44 percent Corzine lead among likely voters in a September 28 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

In today's survey, Republicans back Forrester 87 - 9 percent, while Democrats back Corzine 90 - 6 percent and independent voters back the Democrat 50 - 38 percent.

Forrester's favorable-unfavorable rating among likely voters has slipped from 39 - 16 percent September 28 to 35 - 22 percent today, with 30 percent mixed.

Corzine's favorable-unfavorable score has dropped from 42 - 22 percent to 39 - 29 percent, with 24 percent mixed.

Voters split 42 - 41 percent on which candidate would do a better job reducing property taxes, compared to a 43 - 39 percent Forrester lead on this issue September 28.

"Sen. Corzine's strength among independent voters is the main reason he has built a stronger lead in this campaign. Independents, often the swing vote in New Jersey campaigns, now back the Senator 50 - 38 percent. Three weeks ago, Doug Forrester enjoyed a two percent lead among independents," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"The barrage of negative advertising by both candidates in the past three weeks has increased both their negatives, and may be hurting Doug Forrester more than Sen. Corzine. While a majority of the voters view both candidates as being honest and trustworthy, the number who did not jumped eight points for Mr. Forrester and four for the Senator," Richards said.

A total of 92 percent of New Jersey likely voters say government corruption is a "very serious" or "somewhat serious" problem.

New Jersey likely voters say 43 - 38 percent that Forrester would do a better job than Corzine ending corruption, compared to 40 - 38 percent three weeks ago.

By a 50 - 22 percent margin, voters associate the Democratic Party with corruption, rather than the Republican Party.

Voters split 42 - 43 percent on whether Corzine is part of the solution to corruption, or part of the problem.

Looking at Forrester, 50 percent say he is part of the solution to corruption, with 30 percent who say he is part of the problem.

Negative campaigning bothers them "very much," 56 percent of voters say, with 24 percent who say "somewhat."

By a 34 - 27 percent margin, voters say Corzine has done more negative campaigning than Forrester.

"Nine out of 10 voters have seen both candidates' television advertisements in the campaign, with 34 percent saying Corzine is doing more negative campaigning, compared to 27 percent who put the blame on Forrester. Eighty percent of the voters say they are bothered by the negative campaigning," Richards said.

From October 11 - 17, Quinnipiac University surveyed 702 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Connecticut, Florida and nationally as a public service and for research. For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu and quicklinks or call (203) 582-5201.

1. If the election for governor were being held today, and the candidates were Jon Corzine the Democrat and Doug Forrester the Republican for whom would you vote? If undecided: Well as of today, do you lean more towards Corzine or Forrester? * This table includes leaners.

                      LIKELY VOTERS WITH LEANERS.................
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Corzine 50% 9% 90% 50% 44% 55% Forrester 43 87 6 38 49 37 SMONE ELSE - - - 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE - - - - - - DK/NA 7 4 4 11 6 8

Philly Urban SubUrbn ExUrbn land Shore

Corzine 64% 59% 35% 48% 39% Forrester 23 35 60 39 56 SMONE ELSE - - 1 - - WLDN'T VOTE - - - - - DK/NA 12 5 4 12 4

TREND: If the election for governor were being held today, and the candidates were Jon Corzine the Democrat and Doug Forrester the Republican for whom would you vote? (If undecided) Well as of today, do you lean more towards Corzine or Forrester?

                        LIKELY VOTERS WITH LEANERS 
                        Oct 19  Sep 28  Aug 10
                        2005    2005    2005


Corzine 50 48 50 Forrester 43 44 40 SMONE ELSE - 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE - - - DK/NA 7 8 9



1a. (If candidate choice q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?

                      LIKELY VOTERS......
                              Cand choice
                      Tot     JC      DF


Made up 90% 89% 91% Might change 9 10 8 DK/NA 1 2 1



2. Is your opinion of Doug Forrester favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                      LIKELY VOTERS..............................
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Favorable 35% 67% 11% 29% 41% 30% Unfavorable 22 4 39 23 23 21 Mixed 30 19 38 33 23 36 Hvn't hrd enough 11 9 10 12 10 11 REFUSED 2 - 3 3 2 2

TREND: Is your opinion of Doug Forrester favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        LIKELY VOTERS.........
                        Oct 19  Sep 28  Aug 10
                        2005    2005    2005


Favorable 35 39 33 Unfavorable 22 16 18 Mixed 30 25 24 Hvn't heard enough 11 20 23 REFUSED 2 1 2



3. Is your opinion of Jon Corzine favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                      LIKELY VOTERS..............................
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Favorable 39% 6% 74% 35% 36% 42% Unfavorable 29 62 1 25 35 23 Mixed 24 24 19 32 21 27 Hvn't hrd enough 7 7 5 5 6 7 REFUSED 1 - 1 2 2 1

TREND: Is your opinion of Jon Corzine favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        LIKELY VOTERS.........
                        Oct 19  Sep 28  Aug 10
                        2005    2005    2005 


Favorable 39 42 40 Unfavorable 29 22 26 Mixed 24 26 23 Hvn't heard enough 7 10 9 REFUSED 1 1 2



4. Would you say that Jon Corzine is honest and trustworthy or not?

                      LIKELY VOTERS..............................
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Yes 53% 27% 85% 49% 50% 56% No 29 52 5 33 34 24 DK/NA 18 21 11 18 16 20

TREND: Would you say that Jon Corzine is honest and trustworthy or not?

                        LIKELY VOTERS.........
                        Oct 19  Sep 28  Aug 10
                        2005    2005    2005


Yes 53 55 49 No 29 25 27 DK/NA 18 20 24



5. Would you say that Doug Forrester is honest and trustworthy or not?

                      LIKELY VOTERS..............................
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Yes 53% 79% 34% 52% 57% 50% No 24 9 37 26 24 24 DK/NA 23 12 29 22 19 26

TREND: Would you say that Doug Forrester is honest and trustworthy or not?

                        LIKELY VOTERS.........
                        Oct 19  Sep 28  Aug 10
                        2005    2005    2005


Yes 53 56 52 No 24 16 19 DK/NA 23 28 29



6. Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate for Governor - Doug Forrester or Jon Corzine - do you think would do a better job reducing property taxes?

                      LIKELY VOTERS..............................
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Forrester 42% 81% 9% 36% 48% 35% Corzine 41 11 71 39 35 46 DK/NA 18 8 20 24 16 19

TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate for Governor - Doug Forrester or Jon Corzine - do you think would do a better job reducing property taxes?

                        LIKELY VOTERS.........
                        Oct 19  Sep 28  Aug 10
                        2005    2005    2005 


Forrester 42 43 41 Corzine 41 39 34 DK/NA 18 18 25



7. How much of a problem, if at all, is government corruption in New Jersey today? Is it a very serious problem, a somewhat serious problem, a not too serious problem, or not a problem at all?

                      LIKELY VOTERS..............................
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Very serious 64% 72% 51% 70% 64% 63% Smwht serious 28 25 34 24 27 29 Not too serious 4 2 9 2 3 6 Not a problem 2 - 4 1 2 1 DK/NA 2 1 2 4 3 1

TREND: How much of a problem, if at all, is government corruption in New Jersey today? Is it a very serious problem, a somewhat serious problem, a not too serious problem, or not a problem at all?

                        LIKELY VOTERS.........
                        Oct 19  Sep 28  Aug 10
                        2005    2005    2005


Very serious 64 60 64 Smwht serious 28 30 28 Not too serious 4 8 5 Not a problem 2 - 1 DK/NA 2 2 3



8. Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate for Governor - Jon Corzine or Doug Forrester - do you think would do a better job ending corruption in government?

                      LIKELY VOTERS..............................
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Corzine 38% 11% 66% 34% 37% 39% Forrester 43 82 12 39 45 42 DK/NA 19 7 22 27 18 19

TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate for Governor - Jon Corzine or Doug Forrester - do you think would do a better job ending corruption in government?

                        LIKELY VOTERS.........
                        Oct 19  Sep 28  Aug 10
                        2005    2005    2005


Corzine 38 38 35 Forrester 43 40 38 DK/NA 19 22 27



9. Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate for Governor - Jon Corzine or Doug Forrester - do you think would do a better job dealing with the budget crisis in New Jersey?

                      LIKELY VOTERS..............................
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Corzine 46% 15% 81% 40% 40% 51% Forrester 41 78 7 41 47 36 DK/NA 13 7 12 19 13 13

TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate for Governor - Jon Corzine or Doug Forrester - do you think would do a better job dealing with the budget crisis in New Jersey?

                        LIKELY VOTERS
                        Oct 19  Sep 28
                        2005    2005


Corzine 46 46 Forrester 41 39 DK/NA 13 15



10. Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate for Governor - Jon Corzine or Doug Forrester - do you think would do a better job handling taxes in general?
                      LIKELY VOTERS..............................
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Corzine 43% 10% 79% 40% 41% 46% Forrester 45 83 8 46 49 40 DK/NA 12 7 13 14 10 14

TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate for Governor - Jon Corzine or Doug Forrester - do you think would do a better job handling taxes in general?

                        LIKELY VOTERS
                        Oct 19  Sep 28
                        2005    2005


Corzine 43 44 Forrester 45 41 DK/NA 12 15



11. Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate for Governor - Jon Corzine or Doug Forrester - do you think would do a better job improving transportation?

                      LIKELY VOTERS..............................
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Corzine 39% 11% 67% 37% 38% 40% Forrester 25 45 7 23 27 23 DK/NA 36 43 26 40 35 37

TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate for Governor - Jon Corzine or Doug Forrester - do you think would do a better job improving transportation?

                        LIKELY VOTERS
                        Oct 19  Sep 28
                        2005    2005


Corzine 39 42 Forrester 25 24 DK/NA 36 34



12. Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate for Governor - Jon Corzine or Doug Forrester - do you think would do a better job handling auto insurance?
                      LIKELY VOTERS..............................
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Corzine 38% 12% 68% 35% 37% 40% Forrester 29 54 8 25 34 25 DK/NA 33 35 24 40 29 36

TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate for Governor - Jon Corzine or Doug Forrester - do you think would do a better job handling auto insurance?

                        LIKELY VOTERS
                        Oct 19  Sep 28
                        2005    2005


Corzine 38 34 Forrester 29 33 DK/NA 33 33



13. Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate for Governor - Jon Corzine or Doug Forrester - do you think would do a better job fighting overdevelopment and sprawl?

                      LIKELY VOTERS..............................
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Corzine 38% 13% 67% 36% 35% 42% Forrester 33 58 12 32 36 31 DK/NA 28 30 22 32 29 28

TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate for Governor - Jon Corzine or Doug Forrester - do you think would do a better job fighting overdevelopment and sprawl?

                        LIKELY VOTERS
                        Oct 19  Sep 28
                        2005    2005


Corzine 38 39 Forrester 33 33 DK/NA 28 28



14. Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate for Governor - Jon Corzine or Doug Forrester - do you think would do a better job handling the economy and jobs?

                      LIKELY VOTERS..............................
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Corzine 49% 13% 84% 51% 47% 51% Forrester 37 70 9 36 43 33 DK/NA 14 17 8 14 11 16



15. Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate for Governor - Jon Corzine or Doug Forrester - do you think would do a better job dealing with terrorism?

                      LIKELY VOTERS..............................
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Corzine 32% 8% 59% 31% 27% 37% Forrester 31 56 6 32 37 25 DK/NA 37 36 35 37 36 39

16. Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate for Governor - Jon Corzine or Doug Forrester - do you think would do a better job improving education?

                      LIKELY VOTERS..............................
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Corzine 45% 12% 78% 46% 42% 48% Forrester 36 70 9 30 40 32 DK/NA 19 18 12 24 18 20



17. When thinking about the problem of ethics in government, do you think Jon Corzine is part of the problem or part of the solution?

                      LIKELY VOTERS..............................
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Part of problem 42% 73% 12% 45% 49% 36% Part of solution 43 16 75 38 38 48 DK/NA 14 11 13 16 12 16

TREND: When thinking about the problem of ethics in government, do you think Jon Corzine is part of the problem or part of the solution?

                        LIKELY VOTERS
                        Oct 19  Sep 28
                        2005    2005


Part of problem 42 37 Part of solution 43 44 DK/NA 14 19

18. When thinking about the problem of ethics in government, do you think Doug Forrester is part of the problem or part of the solution?

                      LIKELY VOTERS..............................
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Part of problem 30% 11% 47% 30% 27% 32% Part of solution 50 79 26 49 53 48 DK/NA 20 10 28 22 20 20

TREND: When thinking about the problem of ethics in government, do you think Doug Forrester is part of the problem or part of the solution?

                        LIKELY VOTERS
                        Oct 19  Sep 28
                        2005    2005


Part of problem 30 19 Part of solution 50 52 DK/NA 20 29



19. In general, which party do you associate more with political corruption in New Jersey - the Republican party or the Democratic party?

                      LIKELY VOTERS..............................
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Republican 22% 10% 38% 18% 19% 24% Democratic 50 81 28 45 54 47 DK/NA 28 10 34 37 27 29



20. Have you seen any of Jon Corzine's television advertisements for this year's election for governor?

                      LIKELY VOTERS..............................
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Yes 90% 91% 89% 90% 92% 88% No 9 8 10 9 8 11 DK/NA 1 2 1 1 1 2



21. Have you seen any of Doug Forrester's television advertisements for this year's election for governor?

                      LIKELY VOTERS..............................
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Yes 89% 89% 90% 92% 90% 88% No 10 9 10 8 9 11 DK/NA 1 2 - 1 1 1



22. How much does negative campaigning bother you - very much, somewhat, not too much, or not at all?

                      LIKELY VOTERS..............................
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Very much 56% 59% 43% 67% 46% 64% Somewhat 24 19 33 20 26 23 Not too much 10 8 14 6 13 7 Not at all 9 12 8 6 14 5 DK/NA 1 1 1 - 1 1



23. Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate for governor - Jon Corzine or Doug Forrester - has done more negative campaigning?

                      LIKELY VOTERS..............................
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Corzine 34% 59% 13% 33% 37% 32% Forrester 27 8 45 29 26 29 DK/NA 38 33 42 38 38 39