November 19, 2007 - Opposition To Congestion Pricing Grows, Quinnipiac University New York City Poll Finds; Kelly Approval Falls After 'hairbrush' Shooting

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Spurred by a defection among Manhattan voters and the growing likelihood of transit fare hikes, opposition to Mayor Michael Bloomberg's congestion pricing plan has grown to 61 - 33 percent among New York City voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Even contrarian Manhattan voters, who supported congestion pricing 54 -36 percent August 30, now are split, with 46 percent supporting it and 47 percent opposed.

Overall opposition has grown from 52 - 41 percent July 26 to 57 - 36 percent August 30.

New York City voters would support congestion pricing 53 - 41 percent if that prevents a hike in mass transit fares, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. But only 28 percent of voters say it is "very likely" or "somewhat likely" that congestion pricing fees will prevent a fare hike, while 67 percent say it is "not too likely" or "not likely at all."

In this latest survey, voters in the other boroughs oppose congestion pricing:
  • 65 - 29 percent in Queens;
  • 63 - 31 percent in Brooklyn;
  • 70 - 24 percent in The Bronx;
  • 63 - 34 percent in Staten Island. Men oppose congestion pricing 58 - 37 percent while women oppose it 63 - 30 percent.
A total of 87 percent of New York City voters say traffic congestion is a "very serious" or "somewhat serious" problem.

"Is traffic congestion a big problem? Almost all New Yorkers say yes. Is congestion pricing the answer? Almost two-thirds say no," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "But New Yorkers will go along IF income from congestion pricing is used to prevent an increase in transit fares."

"It will be interesting to see if the Metropolitan Transportation Authority takes this into account when it votes on possible fare increases," Carroll added.

"Big problem: New Yorkers don't trust the MTA. Two thirds doubt that, whatever is promised, the money really will keep transit fares from rising. More than half want an MTA guarantee to hold fares down for a specific length of time."

New York City voters say 54 - 42 percent that congestion pricing would unfairly tax people who live outside Manhattan.

On other questions related to congestion pricing, New York City voters say:
  • 49 - 42 percent that the city could devise and easy way to collect congestion pricing fees;
  • 53 - 36 percent that the Metropolitan Transportation Authority should promise not to raise fares for a specified period if congestion pricing is approved. Kelly, Bloomberg Approval
New York City voters approve 55 - 30 percent of the job Police Commissioner Ray Kelly is doing, down from 62 - 25 percent in an August 29 Quinnipiac University poll. Black voters disapprove 47 - 42 percent, compared to 49 - 38 percent approval August 29. Kelly's highest approval was 70 - 16 percent February 3, 2006. His lowest score was 52 - 34 percent January 16, 2007, eight weeks after the Sean Bell shooting.

Mayor Bloomberg gets a 71 - 21 percent approval rating, compared to 70 - 21 percent August 29. Bloomberg's approval has topped 70 percent in 11 of 12 polls since November 17, 2005, with one poll showing a 69 percent approval.

Approval ratings for other New York City leaders are:
  • 40 - 19 percent for Public Advocate Betsy Gotbaum, with 40 percent undecided;
  • 45 - 15 percent for Comptroller Thompson, with 41 percent undecided;
  • 46 - 16 percent for Council Speaker Christine Quinn, with 37 percent undecided.
"Police Commissioner Kelly's approval, especially among black voters, drops after police shot a man who claimed he had a gun, but only had a hairbrush. The question is will Kelly bounce back as he did after the Sean Bell shooting," Carroll said.

From November 13 - 18, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,007 New York City registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research. For more data -- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x271.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Approve 71% 67% 71% 78% 78% 67% 56% Disapprove 21 25 20 17 17 22 34 DK/NA 8 8 9 5 5 12 10

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom

Approve 75% 67% 73% 72% 63% 74% 69% Disapprove 16 25 19 20 30 21 21 DK/NA 9 8 8 7 7 5 10

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor? * - also 75% on 11/17/2005
                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Approve Approve
                        Nov 19  Aug 29  Jul 25  May 23  Mar 14  Jan 16  Jul 2
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007*   2003


Approve 71 70 73 74 73 75 31 Disapprove 21 21 19 19 19 16 60 DK/NA 8 10 8 7 8 9 8



2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ray Kelly is handling his job as Police Commissioner?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Approve 55% 72% 48% 62% 70% 42% 36% Disapprove 30 14 35 26 13 47 46 DK/NA 16 14 17 12 17 11 18

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom

Approve 49% 54% 50% 58% 74% 63% 48% Disapprove 36 30 31 27 19 25 34 DK/NA 15 16 18 15 7 12 18

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ray Kelly is handling his job as Police Commissioner? * - also 70% on 2/3/06
                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Approve Approve
                        Nov 19  Aug 29  Jul 25  May 23  Mar 15  Mar 9   Jan 16
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2006 *  2007  


Approve 55 62 64 58 56 70 52 Disapprove 30 25 26 27 30 17 34 DK/NA 16 13 11 14 14 13 14



4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Betsy Gotbaum is handling her job as Public Advocate?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Approve 40% 27% 47% 34% 40% 50% 31% Disapprove 19 27 14 24 16 19 28 DK/NA 40 46 39 43 44 31 41

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom

Approve 43% 37% 41% 43% 38% 39% 42% Disapprove 18 24 18 17 18 23 17 DK/NA 39 39 41 41 43 39 42

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Betsy Gotbaum is handling her job as Public Advocate?
                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Approve Approve
                        Nov 19  Aug 29  Jul 25  May 23  Mar 14  Jul 2   Feb 26
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2003    2003


Approve 40 39 40 42 41 43 34 Disapprove 19 18 17 15 19 22 17 DK/NA 40 43 43 44 40 35 49



5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christine Quinn is handling her job as City Council Speaker?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Approve 46% 44% 53% 34% 49% 47% 45% Disapprove 16 20 11 24 12 20 18 DK/NA 37 36 36 41 39 33 38

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom

Approve 44% 47% 46% 47% 46% 47% 46% Disapprove 24 15 13 15 21 19 14 DK/NA 32 38 41 38 33 33 41

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christine Quinn is handling her job as City Council Speaker?
                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Approve Approve
                        Nov 19  Aug 29  Jul 25  May 23  Mar 14  Mar 14  Aug 29
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007


Approve 46 44 45 47 51 51 44 Disapprove 16 16 15 13 12 12 16 DK/NA 37 40 40 40 37 37 40



6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way William Thompson is handling his job as City Comptroller?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Approve 45% 42% 47% 45% 43% 54% 38% Disapprove 15 13 14 15 8 19 26 DK/NA 41 44 39 41 49 27 36

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom

Approve 56% 41% 42% 44% 48% 45% 44% Disapprove 19 15 9 17 15 15 14 DK/NA 25 44 49 39 37 39 42

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way William Thompson is handling his job as City Comptroller?
                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Approve Approve
                        Nov 19  Aug 29  Jul 25  May 23  Mar 14  May 23  Feb 26
                        2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2003


Approve 45 41 43 46 43 46 35 Disapprove 15 12 12 12 15 12 13 DK/NA 41 47 45 42 42 42 52



7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the city council is handling its job?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Approve 45% 44% 49% 43% 48% 47% 38% Disapprove 32 36 28 34 29 31 39 DK/NA 23 20 23 23 23 22 24

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom

Approve 45% 46% 41% 50% 45% 42% 49% Disapprove 32 33 31 29 35 42 23 DK/NA 23 22 27 21 20 17 28

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the city council is handling its job?
                        Nov 19  Aug 29  Jul 25
                        2007    2007    2007


Approve 45 44 48 Disapprove 32 32 32 DK/NA 23 25 20



8. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York City today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Very satisfied 12% 11% 9% 18% 17% 3% 7% Smwht satisfied 53 57 54 52 61 48 43 Smwht dissatisfied 22 21 23 20 15 28 31 Very dissatisfied 11 10 13 8 6 20 17 DK/NA 2 1 2 1 1 1 1

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom

Very satisfied 7% 9% 17% 14% 8% 13% 11% Smwht satisfied 57 55 54 47 61 56 51 Smwht dissatisfied 25 26 16 23 19 20 24 Very dissatisfied 10 10 11 14 12 9 13 DK/NA - 1 3 2 - 3 1

TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York City today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?

                        Nov 19  Jul 25  Jul 12  Apr 12  Mar 8   Feb 2   Nov 17
                        2007    2007    2006    2006    2006    2006    2005  


Very satisfied 12 10 16 12 14 13 19 Smwht satisfied 53 54 51 56 54 59 56 Smwht dissatisfied 22 23 22 22 20 19 16 Very dissatisfied 11 12 10 9 12 7 8 DK/NA 2 1 1 1 1 1 1



9. The Bloomberg administration has suggested using congestion pricing to reduce traffic in New York City by charging a fee for vehicles that drive south of 86th Street in Manhattan. Do you support or oppose the Bloomberg administration's congestion pricing plan?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Support 33% 23% 34% 42% 43% 19% 28% Oppose 61 73 60 52 51 74 65 DK/NA 6 4 5 6 6 6 6

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom

Support 24% 31% 46% 29% 34% 37% 30% Oppose 70 63 47 65 63 58 63 DK/NA 5 6 7 6 3 5 6

TREND: The Bloomberg administration has suggested using congestion pricing to reduce traffic in New York City by charging a fee for vehicles that drive south of 86th Street in Manhattan. Do you support or oppose the Bloomberg administration's congestion pricing plan?

                        Nov 19  Aug 30  Jul 26
                        2007    2007    2007


Support 33 36 41 Oppose 61 57 52 DK/NA 6 8 6



10. Would you support congestion pricing if the money were used to prevent an increase in mass transit fares and bridge and tunnel tolls?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Yes 53% 45% 59% 55% 55% 47% 58% No 41 50 37 40 39 47 38 DK/NA 5 5 4 5 5 6 4

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom

Yes 47% 53% 60% 52% 51% 56% 51% No 49 40 36 43 42 41 42 DK/NA 4 7 4 5 7 4 6

TREND: Would you support congestion pricing if the money were used to prevent an increase in mass transit fares and bridge and tunnel tolls?

                        Nov 19  Aug 30  Jul 26
                        2007    2007    2007


Yes 53 57 58 No 41 38 36 DK/NA 5 5 6



11. How likely do you think it is that the fees collected from congestion pricing will prevent an increase in transit fares - Very likely, Somewhat likely, not toolikely or not likely at all?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Very likely 6% 4% 7% 6% 3% 6% 13% Smwht likely 22 17 24 23 25 20 21 Not too likely 31 38 30 32 35 26 31 Not likely at all 36 36 36 35 34 44 30 DK/NA 4 5 4 4 3 4 5

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom

Very likely 6% 4% 7% 8% 2% 6% 6% Smwht likely 17 23 25 21 23 22 23 Not too likely 29 33 32 30 36 34 29 Not likely at all 47 35 30 37 36 34 38 DK/NA 2 5 6 4 3 4 4



12. If the MTA agrees to not raise fares because they anticipate income from congestion pricing, should they commit to not raising fees for a specific length of time or isn't a time limit necessary?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Commit 53% 55% 51% 55% 52% 53% 52% Not necessary 36 31 38 37 37 35 37 DK/NA 11 14 11 9 12 12 11

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom

Commit 54% 57% 51% 48% 52% 53% 52% Not necessary 39 33 37 39 31 36 36 DK/NA 7 10 12 13 17 11 11



13.Do you agree or disagree with the following statement -- Congestion pricing would unfairly tax people who live outside of Manhattan.

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Agree 54% 63% 51% 53% 50% 57% 54% Disagree 42 33 44 44 47 37 41 DK/NA 4 4 4 3 3 6 5

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom

Agree 61% 51% 38% 65% 67% 56% 52% Disagree 36 42 57 33 29 40 43 DK/NA 3 6 5 2 4 4 5

TREND: Do you agree or disagree with the following statement - Congestion pricing would unfairly tax people who live outside of Manhattan.

                        Nov 19  May 24  Jan 18
                        2007    2007    2007


Agree 54 59 57 Disagree 42 36 37 DK/NA 4 5 7



14.(Intro q14-q16) Some have suggested that certain vehicles should be exempt from congestion pricing fees. If New York City implemented congestion pricing fees - do you think that taxi cabs should be exempt or should they also have to pay?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Exempt 51% 53% 52% 53% 59% 43% 41% Also pay 45 42 44 43 37 53 56 DK/NA 4 5 4 4 5 4 3

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom

Exempt 50% 46% 61% 51% 41% 54% 48% Also pay 48 51 35 45 55 43 47 DK/NA 3 3 4 5 4 3 4

TREND: Some have suggested that certain vehicles should be exempt from congestion pricing fees. If New York City implemented congestion pricing fees do you think that taxi cabs should be exempt or should they also have to pay?

                        Nov 19  May 24  Jan 18
                        2007    2007    2007


Exempt 51 56 53 Also pay 45 39 42 DK/NA 4 5 5



15.(... If New York City implemented congestion pricing fees)do you think that limousines should be exempt or should they also have to pay?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Exempt 21% 23% 19% 25% 24% 21% 13% Also pay 74 72 76 71 70 75 82 DK/NA 5 5 5 3 7 5 5

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom

Exempt 17% 19% 19% 25% 26% 23% 18% Also pay 77 78 74 70 68 72 76 DK/NA 5 3 6 5 5 4 5

TREND: Some have suggested that certain vehicles should be exempt from congestion pricing fees. If New York City implemented congestion pricing fees do you think that limousines should be exempt or should they also have to pay?

                        Nov 19  May 24  Jan 18
                        2007    2007    2007


Exempt 21 26 26 Also pay 74 70 70 DK/NA 5 4 5



16.(... If New York City implemented congestion pricing fees)do you think that delivery trucks should be exempt or should they also have to pay?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Exempt 46% 45% 45% 52% 48% 42% 39% Also pay 49 49 50 44 46 52 57 DK/NA 5 7 5 4 6 6 4

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom

Exempt 44% 46% 45% 50% 44% 52% 42% Also pay 53 47 50 45 53 45 52 DK/NA 3 7 4 5 3 3 6

TREND: Some have suggested that certain vehicles should be exempt from congestion pricing fees. If New York City implemented congestion pricing fees do you think that delivery trucks should be exempt or should they also have to pay?

                        Nov 19  May 24  Jan 18
                        2007    2007    2007


Exempt 46 49 49 Also pay 49 45 45 DK/NA 5 6 6



17. Do you think that it would be very difficult for NYC to collect congestion pricing fees, or do you think that the city would come up with an easy way for people to pay what they owe?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Very difficult 42% 52% 39% 46% 46% 37% 39% come up w/easy way 49 38 52 48 47 52 53 DK/NA 8 10 9 6 7 11 8

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom

Very difficult 44% 39% 37% 45% 59% 43% 42% come up w/easy way 46 52 54 49 35 50 49 DK/NA 10 9 9 6 6 8 9



18. How much of a problem do you think traffic congestion is in New York City - A very serious problem, a somewhat serious problem, a not too serious problem, or not a problem at all?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Very serious 52% 54% 50% 60% 56% 47% 52% Smwht serious 35 32 39 31 36 37 30 Not too serious 9 11 8 7 6 13 13 Not a prob at all 2 3 1 1 1 2 3 DK/NA 2 1 1 1 1 1 3

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom

Very serious 47% 54% 57% 49% 54% 53% 51% Smwht serious 38 31 34 40 39 35 36 Not too serious 11 12 7 7 8 9 9 Not a prob at all 2 1 2 2 - 2 1 DK/NA 2 2 - 3 - - 2

TREND: How much of a problem do you think traffic congestion is in New York City? A very serious problem, somewhat serious, not very serious, or not a problem at all?

                        Nov 19  Aug 30  May 24  Jan 18
                        2007    2007    2007    2007


Very serious 52 55 59 55 Smwht serious 35 34 31 34 Not very serious 9 8 7 6 Not at all 2 1 2 2 DK/NA 2 2 2 2