January 28, 2009 - New Yorkers Split On New Tax For Subways, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Voters Want Mayor To Keep Control Of Public Schools

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New York City voters split 47 - 46 percent in their support of increasing business taxes and using the money to limit the size of increases in bus and subway fares and bridge and tunnel tolls, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. The tax hikes win support of Democrats 51 - 42 percent while Republican voters are opposed 62 - 35 percent and independent voters split 46 - 46 percent.

Black and white voters support the tax hikes by an identical 49 - 44 percent, while Hispanic voters oppose them 51 - 42 percent.

Voters oppose 61 - 36 percent a proposal to place tolls on free East and Harlem River bridges and using the money to reduce the size of transit fares and bridge and tunnel tolls, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.

Opposition is strong across the political spectrum and among black, white and Hispanic voters and in every borough except Manhattan, where voters support tolls 50 - 46 percent.

"If City Hall and Albany must decide how to find the money to limit the size of a transit fare hike, or a jump in bridge and tunnel tolls, New York City voters seem to like a business tax a lot more than establishing still more tolls on bridges that currently are free," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Support for the tax idea is a tossup. Bridge tolls? Almost two-to-one against. Except, of course in Manhattan. "

New York City voters approve 53 - 35 percent of Mayor Michael Bloomberg's handling of public schools and say 47 - 31 percent that the Mayor's take-over of public schools has been a success. Voters with children in public schools say 50 - 39 percent the takeover is successful.

While voters are dissatisfied, 55 - 32 percent with the quality of public schools citywide, they split 42 - 41 percent on their satisfaction with the quality of schools in their neighborhood. White voters are satisfied 49 - 30 percent with public schools in their neighborhood, while black voters are dissatisfied 60 - 28 percent and Hispanic voters are dissatisfied 49 - 39 percent. Voters with children in public schools are satisfied 52 - 47 percent with their local schools.

Mayoral control of the public schools should continue, voters say 56 - 34 percent. Voters with children in public schools support mayoral control 57 - 39 percent.

"Mayor Bloomberg has fought a tough battle to win and keep control of the public schools, and he finally seems to be winning the hearts and minds of New Yorkers, especially parents of public school students," Carroll said. "New Yorkers think mayoral control of the public schools has worked and that Albany should extend it."

Looking at construction of the new Yankee Stadium, 55 percent of New York City voters agree with critics that the city is giving the Yankees taxpayer dollars for the construction, while 27 percent agree with supporters that the city is approving loans which must be repaid by the Yankees, not giving the Yankees tax dollars.

"Quinnipiac University polls always show we root for the Yankees. Clearly, the love affair doesn't include Yankee management. New Yorkers think the new stadium is getting too much in tax dollars," Carroll said.

Most New Yorkers, 59 percent, support Bloomberg's quality of life crackdown, while 34 percent write it off as a publicity stunt. Support ranges from 69 - 23 percent among white voters to 50 - 40 percent among black voters to 49 - 43 percent among Hispanic voters.

The city is doing a good job cracking down on quality of life offenses, 36 percent say, while 42 percent say it is not doing enough and 18 percent say it is doing too much so it can get more money from fines.

"When Bloomberg promised to get tough on quality-of-life crimes, was it a serious initiative or just political rhetoric? We take Mayor Mike at his word," Carroll said. "Is the city doing enough to curb loud music, littering and pooper-scooper laxity? New Yorkers are split on that but a sizable minority think City Hall's main aim is just to collect more money from fines."

From January 20 - 25, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,216 New York City registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research.

14. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York City today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Very satisfied        8%    12%     7%     8%    10%     3%     7%
Smwht satisfied      47     52     46     52     53     45     36
Smwht dissatisfied   30     22     30     30     25     33     35
Very dissatisfied    15     14     16      8     10     19     21
DK/NA                 1      -      -      1      1      -      1
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Very satisfied        4%     8%    12%     5%     6%     8%     7%
Smwht satisfied      41     48     50     47     48     53     42
Smwht dissatisfied   38     27     23     34     38     27     32
Very dissatisfied    17     16     14     14      8     11     18
DK/NA                 -      1      -      -      -      -      1
 
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York City today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                                                             VERY+SMWHT...
                                                             High    Low
                     Jan 28  Nov 25  Oct 21  Oct 3   Jul 16  Feb 11  Jul 2
                     2009    2008    2008    2008    2008    1998    2003
 
Very satisfied        8       6      14      12       9      18       7
Smwht satisfied      47      42      46      48      48      58      23
Smwht dissatisfied   30      32      24      23      26      18      32
Very dissatisfied    15      18      14      16      15       5      38
DK/NA                 1       1       1       1       1       1       1
 
 
20. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling the city budget?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Approve              55%    56%    53%    64%    63%    44%    51%
Disapprove           38     35     41     30     29     51     44
DK/NA                 7      8      6      6      8      5      4
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Approve              50%    49%    65%    57%    53%    62%    49%
Disapprove           46     42     30     37     44     33     44
DK/NA                 5      9      5      6      4      6      7
 
TREND. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling the city budget?
                                                             Highest Lowest
                                                             Approve Approve
                     Jan 28  Nov 25  Oct 22  Sep 9   May 7   Jan 28  Sept 9
                     2009    2008    2003    2003    2003    2009    2003
                                                                   
Approve              55      51%     36      33      28      55      33
Disapprove           38      38      51      59      63      38      59
DK/NA                 7      11      13       8       9       7       8
 
 
21. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling taxes?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Approve              47%    42%    47%    57%    56%    40%    40%
Disapprove           42     46     43     35     34     48     51
DK/NA                11     12     11      8     10     13      9
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Approve              40%    43%    60%    45%    45%    52%    43%
Disapprove           48     45     31     44     49     40     44
DK/NA                11     12      9     11      6      8     13
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling taxes?
                     Jan 28  Nov 25  Oct 22  May 7   Feb 26
                     2009    2008    2003    2003    2003
 
Approve              47      45      28      26      32
Disapprove           42      44      61      67      59
DK/NA                11      11      11      7       8
 
 
22. Would you describe the state of New York City's economy these days as - excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Excellent             1%     3%     1%     -      -      -      3%
Good                 14     22     11     17     16      9     12
Not so good          46     39     48     49     49     47     41
Poor                 38     34     40     33     34     44     43
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      1      -      1
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Excellent             -      1%     1%     -      1%     1%     1%
Good                 13     11     16     15     15     19     10
Not so good          48     46     49     40     55     48     44
Poor                 38     40     33     44     30     31     44
DK/NA                 -      1      1      1      -      1      1
 
TREND: Would you describe the state of New York City's economy these days as - excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                     Jan 28  Nov 25  May 7   Feb 27
                     2009    2008    2003    2003
 
Excellent             1       -       -       1
Good                 14      12      10      13
Not so good          46      56      45      52
Poor                 38      30      44      34
DK/NA                 1       1       1       1
 
 
23. During the next 12 months, do you think the economic conditions in New York City will get better, get worse, or stay about the same?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Get better           29%    29%    31%    25%    20%    40%    35%
Get worse            36     31     34     43     43     29     23
Stay the same        33     37     33     30     34     29     40
DK/NA                 2      3      2      2      3      2      1
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Get better           42%    31%    22%    28%    22%    26%    32%
Get worse            19     36     46     36     34     43     30
Stay the same        38     30     30     31     43     29     36
DK/NA                 1      2      1      4      1      2      2
 
TREND: During the next 12 months, do you think the economic conditions in New York City will get better, get worse, or stay about the same?
                     Jan 28  Nov 25  May 7   Feb 27
                     2009    2008    2003    2003
 
Get better           29      24      23      25
Get worse            36      45      35      32
Stay the same        33      26      38      38
DK/NA                 2       5       4       4
 
 
24. To balance the city budget, if you had to choose, would you prefer - raising taxes or cutting government programs and services?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Raising taxes        46%    16%    55%    43%    46%    53%    49%
Cutting services     39     71     29     48     44     31     33
DK/NA                15     13     17      9     11     16     18
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Raising taxes        49%    49%    51%    42%    29%    41%    51%
Cutting services     35     35     36     43     62     48     32
DK/NA                16     16     13     15      9     11     17
 
TREND: To balance the city budget, if you had to choose, would you prefer - raising taxes or cutting government programs and services?
                     Jan 28  Nov 25
                     2009    2008
 
Raising taxes        46      48
Cutting services     39      37
DK/NA                15      15
 
 
25. To balance the city budget, if you had to choose, which city tax do you think should be increased - personal income tax, sales tax or property tax?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Income tax           22%    19%    24%    20%    25%    18%    21%
Sales tax            43     46     43     43     38     57     42
Property tax         24     22     24     27     25     18     26
DK/NA                10     13      9     10     12      7     10
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Income tax           23%    21%    24%    20%    28%    22%    22%
Sales tax            46     43     37     47     47     43     44
Property tax         21     26     32     21     12     26     23
DK/NA                10     10      8     12     12      8     12
 
TREND: To balance the city budget, if you had to choose, which city tax do you think should be increased - personal income tax, sales tax or property tax?
                     Jan 28  Nov 25
                     2009    2008
 
Income tax           22      21
Sales tax            43      44
Property tax         24      24
DK/NA                10      11
 
 
26. How serious do you think New York City's budget problems are - very serious, somewhat serious, not too serious or not at all serious?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Very serious         64%    54%    66%    66%    60%    72%    64%
Smwht serious        31     41     30     29     36     24     30
Not too serious       3      3      3      2      3      3      3
Not at all serious    1      -      1      2      -      1      2
DK/NA                 1      2      1      1      1      -      -
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Very serious         62%    67%    64%    67%    49%    59%    69%
Smwht serious        29     28     33     30     46     35     28
Not too serious       6      3      1      2      3      4      2
Not at all serious    3      -      2      -      2      2      0
DK/NA                 -      1      1      2      -      1      1
 
TREND: How serious do you think New York City's budget problems are - very serious, somewhat serious, not too serious, not at all serious?
                     Jan 28  Nov 25  May 7   Feb 27  Nov 21  Jul 17
                     2009    2008    2003    2003    2002    2002
 
Very serious         64      66      68      63      60      46
Smwht serious        31      28      24      29      29      41
Not too serious       3       3       4       5       7       9
Not at all serious    1       1       1       1       2       1
DK/NA                 1       2       3       2       2       3
 
 
27. To balance the city budget, if you had to choose, where do you think city spending should be decreased - public schools, police, firefighters, sanitation, social services or culture and recreation?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Public schools        7%    16%     6%     7%     6%     7%    12%
Police                6      4      7      6      4     10      9
Firefighters          2      -      2      -      -      2      4
Sanitation            8      4      9      5      7     10      5
Social services      12     22      8     11     13     10      9
Culture/recreation   50     48     49     56     54     42     49
DK/NA                16      5     19     14     16     19     13
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Public schools       14%     8%     4%     7%     2%     9%     6%
Police                6      5      8      7      4      7      6
Firefighters          1      1      4      1      -      2      1
Sanitation            6      9      7      7      9      5     10
Social services      10     10     10     13     25     14      9
Culture/recreation   46     50     51     50     49     50     49
DK/NA                16     17     16     15     10     13     18
 
TREND: To balance the city budget, if you had to choose, where do you think city spending should be decreased - public schools, police, firefighters, sanitation, social services or culture and recreation?
                     Jan 28   Nov 25   May 7
                     2009     2008     2008
 
Public schools        7       3        4
Police                6       7        6
Firefighters          2       3        2
Sanitation            8       6        8
Social Services      12       12       14
Culture/recreation   50       51       42
DK/NA                16       18       24
 
 
28. The Metropolitan Transportation Authority has proposed fare increases for buses, subways and trains, and toll hikes for bridges and tunnels. To help reduce the size of these fare and toll hikes would you support or oppose increasing taxes on businesses within the area served by the MTA?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Support              47%    35%    51%    46%    49%    49%    42%
Oppose               46     62     42     46     44     44     51
DK/NA                 7      3      6      8      7      7      7
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Support              45%    45%    54%    45%    41%    44%    49%
Oppose               49     48     40     46     55     52     41
DK/NA                 6      7      6      9      4      4      9
 
 
29. To help reduce the size of these fares and toll hikes would you support or oppose placing tolls on the East River and Harlem River bridges?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Support              36%    37%    34%    40%    44%    25%    31%
Oppose               61     60     62     56     52     71     66
DK/NA                 3      3      3      3      4      4      4
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Support              23%    33%    50%    32%    37%    40%    32%
Oppose               74     64     46     64     61     57     64
DK/NA                 3      3      4      3      2      3      4
 
 
30. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling the public schools?
                                                                      HvKids
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   PubSch
                                                                            
Approve              53%    60%    50%    60%    57%    45%    54%    51%   
Disapprove           35     24     38     28     27     47     36     43    
DK/NA                13     16     12     12     16      8     10      6    
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Approve              54%    47%    55%    55%    63%    62%    45%
Disapprove           41     35     30     34     34     27     41
DK/NA                 6     18     15     11      4     11     14
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling the public schools?
                                                             Highest Lowest
                                                             Approve Approve
                     Jan 28  Jul 16  Jul 26  Mar 15  Mar 8   Jul 16  May 7
                     2009    2008    2007    2007    2006    2008    2003
 
Approve              53      56      52      50      54      56      35
Disapprove           35      32      33      39      34      32      52
DK/NA                13      12      14      11      13      12      12
 
 
31. Are you generally satisfied with the quality of the public schools in New York City, or are you not satisfied?
                                                                      HvKids
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   PubSch
                                                                            
Satisfied            32%    38%    30%    33%    31%    26%    37%    49%   
Not satisfied        55     40     58     54     50     64     55     51    
DK/NA                14     22     12     13     18     10      8      -    
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Satisfied            31%    30%    25%    35%    51%    36%    28%
Not satisfied        62     53     60     51     42     49     60
DK/NA                 7     17     14     14      7     14     13
 
TREND: Are you generally satisfied with the quality of the public schools in New York City, or are you not satisfied? (*also 12% on 2/5/04, 3/27/02, 4/20/00 & 3/31/97)
                                                             SATISFIED....
                                                             High    Low
                     Jan 28  Jul 16  Nov 21  Jul 26  Mar 15  Jan 28  Feb 5
                     2009    2008    2007    2007    2007    2009    2004*
                                                                    
Satisfied            32      29      27      25      19      32      12
Not satisfied        55      59      55      63      64      55      74
DK/NA                14      12      18      12      16      14      13
 
 
32. Are you generally satisfied with the quality of public schools in your neighborhood, or are you not satisfied?
                                                                      HvKids
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   PubSch
                                                                            
Satisfied            42%    51%    41%    43%    49%    28%    39%    52%   
Not satisfied        41     27     45     39     30     60     49     47    
DK/NA                17     22     14     19     21     11     12      1    
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Satisfied            37%    38%    36%    50%    65%    49%    36%
Not satisfied        51     44     40     37     30     34     48
DK/NA                11     19     24     13      5     17     16
 
TREND: Are you generally satisfied with the quality of the public schools in your neighborhood, or are you not satisfied?
                                                             SATISFIED....
                                                             High    Low
                     Jan 28  Jul 16  Nov 21  Jul 26  Mar 15  Jul 16  Feb 5
                     2009    2008    2007    2007    2007    2008    2004
 
Satisfied            42      43      40      38      34      43      27
Not satisfied        41      45      40      46      47      45      56
DK/NA                17      12      20      16      19      12      17
 
 
33. Do you think Mayor Bloomberg's take-over of the public schools has been a success or failure?
                                                                      HvKids
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   PubSch
                                                                            
Success              47%    55%    46%    51%    53%    42%    47%    50%   
Failure              31     17     34     28     25     39     33     39    
DK/NA                22     29     20     21     22     19     21     11    
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Success              44%    42%    52%    48%    60%    54%    42%
Failure              37     30     26     32     29     25     35
DK/NA                19     28     22     20     10     21     23
 
TREND: Do you think Mayor Bloomberg's take-over of the public schools has been a success or failure?
                     Jan 28  Jul 16  Nov 21  Jul 26  Mar 15
                     2009    2008    2007    2007    2007
 
Success              47      54      47      51      39
Failure              31      26      25      27      34
DK/NA                22      20      27      22      27
 
 
34. Mayoral control of the public schools expires this year, unless the state legislature renews it. Do you think Mayoral control of the public schools should continue or not?
                                                                      HvKids
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   PubSch
                                                                            
Continue             56%    64%    55%    59%    62%    52%    54%    57%   
Stop                 34     22     36     33     26     41     39     39    
DK/NA                10     14      9      8     12      7      7      4    
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Continue             52%    53%    59%    56%    63%    63%    50%
Stop                 41     33     30     35     32     28     39
DK/NA                 7     13     11      8      5      9     11
 
 
35. When it comes to quality of life offenses in New York City such as littering, loud music, and pooper-scooper violations, which comes closest to your point of view A) New York City is doing a good job cracking down on these quality of life offenses, B) New York City is not doing enough to combat these quality of life offenses, C) New York City is doing too much so that it can get more money from fines?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
A) Doing a good job  36%    40%    36%    35%    43%    25%    24%
B) Not doing enough  42     44     41     41     41     45     49
C) Doing too much/ 
   Money from fines  18     11     19     19     13     25     23
DK/NA                 4      4      3      4      3      4      4
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
A) Doing a good job  24%    34%    46%    38%    33%    38%    34%
B) Not doing enough  46     46     37     38     51     39     45
C) Doing too much/ 
   Money from fines  28     16     12     20     14     19     16
DK/NA                 2      4      4      4      2      3      4
 
 
36. Do you support Mayor Bloomberg's get-tough move on quality-of-life crimes, or do you think it's just a public relations stunt?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Support              59%    69%    56%    61%    69%    50%    49%
PR stunt             34     25     35     35     23     40     43
DK/NA                 8      6      9      4      8     10      7
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Support              51%    61%    63%    57%    57%    60%    57%
PR stunt             38     32     30     35     36     35     33
DK/NA                11      7      8      8      7      5     10
 
 
37. Critics of the new Yankee Stadium say the city is giving the Yankees taxpayer dollars to build the stadium. Supporters say the city is approving loans which must be repaid by the Yankees and not directly giving the Yankees any money. Who do you believe?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Critics              55%    50%    55%    60%    56%    49%    56%
Supporters           27     31     27     24     25     31     28
DK/NA                18     18     18     16     19     19     16
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Critics              51%    59%    54%    57%    43%    56%    54%
Supporters           29     25     24     28     44     32     23
DK/NA                20     16     23     16     12     12     23