August 26, 2009 - Bloomberg Hits 50% With 15-Point Lead In Mayoral Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Mayor's Spending Is Overkill, Ads Are Annoying, Voters Say

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New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg leads Comptroller William Thompson, his likely Democratic challenger, 50 - 35 percent among New York City voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. This compares to a 47 - 37 percent lead July 28.

Mayor Bloomberg leads 76 - 13 percent among Republicans and 54 - 28 percent among independent voters, while Democrats split 44 - 44 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN- uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.

White voters back Bloomberg 61 - 25 percent, while black voters back Thompson 48 - 39 percent. Hispanic voters back the Mayor 50 - 36 percent.

Bloomberg tops Queens City Council member Tony Avella 55 - 28 percent. Thompson tops Avella in a Democratic primary 45 - 10 percent, virtually unchanged from July 28.

Of the 78 percent of voters who have seen the Mayor's TV commercials for his reelection campaign, 47 percent say they are "annoying" and 41 percent say they are "informative." Republicans say 52 - 38 percent the commercials are informative. Democrats say 48 - 41 percent and independent voters say 50 - 41 percent that they're annoying.

Only 15 percent of those who have seen the ads say they make them "more likely" to vote for Bloomberg, while 18 percent say "less likely" and 64 percent, including 66 percent of independent voters, say the ads won't make a difference.

"Mayor Mike might be wasting his money on that zillion-dollar TV buy. Most people say the commercials haven't changed their vote. And more of them think the stuff is annoying than informative. The Bloomberg PR blitz is overkill, New Yorkers say 59 - 31 percent," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Even so, Mayor Bloomberg has hit 50 percent with a 15-point lead over Comptroller William Thompson. Council member Tony Avella? He's not in it," Carroll added.

New York City voters approve 66 -28 percent of the job Bloomberg is doing, compared to 63 - 29 percent July 28, and give him a 65 - 31 percent favorability. Voters approve 52 - 10 percent, with 38 percent undecided, of the way Thompson is handling his job as Comptroller and give him a 38 - 10 percent favorability. But 51 percent don't know enough about him to form an opinion. For Avella, 81 percent don't know enough about him to form an opinion.

New York City voters believe 55 - 40 percent the claim by Bloomberg in an upcoming book that he never believed he could be elected President.

The man who was elected, President Barack Obama, wins a 76 - 19 percent approval.

Comptroller, Public Advocate Races

The Comptroller's role in New York City government is "very important" or "somewhat important," 92 percent of voters say. The Public Advocate's role in New York City government is "very important" or "somewhat important," 79 percent of voters say.

The Democratic primary race for New York City Comptroller is dominated by "undecided" at 45 percent, followed by three City Council members lumped together with 17 percent for John Liu, and 16 percent each for David Yassky and Melinda Katz. Council member David Weprin has 5 percent.

Former Public Advocate Mark Green leads the Democratic primary pack for his old position with 38 percent, followed by City Council member Bill de Blasio at 14 percent and Norman Siegel and Council member Eric Gioia at 8 percent each.

With a 51 - 17 percent favorability, Green is the only candidate in the Comptroller or Public Advocate field with any name recognition. For each of the other candidates, 69 to 83 percent of New York City voters say they don't know enough about them to form an opinion.

"New Yorkers think City Comptroller and Public Advocate are important jobs. But they don't know much about any of the candidates except Green," Carroll said.

From August 18 - 24, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,290 New York City registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. The survey includes 766 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed - http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.

1. (If registered Democrat) If the 2009 Democratic primary for Mayor were being held today and the candidates were Tony Avella and William Thompson, for whom would you vote?
                     REGISTERED DEMS
 
Avella               10%
Thompson             45
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4
DK/NA                38
 
TREND: (If registered Democrat) If the 2009 Democratic primary for Mayor were being held today and the candidates were Tony Avella and William Thompson, for whom would you vote?
                     REGISTERED DEMS.......
                     Aug 26  Jul 28  Jun 16
                     2009    2009    2009
 
Avella               10      11       8
Thompson             45      44      36
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3       2       4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4       4       5
DK/NA                38      39      46
 
 
2. (If registered Democrat) If the 2009 Democratic primary for Public Advocate were being held today and the candidates were Mark Green, Norman Siegal, Bill de Blasio, and Eric Gioia, for whom would you vote?
                     REGISTERED DEMS
 
Green                38%
Siegal                8
de Blasio            14
Gioia                 8
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2
DK/NA                30
 
TREND: (If registered Democrat) If the 2009 Democratic primary for Public Advocate were being held today and the candidates were Mark Green, Norman Siegal, Bill de Blasio and Eric Gioia, for whom would you vote?
                     REGISTERED DEMS.......
                     Aug 26  Jul 28  Jun 17
                     2009    2009    2009
 
Green                38      37      35
Siegal                8      13      14
de Blasio            14      10      10
Gioia                 8       7       5
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -       -       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       2       2
DK/NA                30      30      34
 
 
3. (If registered Democrat) Is your opinion of - Mark Green favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     REGISTERED DEMS
 
Favorable            51%
Unfavorable          17
Hvn't hrd enough     31
REFUSED               1
 
TREND: (If registered Democrat) Is your opinion of - Mark Green favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     REGISTERED DEMS
                     Aug 26  Jul 28
                     2009    2009
 
Favorable            51      48
Unfavorable          17      19
Hvn't hrd enough     31      31
REFUSED               1       2
 
 
4. (If registered Democrat) Is your opinion of - Norman Siegal favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     REGISTERED DEMS
 
Favorable            19%
Unfavorable           6
Hvn't hrd enough     73
REFUSED               2
 
TREND: (If registered Democrat) Is your opinion of - Norman Siegal favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     REGISTERED DEMS
                     Aug 26  Jul 28
                     2009    2009
 
Favorable            19      27
Unfavorable           6       9
Hvn't hrd enough     73      63
REFUSED               2       1
 
 
5. (If registered Democrat) Is your opinion of - Bill de Blasio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     REGISTERED DEMS
 
Favorable            20%
Unfavorable           5
Hvn't hrd enough     74
REFUSED               1
 
TREND: (If registered Democrat) Is your opinion of - Bill de Blasio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     REGISTERED DEMS
                     Aug 26  Jul 28
                     2009    2009
 
Favorable            20      17
Unfavorable           5       6
Hvn't hrd enough     74      76
REFUSED               1       1
 
 
6. (If registered Democrat) Is your opinion of - Eric Gioia favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     REGISTERED DEMS
 
Favorable            16%
Unfavorable           4
Hvn't hrd enough     79
REFUSED               1
 
TREND: (If registered Democrat) Is your opinion of - Eric Gioia favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     REGISTERED DEMS
                     Aug 26  Jul 28
                     2009    2009
 
Favorable            16      12
Unfavorable           4       3
Hvn't hrd enough     79      84
REFUSED               1       1
 
 
7. (If registered Democrat) If the 2009 Democratic primary for Comptroller were being held today and the candidates were Melinda Katz, David Weprin, John Liu, and David Yassky, for whom would you vote?
                     REGISTERED DEMS
 
Katz                 16%
Weprin                5
Liu                  17
Yassky               16
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2
DK/NA                45
 
TREND: (If registered Democrat) If the 2009 Democratic primary for Comptroller were being held today and the candidates were Melinda Katz, David Weprin, John Liu and David Yassky, for whom would you vote?
                     REGISTERED DEMS.......
                     Aug 26  Jul 28  Jun 17
                     2009    2009    2009
 
Katz                 16      10      13
Weprin                5       5       5
Liu                  17      17      19
Yassky               16       8      10
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -       1       -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       4       3
DK/NA                45      55      50
 
 
8. (If registered Democrat) Is your opinion of - Melinda Katz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     REGISTERED DEMS
 
Favorable            21%
Unfavorable           5
Hvn't hrd enough     74
REFUSED               1
 
TREND: (If registered Democrat) Is your opinion of - Melinda Katz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     REGISTERED DEMS
                     Aug 26  Jul 28
                     2009    2009
 
Favorable            21      14
Unfavorable           5       4
Hvn't hrd enough     74      81
REFUSED               1       1
 
 
9. (If registered Democrat) Is your opinion of - David Weprin favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     REGISTERED DEMS
 
Favorable            11%
Unfavorable           5
Hvn't hrd enough     83
REFUSED               1
 
TREND: (If registered Democrat) Is your opinion of - David Weprin favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     REGISTERED DEMS
                     Aug 26  Jul 28
                     2009    2009
 
Favorable            11      10
Unfavorable           5       4
Hvn't hrd enough     83      85
REFUSED               1       1
 
 
10. (If registered Democrat) Is your opinion of - John Liu favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     REGISTERED DEMS
 
Favorable            25%
Unfavorable           5
Hvn't hrd enough     69
REFUSED               1
 
TREND: (If registered Democrat) Is your opinion of - John Liu favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     REGISTERED DEMS
                     Aug 26  Jul 28
                     2009    2009
 
Favorable            25      25
Unfavorable           5       4
Hvn't hrd enough     69      70
REFUSED               1       1
 
 
11. (If registered Democrat) Is your opinion of - David Yassky favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     REGISTERED DEMS
 
Favorable            22%
Unfavorable           5
Hvn't hrd enough     72
REFUSED               1
 
TREND: (If registered Democrat) Is your opinion of - David Yassky favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     REGISTERED DEMS
                     Aug 26  Jul 28
                     2009    2009
 
Favorable            22      12
Unfavorable           5       5
Hvn't hrd enough     72      82
REFUSED               1       1
 
 
12. If the 2009 election for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were William Thompson the Democrat and Michael Bloomberg running as both a Republican and an Independent, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Thompson             35%    13%    44%    28%    25%    48%    36%
Bloomberg            50     76     44     54     61     39     50
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      2      -      -      1      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      2      1      2      2      1      3
DK/NA                12      6     11     16     11     11     12
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Thompson             46%    37%    33%    29%    27%    35%    35%
Bloomberg            43     50     51     53     57     51     50
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      1      1      -      1      1      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      1      1      3      1      2      2
DK/NA                 9     10     14     15     14     11     13
 
TREND: If the 2009 election for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were William Thompson the Democrat and Michael Bloomberg running as both a Republican and an Independent, for whom would you vote? (*Michael Bloomberg the Independent)
                     Aug 26  Jul 28  Jun 16  Mar 24  Feb 24  Jan 27  Nov 25
                     2009    2009    2009*   2009*   2009*   2009*   2008*
 
Thompson             35      37      32      35      33      34      34
Bloomberg            50      47      54      49      50      50      49
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1       1       1       2       2       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       2       1       1       2       1       2
DK/NA                12      14      12      14      13      13      14
 
 
13. If the 2009 election for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Tony Avella the Democrat and Michael Bloomberg running as both a Republican and an Independent, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Avella               28%    10%    37%    20%    20%    35%    32%
Bloomberg            55     78     50     60     66     46     57
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      2      1      -      1      2      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      2      1      3      1      3      2
DK/NA                13      9     10     17     12     15      9
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Avella               42%    30%    24%    22%    21%    27%    29%
Bloomberg            49     54     56     59     60     57     54
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      2      1      1      1      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      1      3      3      2      3      1
DK/NA                 6     13     17     15     15     11     15
 
TREND: If the 2009 election for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Tony Avella the Democrat and Michael Bloomberg running as both a Republican and an Independent, for whom would you vote?(*Michael Bloomberg the Independent)
                     Aug 26  Jul 28  Jun 16
                     2009    2009    2009*
 
Avella               28      28      27
Bloomberg            55      51      57
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       2       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       3       2
DK/NA                13      17      12
 
 
14. Is your opinion of - Tony Avella favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Favorable            14%     7%    18%    11%    13%    15%    17%
Unfavorable           4      7      4      4      6      3      3
Hvn't hrd enough     81     84     77     84     80     80     78
REFUSED               1      2      1      1      1      2      1
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Favorable            19%    12%    10%    18%    11%    16%    12%
Unfavorable           3      4      5      5      2      6      3
Hvn't hrd enough     77     83     84     75     87     77     83
REFUSED               1      1      1      2      1      2      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of - Tony Avella favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Aug 26  Jul 28  Jun 16
                     2009    2009    2009
 
Favorable            14      16       9
Unfavorable           4       6       4
Hvn't hrd enough     81      78      87
REFUSED               1       1       1
 
 
15. Is your opinion of - William Thompson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Favorable            38%    18%    48%    32%    34%    51%    35%
Unfavorable          10     19      8     10     13      4     10
Hvn't hrd enough     51     60     43     57     51     43     54
REFUSED               1      3      1      1      1      2      1
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Favorable            48%    39%    36%    33%    34%    42%    34%
Unfavorable           5     13     10      9      9     13      7
Hvn't hrd enough     45     47     53     56     57     43     57
REFUSED               2      1      1      2      1      2      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of - William Thompson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Aug 26  Jul 28  Jun 16  Mar 24  Feb 24  Jan 27  Nov 25
                     2009    2009    2009    2009    2009    2009    2008
 
Favorable            38      38      29      25      22      25      25
Unfavorable          10       9       6       5       5       5       4
Hvn't hrd enough     51      52      63      68      71      69      70
REFUSED               1       1       2       2       1       2       1
 
 
16. Is your opinion of - Michael Bloomberg favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Favorable            65%    76%    63%    66%    71%    61%    65%
Unfavorable          31     22     33     29     25     34     31
Hvn't hrd enough      2      -      2      2      1      3      2
REFUSED               3      2      3      3      3      1      2
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Favorable            59%    62%    67%    68%    68%    65%    64%
Unfavorable          35     34     28     27     28     31     31
Hvn't hrd enough      2      1      3      3      -      2      2
REFUSED               4      3      3      2      4      3      3
 
TREND: Is your opinion of - Michael Bloomberg favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Aug 26  Jul 28  Jun 16  Mar 24  Feb 24  Jan 27  Nov 25
                     2009    2009    2009    2009    2009    2009    2008
 
Favorable            65      59      64      62      62      66      61
Unfavorable          31      34      30      31      32      28      31
Hvn't hrd enough      2       3       3       3       2       3       4
REFUSED               3       4       3       4       4       3       3
 
 
17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Approve              66%    76%    64%    69%    74%    62%    67%
Disapprove           28     20     31     27     22     31     29
DK/NA                 5      4      5      5      4      7      4
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Approve              62%    62%    71%    70%    65%    67%    66%
Disapprove           34     30     23     27     31     29     28
DK/NA                 5      8      6      3      4      5      6
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor? (*High also 75% Oct 2008, Mar 2008, Jan 2007 & Nov 2005)
                                                     APPROVE.......  DIS..
                                                     High    Low     High
                     Aug 26  Jul 28  Jun 16  Mar 24  Oct 21  Jul 2   Jul 2
                     2009    2009    2009    2009    2008*   2003    2003
 
Approve              66      63      66      64      75      31      31
Disapprove           28      29      27      28      20      60      60
DK/NA                 5       8       7       8       6       8       8
 
 
18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way William Thompson is handling his job as City Comptroller?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Approve              52%    43%    60%    48%    49%    62%    49%
Disapprove           10     16      8      9     13      5      9
DK/NA                38     40     31     43     38     32     41
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Approve              64%    51%    51%    49%    49%    58%    48%
Disapprove            5      9      9     15     11     12      8
DK/NA                31     40     41     36     41     31     44
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way William Thompson is handling his job as City Comptroller? (*High also 53% Oct 2008)
                                                     APPROVE.......  DIS..
                                                     High    Low     High
                     Aug 26  Jul 28  Jun 16  Mar 24  Jul 28  Feb 26  Jul 2
                     2009    2009*   2009    2009    2009    2003    2003
 
Approve              52      53      50      41      53      35      38
Disapprove           10      10      10      12      10      13      20
DK/NA                38      37      40      47      37      52      42
 
 
19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Approve              76%    33%    93%    66%    62%    95%    83%
Disapprove           19     63      5     26     32      2     12
DK/NA                 5      5      3      8      6      3      5
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Approve              84%    75%    78%    75%    60%    71%    79%
Disapprove           13     21     18     17     35     23     16
DK/NA                 4      4      5      7      5      5      5
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?
                     Aug 26  Jul 28  Jun 16  Feb 25
                     2009    2009    2009    2009
 
Approve              76      74      79      78
Disapprove           19      20      16      13
DK/NA                 5       6       6       9
 
 
20. How important do you think the Public Advocate's role is in New York City government - very important, somewhat important, not too important, or not important at all?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Very important       45%    32%    50%    41%    31%    56%    64%
Smwht important      34     33     36     34     39     34     24
Not too important     9     13      7     10     15      3      3
Not important at all  6     13      3     10      9      2      4
DK/NA                 5      9      4      5      6      5      5
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Very important       56%    46%    38%    47%    37%    41%    49%
Smwht important      30     33     33     38     42     35     34
Not too important     8      7     14      6      8     11      7
Not important at all  2      8      8      5     11     10      3
DK/NA                 4      6      7      4      3      3      7
 
 
21. How important do you think the Comptroller's role is in New York City government - very important, somewhat important, not too important, or not important at all?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Very important       63%    58%    68%    58%    60%    65%    72%
Smwht important      29     27     26     36     31     29     19
Not too important     3      4      3      2      3      1      5
Not important at all  1      4      1      -      1      1      1
DK/NA                 4      7      3      4      5      4      4
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Very important       68%    63%    60%    65%    59%    64%    63%
Smwht important      27     28     33     28     28     27     31
Not too important     3      4      2      3      2      5      1
Not important at all  -      1      1      -      4      2      1
DK/NA                 2      4      3      5      6      3      5
 
 
22. Have you seen any of Michael Bloomberg's television advertisements for this year's election for mayor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Yes                  78%    71%    80%    78%    77%    81%    81%
No                   21     29     19     21     22     18     17
DK/NA                 1      -      1      1      1      1      2
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Yes                  83%    76%    78%    80%    76%    78%    78%
No                   17     23     21     18     23     20     21
DK/NA                 -      1      1      2      1      1      1
 
TREND: Have you seen any of Michael Bloomberg's television advertisements for this year's election for mayor?
                     Aug 26  Jul 19
                     2009    2005
 
Yes                  78      57
No                   21      41
DK/NA                 1       2
 
 
23. (If yes q22) Do they make you more likely to vote for Michael Bloomberg, less likely to vote for Michael Bloomberg, or don't they make a difference?
                     YES Q22.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
More likely          15%    15%    16%    13%    14%    19%    18%
Less likely          18     10     20     19     16     17     19
No difference        64     73     62     66     70     61     59
DK/NA                 3      1      2      2      1      4      4
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
More likely          16%    16%    11%    18%     8%    14%    16%
Less likely          16     18     20     17     19     20     17
No difference        63     63     68     62     68     65     64
DK/NA                 5      3      1      2      4      1      4
 
TREND: (If yes) Do they make you more likely to vote for Michael Bloomberg, less likely to vote for Michael Bloomberg, or don't they make a difference?
                     Aug 26  Jul 19
                     2009    2005
 
More likely          15      12
Less likely          18      16
No difference        64      70
DK/NA                 3       2
 
 
24. (If yes q22) From what you have seen of Michael Bloomberg's television ads, are they more informative or more annoying?
                     YES Q22.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Informative          41%    52%    41%    41%    40%    44%    51%
Annoying             47     38     48     50     50     44     37
DK/NA                11     11     11     10     10     12     12
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Informative          37%    42%    38%    45%    47%    40%    43%
Annoying             53     46     52     42     46     52     44
DK/NA                11     13      9     13      7      9     14
 
 
25. Some people say that Mayor Bloomberg's campaign spending is a case of overkill. Do you agree or disagree?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Agree                59%    46%    62%    58%    60%    56%    54%
Disagree             31     43     30     32     32     33     37
DK/NA                10     11      8     10      8     11      9
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Agree                61%    55%    60%    63%    52%    60%    57%
Disagree             29     32     32     30     36     33     30
DK/NA                10     13      8      8     12      7     12
 
TREND: Some people say that Mayor Bloomberg's campaign spending is a case of overkill. Do you agree or disagree?
                     Aug 26  Jul 28  Jun 16
                     2009    2009    2009
 
Agree                59      61      56
Disagree             31      30      36
DK/NA                10       9       9
 
 
34. In a new book, Mayor Bloomberg says that he has never believed that he could be elected president. Do you believe him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp
 
Yes                  55%    51%    54%    56%    60%    49%    42%
No                   40     43     41     38     34     46     55
DK/NA                 5      6      5      5      6      5      4
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Yes                  57%    51%    61%    50%    61%    56%    54%
No                   42     42     33     46     33     39     41
DK/NA                 2      7      6      4      6      5      5