November 23, 2010 - Schools Chancellor Should Have Education Experience, New York City Voters Tell Quinnipiac University Poll; Bloomberg Approval At Lowest Point In 5 Years

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New York City voters say 64 - 26 percent that a schools chancellor needs education experience more than management experience, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Voters say 51 - 26 percent that Cathleen Black, Mayor Michael Bloomberg's nominee to be schools chancellor, does not have the right kind of experience for the job, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. Another 23 percent are undecided.

By a smaller 47 - 29 percent margin, with 25 percent undecided, New York City voters disapprove of Mayor Bloomberg's appointment of Ms. Black. Voters with children in public schools disapprove of the appointment 62 - 25 percent and say 63 - 21 percent that Black does not have the right experience.

New York City voters approve 55 - 35 percent of the job Mayor Bloomberg is doing, his lowest score since a 55 - 36 percent rating June 22, 2005.

Voters disapprove 48 - 41 percent of the way Bloomberg is handling the public schools and say 63 - 25 percent that they are dissatisfied with public schools citywide. Voters also are dissatisfied 46 - 38 percent with public schools in their own community.

But voters say 46 - 35 percent that Chancellor Joel Klein's tenure has been a success.

"The City Hall spin machine better shift into high gear. So far, all the negative news stories are murdering Cathleen Black - and not doing Mayor Michael Bloomberg much good, either," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "Do New Yorkers approve of the Black appointment? Does she have the right experience? No and no, voters say. The only positive sign for her is that about one quarter of voters don't know enough to say whether they approve or disapprove of her appointment. So there's some room for the spinners to make Bloomberg's case."

"Overwhelmingly, voters would sooner put an educator than a business executive at the head of the class," Carroll added.

"Voters - particularly black voters - flunk Bloomberg on schools. Chancellor Joel Klein? As a going-away present, New Yorkers say - not heavily, but positively - that he's more of a success than a failure."

New York City voters say 61 - 29 percent that Bloomberg would not make a good president and think 57 - 29 percent that he will not run for president. Voters say 65 - 24 percent that talk of Bloomberg-for-president is "political gossip" rather than a "serious political movement." The so-called movement comes up short among every political or racial group and in every borough.

But voters say 58 - 26 percent that it's good for New York City when Bloomberg speaks out on national issues. Democrats like the mayor speaking out even more than Republicans.

"That Bloomberg-for-president chatter? Fuhgedaboutit, New Yorkers say. Don't people have anything more important to think about? The talk isn't serious, New Yorkers say; it's just political gossip," Carroll said.

"We don't think Mayor Mike will go for the White House and we don't think he'd do a good job if he got there."

Police Commissioner Ray Kelly continues to lead all citywide officials, with a 67 - 19 percent approval rating, including 79 - 11 percent among white voters, 52 - 31 percent among black voters and 64 - 21 percent among Hispanic voters.

Approval ratings for other New York City officials are:
  • 50 - 24 percent for City Council Speaker Christine Quinn;
  • 48 - 16 percent for Comptroller John Liu, with 37 percent undecided;
  • 36 - 16 percent for Public Advocate Bill de Blasio, with 48 percent undecided.
From November 16 - 21, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,287 New York City registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor?
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   HsHld
 
Approve              55%    63%    57%    51%    62%    44%    54%    46%
Disapprove           35     32     31     40     32     38     37     41
DK/NA                11      5     12      9      6     19     10     12
 
                     HvKids
                     PubSch Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Approve              51%    46%    53%    65%    54%    50%    55%    55%
Disapprove           42     37     36     27     37     41     36     33
DK/NA                 8     17     12      8      9      8      9     12
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor? (*High also 75% Oct 2008, Mar 2008, Jan 2007 & Nov 2005)
                                                     APPROVE.......  DIS..
                                                     High    Low     High
                     Nov 23  Jun 30  May 21  Mar 23  Oct 21  Jul 2   Jul 2
                     2010    2010    2010    2010    2008*   2003    2003
 
Approve              55      57      57      61      75      31      31
Disapprove           35      33      29      27      20      60      60
DK/NA                11      10      14      12       6       8       8
 
 
2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ray Kelly is handling his job as Police Commissioner?
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   HsHld
 
Approve              67%    78%    65%    68%    79%    52%    64%    67%
Disapprove           19     14     20     17     11     31     21     22
DK/NA                14      8     15     15     11     16     15     10
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Approve              55%    67%    71%    69%    71%    67%    67%
Disapprove           29     19     15     19     15     23     17
DK/NA                16     14     14     11     14     11     16
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ray Kelly is handling his job as Police Commissioner? (*High also 70% Feb 2010, Mar 2006 & Feb 2006)
                                                     APPROVE.......  DIS..
                                                     High    Low     High
                     Nov 23  Jun 30  May 24  Feb 18  May 24  Jan 16  Jan 16
                     2010    2010    2010    2010    2010*   2007    2007
 
Approve              67      66      70      70      70      52      52
Disapprove           19      20      17      16      17      34      34
DK/NA                14      14      13      14      13      14      14
 
 
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill de Blasio is handling his job as Public Advocate?
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   HsHld
 
Approve              36%    27%    43%    32%    33%    45%    35%    39%
Disapprove           16     24     13     17     14     17     21     17
DK/NA                48     49     45     50     52     37     43     44
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Approve              39%    41%    33%    33%    32%    35%    38%
Disapprove           19     17     13     15     17     17     15
DK/NA                43     42     55     51     50     48     48
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill de Blasio is handling his job as Public Advocate?
                     Nov 23  Jun 30  May 21  Feb 17
                     2010    2010    2010    2010
 
Approve              36      35      34      37
Disapprove           16      17      16      13
DK/NA                48      48      50      50
 
 
4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christine Quinn is handling her job as City Council Speaker?
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   HsHld
 
Approve              50%    35%    57%    48%    50%    51%    52%    49%
Disapprove           24     31     18     30     23     24     25     32
DK/NA                26     34     25     23     27     25     23     20
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Approve              50%    52%    52%    47%    39%    43%    55%
Disapprove           28     20     19     28     35     32     18
DK/NA                22     28     29     25     26     25     27
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christine Quinn is handling her job as City Council Speaker?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Nov 23  Jun 30  May 21  Feb 17  Feb 24  Mar 14  Nov 25
                     2010    2010    2010    2010    2009    2007    2008
 
Approve              50      45      44      44      42       51      40
Disapprove           24      27      26      28      25       12      29
DK/NA                26      28      30      27      33       37      31
 
 
5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Liu is handling his job as City Comptroller?
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   HsHld
 
Approve              48%    40%    51%    46%    46%    53%    42%    53%
Disapprove           16     22     13     18     13     14     25     17
DK/NA                37     38     36     37     42     33     33     30
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Approve              43%    49%    40%    58%    45%    50%    47%
Disapprove           25     14     15     13     12     17     15
DK/NA                32     37     44     29     43     34     39
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Liu is handling his job as City Comptroller?
                     Nov 23  Jun 30  May 21  Feb 17
                     2010    2010    2010    2010
 
Approve              48      47      49      44
Disapprove           16      17      13      11
DK/NA                37      36      38      45
 
 
6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   HsHld
 
Approve              66%    23%    84%    54%    49%    90%    72%    71%
Disapprove           30     72     13     40     46      7     24     25
DK/NA                 4      4      3      6      5      3      5      4
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                     Nov 23  Feb 17  Aug 26  Jul 28  Jun 16  Feb 25
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009
 
Approve              66      72      76      74      79      78
Disapprove           30      25      19      20      16      13
DK/NA                 4       3       5       6       6       9
 
 
7. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York City today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   HsHld
 
Very satisfied        6%     4%     6%     5%     7%     3%     7%     5%
Smwht satisfied      44     43     48     38     45     44     37     38
Smwht dissatisfied   31     31     30     35     32     31     32     34
Very dissatisfied    19     22     15     22     15     20     24     23
DK/NA                 1      -      1      1      -      2      -      -
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Very satisfied        3%     5%     8%     6%     3%     5%     6%
Smwht satisfied      41     45     50     39     33     46     42
Smwht dissatisfied   33     29     29     34     31     29     33
Very dissatisfied    21     20     12     21     32     19     19
DK/NA                 2      1      -      -      -      1      1
 
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York City today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                                                             VERY+SMWHT...
                                                             High    Low
                     Nov 23  Jun 30  May 21  Feb 17  Jul 28  Feb 11  Jul 2
                     2010    2010    2010    2010    2009    1998    2003
 
Very satisfied        6       6       7       8       8      18       7
Smwht satisfied      44      43      44      51      51      58      23
Smwht dissatisfied   31      30      32      26      26      18      32
Very dissatisfied    19      20      16      14      14       5      38
DK/NA                 1       1       1       1       1       1       1
 
 
8. Are you generally optimistic or pessimistic about the next four years with Andrew Cuomo as Governor?
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   HsHld
 
Optimistic           73%    52%    86%    63%    70%    78%    76%    69%
Pessimistic          20     40      9     26     23     13     15     26
DK/NA                 7      8      5     11      6      8      9      5
 
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Optimistic           71%    72%    78%    75%    59%    66%    78%
Pessimistic          19     17     18     20     35     26     15
DK/NA                10     11      4      5      6      8      7
 
 
9. Do you think Mayor Bloomberg would make a good President or not?
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   HsHld
 
Yes                  29%    38%    26%    33%    35%    18%    32%    24%
No                   61     53     63     61     58     72     59     67
DK/NA                 9      8     11      5      7     11      9      9
 
TREND: Do you think Mayor Bloomberg would make a good President or not?
                     Nov 23  Mar 12  Jan 9
                     2010    2008    2008
 
Yes                  29      45      52
No                   61      43      39
DK/NA                 9      12       9
 
 
10. Do you think Michael Bloomberg will run for President in 2012 or not?
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   HsHld
 
Yes                  29%    27%    30%    27%    24%    36%    33%    29%
No                   57     63     57     59     63     48     55     58
DK/NA                14     10     13     14     13     15     12     13
 
 
11. Do you think the Bloomberg-for-President talk represents a serious political movement or just political gossip?
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   HsHld
 
Serious political
 movement            24%    24%    24%    27%    23%    21%    29%    25%
Political gossip     65     70     66     63     66     68     63     65
DK/NA                11      6     11     10     11     11      8      9
 
 
12. If Mayor Bloomberg leaves before his term expires, Public Advocate Bill de Blasio would become the Mayor. Do you think Bill de Blasio would make a good mayor or not?
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   HsHld
 
Yes                  27%    20%    30%    23%    24%    34%    27%    27%
No                   29     36     26     26     25     29     36     28
DK/NA                45     43     43     50     51     37     38     45
 
 
13. In recent weeks Mayor Bloomberg has spoken out on a number of national issues. Do you think this is good for New York City or don't you think so?
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   HsHld
 
Yes                  58%    52%    64%    53%    59%    60%    53%    56%
No                   26     33     22     32     24     26     30     27
DK/NA                16     14     15     15     17     14     16     18
 
TREND: In recent weeks Mayor Bloomberg has spoken out on a number of national issues. Do you think this is good for New York City or don't you think so?
                     Nov 23  Jul 12
                     2010    2010
 
Good                 58      70
Not good             26      16
DK/NA                16      13
 
 
14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling the public schools?
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   HsHld
 
Approve              41%    55%    39%    40%    43%    36%    41%    33%
Disapprove           48     31     51     50     43     57     51     61
DK/NA                11     14     11     10     13      7      8      7
 
                     HvKids
                     PubSch Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Approve              43%    34%    42%    46%    38%    45%    45%    38%
Disapprove           52     53     46     41     55     46     44     51
DK/NA                 4     13     12     13      7      8     10     11
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling the public schools?
                                                     APPROVE.......  DIS..
                                                     High    Low     High
                     Nov 23  Jul 29  Jun 17  Mar 24  Jul 29  May 7   May 7
                     2010    2009    2009    2009    2009    2003    2003
 
Approve              41      57      51      47      57      35      35
Disapprove           48      30      37      40      30      52      52
DK/NA                11      13      12      13      13      12      12
 
 
15. Are you generally satisfied with the quality of the public schools in New York City, or are you not satisfied?
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   HsHld
 
Satisfied            25%    24%    27%    20%    24%    21%    29%    29%
Not satisfied        63     60     63     67     60     72     63     64
DK/NA                12     16     10     13     16      7      8      8
 
                     HvKids
                     PubSch Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Satisfied            42%    19%    29%    18%    26%    41%    29%    22%
Not satisfied        53     73     59     69     63     46     59     67
DK/NA                 5      8     13     13     11     13     12     11
 
 
TREND: Are you generally satisfied with the quality of the public schools in New York City, or are you not satisfied? (*Low also 12% on Feb 2004, Mar 2002, Apr 2000 & Mar 1997)
                                                             SATISFIED....
                                                             High    Low
                     Nov 23  Feb 25  Jan 28  Jul 16  Nov 21  Jan 28  Feb 5
                     2010    2009    2009    2008    2007    2009    2004*
 
Satisfied            25      30      32      29      27      32      12
Not satisfied        63      58      55      59      55      55      74
DK/NA                12      12      14      12      18      14      13
 
 
16. Are you generally satisfied with the quality of public schools in your neighborhood, or are you not satisfied?
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   HsHld
 
Satisfied            38%    48%    36%    37%    45%    27%    38%    41%
Not satisfied        46     37     50     45     36     62     52     48
DK/NA                15     14     14     19     20     10     10     10
 
                     HvKids
                     PubSch Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Satisfied            46%    32%    39%    30%    43%    61%    39%    37%
Not satisfied        52     57     48     47     43     28     47     46
DK/NA                 2     12     13     23     14     11     13     17
 
TREND: Are you generally satisfied with the quality of the public schools in your neighborhood, or are you not satisfied?
                                                             SATISFIED....
                                                             High    Low
                     Nov 23  Feb 25  Jan 28  Jul 16  Nov 21  Feb 25  Feb 5
                     2010    2009    2009    2008    2007    2009    2004
 
Satisfied            38      48      42      43      40      48      27
Not satisfied        46      39      41      45      40      39      56
DK/NA                15      13      17      12      20      13      17
 
 
17. Do you think Joel Klein's eight years as New York City School's Chancellor were mainly a success or mainly a failure?
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   HsHld
 
Mainly a success     46%    53%    44%    47%    51%    43%    40%    39%
Mainly a failure     35     29     36     37     31     39     39     46
DK/NA                19     18     20     16     18     19     20     14
 
                     HvKids
                     PubSch Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Mainly a success     46%    46%    47%    49%    43%    40%    50%    43%
Mainly a failure     40     37     34     32     39     36     32     38
DK/NA                14     18     20     19     18     23     18     20
 
 
18. Do you approve or disapprove of Mayor Bloomberg's appointment of Cathleen Black to be New York City Schools chancellor?
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   HsHld
 
Approve              29%    35%    29%    29%    30%    29%    28%    23%
Disapprove           47     33     48     50     43     52     49     56
DK/NA                25     31     23     21     27     19     23     21
 
                     HvKids
                     PubSch Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Approve              25%    27%    30%    32%    28%    22%    29%    29%
Disapprove           62     42     43     45     51     61     49     45
DK/NA                13     31     27     23     22     17     22     27
 
 
19. Do you think Cathleen Black has the right kind of experience to be New York City's Schools chancellor or not?
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   HsHld
 
Yes                  26%    29%    23%    31%    27%    24%    24%    21%
No                   51     38     56     47     48     55     53     61
DK/NA                23     33     21     21     24     20     22     18
 
                     HvKids
                     PubSch Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Yes                  21%    27%    25%    28%    22%    28%    28%    24%
No                   63     47     47     50     58     58     52     51
DK/NA                16     25     27     23     20     14     20     26
 
 
20. Which kind of experience do you think is more important for New York City's Schools chancellor - management experience or education experience?
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   HsHld
 
Management           26%    41%    21%    30%    34%    18%    18%    20%
Education            64     51     68     62     57     68     78     68
DK/NA                10      8     11      8      9     14      5     12
 
                     HvKids
                     PubSch Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Management           21%    22%    27%    34%    22%    17%    27%    25%
Education            71     68     63     58     66     77     64     65
DK/NA                 8     10     10      8     12      6      9     10
 
 
21. As you may know, charter schools are operated by private or non-profit organizations. The schools are paid for with public funds. Do you think there should be an expansion of charter schools in New York City or not?
                                                                      Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Wht    Blk    Hisp   HsHld
 
Yes                  59%    69%    57%    59%    54%    64%    67%    50%
No                   32     21     34     34     35     27     25     43
DK/NA                10     10      9      7     11      9      8      7
 
                     HvKids
                     PubSch Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  Men    Wom
 
Yes                  60%    63%    57%    62%    56%    52%    58%    60%
No                   36     22     34     31     34     39     34     30
 
TREND: As you may know, charter schools are operated by private or non-profit organizations. The schools are paid for with public funds. Do you think there should be anexpansion of charter schools in New York City or not?
                     Nov 23  Mar 24  Feb 25
                     2010    2009    2009
 
Yes                  59      62      67
No                   32      29      26
DK/NA                10       9       8