August 16, 2012 - Cutting Stop And Frisk Won't Increase Crime, More New Yorkers Tell Quinnipiac University Poll; Voters Oppose Soda Limits, Back Liquor Crackdown

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Almost 3-1 opposition to stop and frisk by New York City black voters tips overall voter opinion to a narrow 50 - 45 percent disapproval of the police practice, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Black voters disapprove of stop and frisk 69 - 25 percent while approval is 57 - 37 percent among white voters and 53 - 45 percent among Hispanic voters, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. Men are divided on the practice, with 47 percent in favor and 49 percent opposed. Women oppose the practice 51 - 43 percent.

A decrease in police use of stop and frisk would not lead to an increase in gun violence, voters say 50 - 41 percent, again with significant racial division. Black voters say 63 - 28 percent the reductions would not lead to more crime. White voters believe it would 49 - 39 percent and Hispanic voters agree 52 - 46 percent.

New York City voters approve 64 - 26 percent, including 51 - 39 percent among black voters, of the job Police Commissioner Ray Kelly is doing. Voters approve 57 - 33 percent of the job police are doing. Black voters disapprove 47 - 37 percent.

"Public opinion is just about down-the-middle on the police tactic of stop and frisk. If the decline in such stops persists, will gun violence grow? On this question, too, New Yorkers are divided" said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"But we're still a liberal city. If there's a choice between taking all steps to end crime and protecting civil liberties, New Yorkers come down 78 - 16 percent on the civil liberties side.

"Police Commissioner Ray Kelly and his cops continue to get high marks."

New York City voters support 73 - 20 percent a law requiring businesses in the city to provide employees up to nine paid sick days per year. Support is strong among all groups except Republicans, who oppose the measure 48 - 42 percent.

Voters say 54 - 37 percent that such a law would not result in businesses hiring fewer people. Again, only Republicans have that concern, 64 - 29 percent.

Alcohol, Soft Drinks, Baby Formula

A New York City crackdown on alcohol abuse would be a good idea, voters say 56 - 17 percent. Support is 62 - 16 percent among parents of children under 18, 61 - 13 percent among women and 63 - 14 percent among blacks. Support is strong in every borough except Staten Island, where support is 40 - 35 percent with 25 percent undecided.

Voters oppose 54 - 42 percent Mayor Michael Bloomberg's plan to limit the size of sugary soft drinks. This compares to 51 - 46 percent opposition in a June 13 Quinnipiac University poll. While most groups strongly oppose the limit, Democrats are divided 48 - 49 percent and women are divided with 46 percent in support and 49 percent opposed. Attitudes by borough range from 49 - 48 percent in Manhattan to a negative 23 - 74 percent in Staten Island.

By an even larger 56 - 24 percent margin, voters oppose another Bloomberg initiative to encourage breast-feeding by making baby formula less available to new mothers. Women oppose this measure 60 - 23 percent while men oppose it 53 - 24 percent.

Voters say 74 - 19 percent that the city's bike rental program is a good idea.

Voters approve 50 - 38 percent Bloomberg's handling of public health. They are divided 47 - 49 percent on whether government should get involved in eating/drinking habits to fight obesity. But they say 48 - 38 percent that these measures are not "nanny government."

"Voters disagree with Mayor Michael Bloomberg's push to increase breast-feeding and to limit the size of sugary drinks, but they like the idea of cracking down on alcohol abuse," Carroll said. "Overall, New Yorkers give Hizzoner good grades on public-health as they reject the criticism that it's 'nanny government.'"

From August 8 - 12, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,298 New York City voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ray Kelly is handling his job as Police Commissioner?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              64%    89%    60%    64%    64%    64%    77%    51%    64%
Disapprove           26      5     27     31     29     24     17     39     24
DK/NA                10      6     13      5      7     12      6     10     12
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS............
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              63%    66%    57%    64%    67%    69%
Disapprove           27     25     34     29     24     17
DK/NA                10      9      9      7      9     14
 
                                                        Union  HAVE KIDS
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  HsHlds <18
 
Approve              71%    60%    60%    65%    79%    67%    69%
Disapprove           24     30     29     22     14     24     24
DK/NA                 5     10     10     12      7      9      7
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ray Kelly is handling his job as Police Commissioner?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Aug 16  Jun 14  May 10  Mar 13  Feb 09  May 12  Jan 16
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2012    2011    2007
 
Approve              64      61      66      64      62      71      52
Disapprove           26      26      23      25      24      17      34
DK/NA                10      13      10      11      14      13      14
 
 
10. Would you support or oppose a law requiring New York City businesses to provide up to 9 paid sick days for employees?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Support              73%    42%    81%    69%    67%    79%    64%    82%    82%
Oppose               20     48     14     25     28     13     28     13     14
DK/NA                 6     10      5      6      6      7      8      6      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS............
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Support              73%    74%    83%    72%    72%    68%
Oppose               21     19     15     24     20     21
DK/NA                 6      7      2      3      7     11
 
                                                        Union  HAVE KIDS
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  HsHlds <18
 
Support              77%    75%    72%    74%    55%    74%    72%
Oppose               18     17     21     21     35     21     25
DK/NA                 5      7      7      5     10      5      3
 
 
11. Do you think such a law would result in businesses hiring fewer people or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes                  37%    64%    31%    42%    42%    32%    37%    36%    40%
No                   54     29     60     48     52     56     54     51     54
DK/NA                 9      7      9     10      6     12     10     13      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS............
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  35%    40%    38%    39%    37%    32%
No                   58     48     56     56     54     52
DK/NA                 8     12      6      5      9     16
 
                                                        Union  HAVE KIDS
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  HsHlds <18
 
Yes                  37%    34%    34%    40%    50%    36%    45%
No                   53     57     58     50     38     54     51
DK/NA                10      9      8      9     12     10      4
 
 
19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling public health issues in New York City?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              50%    38%    57%    44%    51%    49%    54%    42%    49%
Disapprove           38     51     33     42     39     38     35     47     42
DK/NA                12     12     10     14     10     13     12     11      9
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS............
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              57%    41%    55%    49%    48%    52%
Disapprove           33     46     34     44     40     34
DK/NA                10     13     11      7     12     14
 
                                                        Union  HAVE KIDS
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  HsHlds <18
 
Approve              44%    50%    57%    49%    42%    48%    55%
Disapprove           47     40     31     36     44     41     38
DK/NA                 9     10     12     15     15     11      7
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling public health issues in New York City?
                     Aug 16  Jun 13
                     2012    2012
 
Approve              50      47
Disapprove           38      45
DK/NA                12       8
 
 
20. As you may know, Mayor Bloomberg has a plan to ban large servings of soda and sugary drinks in an effort to help fight obesity in New York City. Bloomberg's proposal would prohibit the sale of soda and other sweetened drinks in containers larger than 16 ounces that are sold in places regulated by the city's health department like restaurants, movies theaters, and food carts. Do you support or oppose Bloomberg's plan?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Support              42%    24%    48%    39%    38%    46%    41%    37%    41%
Oppose               54     72     49     57     59     49     55     59     56
DK/NA                 3      4      3      4      3      4      4      4      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS............
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Support              47%    37%    47%    38%    42%    45%
Oppose               50     60     52     59     55     51
DK/NA                 3      3      1      3      3      4
 
                                                        Union  HAVE KIDS
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  HsHlds <18
 
Support              41%    44%    49%    39%    23%    39%    40%
Oppose               58     52     48     56     74     58     57
DK/NA                 2      4      3      5      3      3      3
 
TREND: As you may know, Mayor Bloomberg has a plan to ban large servings of soda and sugary drinks in an effort to help fight obesity in New York City. Bloomberg's proposal would prohibit the sale of soda and other sweetened drinks in containers larger than 16 ounces that are sold in places regulated by the city's health department like restaurants, movies theaters, and food carts. Do you support or oppose Bloomberg's plan?
                     Aug 16  Jun 13
                     2012    2012
 
Support              42      46
Oppose               54      51
DK/NA                 3       4
 
 
21. Do you think the government should be getting involved in people's eating and drinking habits to fight obesity, or do you think the government shouldn't be getting involved in these things?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes, get involved    47%    30%    53%    45%    44%    50%    47%    42%    50%
No, not involved     49     68     42     52     53     44     49     53     46
DK/NA                 4      2      4      3      2      6      5      5      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS............
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes, get involved    52%    41%    55%    44%    48%    43%
No, not involved     44     55     43     53     48     51
DK/NA                 4      4      2      4      4      6
 
                                                        Union  HAVE KIDS
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  HsHlds <18
 
Yes, get involved    41%    49%    57%    44%    25%    43%    50%
No, not involved     54     46     39     53     71     54     47
DK/NA                 5      5      4      3      4      3      2
 
TREND: Do you think the government should be getting involved in people's eating and drinking habits to fight obesity, or do you think the government shouldn't be getting involved in these things?
                     Aug 16  Jun 13
                     2012    2012
 
Yes, get involved    47      46
No, not involved     49      50
DK/NA                 4       4
 
 
22. Would you describe Mayor Bloomberg's plan as an example of "nanny government" or wouldn't you describe it this way?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes                  38%    51%    31%    46%    41%    36%    42%    35%    40%
No                   48     35     53     45     50     46     46     46     45
DK/NA                14     14     16      9      9     19     12     19     15
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS............
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  39%    36%    40%    46%    37%    30%
No                   52     41     51     48     46     46
DK/NA                 8     22     10      6     16     24
 
                                                        Union  HAVE KIDS
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  HsHlds <18
 
Yes                  45%    37%    34%    36%    51%    45%    48%
No                   38     47     58     46     39     44     44
DK/NA                16     15      9     18     10     11      8
 
TREND: Would you describe Mayor Bloomberg's plan as an example of "Nanny Government" or wouldn't you describe it this way?
                     Aug 16  Jun 13
                     2012    2012
 
Yes                  38      43
No                   48      43
DK/NA                14      14
 
 
23. Which would you say that you drink more often, diet soft drinks or regular, non-diet soft drinks, or don't you drink soft drinks?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Diet                 18%    25%    19%    16%    19%    17%    25%    16%    13%
Regular, non-diet    20     17     23     15     25     15     14     26     22
Don't drink          61     58     56     69     54     68     60     56     63
DK/NA                 1      1      1      -      1      1      1      2      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS............
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Diet                 22%    12%    16%    15%    24%    17%
Regular, non-diet    19     21     29     24     14     11
Don't drink          58     65     55     59     61     70
DK/NA                 1      1      -      1      1      2
 
                                                        Union  HAVE KIDS
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  HsHlds <18
 
Diet                 13%    16%    23%    18%    21%    17%    12%
Regular, non-diet    21     19     17     24     16     18     25
Don't drink          65     64     59     57     63     64     62
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      -      1      1
 
 
24. New York City is starting a program allowing people to rent bicycles. Do you think this is a good idea or a bad idea?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Good idea            74%    58%    79%    75%    75%    73%    73%    77%    74%
Bad idea             19     34     16     17     19     19     20     15     21
DK/NA                 7      9      6      8      6      8      7      8      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS............
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Good idea            79%    68%    84%    80%    76%    58%
Bad idea             16     23     14     16     16     30
DK/NA                 5      9      2      5      8     12
 
                                                        Union  HAVE KIDS
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  HsHlds <18
 
Good idea            76%    74%    81%    67%    66%    75%    77%
Bad idea             17     20     13     24     22     19     19
DK/NA                 7      5      6      9     13      7      4
 
TREND: New York City is starting a program allowing people to rent bicycles. Do you think this is a good idea or a bad idea?
                     Aug 16  May 11
                     2012    2012
 
Good idea            74      64
Bad idea             19      30
DK/NA                 7       6
 
 
25. Do you think New York City should pressure building owners to ban all indoor smoking or don't you think so?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes                  48%    38%    55%    38%    42%    54%    45%    50%    55%
No                   47     62     40     57     53     42     52     42     44
DK/NA                 5      -      5      5      5      4      3      7      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS............
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  51%    44%    55%    43%    47%    46%
No                   45     51     42     53     49     48
DK/NA                 4      5      3      4      4      6
 
                                                        Union  HAVE KIDS
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  HsHlds <18
 
Yes                  40%    45%    51%    55%    43%    48%    54%
No                   55     51     44     41     50     49     42
DK/NA                 5      4      5      4      7      3      3
 
TREND: Do you think New York City should pressure building owners to ban all indoor smoking or don't you think so?
                     Aug 16  May 11
                     2012    2012
 
Yes                  48      44
No                   47      53
DK/NA                 5       3
 
 
26. As you may know, the Bloomberg administration has a new health initiative which promotes breastfeeding by making baby formula less available to new mothers while they are in the hospital. Do you think this is a good idea or a bad idea, or don't you have an opinion on that?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Good idea            24%    12%    25%    25%    24%    23%    19%    23%    30%
Bad idea             56     71     54     57     53     60     59     56     55
No opinion           19     15     20     17     22     15     20     20     14
REFUSED               1      2      1      -      1      2      1      -      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS............
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Good idea            28%    18%    27%    29%    22%    18%
Bad idea             52     62     53     54     60     57
No opinion           19     19     20     17     16     23
REFUSED               1      1      -      -      2      3
 
                                                        Union  HAVE KIDS
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  HsHlds <18
 
Good idea            23%    24%    27%    22%    12%    23%    33%
Bad idea             58     55     52     56     75     59     56
No opinion           19     20     19     20     12     18      8
REFUSED               -      1      2      2      1      1      2
 
 
27. There has been talk that the Bloomberg administration might try to crack down on alcohol abuse. Do you think that would be a good idea or a bad idea or don't you have an opinion on that?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Good idea            56%    56%    60%    51%    50%    61%    50%    63%    59%
Bad idea             17     26     14     19     22     13     22     14     15
No opinion           25     17     24     27     26     24     26     20     25
REFUSED               2      1      2      2      2      2      2      2      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS............
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Good idea            55%    57%    55%    57%    57%    55%
Bad idea             17     18     15     20     19     18
No opinion           25     24     29     23     23     24
REFUSED               2      1      1      1      2      3
 
                                                        Union  HAVE KIDS
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  HsHlds <18
 
Good idea            63%    58%    51%    57%    40%    57%    62%
Bad idea             16     17     15     17     35     19     16
No opinion           20     23     30     24     25     22     21
REFUSED               1      1      4      2      -      1      1
 
 
28. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the New York City police are doing their job?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              57%    90%    52%    57%    58%    56%    75%    37%    55%
Disapprove           33      6     37     38     35     31     19     47     37
DK/NA                10      4     12      6      7     13      6     16      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS............
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              58%    55%    50%    60%    58%    60%
Disapprove           32     35     43     31     33     28
DK/NA                10      9      8      9      9     11
 
                                                        Union  HAVE KIDS
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  HsHlds <18
 
Approve              53%    55%    56%    58%    75%    56%    63%
Disapprove           33     35     33     34     17     34     32
DK/NA                13     10     11      7      8     11      5
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the New York City police are doing their job?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Aug 16  Jun 14  Mar 13  Feb 09  Dec 14  Feb 7   Apr 20
                     2012    2012    2012    2012    2011    2002    2000
 
Approve              57      59      63      62      62      76      43
Disapprove           33      32      31      30      33      18      48
DK/NA                10       9       6       8       4       6       9
 
 
29. As you may know, there is a police practice known as stop and frisk, where police stop and question a person they suspect of wrongdoing and, if necessary, search that person. Do you approve or disapprove of this police practice?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              45%    88%    34%    52%    47%    43%    57%    25%    53%
Disapprove           50     10     61     43     49     51     37     69     45
DK/NA                 5      2      5      4      4      6      6      6      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS............
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              42%    50%    43%    41%    44%    49%
Disapprove           53     47     54     55     50     46
DK/NA                 6      4      3      4      6      5
 
                                                        Union  HAVE KIDS
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  HsHlds <18
 
Approve              49%    41%    42%    44%    75%    44%    50%
Disapprove           45     53     54     52     21     50     45
DK/NA                 6      5      5      4      5      6      5
 
TREND: As you may know, there is a police practice known as stop and frisk, where police stop and question a person they suspect of wrongdoing and, if necessary, search that person. Do you approve or disapprove of this police practice?
                     Aug 16  Jun 14  Mar 13
                     2012    2012    2012
 
Approve              45      43      46
Disapprove           50      51      49
DK/NA                 5       6       5
 
 
30. Do you think that if the police reduced the number of stop and frisks there would be an increase in gun violence or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes                  41%    77%    35%    44%    44%    39%    49%    28%    52%
No                   50     17     55     49     49     51     39     63     46
DK/NA                 9      6     10      7      7     11     11      9      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS............
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  37%    48%    35%    40%    45%    44%
No                   55     43     60     54     49     41
DK/NA                 9      9      5      6      7     15
 
                                                        Union  HAVE KIDS
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  HsHlds <18
 
Yes                  45%    42%    37%    38%    61%    36%    49%
No                   48     51     53     49     32     56     48
DK/NA                 6      7     10     13      7      8      3
 
 
31. Which comes closer to your view; A)The police should take all steps necessary to prevent crime in New York City even if it means your basic civil liberties would be violated, or B)The police should take steps to prevent crime but not if those would violate your basic civil liberties?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
A)Take all steps     16%    41%    11%    18%    16%    16%    22%    10%    18%
B)Not violate libs   78     53     83     77     78     77     72     82     78
DK/NA                 6      6      6      5      5      7      6      8      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS............
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
A)Take all steps     14%    18%    16%    17%    12%    17%
B)Not violate libs   81     74     81     79     82     73
DK/NA                 4      8      3      4      6     10
 
                                                        Union  HAVE KIDS
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  HsHlds <18
 
A)Take all steps     12%    16%    17%    15%    23%    15%    24%
B)Not violate libs   81     81     76     77     64     77     74
DK/NA                 7      3      7      8     12      7      2
 
 
39. Have you heard or read about the delays in the bike rental program?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes                  31%    34%    31%    33%    32%    29%    40%    22%    23%
No                   67     62     67     66     66     68     58     75     76
DK/NA                 2      3      2      1      2      2      2      3      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   AGE IN YEARS............
                     Yes    No     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  38%    22%    23%    35%    36%    31%
No                   61     76     77     64     62     65
DK/NA                 1      2      -      1      1      4
 
                                                        Union  HAVE KIDS
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  HsHlds <18
 
Yes                  23%    29%    40%    31%    25%    32%    32%
No                   75     70     57     68     74     67     67
DK/NA                 2      2      4      1      2      1      1
 

Demographic Summary