January 16, 2014 - New York Voters Optimistic 3-1 About Mayor De Blasio, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Education, Jobs, Not Income Inequality, Are Priorities
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By a 67 - 21 percent margin, New York City voters are optimistic about the next four years with Bill de Blasio as mayor, with everyone feeling good except Republicans, who are divided 44 - 45 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Black voters are most optimistic, at 80 - 6 percent, with Hispanic voters optimism at 76 - 9 percent.

Voters approve 53 - 13 percent of the job Mayor de Blasio has done so far, with 34 percent undecided, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. Approval is lowest among Republicans, 40 - 28 percent, with independent voters at 41 - 14 percent and 45 percent undecided. Highest approval is 71 - 6 percent from black voters.

In an open-ended question, where respondents can give any answer, 20 percent of voters say education should be the top priority for the mayor and City Council, followed by 13 percent for jobs and 9 percent each for crime/safety and housing/affordable housing.

Only 2 percent list "income inequality" or "class inequality." Another 2 percent list wages/minimum wage.

Voters say 60 - 24 percent that de Blasio will make progress on the priority they listed.

"New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio is having a honeymoon. Two thirds of New Yorkers are optimistic about the new City Hall team. Republicans are divided," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"As warmly as the de Blasio family was greeted in the campaign and on inauguration day, only about a quarter of voters want Chirlane McCray to have a major role at City Hall."

Only 27 percent of New York City voters, including 31 percent of women and 23 percent of men, say the mayor's spouse should have a major role in shaping policy. Another 36 percent, with 34 percent of women and 39 percent of men, say she should have a minor role. And 30 percent of voters, with 28 percent of women and 33 percent of men, say she should have no role.

A total of 83 percent of voters say income inequality is a "very serious" or "somewhat serious" problem. Voters say 66 - 25 percent that New York City government should try to reduce the gap between rich and poor. Voters support 69 - 27 percent increasing the New York City income tax on households making more than $500,000 per year;

Support is 74 - 23 percent to increase taxes on households making more than $500,000 per year if the money is used to fund pre-kindergarten for all New York City children.

Support drops to 55 - 37 percent to increase taxes on the wealthy if other funds are found for universal pre-k.

"When we ask New Yorkers what's their top priority, they say education, jobs, crime, housing. Almost no one says, 'income inequality,'" Carroll said. "But when we ask them specifically about income inequality, they want to rewrite 'The Tale of Two Cities.'"

Carriage Horses, Police, Bratton

Don't ban horse-drawn carriages from New York City, voters say 61 - 28 percent, with support for the horses from every group. There is almost no gender gap as women oppose a ban 60 - 28 percent while men support carriage horses 63 - 28 percent.

New York City voters approve 62 - 30 percent of the job police are doing, with white voters approving 78 - 16 percent and Hispanic voters approving 53 - 36 percent and black voters divided with 45 percent approving and 47 percent disapproving. Voters approve 59 - 13 percent of the selection of William Bratton as police commissioner, with all groups approving. Mayor de Blasio can reduce stop and frisk and still make the city safer, voters say 48 - 40 percent.

Voters also say 57 - 8 percent that he can make schools better.

But only 34 percent of voters say the city will have more jobs under de Blasio, while 11 percent expect fewer jobs and 45 percent say the job level will remain the same.

From January 9 - 15, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,288 New York City voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill de Blasio is handling his job as Mayor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              53%    40%    64%    41%    49%    57%    43%    71%    55%
Disapprove           13     28      9     14     15     11     21      6      6
DK/NA                34     31     27     45     36     32     36     23     39
 
 
2. Are you generally optimistic or pessimistic about the next four years with Bill de Blasio as Mayor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Optimistic           67%    44%    78%    56%    67%    67%    53%    80%    76%
Pessimistic          21     45     12     30     23     19     36      6      9
DK/NA                12     11     11     14     10     14     11     13     15
 
 
3. What do you think should be the top priority for Mayor de Blasio and the City Council in 2014?
                            Tot
 
Economy (General)            4%
Jobs/Unemployment           13
Wages/Minimum Wage           2
Economy (Other)              1
 
Income inequality            1
Class inequality             1
 
Budget(General)              1
 
Taxes (General)              3
 
Education (General)         20
Education (Pre-K,
 early childhood ed)         1
Education (Other)            3
 
Unions (General)             2
 
Crime/Safety                 9
Police practices/Stop&Frisk  2
Gun Issues/Policy/Control    1
 
Housing/Affordable housing   9
Healthcare                   1
Poverty/Homelessness         2
Elderly Issues               1
Roads/Infrastructure         1
Transportation               1
Other                       15
DK/NA                        6
 
 
4. (If Priority Given q3) Do you believe that the mayor will make progress on that priority or don't you think so?
                     PRIORITY GIVEN Q3..........................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes                  60%    40%    70%    46%    57%    62%    49%    71%    67%
No                   24     47     14     33     27     21     36     11     17
DK/NA                17     12     15     21     15     18     15     17     15
 
 
11. Do you think Mayor de Blasio should or should not ban horse drawn carriages from New York City?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Should               28%    23%    31%    26%    28%    28%    27%    25%    32%
Should not           61     70     58     62     63     60     63     64     60
DK/NA                11      7     11     12      9     12     11     11      8
 
 
12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the New York City police are doing their job?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              62%    79%    58%    65%    65%    60%    78%    45%    53%
Disapprove           30     19     34     28     29     32     16     47     36
DK/NA                 7      2      8      7      6      8      6      8     11
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the New York City police are doing their job?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jan 16  May 23  Apr 11  Feb 28  Jan 17  Feb 7   Apr 20
                     2014    2013    2013    2013    2013    2002    2000
 
Approve              62      61      60      61      70      76      43
Disapprove           30      31      32      31      23      18      48
DK/NA                 7       8       8       7       7       6       9
 
 
13. Do you approve or disapprove of Mayor de Blasio's selection of Bill Bratton to be police commissioner?
                    Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              59%    61%    60%    57%    67%    52%    69%    52%    52%
Disapprove           13     14     14     14     14     13     11     18     16
DK/NA                28     25     26     29     19     35     20     30     32
 
 
14. Do you think Mayor de Blasio can reduce stop and frisk and still make New York City a safer place to live or will crime go up if he reduces stop and frisk?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes/Still safe       48%    24%    59%    38%    45%    51%    35%    66%    50%
No/Crime go up       40     68     28     53     44     37     54     22     35
DK/NA                12      8     13      9     11     13     11     12     15
 
 
15. Do you think Mayor de Blasio will make New York City's public schools better, worse, or will he have no effect on the public schools in New York City?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Better               57%    35%    67%    46%    51%    61%    41%    71%    69%
Worse                 8     17      5     12      9      7     13      2      6
No effect            21     29     17     26     29     15     29     16     15
DK/NA                14     19     11     17     11     16     16     10     11
 
 
16. Do you think under Mayor de Blasio, New York City will have more jobs, less jobs, or about the same number of jobs?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
More                 34%    18%    43%    22%    34%    34%    21%    41%    42%
Less                 11     25      4     19     15      8     19      4      4
Same                 45     49     45     46     44     46     49     42     47
DK/NA                10      8      8     13      8     12     11     12      6
 
 
17. Would you support or oppose increasing the New York City income tax on households who earn more than $500,000 per year?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Support              69%    33%    78%    69%    69%    69%    61%    77%    76%
Oppose               27     64     18     28     29     25     36     18     18
DK/NA                 4      3      4      3      2      6      3      5      6
 
 
18. Would you support or oppose increasing the New York City income tax on households who earn more than $500,000 per year if the money was used to fund pre-kindergarten education for all children in New York City?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Support              74%    44%    83%    68%    73%    74%    60%    86%    85%
Oppose               23     56     14     29     26     21     37      9     13
DK/NA                 3      -      3      3      1      4      2      5      3
 
 
19. Suppose pre-kindergarten education for all children in New York City could be funded without raising these taxes. Would you support or oppose increasing the New York City income tax on households who earn more than $500,000 if the money was used to fund things other than pre-kindergarten education for all New York City children?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Support              55%    30%    65%    49%    54%    56%    47%    56%    63%
Oppose               37     65     27     42     39     35     46     33     29
DK/NA                 8      5      8      8      6     10      7     12      9
 
 
20. How serious of a problem do you think income inequality is in New York City; very serious, somewhat serious, not so serious or not serious at all?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Very serious         58%    38%    64%    54%    55%    60%    43%    70%    63%
Smwht serious        25     25     26     24     23     26     31     22     23
Not so serious        9     26      5     11     13      7     15      3      9
Not serious at all    4      9      1      8      6      3      8      1      3
DK/NA                 3      1      3      2      3      3      4      4      1
 
 
21. Do you think the New York City government should or should not pursue policies that try to reduce the gap between wealthy and less well-off New Yorkers?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Should               66%    42%    78%    57%    68%    65%    51%    78%    81%
Should not           25     51     14     34     26     24     39     11     14
DK/NA                 9      7      8      9      6     11     10     11      4
 
 
22. Do you believe the problem of income inequality is better addressed by the New York City government or by the national government?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
NYC govt             32%    29%    37%    21%    31%    32%    27%    39%    34%
National govt        36     44     35     36     38     34     36     37     35
BOTH (VOL)           13      4     15     16     13     13     13     13     11
NEITHER (VOL)         9     14      3     18     11      9     17      3      1
DK/NA                10     10      9      9      8     12      8      8     19
 
 
23. In general, how big a role do you think a Mayor's spouse should have in shaping public policy a major role, a minor role, or no role?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Major role           27%    24%    31%    19%    23%    31%    14%    41%    43%
Minor role           36     32     38     36     39     34     35     36     33
No role              30     43     24     37     33     28     46     16     19
DK/NA                 7      1      7      8      5      8      6      7      5
 
 

Demographic Summary