February 4, 2004 - Bloomberg Bounces Back To Break-Even Approval, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Mayor's Vacations Are Nobody's Business, Voters Say
New York City voters split 44 - 45 percent in their approval of Mayor Michael Bloomberg, his best score since a 48 - 41 percent approval 12 months ago, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Mayor Bloomberg had a negative 37 - 51 percent approval rating in a November 25 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

New York City voters say 80 - 18 percent that the Mayor's vacation plans are a private matter and the public does not have a right to know where he's going. And 87 percent say they don't care that Bloomberg does not live in Gracie Mansion.

Only 20 percent of voters say Bloomberg is "warm and friendly," while 66 percent say he is "cold and businesslike." A total of 64 percent of New Yorkers say this matters to them "a lot" or "some." Another 32 percent say this matters "only a little" or "not at all."

"Mayor Bloomberg has climbed out of the cellar to just about even on the approval score. They still don't feel warm and cuddly about Mayor Mike, but New Yorkers say 4-1 that Bloomberg's vacation time is nobody's business but his own," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"The Mayor is looking better against possible 2005 Democratic challengers as he comes out of the locker room for the second half."

In an early look at next year's mayoral campaign, Fernando Ferrer beats the Mayor 46 - 39 percent in a one-on-one face-off. Among other possible challengers:
  • Bloomberg squeaks by Council Speaker Gifford Miller 39 - 37 percent;
  • The Mayor tops Comptroller William Thompson 40 - 36 percent;
  • Mark Green edges the Mayor 45 - 42 percent;
  • Bloomberg beats Council member Charles Barron 43 - 32 percent;
  • The Mayor tops U.S. Rep. Anthony Weiner 40 - 34 percent;
  • Bloomberg leads Assembly member Brian McLaughlin 40 - 34 percent.
Because Bloomberg is a registered Republican, 29 percent of New York City voters say they are less likely to vote for him, while 61 percent say this will make no difference in how they vote. And 23 percent of voters are less likely to vote for him if he spends his own money on his reelection campaign, while 72 percent say it won't make a difference.

Hosting the Republican National Convention is a good thing for the city, 67 percent of New Yorkers say, as 8 percent say it's bad for the city and 21 percent say it makes no difference. Even 62 percent of Democrats say the GOP Convention is good for New York.

"We're getting used to Mayor Bloomberg's style. Who cares if he's a Republican and spends millions of his own dollars to get reelected?" Carroll said.

"New Yorkers like having the Republican Convention here, but they're not so fond of the top Republican, President George W. Bush, who has a negative 31 - 64 percent approval rating in the Big Apple."

From January 25 to February 2, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,176 New York City registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania and nationwide as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu or call (203) 582-5201

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor?

                  App   Dis   DK/NA


Feb 4, 2004 44 45 11 Nov 25, 2003 37 51 13 Oct 22, 2003 42 47 12 Sep 9, 2003 38 52 11 Jul 2, 2003 31 60 8 May 7, 2003 32 56 12 Feb 26, 2003 48 41 11 Nov 21, 2002 41 46 13 Jul 18, 2002 57 23 19 Mar 27, 2002 62 16 22 Feb 6, 2002 65 6 29



TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York City today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?

                  Very  Smwht Smwht Very
                  sat   sat   dis   dis   DK/NA


Feb 4, 2004 8 47 27 18 1 Nov 25, 2003 5 40 30 24 1 Oct 22, 2003 8 43 31 18 1 Sep 9, 2003 5 37 32 25 2 Jul 2, 2003 7 23 32 38 1 May 7, 2003 3 30 34 31 2 Feb 28, 2003 6 43 32 17 2 Nov 21, 2002 5 39 34 20 2 Jul 18, 2002 9 55 24 9 3 Mar 28, 2002 15 56 19 7 2 Aug 2, 2000 20 46 22 11 1 Jun 15, 2000 20 46 22 10 2 Apr 19, 2000 18 45 20 17 1 Apr 8, 1999 16 47 25 12 1 Feb 17, 1999 17 46 22 14 1 Nov 18, 1998 23 51 17 8 1 Feb 11, 1998 18 58 18 5 1 Oct 29, 1997 12 58 19 10 1 Oct 1, 1997 15 53 22 9 1 Mar 27, 1997 11 54 22 12 1 Feb 11, 1997 11 54 24 11 1 Nov 19, 1996 8 53 25 13 1



1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor?

                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Approve 44% 48% 44% 44% 53% 35% 34% 47% 42% 37% Disapprove 45 42 46 44 38 54 53 44 46 52 DK/NA 11 10 10 12 9 11 13 9 12 11



2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president?

                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Approve 31% 77% 16% 34% 40% 13% 38% 36% 27% 29% Disapprove 64 19 80 59 55 81 56 60 66 67 DK/NA 5 4 4 6 4 6 6 4 7 4



3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ray Kelly is handling his job as Police Commissioner?

                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Approve 65% 71% 63% 68% 70% 56% 61% 68% 62% 65% Disapprove 16 13 17 16 9 27 23 16 17 17 DK/NA 19 16 20 16 21 16 16 17 21 18



4. Suppose the general election for mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Gifford Miller the Democrat, and Michael Bloomberg the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Miller 37% 17% 48% 28% 25% 50% 48% 34% 40% 45% Bloomberg 39 65 31 43 51 27 34 45 35 29 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 5 2 5 3 3 6 5 3 5 DK/NA 18 11 17 22 20 18 11 14 21 20



5. Suppose the general election for mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Fernando Ferrer the Democrat, and Michael Bloomberg the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Ferrer 46% 19% 57% 41% 28% 66% 61% 42% 49% 57% Bloomberg 39 67 31 40 55 23 29 44 35 28 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 2 1 2 - 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 5 2 3 2 1 4 3 3 3 DK/NA 11 8 9 14 13 8 6 9 12 12



6. Suppose the general election for mayor were being held today, and the candidates were William Thompson the Democrat, and Michael Bloomberg the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Thompson 36% 15% 46% 28% 21% 56% 41% 33% 39% 41% Bloomberg 40 63 33 45 52 25 38 46 36 34 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 2 1 3 1 1 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 5 3 4 3 2 7 4 4 4 DK/NA 18 15 18 20 22 14 13 16 20 19



7. Suppose the general election for mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Mark Green the Democrat, and Michael Bloomberg the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Green 45% 20% 56% 36% 30% 61% 53% 39% 50% 53% Bloomberg 42 67 32 47 57 25 34 48 37 34 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 5 3 4 3 3 6 5 3 4 DK/NA 8 7 8 10 9 8 5 7 9 8



8. Suppose the general election for mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Charles Barron the Democrat, and Michael Bloomberg the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Barron 32% 12% 39% 30% 17% 48% 45% 28% 35% 36% Bloomberg 43 68 38 42 55 32 37 50 38 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 6 2 4 3 2 6 4 4 4 DK/NA 19 12 19 24 23 16 11 17 22 21



9. Suppose the general election for mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Anthony Weiner the Democrat, and Michael Bloomberg the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Weiner 34% 19% 43% 26% 24% 41% 46% 31% 36% 35% Bloomberg 40 64 33 41 50 31 32 45 36 34 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 3 2 2 1 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 6 3 5 3 4 7 5 4 4 DK/NA 20 9 20 24 22 21 14 17 22 25



10. Suppose the general election for mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Brian McLaughlin the Democrat, and Michael Bloomberg the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


McLaughlin 34% 16% 42% 29% 22% 44% 47% 31% 37% 36% Bloomberg 40 65 33 41 50 30 35 46 35 33 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 2 1 3 2 1 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 5 3 4 3 3 5 5 3 4 DK/NA 20 13 19 24 23 19 12 18 22 24



11. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York City today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?

                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Very satisfied 8% 12% 7% 8% 11% 5% 9% 10% 7% 8% Smwht satisfied 47 59 44 48 57 33 39 50 43 44 Smwht dissatisfied 27 18 29 28 23 32 30 23 30 25 Very dissatisfied 18 11 19 16 8 29 21 15 20 21 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1



12. Would you say that Michael Bloomberg has strong leadership qualities or not?
                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Yes 60% 66% 58% 63% 66% 57% 57% 59% 61% 59% No 34 29 37 32 30 39 39 36 33 38 DK/NA 5 5 5 5 4 5 4 5 6 3



13. Would you say that Michael Bloomberg cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Yes 42% 56% 38% 44% 55% 28% 30% 47% 37% 33% No 51 37 55 51 38 65 61 48 54 63 DK/NA 7 6 7 5 6 6 8 5 9 5



14. Would you say that Michael Bloomberg is honest and trustworthy or not?

                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Yes 63% 75% 61% 66% 77% 49% 52% 70% 57% 61% No 28 21 29 29 19 36 38 24 31 29 DK/NA 9 4 11 6 4 15 10 6 11 10



15. Would you say that Michael Bloomberg is -- warm and friendly or cold and business like?

(second table - If "warm" or "cold") How much does this matter to you - a lot, some, only a little, or not at all?

                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Warm/Friendly 20% 21% 20% 19% 16% 22% 27% 19% 21% 16% Cold/Businesslike 66 67 69 66 71 67 62 69 64 73 DK/NA 13 12 11 15 13 11 11 12 14 10

Warm Cold Tot q15 q15

A lot 42% 46% 43% Some 22 29 22 Only a little 14 10 16 Not at all 18 11 18 DK/NA 4 3 1



17. Do you think the public has a right to know where the Mayor goes on vacation or on weekend trips, or is this a private matter?

                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Right to know 18% 16% 18% 17% 16% 15% 21% 19% 16% 19% Private matter 80 80 80 81 81 84 76 79 81 79 DK/NA 2 4 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2



18. As you may know, Mayor Bloomberg doesn't live in Gracie Mansion. Does this make you think more favorably of Mayor Bloomberg, less favorably of Mayor Bloomberg, or doesn't it make a difference?

                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


More fav 5% 7% 4% 5% 4% 4% 6% 5% 4% 4% Less fav 7 6 6 7 5 8 11 7 6 7 No difference 87 85 89 87 90 87 82 87 88 89 DK/NA 1 2 1 - 1 - 2 1 1 1



19. Mayor Bloomberg is registered as a Republican. Does this make you more likely to vote to re-elect Mayor Bloomberg, less likely to vote to re-elect Mayor Bloomberg or doesn't it make a difference?

                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


More likely 8% 32% 2% 6% 10% 3% 10% 11% 6% 5% Less likely 29 7 41 20 23 39 33 28 30 30 No difference 61 61 53 74 65 57 56 60 61 63 DK/NA 2 1 3 1 2 2 1 1 3 2



20. As you may know the 2004 Republican national convention will be held in New York City. Do you think this will be good for New York City, bad for New York City, or won't it make a difference?

                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Good 67% 83% 62% 72% 69% 67% 61% 71% 64% 66% Bad 8 2 11 6 10 5 7 9 8 9 No difference 21 13 24 19 17 25 26 18 24 20 DK/NA 4 2 3 3 3 3 6 3 4 5



21. Michael Bloomberg spent about 75 million dollars of his own money to run in the last campaign for Mayor. Suppose he spends about the same amount of his own money in the 2005 election campaign. Would that make you more likely to vote to re-elect Mayor Bloomberg, less likely to vote to re-elect Mayor Bloomberg, or wouldn't it make a difference?

                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


More likely 4% 12% 2% 3% 4% 3% 4% 5% 3% 3% Less likely 23 11 28 17 21 28 28 24 23 28 No difference 72 77 68 80 74 68 67 70 73 68 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1