February 26, 2003 - Bloomberg Would Lose Big To Unnamed Dem, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Approval Inches Up, But Many Say He Doesn't Care
By a 48 - 27 percent margin, New York City voters say they would vote for an unnamed Democratic candidate against Mayor Michael Bloomberg running for reelection, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Mayor Bloomberg's approval rating is 48 - 41 percent, up from his lowest-ever 41 - 46 percent in a November 21, 2002, poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe- ack) University.

Only 20 percent of voters see Bloomberg as liberal, while 36 percent say he is moderate and 33 percent say he is conservative. Bloomberg is "too liberal," 16 percent of New York City voters say, while 30 percent say he is "too conservative" and 42 percent say he is "about right."

"Mayor Bloomberg's job approval is creeping up out of the cellar, where we found it when the mayor was in the middle of raising taxes," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"But New Yorkers still go to their political roots and say they'd vote for the Democrat running against Bloomberg. That 'Billionaire Mayor' tag is sticking, as half of the voters don't think Mayor Mike cares about people like them. Most voters, however, say Bloomberg is a strong leader."

By a 57 - 38 percent margin, voters say Bloomberg has strong leadership qualities. But only 41 percent say he cares about their needs and problems, while 53 percent say he doesn't.

Bloomberg's approval ratings for handling key issues are:
  • Negative 35 - 54 percent for handling the city budget;
  • 47 - 41 percent for handling public schools;
  • Negative 32 - 59 percent for handling taxes;
  • 60 - 30 percent for handling crime.
Bloomberg has not been aggressive enough in seeking state financial help from Gov. George Pataki, 48 percent of New York City voters say, while 8 percent say he has been too aggressive and 35 percent say the Mayor's approach has been "about right."

"When chasing flies - or Albany dollars - should Mayor Bloomberg use honey or vinegar? Many New Yorkers say bring on the vinegar, although there is a hefty pro- honey faction," Carroll said.

With a 68 - 18 percent approval rating, Police Commissioner Ray Kelly has the highest score of any city-wide official measured. Approval ratings for other officials are:
  • 35 - 13 percent, with 52 percent undecided, for Comptroller William Thompson;
  • 34 - 17 percent, with 49 percent for Public Advocate Betsy Gotbaum;
  • 46 - 27 percent, with 28 percent undecided, for Schools Chancellor Joel Klein.
From February 19 - 24, Quinnipiac University surveyed 889 New York City registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania and nationwide as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu or call (203) 582-5201

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor?
                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Approve 48% 58% 44% 50% 60% 35% 38% 54% 43% 45% Disapprove 41 34 45 38 30 50 53 36 45 45 DK/NA 11 8 11 12 11 15 9 10 12 10



4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joel Klein is handling his job as New York City Schools Chancellor?
                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Approve 46% 51% 45% 46% 49% 46% 42% 49% 43% 46% Disapprove 27 20 27 28 18 35 34 23 29 30 DK/NA 28 29 27 26 32 19 24 27 28 24



5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ray Kelly is handling his job as Police Commissioner?
                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Approve 68% 83% 65% 70% 76% 60% 60% 72% 65% 69% Disapprove 18 10 20 18 10 25 29 17 19 17 DK/NA 14 7 15 12 14 14 11 11 16 14



6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way William Thompson is handling his job as City Comptroller?
                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Approve 35% 32% 39% 30% 29% 47% 32% 33% 36% 39% Disapprove 13 16 12 17 10 13 21 14 13 16 DK/NA 52 52 50 54 61 40 47 53 51 45



7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Betsy Gotbaum is handling her job as Public Advocate?
                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Approve 34% 28% 38% 30% 37% 38% 31% 32% 36% 35% Disapprove 17 22 13 21 14 16 22 20 14 17 DK/NA 49 50 48 49 50 46 47 48 50 48



8. If Michael Bloomberg runs for re-election in 2005, in general are you more likely to vote for Bloomberg or for the Democratic party's candidate for Mayor?

                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Bloomberg 27% 54% 19% 28% 36% 17% 20% 33% 22% 25% Democrat 48 21 64 33 36 64 60 42 53 49

OTHER(VOL) 5 8 1 7 5 3 7 5 4 4 DK/NA 20 17 16 31 24 16 13 20 21 22



9. Do you think of Michael Bloomberg more as a liberal, moderate, or conservative?

                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Liberal 20% 33% 20% 13% 20% 25% 17% 22% 19% 20% Moderate 36 36 34 45 49 25 23 43 31 38 Conservative 33 23 36 32 24 36 45 25 39 33 DK/NA 11 8 10 9 7 14 15 10 12 8



10. Do you think Michael Bloomberg is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Too liberal 16% 32% 13% 14% 15% 20% 17% 18% 15% 16% Too conservative 30 14 35 30 24 34 34 27 32 29 About right 42 42 40 46 51 32 36 45 40 44 DK/NA 12 12 12 10 10 14 13 11 14 12



11. Would you say that Michael Bloomberg has strong leadership qualities or not?

                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Yes 57% 63% 55% 57% 65% 51% 46% 57% 57% 54% No 38 35 40 36 30 45 51 38 37 39 DK/NA 5 2 5 7 6 4 3 5 6 7



12. Would you say that Michael Bloomberg cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Yes 41% 48% 37% 46% 55% 28% 27% 48% 35% 37% No 53 47 58 47 39 66 66 46 59 57 DK/NA 6 6 5 6 6 5 7 6 6 6



13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling the city budget?
                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Approve 35% 34% 34% 38% 44% 27% 22% 42% 31% 35% Disapprove 54 53 57 53 41 66 73 51 57 59 DK/NA 10 13 9 9 15 7 6 7 13 6



14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling the public schools?
                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Approve 47% 57% 45% 46% 58% 35% 36% 55% 40% 45% Disapprove 41 31 46 39 26 57 57 35 46 43 DK/NA 12 13 9 15 16 9 7 9 14 11



15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling taxes?

                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Approve 32% 35% 29% 39% 40% 27% 22% 38% 28% 26% Disapprove 59 60 63 54 50 64 74 57 61 66 DK/NA 8 6 7 8 10 8 5 6 10 8



16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling crime?

                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Approve 60% 67% 57% 67% 67% 56% 49% 65% 56% 61% Disapprove 30 27 32 26 22 34 43 28 31 30 DK/NA 10 6 11 8 12 10 9 7 13 9



31. Thinking about Mayor Bloomberg's approach to seeking state financial help for New York City, do you think Mayor Bloomberg has been too aggressive in his approach to Governor Pataki, not aggressive enough, or about right?

                                                                          Union
                    Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Too aggressive 8% 7% 9% 7% 3% 8% 18% 6% 9% 9% Not aggressive enough 48 44 51 42 49 53 42 50 47 51 About right 35 45 32 36 38 30 34 38 33 30 DK/NA 9 4 8 15 10 10 7 6 12 10