October 22, 2003 - Bloomberg Scores Are Bad But Getting Better, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; New Yorkers Don't Want To Recall Their Mayor
New York City voters give Mayor Michael Bloomberg a negative 42 - 47 percent approval rating and say almost 3 -1 that they don't want him reelected, but his approval rating is getting better and two-thirds of voters don't want to recall him, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Mayor Bloomberg's approval is an improvement on his negative 38 - 52 percent score in a September 9 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, and a big jump from his negative 31 - 60 percent approval in a July 2 poll.

White voters approve 52 - 38 percent of the job Bloomberg is doing, while black voters disapprove 58 - 32 percent and Hispanic voters disapprove 50 - 36 percent.

"Little by little, Mayor Bloomberg is climbing out of the basement, from a negative 29 points, to a negative 14 points to a negative 5 points. If the Yankees win and taxes don't go up again, Bloomberg could get back to plus ratings this year," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

Only 21 percent of New York City voters want Bloomberg reelected in 2005, while 57 percent want a new mayor elected.

But only 27 percent would vote to recall the mayor, while 68 percent oppose recall. By a lukewarm 49 - 46 percent, New Yorkers would like to have a recall provision similar to that in California.

"New Yorkers don't want to re-elect Mayor Bloomberg, at least not now, but they're willing to finish the dance before they choose a new partner," Carroll said.

Bloomberg gets a positive 61 - 28 percent approval for handling crime and a 59 - 36 percent approval for the smoking ban. But he gets negative scores on other issues:
  • 36 - 51 percent for the city budget;
  • 36 - 49 percent for public schools;
  • 28 - 61 percent for taxes.
New Yorkers support the ban on smoking in bars and restaurants 62 - 35 percent.

By a 53 - 28 percent margin, New York City voters say Bloomberg has not made substantial progress in improving public schools. Only 14 percent are satisfied with the quality of public schools in the city and 30 percent are satisfied with schools in their own neighborhood.

"Those school satisfaction numbers haven't moved in years. New Yorkers don't think the Mayor has made much progress in improving education. He has time to redeem his pledge to improve the schools-but not a lot of time," Carroll said.

From October 16 - 20, Quinnipiac University surveyed 887 New York City registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania and nationwide as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu or call (203) 582-5201
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor?

                  App   Dis   DK/NA


Oct 22, 2003 42% 47% 12% Sep 9, 2003 38 52 11 Jul 2, 2003 31 60 8 May 7, 2003 32 56 12 Feb 26, 2003 48 41 11 Nov 21, 2002 41 46 13 Jul 18, 2002 57 23 19 Mar 27, 2002 62 16 22 Feb 6, 2002 65 6 29



TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York City today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?

                  Very  Smwht Smwht Very
                  sat   sat   dis   dis   DK/NA


Oct 22, 2003 8% 43% 31% 18% 1 Sep 9, 2003 5 37 32 25 2 Jul 2, 2003 7 23 32 38 1 May 7, 2003 3 30 34 31 2 Feb 28, 2003 6 43 32 17 2 Nov 21, 2002 5 39 34 20 2 Jul 18, 2002 9 55 24 9 3 Mar 28, 2002 15 56 19 7 2 Aug 2, 2000 20 46 22 11 1 Jun 15, 2000 20 46 22 10 2 Apr 19, 2000 18 45 20 17 1 Apr 8, 1999 16 47 25 12 1 Feb 17, 1999 17 46 22 14 1 Nov 18, 1998 23 51 17 8 1 Feb 11, 1998 18 58 18 5 1 Oct 29, 1997 12 58 19 10 1 Oct 1, 1997 15 53 22 9 1 Mar 27, 1997 11 54 22 12 1 Feb 11, 1997 11 54 24 11 1 Nov 19, 1996 8 53 25 13 1



TREND: Are you generally satisfied with the quality of the public schools in New York City, or are you not satisfied?

                        Not
                  Sat   sat   DK/NA


Oct 21, 2003 14% 72% 14% Jul 18, 2002 16 71 13 Mar 27, 2002 12 78 10 Mar 1, 2001 14 75 11 Jun 15, 2000 15 70 15 Apr 20, 2000 12 79 9 May 19, 1999 18 70 12 Feb 18, 1999 14 76 11 Mar 31, 1997 12 77 11 Nov 20, 1996 13 76 11



TREND: Are you generally satisfied with the quality of public schools in your neighborhood, or are you not satisfied?

                        Not
                  Sat   sat   DK/NA


Oct 21, 2003 30% 52% 18% Jul 18, 2002 33 50 17 Mar 27, 2002 39 42 19 Feb 6, 2001 40 42 17 Mar 1, 2001 40 41 19 Jun 15, 2000 35 45 20 Apr 20, 2000 37 45 18 May 19, 1999 36 47 16 Feb 18, 1999 30 56 14 Mar 31, 1997 41 40 19 Nov 20, 1996 40 40 20



1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor?

                                                                        Union
                  Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Approve 42% 53% 38% 47% 52% 32% 36% 43% 41% 34% Disapprove 47 37 51 42 38 58 50 47 46 54 DK/NA 12 11 12 11 10 10 13 10 13 11



2. Michael Bloomberg will be up for re-election in 2005. Would you like to see Michael Bloomberg re-elected Mayor, or would you rather see someone else elected Mayor?

                                                                        Union
                  Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Bloomberg 21% 36% 17% 26% 29% 14% 16% 22% 20% 14% Someone else 57 38 65 49 45 71 66 55 58 61 DK/NA 22 26 18 25 26 15 18 23 22 25



5. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York City today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?

                                                                        Union
                  Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Very satisfied 8% 12% 7% 9% 8% 7% 9% 9% 7% 6% Smwht satisfied 43 54 41 44 49 37 42 45 41 43 Smwht dissatisfied 31 19 32 31 29 30 29 29 32 32 Very dissatisfied 18 14 18 15 12 27 19 17 19 19 DK/NA 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 -



6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling -- the city budget?

                                                                        Union
                  Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Approve 36% 48% 32% 39% 45% 24% 31% 39% 33% 31% Disapprove 51 39 55 47 41 64 55 49 53 53 DK/NA 13 13 13 15 14 12 14 12 15 15



7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling -- the public schools?

                                                                        Union
                  Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Approve 36% 52% 33% 36% 43% 32% 36% 39% 34% 32% Disapprove 49 38 52 48 40 55 52 48 51 58 DK/NA 14 10 15 16 17 13 11 13 15 10



8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling -- taxes?

                                                                        Union
                  Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Approve 28% 35% 26% 29% 36% 19% 23% 30% 26% 25% Disapprove 61 58 62 59 53 68 67 60 62 64 DK/NA 11 6 12 12 11 13 10 10 13 10



9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling -- crime?

                                                                        Union
                  Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Approve 61% 67% 61% 67% 68% 55% 53% 65% 58% 59% Disapprove 28 26 29 24 20 36 38 26 31 29 DK/NA 11 7 11 10 12 9 9 9 12 12



10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling -- the ban on smoking in restaurants and bars?

                                                                        Union
                  Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Approve 59% 56% 62% 52% 56% 55% 63% 55% 62% 55% Disapprove 36 40 32 45 38 41 33 41 32 40 DK/NA 5 4 6 4 5 5 4 5 6 5



11. Are you generally satisfied with the quality of the public schools in New York City, or are you not satisfied?

                                                                        Union
                  Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Satisfied 14% 18% 13% 12% 10% 14% 20% 13% 15% 14% Not satisfied 72 65 73 73 69 79 70 74 70 78 DK/NA 14 17 14 15 21 6 9 12 15 8



12. Are you generally satisfied with the quality of the public schools in your neighborhood, or are you not satisfied?

                                                                        Union
                  Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Satisfied 30% 45% 27% 30% 32% 19% 36% 30% 30% 30% Not satisfied 52 34 55 53 41 70 55 54 51 59 DK/NA 18 21 18 17 26 11 9 16 19 12



13. Do you think Mayor Bloomberg has made substantial progress or not in improving the quality of education in the public schools in New York City?

                                                                        Union
                  Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Yes/Made progress 28% 37% 26% 29% 29% 31% 33% 28% 29% 23% No/No progress 53 47 54 54 51 54 51 57 50 60 DK/NA 18 16 21 16 21 15 16 16 21 17



21. Do you think that New York City should or should not have a recall provision, where people can vote to remove an elected official from office, such as has happened in California?

                                                                        Union
                  Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Yes 49% 47% 47% 51% 35% 56% 64% 48% 50% 48% No 46 50 48 45 61 38 31 49 43 46 DK/NA 5 3 5 5 5 6 6 3 7 6



22. If you had the chance, would you vote to recall Mayor Bloomberg?

                                                                        Union
                  Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Yes 27% 23% 29% 23% 14% 36% 41% 28% 26% 29% No 68 72 67 73 84 56 54 68 67 65 DK/NA 5 5 4 4 3 8 5 4 7 7



23. Have you, yourself, smoked any cigarettes in the past week?

                                                                        Union
                  Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Yes 20% 20% 20% 24% 18% 23% 24% 23% 18% 23% No 79 80 80 76 82 76 76 76 82 77 DK/NA - - - - - 1 - - - -



24. Recently, New York City enacted a law banning smoking in bars and restaurants. Do you support or oppose this law?

                                                                        Union
                  Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom   HsHold


Support 62% 57% 67% 52% 58% 58% 62% 57% 65% 62% Oppose 35 39 29 45 37 39 35 40 31 36 DK/NA 3 4 4 3 4 2 3 3 4 2

Smokers Q23 Support 32% Oppose 66 DK/NA 2