August 26, 2004 - New Yorkers Split On Mike, Give Bush Bronx Cheer, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Most Back Peaceful Protests, But Will Be Good Hosts
New York City voters give Mayor Michael Bloomberg a split 44 - 42 percent job approval rating, but disapprove of President George W. Bush 70 - 25 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

By a 66 - 30 percent margin, New Yorkers think the Republican Convention and protests associated with the convention will cause a major disruption in the city, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.

But voters say 77 - 15 percent that New Yorkers will be good hosts and only 10 percent are planning to leave the city during the convention.

When asked if different words describe their feelings about the convention:
  • 25 percent of New York City voters say they are proud;
  • 50 percent (60 percent of women and 38 percent of men) say they are worried;
  • 47 percent say they are uninterested;
  • 41 percent say they are annoyed;
  • 14 percent say they are excited.
"Republican Mayor Mike is doing OK, but New Yorkers don't approve of President Bush and they aren't very excited about a Republican Convention in this Democratic bastion. Politics aside, they expect their fellow New Yorkers to mind their manners and be good hosts," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

New York City voters split three-ways, with 30 percent saying the convention will be good for the city, 33 percent saying it will be bad for the city and 33 percent saying it won't make a difference.

In other opinions about the convention:
  • 71 percent of city voters say demonstrators should be allowed in Central Park;
  • 81 percent approve of lawful demonstrations during the convention;
  • 68 percent approve of non-violent civil disobedience;
  • 95 percent disapprove of violent demonstrations, while 4 percent approve;
  • 50 percent disapprove of the FBI questioning people who plan to demonstrate, while 44 percent approve.
"The city is rolling out the red carpet for the Republican delegates, but most New Yorkers would roll out the green carpet of Central Park for the anti-Republican demonstrators," Carroll said. "Lawful demonstrations - even non-violent civil disobedience - are a time-honored New York tradition and still widely supported. But 19 out of 20 New Yorkers draw the line at violence."

While 11 percent of New Yorkers plan to participate in a demonstration, 23 percent plan to take advantage of special discounts, announced by Mayor Bloomberg, on meals, shows and attractions.

"Sure, some New Yorkers are saying, 'To the barricades!'

"But twice as many are saying, 'Make a reservation!'" Carroll said.

Voters say 49 - 41 percent that New York City "is adequately prepared to deal with a major terrorist attack during the Republican Convention."

A total of 31 percent say such an attack is "very likely" or "somewhat likely," while 62 percent say an attack is "not very likely" or "not likely at all."

From August 20 - 24, Quinnipiac University surveyed 822 New York City registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida and nationwide as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu or call (203) 582-5201

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor?

                        App   Dis   DK/NA


Aug 26, 2004 44 42 14 Jul 20, 2004 49 39 12 Jun 9, 2004 50 38 12 Mar 31, 2004 47 41 12 Feb 4, 2004 44 45 11 Nov 25, 2003 37 51 13 Oct 22, 2003 42 47 12 Sep 9, 2003 38 52 11 Jul 2, 2003 31 60 8 May 7, 2003 32 56 12 Feb 26, 2003 48 41 11 Nov 21, 2002 41 46 13 Jul 18, 2002 57 23 19 Mar 27, 2002 62 16 22 Feb 6, 2002 65 6 29



TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?

                        App   Dis   DK/NA


Aug 26, 2004 25 70 5 Jul 20, 2004 24 72 4 Jun 10, 2004 24 72 5 Feb 4, 2004 31 64 5 Nov 25, 2003 31 64 5 Sep 10, 2003 30 64 6 May 7, 2003 44 50 6 Mar 28, 2002 64 28 8 Feb 6, 2002 68 23 9



TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ray Kelly is handling his job as Police Commissioner?

                        App   Dis   DK/NA


Aug 26, 2004 63 17 20 Jul 20, 2004 61 21 18 Jun 9, 2004 67 16 17 Mar 31, 2004 67 16 17 Feb 4&5, 2004 65 16 19 Nov 25, 2003 69 15 16 Jul 3, 2003 63 24 13 May 7, 2003 68 15 17 Feb 26, 2003 68 18 14



1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Approve 44% 65% 38% 47% 52% 37% 33% 48% 41% Disapprove 42 25 47 39 36 46 53 39 45 DK/NA 14 10 15 14 12 17 14 14 15

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl

Approve 35% 41% 58% 39% 48% Disapprove 49 48 29 42 39 DK/NA 16 11 13 19 13



2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Approve 25% 83% 10% 23% 34% 18% 16% 30% 21% Disapprove 70 12 86 70 63 75 78 66 73 DK/NA 5 4 4 6 3 7 5 4 6

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl

Approve 24% 27% 17% 23% 55% Disapprove 73 69 80 68 39 DK/NA 3 4 3 8 6



3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ray Kelly is handling his job as Police Commissioner?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Approve 63% 75% 57% 67% 71% 60% 54% 68% 59% Disapprove 17 12 18 18 10 22 25 16 18 DK/NA 20 13 25 15 19 18 21 16 23

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl

Approve 58% 62% 63% 63% 74% Disapprove 28 15 14 17 14 DK/NA 14 23 23 19 12



4. As you may know the 2004 Republican national convention will be held in New York City. Do you think this will be good for New York City, bad for New York City, or won't it make a difference?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Good 30% 44% 27% 28% 28% 32% 33% 33% 27% Bad 33 20 38 32 37 29 32 28 38 No difference 33 29 31 35 30 36 34 35 31 DK/NA 4 7 3 4 5 4 - 4 5

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl

Good 32% 32% 22% 30% 38% Bad 24 30 45 32 28 No difference 39 33 29 32 33 DK/NA 5 4 4 5 1



5. Do any of the following describe your own personal feelings about the Republican convention being held in New York City? a. Would you say you feel proud about the Republican convention being held in New York City?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Yes 25% 60% 18% 21% 25% 21% 29% 29% 22% No 70 37 79 74 73 73 63 68 73 DK/NA 4 3 3 5 2 7 8 3 5

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl

Yes 25% 25% 16% 30% 41% No 64 70 82 67 56 DK/NA 11 5 2 2 3



5b. Would you say you feel worried about the Republican convention being held in New York City?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Yes 50% 33% 59% 46% 49% 47% 58% 38% 60% No 49 66 41 54 50 52 40 61 39 DK/NA 1 2 1 - 1 1 2 1 1

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl

Yes 52% 55% 51% 44% 42% No 46 44 48 55 56 DK/NA 1 1 2 1 2



5c. Would you say you feel annoyed about the Republican convention being held in New York City?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Yes 41% 18% 49% 41% 44% 30% 46% 38% 43% No 57 80 50 57 54 68 51 61 55 DK/NA 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 2

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl

Yes 30% 44% 57% 35% 22% No 67 54 42 65 76 DK/NA 3 2 1 - 2



5d. Would you say you feel excited about the Republican convention being held in New York City?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Yes 14% 40% 10% 11% 14% 15% 15% 17% 12% No 84 58 89 89 84 83 83 82 86 DK/NA 1 2 1 - 1 2 2 1 2

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl

Yes 11% 17% 10% 15% 22% No 87 82 87 85 76 DK/NA 2 1 2 1 2



5e. Would you say you feel uninterested about the Republican convention being held in New York City?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Yes 47% 32% 51% 45% 37% 53% 55% 47% 46% No 49 64 46 50 59 41 43 48 51 DK/NA 4 4 3 4 3 5 2 5 3

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl

Yes 56% 43% 44% 49% 41% No 36 52 55 47 55 DK/NA 8 4 1 4 4



6. Do you think that the Republican convention and the protests associated with the convention will or will not cause a major disruption to the routine business of the city?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Yes/Will 66% 56% 73% 63% 65% 64% 67% 59% 72% No/Will not 30 42 24 33 30 33 29 38 24 DK/NA 4 3 4 4 5 3 3 3 4

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl

Yes/Will 68% 69% 70% 59% 59% No/Will not 28 25 28 38 38 DK/NA 4 6 2 3 3



7. Do you think New Yorkers will be good hosts during the Republican convention?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Yes/Will 77% 88% 73% 79% 87% 72% 69% 79% 76% No/Will not 15 6 19 15 9 17 25 14 17 DK/NA 7 5 9 6 4 11 6 7 8

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl

Yes/Will 76% 75% 79% 78% 81% No/Will not 17 16 16 13 12 DK/NA 7 9 5 9 7



8. Do you expect that the Republican convention will disrupt your daily routine or not? IF YES: Would you say A lot, or only a little?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Yes/A lot 24% 14% 28% 24% 19% 23% 32% 21% 27% Yes/Only a little 14 8 17 15 15 9 20 15 13 No 60 77 53 60 65 67 46 63 58 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 - 1

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl

Yes/A lot 21% 23% 32% 21% 24% Yes/Only a little 14 14 18 15 2 No 63 62 49 63 73 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1



9. Do you think that New York City hosting the Republican national convention will help or hurt its chances of being selected as the site for the 2012 Olympics?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Help 42% 59% 40% 43% 35% 54% 51% 46% 40% Hurt 16 7 19 14 14 15 20 14 17 DK/NA 42 34 41 43 51 31 29 41 43

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl

Help 52% 37% 33% 48% 55% Hurt 18 16 19 13 7 DK/NA 30 47 48 38 38



10. Are you planning on leaving New York City as a result of the Republican convention being held in New York City?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Yes 10% 8% 10% 12% 12% 9% 4% 9% 10% No 87 87 86 85 83 89 94 88 86 AWAY ANYWAY(VOL) 3 5 3 2 4 1 1 3 3 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 1 - 1 - 1

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl

Yes 7% 7% 16% 9% 8% No 92 90 77 89 89 AWAY ANYWAY(VOL) 1 2 5 2 2 DK/NA - 1 1 - -



11. Have you heard or read about any special discount programs involving restaurants, Broadway shows, and other attractions during the Republican convention?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Yes 48% 47% 45% 51% 54% 39% 41% 48% 47% No 52 52 54 49 45 59 59 52 52 DK/NA 1 1 1 - 1 1 - - 1

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl

Yes 38% 49% 58% 45% 39% No 62 50 42 55 61 DK/NA 1 2 - - -



12. Do you think you will take advantage of any of these discount programs?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Yes 23% 33% 19% 25% 14% 27% 29% 25% 21% No 72 61 77 70 80 68 67 69 75 DK/NA 5 6 4 5 6 5 4 6 4

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl

Yes 30% 21% 15% 28% 17% No 66 73 78 66 79 DK/NA 4 6 6 5 4



13. Do you plan to participate in any demonstrations involving the Republican convention?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Yes 11% 3% 11% 12% 13% 10% 9% 11% 10% No 87 97 86 86 86 89 89 87 88 DK/NA 2 - 3 2 2 2 2 2 2

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl

Yes 7% 11% 15% 10% 5% No 91 85 83 89 95 DK/NA 2 4 2 1 -



14. When the Republican convention comes to New York, do you think the city should or should not allow protestors to demonstrate in Central Park?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Should 71% 52% 76% 75% 66% 76% 71% 75% 67% Should not 24 45 19 20 28 18 25 21 26 DK/NA 5 3 5 5 6 6 4 4 6

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl

Should 72% 68% 71% 77% 59% Should not 23 26 23 19 39 DK/NA 5 6 7 4 2



15. Do you approve or disapprove of lawful demonstrations during the Republican convention?
                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Approve 81% 73% 79% 90% 87% 77% 70% 86% 77% Disapprove 15 25 16 8 11 18 23 12 17 DK/NA 4 2 5 1 2 6 7 2 6

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl

Approve 80% 78% 80% 88% 76% Disapprove 15 17 14 11 24 DK/NA 5 5 7 1 -



16. Do you approve or disapprove of non-violent civil disobedience during the Republican convention?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Approve 68% 47% 72% 75% 64% 77% 67% 70% 66% Disapprove 27 51 23 22 31 19 27 26 27 DK/NA 5 2 5 3 5 4 6 3 6

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl

Approve 66% 72% 70% 66% 61% Disapprove 26 23 25 30 38 DK/NA 8 5 5 4 1



17. Do you approve or disapprove of violent demonstrations during the Republican convention?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Approve 4% 1% 4% 5% 4% 2% 6% 4% 4% Disapprove 95 99 95 94 95 97 92 95 95 DK/NA 1 - 1 - 1 2 2 1 1

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl

Approve 4% 4% 6% 2% 3% Disapprove 95 95 92 97 97 DK/NA 1 1 2 - -



18. Do you approve or disapprove of the FBI questioning people who plan to demonstrate?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Approve 44% 71% 40% 35% 46% 40% 50% 44% 44% Disapprove 50 26 55 59 47 54 45 51 49 DK/NA 6 3 6 6 7 5 6 6 7

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl

Approve 45% 43% 35% 44% 73% Disapprove 48 50 58 49 27 DK/NA 6 7 7 7 -



19. How likely do you think it is that there will be a terrorist attack in New York City when the Republican party holds its convention there? -- Very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not likely at all?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Very likely 6% 6% 8% 4% 3% 8% 10% 5% 7% Smwht likely 25 18 31 20 23 31 32 19 30 Not very likely 35 38 30 41 39 28 27 35 34 Not likely at all 27 36 23 29 26 24 27 36 20 DK/NA 7 3 7 7 9 8 4 5 9

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl

Very likely 5% 7% 7% 7% 2% Smwht likely 31 23 23 25 31 Not very likely 27 35 38 35 36 Not likely at all 28 29 23 28 23 DK/NA 8 6 9 6 7



20. Do you think that New York City is adequately prepared to deal with a major terrorist attack during the Republican convention, or not?

                        Tot   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Hisp  Men   Wom


Yes 49% 66% 47% 43% 53% 48% 46% 52% 47% No 41 24 45 46 38 47 41 38 44 DK/NA 10 10 8 10 10 5 13 10 9

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl

Yes 50% 51% 41% 50% 61% No 40 42 48 40 26 DK/NA 10 8 11 10 12