January 31, 2001 - Sharpton Would Have Impact In Dem Mayoral Primary, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Green, Ferrer Would Lose Support To Sharpton
Public Advocate Mark Green has a 10-point lead over his nearest rivals among Democratic primary voters in the race for New York City mayor, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. But Green loses support when Rev. Al Sharpton is added to the mix.

Green gets 27 percent of registered Democrats, followed by 17 percent each for Bronx Borough President Fernando Ferrer and City Council Speaker Peter Vallone, 10 percent for Comptroller Alan Hevesi and 23 percent are undecided.

With Sharpton in the race, Green gets 22 percent, followed by 16 percent for Vallone, 15 percent for Sharpton, 14 percent for Ferrer, 10 percent for Hevesi and 20 percent are undecided.

From January 23 - 29, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,007 New York City registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percent. The survey includes 647 registered Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 3.9 percent.

"Put the Rev. Al Sharpton into the Democratic mayoral mix, and he's on a par with the four other guys," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"If -- as most political observers suspect -- Sharpton opts out of the Democratic primary, Green holds the lead among those who feel they know how they'll vote. It's a fluid situation, with just under eight months before the primary, and one in five New York City voters is not ready yet to pick a favorite," Carroll added.

By a 40 - 35 percent margin, New York City voters have a favorable opinion of the Mayor, with 23 percent mixed and 1 percent saying they don't know enough to form an opinion. Favorability ratings for possible mayoral candidates are:
                   Favorable    Unfavorable    Mixed     No Opinion

Ferrer                40%            8%         17%         34%
Green                 50            11          17          22
Hevesi                37             7          18          37
Vallone               42             8          23          27
Sharpton              21            46          29           3
Michael Bloomberg     13             5          10          70
Herman Badillo        21            12          19          46
John Ravitz            4             2           6          86



"Green, Ferrer and Vallone all have edged up on the recognition scale since a November 21, 2000, poll by the independent Quinnipiac University, while Hevesi hasn't moved," Carroll said. "Sharpton is the best known player in the field, but the most widely disliked.

"On the Republican side, voters know little about the candidates. City University Chancellor Herman Badillo is the best known Republican, while media-owner Michael Bloomberg and Assemblyman John Ravitz barely register on the recognition scale."

White voters give Sharpton a big negative 7 - 64 percent favorability, while black voters favor him 50 - 16 percent and Hispanic voters give him a negative 17 - 41 percent favorability.

Badillo gets a mixed 21 - 19 percent favorability among Hispanic voters, while Ferrer gets a 55 - 4 favorability among Hispanics.

Mayor Giuliani's job approval rating is 51 - 38 percent, down slightly from his 55 - 37 percent approval November 21.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu or call (203) 582-5201

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rudolph Giuliani is handling his job as Mayor?
                        Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Men     Wom


Approve 51% 62% 29% 52% 57% 48%

Disapprove 38 28 60 35 35 40

DK/NA 11 10 10 13 9 12



2. Is your opinion of Chairman of the City University of New York Herman Badillo favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Men     Wom


Favorable 21% 23% 20% 21% 26% 18%

Unfavorable 12 8 17 19 12 13

Mixed 19 21 15 18 19 20

Hvn't hrd enough 46 47 49 40 43 49

REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 1



3. Is your opinion of media company owner Michael Bloomberg favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Men     Wom


Favorable 13% 16% 9% 12% 17% 11%

Unfavorable 5 5 4 3 7 3

Mixed 10 11 13 6 13 9

Hvn't hrd enough 70 66 73 79 62 76

REFUSED 1 2 - - 1 1



4. Is your opinion of Assemblyman John Ravitz favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Men     Wom


Favorable 4% 4% 5% 3% 7% 3%

Unfavorable 2 2 2 1 3 2

Mixed 6 6 5 8 5 7

Hvn't hrd enough 86 86 86 88 85 87

REFUSED 1 1 1 - 1 1



5. Is your opinion of Mayor Rudolph Giuliani favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Men     Wom


Favorable 40% 52% 17% 41% 45% 37%

Unfavorable 35 24 56 36 30 38

Mixed 23 23 25 21 24 23

Hvn't hrd enough 1 1 2 1 - 2

REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1



6. Is your opinion of Reverend Al Sharpton favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Men     Wom


Favorable 21% 7% 50% 17% 22% 20%

Unfavorable 46 64 16 41 50 43

Mixed 29 26 30 32 24 33

Hvn't hrd enough 3 2 3 7 3 4

REFUSED 1 1 - 2 2 1



7. Is your opinion of Bronx Borough President Fernando Ferrer favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Men     Wom


Favorable 40% 34% 43% 55% 39% 41%

Unfavorable 8 10 8 4 11 6

Mixed 17 15 19 16 18 16

Hvn't hrd enough 34 39 30 24 32 36

REFUSED 1 1 - 1 - 1



8. Is your opinion of City Controller Alan Hevesi favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Men     Wom


Favorable 37% 42% 38% 28% 39% 36%

Unfavorable 7 8 5 5 8 6

Mixed 18 18 18 16 17 19

Hvn't hrd enough 37 32 39 49 35 39

REFUSED 1 1 - 2 1 1



9. Is your opinion of Public Advocate Mark Green favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Men     Wom


Favorable 50% 49% 59% 42% 49% 51%

Unfavorable 11 15 5 6 16 7

Mixed 17 19 14 16 15 19

Hvn't hrd enough 22 17 21 35 20 23

REFUSED - 1 - 1 - 0



10. Is your opinion of City Council Speaker Peter Vallone favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Men     Wom


Favorable 42% 46% 45% 32% 43% 41%

Unfavorable 8 9 5 5 11 5

Mixed 23 24 22 23 22 24

Hvn't hrd enough 27 21 28 40 24 29 REFUSED - - - 1 - 1



11. (Registered Democrats) If the Democratic Primary for New York City Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Fernando Ferrer, Peter Vallone, Mark Green and Alan Hevesi for whom would you vote?

                        Registered Democrats ......................


Tot Wht Blk Hisp Men Wom

Ferrer 17% 10% 13% 44% 18% 16% Vallone 17 20 17 9 17 17 Green 27 26 32 21 26 28 Hevesi 10 16 7 4 12 9

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 3 1 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 2 5 2 3 4 DK/NA 23 23 24 19 21 24



12. (Registered Democrats) If the Democratic Primary for New York City Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Fernando Ferrer, Peter Vallone, Mark Green, Alan Hevesi and Al Sharpton for whom would you vote?

                        Registered Democrats ......................


Tot Wht Blk Hisp Men Wom

Ferrer 14% 9% 5% 40% 14% 14% Vallone 16 22 12 9 18 14 Green 22 25 20 21 22 23 Hevesi 10 16 6 4 12 9 Sharpton 15 2 34 7 13 16

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 2 1 3 2 DK/NA 20 22 19 17 17 22