February 28, 2001 - Green On Top In Any Democratic Mayoral Runoff, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; New Yorkers Applaud Clinton Move To Harlem
Public Advocate Mark Green leads the four-way race for the New York City Democratic mayoral primary and is ahead in any possible face-to-face mayoral primary runoff, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

In the Democratic primary, Green gets 31 percent, followed by 19 percent for Bronx Borough President Fernando Ferrer, 11 percent for City Council Speaker Peter Vallone, 9 percent for Comptroller Alan Hevesi and 27 percent undecided.

If no candidate gets 40 percent of the primary vote, forcing a runoff, results are:
  • Green over Ferrer, 49 - 33 percent, with 18 percent undecided;
  • Green over Vallone, 53 - 26 percent, with 18 percent undecided;
  • Green over Hevesi, 55 - 22 percent, with 20 percent undecided;
  • Ferrer over Vallone, 42 - 33 percent, with 23 percent undecided;
  • Ferrer over Hevesi, 44 - 32 percent, with 22 percent undecided;
  • Vallone over Hevesi, 39 - 31 percent, with 27 percent undecided.
From February 20 - 26, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,087 New York City registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3 percent. The survey includes 677 registered Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percent.

"At this stage, Green picks up all the marbles. He leads a four-way primary and, if there's a runoff, he leads each of the other three. No matter what the runoff matchup, Hevesi loses," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

By a 45 - 31 percent margin, New York City voters have a favorable opinion of Mayor Rudolph Giuliani, with 22 percent mixed and 1 percent saying they don't know enough to form an opinion. Favorability ratings for possible mayoral candidates are:
                   Favorable     Unfavorable     Mixed     No Opinion
Ferrer                38%            7%           17%          37%
Green                 44            11            19           26
Hevesi                33             6            19           41
Vallone               34             8            26           32
Rev. Al Sharpton      20            45            30            4
Michael Bloomberg     11             5            11           71
Herman Badillo        23            12            15           48



"It's early in the election year and New Yorkers tell Quinnipiac University they don't know much about Republican Michael Bloomberg. At this time last year, New Jersey voters were telling us the same thing about another zillionaire -- Jon Corzine," Carroll said. "Today, it's Sen. Corzine."

By a 73 - 11 percent margin, New York City voters approve of former President Clinton's decision to open an office in Harlem. And 61 percent of voters say the Clinton move will improve Harlem's business climate, while 34 percent say it won't make a difference and 2 percent say it will make Harlem worse.

By a 63 - 28 percent margin, New Yorkers would support Clinton if he opened an office in their neighborhood.

New Yorkers split 47 - 49 percent on whether they would like to see Clinton run for mayor some day.

"President Clinton's a genius at turning bad news into good. New Yorkers applaud his move to Harlem and would welcome him in their neighborhood," Carroll said. "Almost half of New Yorkers would even like to see Clinton run for mayor."

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu or call (203) 582-5201
1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rudolph Giuliani is handling his job as Mayor?
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Approve 54% 83% 42% 67% 70% 26% 47%

Disapprove 36 10 48 25 23 61 41

DK/NA 10 7 11 8 7 13 11

2. Is your opinion of former President Bill Clinton favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Favorable 50% 13% 64% 40% 33% 75% 67%

Unfavorable 23 63 10 29 35 5 10

Mixed 25 22 24 28 30 18 19

Hvn't hrd enough 2 1 2 1 1 2 3

REFUSED 1 1 1 2 1 - 2

3. Is your opinion of United States Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about her?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Favorable 46% 14% 61% 32% 28% 76% 57%

Unfavorable 24 69 9 32 39 2 12

Mixed 18 14 19 20 23 12 14

Hvn't hrd enough 9 3 9 13 8 7 14

REFUSED 2 - 3 2 2 2 4

4. Is your opinion of Chairman of the City University of New York Herman Badillo favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Favorable 23% 30% 20% 31% 28% 14% 25%

Unfavorable 12 6 14 11 9 16 15

Mixed 15 13 16 15 14 18 17

Hvn't hrd enough 48 49 49 42 47 51 42

REFUSED 1 2 2 1 2 1 2

5. Is your opinion of media company owner Michael Bloomberg favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Favorable 11% 17% 8% 14% 12% 11% 7%

Unfavorable 5 1 5 5 4 2 5

Mixed 11 10 11 12 11 13 8

Hvn't hrd enough 71 68 74 69 71 72 77

REFUSED 3 4 2 1 3 2 3

6. Is your opinion of Mayor Rudolph Giuliani favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Favorable 45% 85% 32% 53% 62% 16% 40%

Unfavorable 31 4 40 26 20 52 31

Mixed 22 10 25 21 18 29 26

Hvn't hrd enough 1 - 2 - - 3 2

REFUSED 1 1 1 - - 1 1

7. Is your opinion of Reverend Al Sharpton favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Favorable 20% 6% 26% 12% 7% 48% 22%

Unfavorable 45 79 34 53 66 11 32

Mixed 30 9 36 29 24 39 35

Hvn't hrd enough 4 6 3 5 3 2 10

REFUSED 1 - - 1 1 - 2

8. Is your opinion of Bronx Borough President Fernando Ferrer favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Favorable 38% 24% 44% 34% 30% 48% 51%

Unfavorable 7 16 4 11 10 6 3

Mixed 17 17 17 17 15 19 18

Hvn't hrd enough 37 42 34 38 44 27 27

REFUSED 1 1 1 - 1 - -

9. Is your opinion of City Comptroller Alan Hevesi favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Favorable 33% 31% 34% 34% 36% 32% 21%

Unfavorable 6 11 5 6 7 5 5

Mixed 19 20 19 21 20 20 18

Hvn't hrd enough 41 36 43 38 36 43 55

REFUSED 1 2 - 1 1 - -

10. Is your opinion of Public Advocate Mark Green favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Favorable 44% 24% 49% 45% 42% 53% 33%

Unfavorable 11 29 6 12 16 3 7

Mixed 19 22 18 19 19 17 18

Hvn't hrd enough 26 24 26 25 21 26 41

REFUSED 1 1 1 - 1 - 1

11. Is your opinion of City Council Speaker Peter Vallone favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Favorable 34% 28% 37% 32% 33% 40% 28%

Unfavorable 8 13 6 10 10 5 6

Mixed 26 33 22 30 28 21 23

Hvn't hrd enough 32 26 35 27 28 34 42

REFUSED 1 - 1 - 1 - 2

12. (If registered Democrat)If the Democratic Primary for New York City Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Fernando Ferrer, Peter Vallone, Mark Green and Alan Hevesi for whom would you vote?

                          Registered Democrats........
                          Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Ferrer 19% 9% 15% 49% Vallone 11 16 7 5 Green 31 31 39 12 Hevesi 9 13 7 5

SMONE ELSE (VOL) 1 1 - 3 WLDN'T VOTE (VOL) 2 3 2 2 DK/NA 27 27 30 24

14. (If registered Democrat)If the Democratic mayoral primary runoff election was between Fernando Ferrer and Alan Hevesi for whom would you vote?

                          Registered Democrats........


Tot Wht Blk Hisp

Ferrer 44% 29% 48% 72% Hevesi 32 43 25 15

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 DK/NA 22 25 24 11

15. (If registered Democrat)If the Democratic mayoral primary runoff election was between Fernando Ferrer and Mark Green for whom would you vote?

                          Registered Democrats........


Tot Wht Blk Hisp

Ferrer 33% 24% 27% 65% Green 49 54 57 21

SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 DK/NA 18 20 15 14

16. (If registered Democrat)If the Democratic mayoral primary runoff election was between Fernando Ferrer and Peter Vallone for whom would you vote?

                          Registered Democrats........


Tot Wht Blk Hisp

Ferrer 42% 30% 44% 69% Vallone 33 39 35 17

SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 2 2 DK/NA 23 29 19 13

17. (If registered Democrat)If the Democratic mayoral primary runoff election was between Mark Green and Alan Hevesi for whom would you vote?

                          Registered Democrats........


Tot Wht Blk Hisp

Green 55% 47% 66% 54% Hevesi 22 30 13 17

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 1 3 DK/NA 20 21 19 23

18. (If registered Democrat)If the Democratic mayoral primary runoff election was between Mark Green and Peter Vallone for whom would you vote?

                          Registered Democrats........


Tot Wht Blk Hisp

Green 53% 50% 62% 43% Vallone 26 29 22 30

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 1 3 DK/NA 18 20 15 21

19. (If registered Democrat)If the Democratic mayoral primary runoff election was between Alan Hevesi and Peter Vallone for whom would you vote?

                          Registered Democrats........


Tot Wht Blk Hisp

Hevesi 31% 37% 29% 21% Vallone 39 32 45 45

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 4 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 3 DK/NA 27 28 24 26



41. As you may know, Bill Clinton will be setting up his office in Harlem.

Do you think Bill Clinton setting up his office in Harlem is a good idea or a bad idea?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Good idea 73% 52% 81% 70% 65% 87% 76%

Bad idea 11 26 6 12 14 5 10

DK/NA 16 22 12 18 21 8 14

42. Do you think that Bill Clinton's setting up his office in Harlem will make the business climate in Harlem better, worse, or won't it make a difference?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Better 61% 42% 67% 60% 56% 73% 53%

Worse 2 4 2 - 1 2 3

Won't make a diff. 34 53 28 35 39 22 40

DK/NA 3 1 3 5 4 4 4

42a. Would you favor or oppose Bill Clinton setting up his office in the neighborhood where you live?

                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Favor 63% 30% 75% 56% 51% 83% 69%

Oppose 28 60 18 32 38 12 22

DK/NA 9 10 7 12 11 6 8

43. Would you like to see Bill Clinton run for Mayor of New York City some day, or not?
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Yes 47% 21% 57% 36% 31% 70% 67%

No 49 78 38 60 65 27 27

DK/NA 4 1 5 4 3 3 6

44. Would you like to see Al Sharpton run for Mayor of New York City some day, or not?
                          Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Wht     Blk     Hisp


Yes 26% 9% 33% 19% 13% 55% 27%

No 71 89 64 79 85 43 69

DK/NA 3 2 3 2 2 2 4