August 2, 2000 - Race Is Key Factor In New Yorkers' View Of Mayor, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Black Approval Improves, But Is Still Largely Negative
Mayor Rudolph Giuliani's 48 - 42 percent approval rating continues to show a marked difference between black and white New York City voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

White voters approve 63 - 30 percent of the job Mayor Giuliani is doing, while black voters give him a negative 25 - 63 percent rating and Hispanic voters approve 47 - 38 percent.

Only 35 percent of voters would like to see Giuliani run for another term as Mayor in 2005, while 58 percent of voters say he should not run. White voters are split 46 - 46 percent that Giuliani should return, while black voters reject the idea 9 - 86 percent. Hispanic voters say no 46 - 51 percent on a possible return.

White New York City voters say 50 - 43 percent that Giuliani should run for Governor in 2002, but black and Hispanic voters are so strongly against the idea that 60 percent of the full voter tally is opposed.

"New Yorkers are telling their Mayor, `Nice job, but enough already.' Among all voters, there is little enthusiasm for Giuliani's political future," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"While this is Giuliani's highest approval rating among black voters in 20 months, black voters still are opposed to this Mayor in such large numbers that it overwhelms his support in other communities."

A total of 66 percent of New Yorkers are "very satisfied" or "somewhat satisfied" with life in New York City. And 26 percent expect things to get better in New York in the next year, while 13 percent expect them to get worse and 53 percent expect them to stay the same.

Voters give the Mayor a 40 - 35 percent favorability rating, with 24 percent mixed and 1 percent saying they don't know enough to form an opinion. This compares with a 41 - 38 percent favorability rating in a June 14 poll by the independent Quinnipiac University. Among possible mayoral contenders, results are:
                             Favorable     Unfavorable   Mixed       No Opinion
Public Advocate 
   Mark Green                    45            10         15            29
Bronx Borough President
   Fernando Ferrer               33             6         14            46
Controller Alan Hevesi           33             5         14            47
Council Speaker 
   Peter Vallone                 34             9         23            34



"We'll elect a new Mayor next year, possibly with the result decided in the Democratic Primary 13 months from now. But only Public Advocate Mark Green is emerging from the pack in terms of voter recognition.

"More people like than dislike Controller Alan Hevesi, Council Speaker Peter Vallone or Bronx Borough President Fernando Ferrer. But most New Yorkers are either mixed or just don't know."

From July 26 - 31, Quinnipiac University surveyed 753 New York City registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.6 percent. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu or call (203) 582-5201

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rudolph Giuliani is handling his job as Mayor?

                          Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Men    Wom


Approve 48% 63% 25% 47% 54% 43%

Disapprove 42 30 63 38 37 46

DK/NA 10 7 11 15 9 10



2. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York City today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?

                          Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Men    Wom


Very satisfied 20% 30% 5% 17% 26% 16%

Smwht satisfied 46 52 40 44 48 45

Smwht dissatisfied 22 13 34 22 15 27

Very dissatisfied 11 4 21 15 10 12

DK/NA 1 1 1 1 2 1



3.Over the next year or so, do you think things will go better for New York City, go worse, or stay about the same?

                          Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Men    Wom


Better 26% 21% 31% 38% 23% 29%

Worse 13 9 17 15 12 14

Stay the same 53 62 46 41 59 49

DK/NA 7 9 6 6 6 8



5. Is your opinion of Bronx Borough President Fernando Ferrer favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Men    Wom


Favorable 33% 22% 45% 55% 35% 32%

Unfavorable 6 8 5 4 11 3

Mixed 14 13 16 10 15 13

Hvn't hrd enough 46 56 34 31 38 52

REFUSED 1 1 - - 1 1



6. Is your opinion of Mayor Rudolph Giuliani favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Men    Wom


Favorable 40% 58% 15% 38% 45% 36%

Unfavorable 35 22 56 30 31 37

Mixed 24 19 28 29 22 25

Hvn't hrd enough 1 1 1 2 1 1

REFUSED - - 1 1 - -



7. Is your opinion of City Controller Alan Hevesi favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Men    Wom


Favorable 33% 39% 28% 26% 36% 31%

Unfavorable 5 4 5 11 7 4

Mixed 14 15 16 11 13 16

Hvn't hrd enough 47 42 50 51 44 49

REFUSED 1 - 1 - 1 -



8. Is your opinion of Public Advocate Mark Green favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Men    Wom


Favorable 45% 42% 53% 42% 45% 45%

Unfavorable 10 15 4 7 15 6

Mixed 15 17 13 13 14 16

Hvn't hrd enough 29 25 29 37 25 33

REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 -



9. Is your opinion of City Council Speaker Peter Vallone favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Men    Wom


Favorable 34% 35% 37% 36% 38% 32%

Unfavorable 9 9 9 9 11 7

Mixed 23 27 19 16 25 21

Hvn't hrd enough 34 29 35 39 25 40

REFUSED - - - 1 1 -



10. Is your opinion of New York City Schools Chancellor Harold Levy favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Men    Wom


Favorable 33% 38% 24% 36% 35% 31%

Unfavorable 7 6 6 13 8 7

Mixed 14 11 18 14 14 14

Hvn't hrd enough 45 43 50 35 42 47

REFUSED 1 2 1 1 2 1



11. Is your opinion of Police Commissioner Howard Safir favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                          Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Men    Wom


Favorable 31% 44% 11% 32% 36% 27%

Unfavorable 37 25 57 33 39 35

Mixed 23 26 20 22 18 27

Hvn't hrd enough 9 5 12 12 6 11

REFUSED - 1 - - - 1



12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mayor Giuliani is handling crime?
                          Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Men    Wom


Approve 55% 71% 28% 60% 63% 49%

Disapprove 37 22 61 36 29 42

DK/NA 8 7 11 4 8 9



13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mayor Giuliani is handling education?
                          Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Men    Wom


Approve 33% 40% 18% 38% 39% 29%

Disapprove 53 44 69 58 48 58

DK/NA 14 15 13 3 14 14



14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mayor Giuliani is handling relations between blacks and whites?

                          Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Men    Wom


Approve 26% 39% 8% 23% 31% 23%

Disapprove 63 50 86 60 60 65

DK/NA 11 11 6 17 9 12



15. Under New York City law, a mayor is limited to serving two consecutive four year terms. After Mayor Giuliani finishes his second term as mayor, would you like to see him run for Governor in 2002 or not?

                          Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Men    Wom


Yes 35% 50% 11% 32% 39% 32%

No 60 43 87 63 55 64

DK/NA 5 7 2 5 6 5



15a. Would you like to see Mayor Giuliani accept an appointment as a member of the President's Cabinet, an Ambassador, or another federal position or not?
                          Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Men    Wom


Yes 33% 41% 18% 36% 39% 29%

No 59 50 76 58 54 63

DK/NA 7 9 5 5 7 8



15b. Mayor Giuliani can run for Mayor again in 2005. Would you like to see Giuliani run for Mayor in 2005 or not?

                          Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Men    Wom


Yes 35% 46% 9% 46% 40% 31%

No 58 46 86 51 56 60

DK/NA 7 8 5 3 5 8