November 21, 2000 - Green And Undecided Lead In Mayoral Matchup, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Mayor Gets Highest Approval Rating In Two Years
Public Advocate Mark Green and undecided are in the lead among Democratic Primary voters in the race for New York City mayor, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Twenty-five percent of Democratic voters are undecided.

Green gets 25 percent of registered Democrats, followed by 18 percent for Bronx Borough President Fernando Ferrer and 14 percent each for Comptroller Alan Hevesi and City Council Speaker Peter Vallone.

By a 55 - 37 percent margin, all New Yorkers approve of the job Mayor Rudolph Giuliani is doing. This is his highest approval rating since the Mayor's 60 -33 percent approval in a November 18, 1998, poll by the independent Quinnipiac University.

From November 13 - 19, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,276 New York City registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percent. The survey includes 838 registered Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percent.

"As the 2001 mayoral campaign begins, observers must wonder if that all-important Democratic Primary ends up in a run-off because no candidate gets 40 percent of the vote," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"In our opening poll, Public Advocate Mark Green leads the Democratic pack, but he's in a dead heat with `Don't Know'." Will someone shoot up? Will someone drop out? Stay tuned."

By a 43 - 37 percent margin, New York City voters have a favorable opinion of the Mayor, with 18 percent mixed and 1 percent saying they don't know enough to form an opinion. Favorability ratings for possible mayoral candidates are:
                 Favorable     Unfavorable     Mixed     No Opinion

Ferrer              37%            9%           12%          41%
Green               48            12            15           25
Hevesi              41             5            16           38
Vallone             40             9            18           31
Michael Bloomberg   11             4             9           76



"As the mayoral campaign heats up, people will get to know the candidates. But for now, voters have favorable -- but very fuzzy -- images of the four Democrats who want to be mayor," Carroll added.

"Michael who? If Bloomberg really wants to be the Republican candidate for mayor, he has to introduce himself to New Yorkers in that role. No doubt they know about Bloomberg Radio and Bloomberg TV and the Bloomberg information network, but not many voters have heard about Bloomberg the politician."

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu or call (203) 582-5201

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rudolph Giuliani is handling his job as Mayor?
                        Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Rep     Dem     Ind


Approve 55% 69% 27% 52% 92% 44% 66%

Disapprove 37 24 65 38 7 47 26

DK/NA 8 7 8 10 1 8 9



2. Is your opinion of New York City Schools Chancellor Harold Levy favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Rep     Dem     Ind


Favorable 24% 26% 21% 23% 18% 26% 25%

Unfavorable 5 4 6 8 4 6 5

Mixed 14 15 12 15 13 14 14

Hvn't hrd enough 55 53 60 54 63 52 56

REFUSED 1 2 1 1 2 1 1



3. Is your opinion of Police Commissioner Bernard Kerik favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Rep     Dem     Ind


Favorable 19% 22% 14% 20% 34% 17% 18%

Unfavorable 6 3 9 8 4 7 3

Mixed 11 10 12 15 7 13 9

Hvn't hrd enough 62 63 63 56 52 62 67

REFUSED 2 2 1 1 3 1 2



4. Is your opinion of Mayor Rudolph Giuliani favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Rep     Dem     Ind


Favorable 43% 61% 11% 34% 88% 30% 55%

Unfavorable 37 23 68 37 7 48 24

Mixed 18 15 20 28 5 21 19

Hvn't hrd enough 1 1 1 2 1 1 1

REFUSED 1 - 1 - - 1 1



5. Is your opinion of media company owner Michael Bloomberg favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Rep     Dem     Ind


Favorable 11% 13% 5% 10% 15% 9% 13%

Unfavorable 4 4 2 5 4 4 4

Mixed 9 8 9 12 7 10 6

Hvn't hrd enough 76 73 83 73 71 76 74

REFUSED 1 2 1 - 3 1 2



6. Is your opinion of Bronx Borough President Fernando Ferrer favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Rep     Dem     Ind


Favorable 37% 27% 47% 58% 22% 44% 26%

Unfavorable 9 11 4 6 21 5 11

Mixed 12 12 14 12 12 11 16

Hvn't hrd enough 41 48 34 24 43 39 43

REFUSED 1 2 - - 3 1 2



7. Is your opinion of City Controller Alan Hevesi favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Rep     Dem     Ind


Favorable 41% 46% 37% 35% 28% 44% 43%

Unfavorable 5 6 5 5 14 4 5

Mixed 16 16 17 14 22 13 21

Hvn't hrd enough 38 32 41 46 35 39 31

REFUSED - 1 - - 2 - -



8. Is your opinion of Public Advocate Mark Green favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Rep     Dem     Ind


Favorable 48% 46% 59% 40% 27% 54% 42%

Unfavorable 12 18 2 6 35 5 18

Mixed 15 16 11 18 14 13 19

Hvn't hrd enough 25 19 27 36 21 27 21

REFUSED 1 1 - - 2 1 1



9. Is your opinion of City Council Speaker Peter Vallone favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Wht     Blk     Hisp    Rep     Dem     Ind


Favorable 40% 42% 43% 37% 35% 43% 40%

Unfavorable 9 11 5 6 18 7 10

Mixed 18 18 20 16 19 17 23

Hvn't hrd enough 31 27 32 41 26 32 25

REFUSED 1 2 - - 2 1 2



10. (If registered Democrat) If the Democratic Primary for New York City Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Fernando Ferrer, Peter Vallone, Mark Green and Alan Hevesi for whom would you vote?

                        Registered Democrats........


Tot Wht Blk Hisp

Ferrer 18% 6% 18% 52% Vallone 14 16 12 12 Green 25 27 30 12 Hevesi 14 22 8 3

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 3 1 DK/NA 25 25 28 19