February 17, 1999 - New Yorkers Split On Mayor's Approval, Quinnipiac College Poll Finds; Police Brutality, Education, Crime Are Top Problems
Mayor Rudolph Giuliani's approval rating among New York City voters is 44 - 47 percent, a statistically even split but below the 2 - 1 ratings the Mayor has received in the past, and down from 60 -33 percent in November, according to a Quinnipiac College Poll released today.

White voters approve of the Mayor 63 - 30 percent, down from an 84 - 14 percent high in a February 11, 1998, poll by the independent Quinnipiac College; black approval is a negative 13 - 77 percent, down from 57 - 38 percent; Hispanic approval is a negative 34 - 52 percent, down from 63 - 32 percent.

If Giuliani runs for Senate next year, 18 percent of voters say they are very likely to vote for him and 18 percent say they are somewhat likely, while 11 percent say they are not very likely and 49 percent say they are not likely at all to vote for him.

A total of 63 percent of voters are very satisfied or somewhat satisfied with life in New York City, while 36 percent are somewhat dissatisfied or very dissatisfied.

"The recent run of bad news is taking a toll on Mayor Giuliani's approval rating, as it would on any incumbent. While the Mayor's approval is at its lowest rating in more than three years, voters are satisfied with life in the city by almost 2 - 1," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac College Polling Institute.

"The Mayor had a 42 - 46 percent approval in an October 26, 1995, Quinnipiac College Poll and went on to score 2 -1 approval ratings after that. So let's not rule out Re- Bound Rudy too soon."

In an open-ended question, where respondents can give any answer they want, 14 percent of voters list police brutality as the most important problem facing New York City today, while 14 percent list education or education funding and 13 percent list crime. Crime has led the "most important problem" list in every Quinnipiac College Poll since 1994.

"A poll is a snapshot of how voters feel today. Given the headlines of the last two weeks, this latest finding probably is not surprising. Let's see what we find in the months ahead," Carroll said.

Voters continue to support term limits, with 56 percent saying the mayor should be eligible for only two terms, while 23 percent say there should limits of three terms or longer and 18 percent say there should be no limits.

By an 81 - 15 percent margin, New Yorkers say their Mayor can get things done, and they say 73 - 24 percent that he has strong qualities of leadership. But by a 68 - 28 percent margin, they say he does not have a likable personality and 60 - 33 percent say he does not work well with other political leaders.

Gov. George Pataki's approval rating in New York City is 47 - 42 percent. Voters say, 64 - 27 percent that he gets things done; 54 - 39 percent that he has strong qualities of leadership; 54 - 37 percent that he has a likable personality and 59 - 29 percent that he gets along with other political leaders.

"The Mayor is a strong leader who gets things done, New Yorkers say in overwhelming numbers, but they don't think he's likable or that he works well with others," Carroll said.

"Gov. Pataki does better on the likability and `works well with others,' but he trails the Mayor as a strong leader."

From February 10 - 15, Quinnipiac College surveyed 881 New York City residents who say they are registered voters. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percent. The Quinnipiac College Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut as a public service and for research.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rudolph Giuliani is handling his job as Mayor?

                                                                Nov 18
                        Tot   Wht   Blk   His   Rep   Dem   Ind  1998


Approve 44% 63% 13% 34% 82% 33% 46% 60%

Disapprove 47 30 77 52 14 58 44 33

DK/NA 9 7 10 14 4 9 10 6



2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George Pataki is handling his job as Governor of New York?

                        Tot   Wht   Blk   His   Rep   Dem   Ind


Approve 47% 55% 33% 48% 79% 41% 46%

Disapprove 42 33 56 45 14 49 41

DK/NA 11 12 11 7 7 10 13



3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling his job as President?

                        Tot   Wht   Blk   His   Rep   Dem   Ind


Approve 79% 70% 91% 91% 52% 90% 76%

Disapprove 17 27 6 8 43 7 19

DK/NA 4 3 3 1 4 2 5



4. If Rudolph Giuliani is the Republican candidate for United States Senate in the year 2000, how likely is it that you would vote for him? Very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not likely at all?

                        Tot   Wht   Blk   His   Rep   Dem   Ind


Very likely 18% 29% 3% 9% 54% 8% 18%

Smwht likely 18 23 7 23 30 14 21

Not very likely 11 11 12 14 3 15 9

Not likely at all 49 33 76 51 12 60 48

DK/NA 4 4 2 3 - 4 4



5. Under New York City law, a mayor is limited to serving two - four year terms. Which of the following comes closest to your point of view: (A) New York City should continue to limit a Mayor to serving 2 terms, (B) The law should be changed to allow a mayor to serve more than 2 terms, but there should be some limit to how long a Mayor can serve, or (C) The law limiting how long a Mayor can serve should be eliminated.

                            Tot   Wht   Blk   His   Rep   Dem   Ind


A) New York City should continue to limit a Mayor to serving 2 terms. 56% 52% 66% 52% 45% 58% 58%

B) The law should be changed to allow a mayor to serve more than 2 terms, but there should be some limit to how long a Mayor can serve. 23 23 18 34 26 23 24

C) The law limiting how long a Mayor can serve should be eliminated. 18 23 13 11 26 17 16

DK/NA 2 2 3 2 3 2 2



6. Suppose Rudolph Giuliani could run for Mayor in the next election. If Rudolph Giuliani is the Republican candidate for Mayor in the year 2001, how likely is it that you would vote for him? Very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not likely at all?

                        Tot   Wht   Blk   His   Rep   Dem   Ind


Very likely 26% 42% 6% 10% 67% 14% 29%

Smwht likely 15 18 5 20 15 14 15

Not very likely 10 9 11 14 4 12 11

Not likely at all 47 28 78 54 14 57 43

DK/NA 2 4 - 3 1 3 2



7. If Rudolph Giuliani is the Republican candidate for President in the year 2000, how likely is it that you would vote for him? Very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not likely at all?

                        Tot   Wht   Blk   His   Rep   Dem   Ind


Very likely 11% 17% 3% 5% 40% 4% 10%

Smwht likely 16 23 3 16 30 9 19

Not very likely 12 13 8 13 9 13 11

Not likely at all 59 45 85 65 18 72 57

DK/NA 2 3 1 1 3 1 3



8. If George Pataki is the Republican candidate for President in the year 2000, how likely is it that you would vote for him? Very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not likely at all?

                        Tot   Wht   Blk   His   Rep   Dem   Ind


Very likely 9% 10% 7% 11% 29% 5% 8%

Smwht likely 22 24 22 20 39 16 23

Not very likely 20 22 16 21 13 19 24

Not likely at all 45 40 54 45 16 58 40

DK/NA 3 4 2 2 3 2 5



9. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York City today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?

                                                                 Nov 18
                        Tot   Wht   Blk   His   Rep   Dem   Ind   1998


Very satisfied 17% 27% 5% 10% 34% 11% 20% 23%

Smwht satisfied 46 51 35 52 53 48 44 51

Smwht dissatisfied 22 15 32 25 7 25 23 17

Very dissatisfied 14 6 26 13 4 15 12 8

DK/NA 1 1 2 - 1 1 1 1



10. What do you think is the most important problem facing New York City today?

                             Tot   Wht   Blk   His   Rep   Dem   Ind


Crime/Violence 13% 14% 14% 10% 14% 12% 12% Drugs 5 5 3 9 5 4 4 Youth crime/Violence/Gangs 1 - 1 2 - 1 1 Police-General 3 1 5 4 4 3 2 More police - - - 1 1 - - Police brutality/ Harassment/Racism 14 8 24 20 9 18 12 Police corruption - - 1 - - - - Economy 1 - 1 1 - 1 1 Unemployment/Jobs 3 2 5 5 1 5 3 Cost of living 1 1 1 - 1 1 1 Taxes 2 4 - 2 9 1 2 State income tax - 1 - - - 1 1 Sales tax - - - 1 - - - Spending priorities - - 1 - 1 - - Poverty/Homelessness 4 6 2 2 6 5 4 Housing costs/Availability 3 4 2 1 2 3 2 Overcrowding 1 1 - - 1 - 2 Rent control/Stabilization 1 1 - 1 2 1 - Welfare 2 2 2 2 3 2 1 Class inequality/ Income disparity 1 1 - - - 1 1 Immigration - - - - 1 - - Lack of ethics/Morality/ Responsibility - - - - 2 - - Child abuse/Neglect - - - 1 - - - Healthcare/Costs/ Insurance/HMOs 1 - - 1 - 1 1 Elderly - - 1 - - - -

Education 12 15 7 6 12 13 12 Desegregation of schools/Busing - - - 1 - - - College tuition - - - 2 1 - - Funding public schools 2 3 2 2 1 3 2 Violence in schools - - - 1 - - - Quality of life - - - - - 1 - Environment/Pollution 2 3 - 1 4 1 2 Racism/Race relations 9 8 11 8 8 9 12 Lack of mass transit/ Public trans. 1 2 - 1 1 1 2 Traffic 1 2 - 1 1 1 1 Roads/Highways - 1 - - - - 1 Politicians/Government 1 - 1 2 - 1 1 Political corruption - - - - 1 - - Governor/Mayor 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 Other 5 4 5 5 3 5 5 DK/NA 5 6 5 6 3 4 8



13. I'm going to read off some personal characteristics and qualities. As I read each one, tell me if you think it applies to Rudolph Giuliani or not? Would you say that Rudolph Giuliani -- can get things done or not?

                                                                July 23
                        Tot   Wht   Blk   His   Rep   Dem   Ind  1998


Yes 81% 93% 65% 75% 93% 78% 83% 87%

No 15 5 32 22 6 19 13 10

DK/NA 3 2 4 3 1 3 4 3



14. Would you say that Rudolph Giuliani has a likable personality or not?

                                                                July 23
                        Tot   Wht   Blk   His   Rep   Dem   Ind  1998


Yes 28% 37% 9% 35% 51% 23% 25% 30%

No 68 59 86 60 45 72 70 64

DK/NA 5 4 5 5 4 5 5 3



15. Would you say that Rudolph Giuliani has strong leadership qualities or not?

                                                                July 23
                        Tot   Wht   Blk   His   Rep   Dem   Ind  1998


Yes 73% 85% 54% 74% 91% 70% 73% 77%

No 24 13 42 25 8 27 25 21

DK/NA 2 2 4 1 1 3 2 2



16. Would you say that Rudolph Giuliani is honest and trustworthy or not?

                                                                July 23
                        Tot   Wht   Blk   His   Rep   Dem   Ind  1998


Yes 50% 71% 21% 40% 82% 41% 52% 55%

No 44 25 69 52 15 52 40 37

DK/NA 7 5 10 7 3 6 8 9



17. Would you say that Rudolph Giuliani is sympathetic to the problems of the poor or not?

                                                                July 23
                        Tot   Wht   Blk   His   Rep   Dem   Ind  1998


Yes 26% 39% 6% 22% 63% 16% 27% 29%

No 68 53 92 73 27 80 68 64

DK/NA 6 8 2 5 10 4 6 7



18. Would you say that Rudolph Giuliani works well with other political leaders or not?

                                                                July 23
                        Tot   Wht   Blk   His   Rep   Dem   Ind  1998


Yes 33% 38% 21% 37% 51% 28% 32% 35%

No 60 54 74 52 39 66 59 55

DK/NA 7 8 5 11 11 5 8 10



19. I'm going to read off some personal characteristics and qualities. As I read each one, tell me if you think it applies to George Pataki or not? Would you say that George Pataki -- can get things done or not?

                        Tot   Wht   Blk   His   Rep   Dem   Ind


Yes 64% 68% 63% 61% 75% 62% 64%

No 27 23 28 31 19 29 27

DK/NA 9 9 9 8 6 9 9



20. Would you say that George Pataki has a likable personality or not?

                        Tot   Wht   Blk   His   Rep   Dem   Ind


Yes 54% 57% 50% 53% 73% 49% 54%

No 37 35 39 40 18 42 37

DK/NA 9 8 11 7 8 9 9



21. Would you say that George Pataki has strong leadership qualities or not?

                        Tot   Wht   Blk   His   Rep   Dem   Ind


Yes 54% 54% 56% 59% 65% 51% 55%

No 39 40 36 35 28 42 40

DK/NA 7 7 9 6 7 7 5



22. Would you say that George Pataki is honest and trustworthy or not?

                        Tot   Wht   Blk   His   Rep   Dem   Ind


Yes 52% 64% 35% 49% 79% 48% 50%

No 37 26 50 43 16 40 40

DK/NA 11 9 15 8 6 12 11



23. Would you say that George Pataki is sympathetic to the problems of the poor or not?

                        Tot   Wht   Blk   His   Rep   Dem   Ind


Yes 32% 36% 24% 37% 58% 26% 29%

No 57 50 69 52 31 64 60

DK/NA 11 14 7 11 11 10 11



24. Would you say that George Pataki works well with other political leaders or not?

                        Tot   Wht   Blk   His   Rep   Dem   Ind


Yes 59% 61% 56% 62% 76% 54% 62%

No 29 26 33 27 13 34 27

DK/NA 12 13 10 11 10 12 11