November 18, 1998 - Mayor Giuliani Belongs In Senate, Not White House, New York City Voters Tell Quinnipiac College Poll; No Clear Choice To Replace Him
Many New York City voters would back Mayor Rudolph Giuliani if he runs for the U.S. Senate in 2000, but few would back him if runs for President, according to a Quinnipiac College Poll released today.

If Giuliani runs for Senate, 34 percent of voters say there is a good chance and 23 percent say there is some chance they would vote for him, while 41 percent say there is no chance. If he runs for President, 21 percent say there is a good chance and 23 percent say there is some chance they would vote for him, while 53 percent say there is no chance.

They approve 60 - 33 percent of the job Giuliani is doing as Mayor, and by a 74 - 25 percent margin, voters are satisfied with the way things are going in the City.

Voters approve 48 - 40 percent of the way the Mayor is handling welfare, but disapprove 31 - 56 percent of his handling of poverty and homelessness. Approval ratings on other issues are:
  • Crime - 76 - 19 percent;
  • Education - 43 - 44 percent;
  • Taxes - 47 - 37 percent;
  • The economy and jobs - 58 - 29 percent.
"New Yorkers are delighted to have Rudolph Giuliani in City Hall, and many of his city neighbors would like to send him on to the U.S. Senate. So it's somewhat surprising to see them reject so decisively a possible Giuliani bid for the White House," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac College Polling Institute.

In an open-ended question, where respondents can give any answer they want, asked first in the survey so no names have been mentioned, 10 percent of New Yorkers said they would like Giuliani to be their next U.S. Senator, followed by 7 percent who named State Comptroller H. Carl McCall and 5 percent each for Sen. Alfonse D'Amato and Senator-elect Charles Schumer. Former Governor Mario Cuomo, Housing & Urban Development Secretary Andrew Cuomo and Public Advocate Mark Green each got 2 percent.

The big winner was "undecided" with 50 percent.

In the same type of open-ended question, 8 percent of New Yorkers said Public Advocate Mark Green should be the next Mayor, followed by Council Speaker Peter Vallone and former Mayor David Dinkins each with 4 percent and City Comptroller Alan Hevesi with 3 percent. Among those with 2 percent or less is former Mayor Ed Koch.

By a 49 - 29 percent margin, voters have a favorable opinion of Mayor Giuliani, with 20 percent mixed and one percent saying they don't know enough to form an opinion. Favorability ratings among other New York leaders are:
                                      Favorable  Unfavorable  Mixed  No Opinion
Schools Chancellor Rudolph Crew       44         11           23     20
Police Commissioner Howard Safir      36         18           25     20
Public Advocate Mark Green            48          9           14     28
City Comptroller Alan Hevesi          33          5           12     48
Council Speaker Peter Vallone         36         10           19     33



"Peter Vallone and Mark Green lost in their quest for higher office, but they did improve their recognition among New York City voters," Carroll said.

"If the first step to election is recognition, the Mayor is the only elected city official in any kind of shape. Of the three early entries for Mayor in 2001 -- Vallone, Hevesi and Green -- Green is barely ahead in recognition, but trailing Crew and Safir."

From November 10 - 16, Quinnipiac College surveyed 920 New York City residents who say they are registered voters. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.2 percent. The Quinnipiac College Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut as a public service and for research.

For additional data: www.quinnipiac.edu

1. Senator Daniel Patrick Moynihan has decided not to run for re-election in the year 2000. Who would you like to see elected United States Senator from New York in the year 2000?

                          TOT     Wht     Blk     His     Rep     Dem     Ind 


Clinton, Hillary - 1% - 1% - 1% -

Cuomo, Andrew 2 4 - 1 2 3 3

Cuomo, Mario 2 3 1 1 1 2 3

D'Amato, Alfonse 5 8 1 4 17 3 4

Ferrer, Fernando - - 1 - - - -

Forbes, Steve - - - - 1 - -

Ferraro, Geraldine 1 - 1 - - 1 -

Giuliani, Rudolph 10 16 - 3 26 4 13

Green, Mark 2 4 2 - 1 3 1

Hevesi, Alan - - - 1 1 - -

Kennedy, John Jr. - 1 - - 1 - -

Kennedy, Robert Jr. 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

McCall, H. Carl 7 5 15 3 2 11 5

Molinari, Guy - - - - 1 - -

Moynahan, Daniel Patrick - - - 1 - - 1

Pataki, George 1 - - 2 2 - 1

Sharpton, Al 1 - 2 1 - 1 -

Schumer, Charles 5 3 7 10 1 7 3

Stern, Howard - - - - 1 - -

Vallone, Peter 1 1 2 1 1 1 2

Ventura, Jessie - - - - 1 - -

A Democrat - general 2 2 2 1 1 2 1

A Republican - general 1 2 - - 5 - -

Other name 5 5 3 6 6 5 3

Other - general category 1 1 1 - 1 - 2

DK/NA 50 41 60 64 31 53 54



2. Mayor Giuliani will not be able to run for re-election in the year 2001 since he is limited to 2 terms. Who would you like to see elected Mayor of New York City in the year 2001?

                          TOT     Wht     Blk     His     Rep     Dem     Ind 


Bratton, William 1% 2% - 2% 1% 1% 1%

Crew, Rudy - - - - 1 - -

Cuomo, Andrew 1 1 - - - 1 1

Cuomo, Mario - - - - 1 - -

D'Amato, Alfonse 1 1 - 2 2 1 -

Dinkins, David 4 - 12 3 3 4 4

Ferrer, Fernando 1 1 - 4 2 1 -

Ferraro, Geraldine 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

Giuliani, Rudolph 1 2 - 2 1 1 2

Green, Mark 8 8 9 2 5 10 6

Hevesi, Alan 3 4 2 1 3 3 2

Jackson, Jessie 1 - 2 - - 1 -

Koch, Ed 2 3 1 3 4 1 4

McCall, H. Carl 2 2 2 3 2 2 2

Messenger, Ruth 1 1 1 2 - 2 -

Molinari, Susan - - - - 1 - -

Moynahan, Daniel Patrick - - - - 1 - -

Pataki, George 1 - - 2 1 - 1

Safir, Howard 1 - 1 1 - 1 -

Sharpton, Al 2 - 7 - - 3 1

Schumer, Charles 2 1 2 2 - 2 1

Stern, Howard - - - - - - 1

Vallone, Peter 4 5 3 3 2 5 5

A Democrat - general 2 1 2 2 - 2 2

A Republican - general 1 1 - - 4 - -

Other name 4 5 4 4 3 4 6

Other - category 1 1 - 2 2 1 1

DK/NA 56 56 51 61 62 53 55



3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rudolph Giuliani is handling his job as Mayor?

                                                                          Jul 23
                    Tot     Wht     Blk     His     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998
                  
Approve             60%     74%     30%     57%     88%     49%     65%     55%
                  
Disapprove          33      21      62      36      11      45      26      41
                  
DK/NA                6       5       8       8       2       6       8       4
                  


4. If Rudolph Giuliani runs for President in the year 2000, how much chance is there that you would vote for him? Is there a good chance, some chance, or no chance?

                                                                          Jul 23
                    Tot     Wht     Blk     His     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998
                   
Good chance         21%     28%      6%     21%     45%     12%     24%     18%
                   
Some chance         23      29       9      22      32      18      26      24
                   
No chance           53      39      83      56      20      68      45      55
                   
DK/NA                3       4       2       1       3       2       5       3




5. If Rudolph Giuliani runs for United States Senator in the year 2000, how much chance is there that you would vote for him? Is there a good chance, some chance, or no chance?

                                                                          Jul 23
                    Tot     Wht     Blk     His     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998


Good chance 34% 47% 9% 29% 74% 20% 39% 26%

Some chance 23 24 16 29 12 23 26 28

No chance 41 27 72 42 13 56 31 45

DK/NA 2 2 3 - 1 1 4 1



6. If Rudolph Giuliani were the Republican Vice-Presidential candidate in the year 2000, would that make you more likely to vote for the Republican ticket, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference?

                                                                          Jul 23
                    Tot     Wht     Blk     His     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998


More likely 18% 25% 3% 18% 48% 8% 21% 12%

Less likely 31 20 57 27 9 41 25 29

No difference 47 50 37 49 41 46 47 53

DK/NA 5 5 3 5 1 4 7 6



7. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York City today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                                                                          Feb 11
                    Tot     Wht     Blk     His     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998


Very satisfied 23% 31% 7% 20% 47% 14% 30% 18%

Smwht satisfied 51 51 52 52 45 52 48 58

Smwht dissatisfied 17 13 26 17 6 22 14 18

Very dissatisfied 8 4 13 10 2 10 6 5

DK/NA 1 1 2 - 1 1 2 1



8. Is your opinion of Schools Chancellor Rudolph Crew favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                          Feb 11
                    Tot     Wht     Blk     His     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998


Favorable 44% 44% 46% 41% 48% 45% 41% 44%

Unfavorable 11 11 11 12 11 11 11 10

Mixed 23 23 24 23 15 23 26 22

Hvn't hrd enough 20 21 18 24 26 20 18 23

DK/NA 2 2 - 1 - 1 3 1



9. Is your opinion of Police Commissioner Howard Safir favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                          Feb 11
                    Tot     Wht     Blk     His     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998


Favorable 36% 46% 22% 31% 58% 30% 36% 36%

Unfavorable 18 12 28 21 11 19 20 12

Mixed 25 24 30 20 13 28 24 21

Hvn't hrd enough 20 17 19 27 18 21 17 30

DK/NA 1 2 - 2 - 1 3 1



10. Is your opinion of Public Advocate Mark Green favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                          Feb 11
                    Tot     Wht     Blk     His     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998


Favorable 48% 47% 56% 32% 29% 53% 47% 39%

Unfavorable 9 11 4 8 20 6 9 6

Mixed 14 17 10 13 19 12 16 13

Hvn't hrd enough 28 23 29 44 29 27 26 41

DK/NA 2 2 - 2 2 1 2 1
11. Is your opinion of City Controller Alan Hevesi favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                          Jul 23
                    Tot     Wht     Blk     His     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998


Favorable 33% 38% 31% 20% 29% 37% 31% 28%

Unfavorable 5 5 5 5 9 4 5 4

Mixed 12 12 14 13 15 11 13 12

Hvn't hrd enough 48 44 49 61 48 48 49 55

DK/NA 1 1 1 - - - 3 1



12. Is your opinion of City Council Speaker Peter Vallone favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                          Apr 22
                    Tot     Wht     Blk     His     Rep     Dem     Ind     1996


Favorable 36% 35% 44% 36% 25% 43% 32% 23%

Unfavorable 10 11 8 9 25 6 9 7

Mixed 19 20 15 20 19 18 23 18

Hvn't hrd enough 33 33 32 33 30 32 34 51

DK/NA 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1



13. Is your opinion of Mayor Rudolph Giuliani favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or aven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                          Feb 11
                    Tot     Wht     Blk     His     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998


Favorable 49% 66% 16% 43% 82% 35% 54% 57%

Unfavorable 29 17 56 32 11 39 23 16

Mixed 20 17 25 24 7 24 21 25

Hvn't hrd enough 1 - 3 - 1 1 1 2

DK/NA 1 - - 1 - - 1 -



14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mayor Giuliani is handling the city budget?

                                                                          Feb 11
                    Tot     Wht     Blk     His     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998


Approve 49% 61% 28% 43% 71% 39% 57% 58%

Disapprove 33 21 54 43 14 44 26 25

DK/NA 18 18 17 14 14 17 17 18



15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mayor Giuliani is handling crime?

                                                                          Feb 11
                    Tot     Wht     Blk     His     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998


Approve 76% 85% 61% 74% 93% 70% 80% 83%

Disapprove 19 12 30 23 6 24 15 14

DK/NA 5 3 8 3 1 5 5 3



16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mayor Giuliani is handling education?

                                                                          Feb 11
                    Tot     Wht     Blk     His     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998


Approve 43% 50% 27% 48% 63% 36% 43% 42%

Disapprove 44 36 60 46 24 52 42 49

DK/NA 13 15 13 6 14 12 15 8



17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mayor Giuliani is handling welfare?

                                                                          Feb 11
                    Tot     Wht     Blk     His     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998


Approve 48% 56% 36% 47% 75% 37% 54% 54%

Disapprove 40 29 55 49 13 51 33 31

DK/NA 12 15 10 4 11 12 12 15



18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mayor Giuliani is handling taxes?

                                                                          Feb 11
                    Tot     Wht     Blk     His     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998


Approve 47% 58% 31% 34% 66% 38% 51% 57%

Disapprove 37 25 56 54 24 45 34 28

DK/NA 15 17 13 12 10 17 15 15



19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mayor Giuliani is handling poverty and homelessness?

                                                                          Feb 11
                    Tot     Wht     Blk     His     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998


Approve 31% 41% 13% 29% 56% 21% 35% 34%

Disapprove 56 45 78 58 26 68 55 52

DK/NA 13 14 9 12 18 11 10 14



20. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mayor Giuliani is handling the economy and jobs?

                                                                          Feb 11
                    Tot     Wht     Blk     His     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998


Approve 58% 72% 34% 45% 86% 48% 62% 59%

Disapprove 29 15 51 46 10 40 22 30

DK/NA 13 14 14 10 4 13 15 12