March 20, 2008 - New York State Voters Have High Hopes For New Gov, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Bloomberg Tops List For Next Governor

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New York State voters give their new Governor, David Paterson, a strong vote of confidence, with 75 percent saying he will govern effectively and 67 percent saying he will restore trust in state government, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Among black voters, 81 percent say he will govern effectively and 69 percent say he will restore trust in government.

By a 46 - 3 percent margin, voters have a favorable opinion of Gov. Paterson, with 51 percent saying they have not heard enough to form an opinion, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. Favorability among black voters is 58 - 2 percent. In a separate question, 65 percent of voters knew the name of the new Governor.

Attitudes about Paterson shifted slightly on the last night of the survey, March 18, after media reports of his marital problems.

With four choices of whom they would like to see elected Governor in 2010, New York State voters say:
  • 29 percent for New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg;
  • 27 percent for Paterson;
  • 25 percent for former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani;
  • 11 percent for Attorney General Andrew Cuomo.
"Gov. David Paterson begins with good wishes. By big margins, New Yorkers think he'll restore public trust - boy, can Albany use that - and be able to govern effectively," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Paterson isn't anonymous, like former lieutenant governors. Two-thirds of New Yorkers knew his name even as he was sworn into the top job. Hardly anyone has a low opinion of him."

"Politics is a 365-day-a-year game (366 in leap years), and New Yorkers voiced opinions on whom they'd like to run for Governor in 2010. Mayor Bloomberg leads very slightly overall, but Giuliani is the favorite of almost half of Republicans. Paterson leads among Democrats, followed by Bloomberg," Carroll added.

Former Gov. Eliot Spitzer was right to resign, 81 percent of voters say, while 15 percent say he should have served his full term. Spitzer should be charged with a crime, 48 percent say, while 40 percent say resigning as governor is punishment enough.

By a 70 - 27 percent margin, state voters favor the current system where the Lieutenant Governor serves out the full term when the Governor leaves office, rather than holding a special election.

"New Yorkers split on former Gov. Eliot Spitzer. A lot think he should be charged with a crime, but a lot are inclined to let bygones be bygones - they think losing the job was punishment enough," Carroll said. Legalized Prostitution

By a 62 - 30 percent margin, New York State voters oppose legalized prostitution involving people over 18 years old. Men oppose legalization 54 - 38 percent, while women oppose it 68 - 23 percent. Opposition to legalized prostitution ranges from 57 - 33 percent in New York City to 65 - 27 percent among upstate voters.

Prostitution is not a victimless crime, voters say 66 - 26 percent. Men say 63 - 29 percent prostitution is not victimless, while women agree 68 - 23 percent.

There is a bigger gender gap on the question of whether people who patronize prostitutes should face the same punishment as prostitutes. Voters overall agree 73 - 19 percent that the penalty should be the same. Men support it 68 - 24 percent, while women support it 76 - 15 percent.

"New York City voters are slightly more tolerant of the world's oldest profession than voters upstate, and men are less opposed than women to the idea of legalized prostitution, but opposition is strong among all groups," Carroll said.

From March 16 - 18, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,528 New York State registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research. For more data --http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.

6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Eliot Spitzer handled his job as Governor of New York?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Approve                 31%     26%     36%     30%     32%     31%     28%     38%
Disapprove              61      66      55      63      62      59      64      53
DK/NA                    8       8       9       7       7      10       8       9
 
                        UpState.....    UpState                 Age     Age
                        Urban   Othr    Total   NYC     Sub     18-44   45+
 
Approve                 36%     29%     30%     33%     30%     33%     31%
Disapprove              57      62      61      58      64      56      63
DK/NA                    7       9       9      10       5      11       7
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Eliot Spitzer is handling his job as Governor of New York? * ...of the way Eliot Spitzer "handled" his job...
                                                                Highest Lowest
                                                                Approve Approve
                        Mar 20  Dec 12  Oct 2   Jul 31  Jun 19  Feb 13  Mar 20
                        2008*   2007    2007    2007    2007    2007    2008*
 
Approve                 31      37      47      48      60      61      31
Disapprove              61      48      34      28      22      11      61
DK/NA                    8      15      20      25      19      28       8
 
 
20. Compared to elected officials in other states, do you think that New York's elected officials have more honesty and integrity, less honesty and integrity, or about as much honesty and integrity?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
More                     5%      3%      9%      3%      6%      5%      4%      9%
Less                    20      25      17      21      21      19      19      24
About as much           68      62      69      70      67      68      71      58
DK/NA                    7      10       5       6       6       8       6       9
 
                        UpState.....    UpState                 Age     Age
                        Urban   Othr    Total   NYC     Sub     18-44   45+
 
More                     1%      2%      2%      8%      7%      8%      4%
Less                    32      23      24      15      21      22      18
About as much           65      68      67      68      67      64      72
DK/NA                    2       7       6       8       5       7       6
 
TREND: Compared to elected officials in other states, do you think that New York's elected officials have more honesty and integrity, less honesty and integrity, or about as much honesty and integrity?
                        Mar 20  Oct 2   Nov 6
                        2008    2007    2003
 
More                     5       9       9
Less                    20      11      17
About as much           68      75      70
DK/NA                    7       5       5
 
 
21. Eliot Spitzer recently resigned as governor after news emerged of his involvement with prostitutes. How much have you heard or read about this - A lot, some, only a little or nothing at all?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
A lot                   80%     78%     80%     82%     79%     81%     82%     78%
Some                    15      15      17      12      17      13      14      15
Only a little            4       5       3       5       2       6       3       7
Nothing at all           1       2       -       1       1       1       1       -
DK/NA                    -       1       -       -       1       -       -       -
 
                        UpState.....    UpState                 Age     Age
                        Urban   Othr    Total   NYC     Sub     18-44   45+
 
A lot                   73%     79%     78%     79%     87%     72%     85%
Some                    26      14      16      16       9      20      11
Only a little            1       5       5       5       2       6       3
Nothing at all           -       1       1       -       1       2       -
DK/NA                    -       -       -       1       -       -       1
 
 
22. Do you think Governor Spitzer should have resigned or do you think he should have served out his term in office?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Resigned                81%     88%     75%     86%     81%     82%     86%     73%
Served out term         15       8      21      13      16      15      11      26
DK/NA                    3       3       4       2       4       3       3       1
 
                        UpState.....    UpState                 Age     Age
                        Urban   Othr    Total   NYC     Sub     18-44   45+
 
Resigned                78%     84%     83%     75%     88%     79%     83%
Served out term         21      12      13      21      11      18      14
DK/NA                    1       4       4       4       1       3       3
 
 
23. Do you think Eliot Spitzer should be charged with a crime or is resigning as Governor punishment enough?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Charged with crime      48%     61%     39%     50%     50%     47%     51%     36%
Resigning is enough     40      28      49      40      40      41      36      56
DK/NA                   11      11      12      10      10      13      13       8
 
                        UpState.....    UpState                 Age     Age
                        Urban   Othr    Total   NYC     Sub     18-44   45+
 
Charged with crime      54%     59%     58%     37%     47%     55%     45%
Resigning is enough     37      32      32      50      40      37      43
DK/NA                    9       9       9      13      13       9      13
 
 
24. Do you think prostitution involving people over 18 should be legalized?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Yes                     30%     20%     33%     34%     38%     23%     31%     30%
No                      62      74      56      59      54      68      61      60
DK/NA                    9       6      10       7       9       9       8      10
 
                        UpState.....    UpState                 Age     Age
                        Urban   Othr    Total   NYC     Sub     18-44   45+
 
Yes                     24%     27%     27%     33%     30%     26%     32%
No                      70      64      65      57      62      67      59
DK/NA                    6       9       8      10       7       8       9
 
 
25. Do you that that prostitution is a victimless crime?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Yes                     26%     21%     28%     27%     29%     23%     23%     36%
No                      66      70      64      66      63      68      69      52
DK/NA                    8       9       8       7       7       9       8      12
 
                        UpState.....    UpState                 Age     Age
                        Urban   Othr    Total   NYC     Sub     18-44   45+
 
Yes                     27%     23%     24%     31%     23%     24%     28%
No                      64      69      68      61      68      70      63
DK/NA                    9       8       8       8       9       6       9
 
 
26. Do you think the people who patronize prostitutes should face the same punishment as prostitutes?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Yes                     73%     79%     69%     74%     68%     76%     75%     68%
No                      19      13      23      19      24      15      16      28
DK/NA                    8       9       7       7       8       9       9       4
 
                        UpState.....    UpState                 Age     Age
                        Urban   Othr    Total   NYC     Sub     18-44   45+
 
Yes                     82%     75%     76%     72%     68%     76%     71%
No                      16      16      16      21      22      19      19
DK/NA                    2       9       8       7      10       5      10
 
 
27. Do you happen to know the name of the new Governor?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
David Paterson          65%     63%     63%     70%     65%     65%     66%     69%
Basil Paterson           -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -
Peterson                 3       3       2       3       3       2       3       1
David                    1       1       2       1       -       2       1       3
Lieutenant Governor      1       1       -       1       1       -       1       -
He's black/He's blind    4       4       4       5       4       4       4       2
Other answer             2       2       2       2       3       1       2       -
Don't Know              24      26      27      18      24      25      23      26
Refused                  -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -
 
                        UpState.....    UpState                 Age     Age
                        Urban   Othr    Total   NYC     Sub     18-44   45+
 
David Paterson          66%     58%     59%     67%     72%     52%     71%
Basil Paterson           -       -       -       -       -       -       -
Peterson                 3       2       2       3       3       3       2
David                    4       1       1       2       -       2       1
Lieutenant Governor      -       1       1       -       -       1       1
He's black/He's blind    2       5       5       4       3       3       5
Other answer             -       3       3       1       1       2       2
Don't Know              25      29      29      22      20      37      18
Refused                  -       -       -       -       -       -       -
 
 
28. Under current law, if a Governor resigns or dies in office; the Lieutenant Governor takes over as Governor. Which would you prefer: (A) Continuing the current law OR (B) Changing the law so that if a Governor leaves office before the end of the term a special election is held to pick a new Governor?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Continuing current law  70%     71%     71%     70%     69%     70%     71%     73%
Special election        27      26      26      28      29      26      26      20
DK/NA                    3       3       3       2       2       3       2       6
 
                        UpState.....    UpState                 Age     Age
                        Urban   Othr    Total   NYC     Sub     18-44   45+
 
Continuing current law  64%     71%     70%     68%     73%     64%     73%
Special election        34      26      27      29      25      34      24
DK/NA                    2       2       2       4       2       2       3
 
 
29. Lieutenant Governor David Paterson is the new governor. Is your opinion of David Paterson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Favorable               46%     41%     52%     44%     45%     47%     45%     58%
Unfavorable              3       6       -       4       3       2       3       2
Hvn't hrd enough        51      53      47      52      52      50      51      39
REFUSED                  -       1       -       -       1       -       -       -
 
                        UpState.....    UpState                 Age     Age
                        Urban   Othr    Total   NYC     Sub     18-44   45+
 
Favorable               48%     42%     43%     48%     50%     33%     54%
Unfavorable              3       4       4       2       2       3       2
Hvn't hrd enough        48      53      52      50      48      63      43
REFUSED                  1       1       1       -       -       -       1
 
 
30. Do you think that the new governor, David Paterson, will or will not be able to govern the state effectively?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Will govern 
 effectively            75%     72%     80%     73%     77%     74%     76%     81%
Will NOT govern 
 effectively             6       7       5       6       8       4       5       5
DK/NA                   19      21      15      21      15      22      19      15
 
                        UpState.....    UpState                 Age     Age
                        Urban   Othr    Total   NYC     Sub     18-44   45+
 
Will govern
 effectively            73%     76%     75%     74%     78%     72%     78%
Will NOT govern
 effectively             9       5       5       7       5       5       6
DK/NA                   18      19      19      19      18      23      16
 
 
31. Do you think that the new governor, David Paterson, will or will not be able to restore public trust in state government?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Will restore trust
 in gov't               67%     64%     72%     62%     67%     66%     66%     69%
Will NOT restore
 trust in gov't         15      18      13      18      17      13      16       8
DK/NA                   18      19      16      20      16      21      18      23
 
                        UpState.....    UpState                 Age     Age
                        Urban   Othr    Total   NYC     Sub     18-44   45+
 
Will restore trust
 in gov't               77%     65%     66%     68%     66%     62%     69%
Will NOT restore
 trust in gov't         13      17      16      14      15      18      14
DK/NA                   10      18      17      19      20      20      17
 
 
32. Now I'm going to name four people who might run for Governor in 2010. After I read all four names, please tell me which one you would most like to see elected Governor in 2010. Here are the choices: Governor David Paterson, State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo, New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg, or former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani?
                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
 
Paterson                27%     14%     38%     21%     27%     26%     23%     54%
Cuomo                   11       6      15      10      10      13      12       9
Bloomberg               29      27      27      34      31      28      29      20
Giuliani                25      46      12      27      26      24      27      13
DK/NA                    8       7       7       8       6       9       9       4
 
                        UpState.....    UpState                 Age     Age
                        Urban   Othr    Total   NYC     Sub     18-44   45+
 
Paterson                38%     29%     30%     26%     20%     20%     30%
Cuomo                   16      13      13      10       8      11      11
Bloomberg               10      17      16      41      37      30      30
Giuliani                27      30      29      18      30      31      22
DK/NA                   10      12      11       5       5       7       8