February 19, 2009 - New Yorkers Like Obama And Stimulus Plan, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; But They Don't Think Plan Will Help Them

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One month into his presidency, Barack Obama gets a 72 - 17 percent approval rating from New York State voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Voters also approve 66 - 22 percent of the way President Obama is handling the economy.

Obama wins the approval of Democrats 96 - 1 percent and independent voters 69 - 14 percent, while Republicans disapprove 47 - 40 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh- pe-ack) University poll finds.

New York State voters approve 64 - 27 percent of Obama's Economic Stimulus Package, which was approved by Congress as the survey was being conducted.

A total of 57 percent of voters are "very confident" or "somewhat confident" the stimulus plan will help solve the nation's economic problems, while 40 percent are "not too confident" or "not confident at all."

Voters say 50 - 42 percent that the stimulus plan will not help them personally. While Democrats say 55 - 35 percent the plan will help them, Republicans say 72 - 20 percent the plan won't help, and independent voters say 51 - 41 percent they don't expect help. Voters making less than $50,000 a year split 46 - 45 percent on whether the plan will help them, while voters in higher income groups expect no help.

"New Yorkers are still sorting it out, but fewer than half expect the stimulus plan to help them personally," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "Even those making less than $50,000 are divided."

"But we support the stimulus plan and we're basically optimistic that it will help the nation's economy."

"And we think President Obama is doing a good job overall and on the economy."

Only 4 percent of New York State voters expect the stimulus plan to produce results in less than a year, while 73 percent say it will take more than a year and 19 percent say the stimulus plan never will work.

But 69 percent of voters expect the economy to get better by the end of Obama's term. Even Republicans say 51 - 24 percent that the economy will get better in the next four years.

Only 2 percent of New York State voters describe the national economy as "good," with 27 percent who say it's "not so good" and 71 percent who say it's "poor."

New York State's economy is "excellent," 1 percent say, with 4 percent who say "good," 40 percent who say "not so good" and 55 percent who say "poor."

Their personal finances are "excellent," 4 percent of New Yorkers say, while 44 percent say "good," 35 percent say "not so good" and 15 percent say "poor."

And 56 percent of New York State voters say they are worse off than they were a year ago, with 19 percent who say they are better off and 23 percent who say they are the same.

Things will get better personally in the next 12 months, 28 percent say, while 17 percent expect things to get worse and 51 percent say things will stay the same.

"New Yorkers don't think prosperity is just around the corner, but they remain optimistic that things will get better over the next four years," Carroll said.

From February 10 - 15, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,065 New York State registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research.

15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Approve              72%    40%    96%    69%    64%    79%
Disapprove           17     47      1     14     24     13
DK/NA                10     13      2     16     12      9
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Approve              74%    68%    70%    79%    68%
Disapprove           20     19     20     14     19
DK/NA                 6     12     11      7     14
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  NoColl College
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Degree Degree
 
Approve              79%    73%    69%    75%    74%    67%    72%    73%
Disapprove           17     18     18     16     16     22     17     19
DK/NA                 4      9     13      8     10     11     11      8
 
 
26. Do you approve or disapprove of the way David Paterson is handling the economy?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Approve              34%    31%    38%    33%    38%    30%
Disapprove           50     58     44     50     50     50
DK/NA                16     10     17     18     12     20
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Approve              35%    35%    35%    32%    33%
Disapprove           59     49     51     47     53
DK/NA                 6     15     13     21     15
 
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  NoColl College
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Degree Degree
 
Approve              29%    34%    37%    35%    32%    34%    33%    35%
Disapprove           52     53     47     51     53     47     52     47
DK/NA                19     13     16     14     15     19     15     18
 
 
27. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Approve              66%    35%    92%    59%    59%    71%
Disapprove           22     50      4     20     28     17
DK/NA                13     15      4     21     14     12
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Approve              70%    62%    64%    73%    58%
Disapprove           21     26     25     16     25
DK/NA                 8     13     12     12     17
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  NoColl College
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Degree Degree
 
Approve              73%    66%    61%    65%    69%    63%    64%    68%
Disapprove           21     21     22     22     18     28     21     23
DK/NA                 6     13     17     14     13     10     15      9
 
 
28. Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as - excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Excellent             -      -      -      -      -      1%
Good                  2      2      3      -      2      2
Not so good          27     33     24     25     27     27
Poor                 71     64     73     75     71     71
DK/NA                 -      1      -      -      1      -
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Excellent             4%     -      1%     -      -
Good                  3      2      3      1      3
Not so good          30     28     28     26     25
Poor                 64     69     68     73     72
DK/NA                 -      1      1      -      -
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  NoColl College
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Degree Degree
 
Excellent             -      1%     -      1%     -      -      1%     -
Good                  1      4      2      3      2      1      2      2
Not so good          34     25     24     32     22     20     28     23
Poor                 66     71     73     64     77     78     68     75
DK/NA                 -      -      1      1      -      -      -      -
 
TREND: Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as - excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                     Feb 19  Dec 24  Nov 15  Apr 26
                     2009    2008    2001    2001
 
Excellent             -       -       1       2
Good                  2       3      29      46
Not so good          27      27      54      41
Poor                 71      70      14       9
DK/NA                 -       -       1       2
 
 
29. Would you describe the state of New York State's economy these days as - excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Excellent             1%     -      1%     1%     1%     1%
Good                  4      7      3      2      5      3
Not so good          40     39     41     37     37     42
Poor                 55     52     55     60     56     54
DK/NA                 1      2      -      -      1      -
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Excellent             -      -      -      1%     2%
Good                  5      4      4      3      4
Not so good          44     34     36     42     43
Poor                 50     61     59     53     50
DK/NA                 -      1      1      -      1
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  NoColl College
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Degree Degree
 
Excellent             -      2%     -      1%     -      -      1%     1%
Good                  5      4      3      4      4      3      5      2
Not so good          52     37     38     48     34     36     40     40
Poor                 43     57     58     47     62     61     54     57
DK/NA                 -      1      1      1      -      -      -      1
 
TREND: Would you describe the state of New York State's economy these days as - excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                                                             EXCLNT+GOOD...
                                                             High    Low
                     Feb 19  Jan 15  Dec 24  Aug 6   Jun 12  Mar 29  Feb 19
                     2009    2009    2008    2008    2008    2006    2009
 
Excellent             1       -       -       -       -       2       1
Good                  4       7       6      12      21      35       4
Not so good          40      40      43      48      48      40      40
Poor                 55      52      51      38      28      22      55
DK/NA                 1       1       1       1       3       2       1
 
 
30. Would you describe the state of your own personal finances these days as - excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Excellent             4%     7%     4%     3%     5%     4%
Good                 44     56     37     42     50     39
Not so good          35     25     38     39     28     40
Poor                 15     10     19     16     15     16
DK/NA                 2      3      2      1      3      1
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Excellent             3%     5%     5%     4%     4%
Good                 44     40     41     45     47
Not so good          41     35     36     33     34
Poor                 11     17     16     17     12
DK/NA                 -      3      2      1      2
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  NoColl College
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Degree Degree
 
Excellent             4%     5%     4%     1%     4%    11%     2%     8%
Good                 50     43     43     30     50     62     39     53
Not so good          28     36     37     44     30     23     39     27
Poor                 15     16     15     22     15      4     18     11
DK/NA                 4      1      1      2      1      -      1      2
 
TREND: Would you describe the state of your own personal finances these days as - excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                     Feb 19  Dec 24  Jan 23  Nov 15
                     2009    2008    2002    2001
 
Excellent             4       5       9       8
Good                 44      43      53      59
Not so good          35      35      28      25
Poor                 15      16       8       6
DK/NA                 2       1       1       2
 
 
31. Would you say that you are better off or worse off financially than you were a year ago?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Better off           19%    20%    18%    21%    22%    17%
Worse off            56     45     62     57     52     60
SAME(VOL)            23     33     19     21     25     22
DK/NA                 1      2      1      1      1      1
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Better off           26%    19%    20%    20%    15%
Worse off            44     55     53     57     62
SAME(VOL)            26     25     25     21     22
DK/NA                 4      1      1      1      2
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  NoColl College
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Degree Degree
 
Better off           36%    19%    12%    19%    20%    25%    17%    24%
Worse off            46     60     57     52     60     56     56     57
SAME(VOL)            17     19     29     27     19     19     26     18
DK/NA                 1      1      2      2      -      -      1      1
 
TREND: Would you say that you are better off or worse off financially than you were a year ago?
                     Feb 19  Dec 24  Mar 29
                     2009    2008    2006
 
Better off           19      18      39
Worse off            56      60      37
SAME(VOL)            23      21      22
DK/NA                 1       1       1
 
 
32. During the next 12 months, do you think your own personal finances will get better, get worse, or stay about the same?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Get better           28%    25%    33%    26%    30%    27%
Get worse            17     17     15     17     17     17
Stay the same        51     55     48     53     48     53
DK/NA                 4      4      3      4      5      3
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Get better           24%    23%    23%    35%    27%
Get worse             9     20     18     15     18
Stay the same        65     52     54     47     50
DK/NA                 2      5      5      3      5
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  NoColl College
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Degree Degree
 
Get better           46%    29%    19%    33%    23%    29%    29%    27%
Get worse            12     15     21     16     19     16     18     16
Stay the same        38     53     54     49     53     51     49     54
DK/NA                 4      2      5      3      5      3      4      3
 
TREND: During the next 12 months, do you think your own personal finances will get better, get worse, or stay about the same?
                     Feb 19  Dec 24  Jan 23  Nov 15
                     2009    2008    2002    2001
 
Get better           28      24      41%     35
Get worse            17      22       6       7
Stay the same        51      50      51      55
DK/NA                 4       4       2       3
 
 
33. By the end of Barack Obama's term in office, do you expect the economy to be better than it is today, worse than it is today, or about the same?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Better               69%    51%    85%    67%    64%    74%
Worse                11     24      2      9     15      7
Same                 15     19     10     19     15     15
DK/NA                 5      6      2      6      6      5
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Better               68%    64%    65%    74%    69%
Worse                10     16     14      7      9
Same                 11     15     15     14     17
DK/NA                11      5      6      5      5
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  NoColl College
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Degree Degree
 
Better               82%    70%    62%    67%    76%    70%    66%    76%
Worse                 8     12     11     12      8     10     11     10
Same                 10     15     18     16     13     16     17     11
DK/NA                 -      3      8      5      3      4      5      3
 
TREND: By the end of Barack Obama's term in office, do you expect the economy to be better than it is today, worse than it is today, or about the same?
                     Feb 19  Dec 24
                     2009    2008
 
Better               69      70
Worse                11       6
Same                 15      17
DK/NA                 5       6
 
34. Congress is debating President Obama's economic stimulus package which includes tax cuts and new federal spending of about 800 billion dollars. Do you support or oppose this economic stimulus package?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Support              64%    37%    87%    64%    60%    68%
Oppose               27     54      7     25     33     21
DK/NA                 9      9      6     11      7     11
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Support              61%    56%    57%    75%    62%
Oppose               34     32     33     18     29
DK/NA                 6     11     10      7     10
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  NoColl College
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Degree Degree
 
Support              68%    64%    64%    66%    68%    60%    63%    67%
Oppose               21     30     26     24     26     34     26     28
DK/NA                11      6     10     10      6      6     11      5
 
 
35. How confident are you that this economic stimulus package will help solve the nation's economic problems - Very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not confident at all?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Very confident        8%     1%    17%     4%     7%    10%
Smwht confident      49     29     62     52     41     56
Not too confident    22     32     15     24     25     20
Not confident at all 18     38      4     19     26     12
DK/NA                 2      -      2      1      2      2
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Very confident        8%     6%     6%    11%     8%
Smwht confident      49     47     47     53     48
Not too confident    21     23     23     20     24
Not confident at all 19     22     21     14     20
DK/NA                 4      2      3      2      -
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  NoColl College
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Degree Degree
 
Very confident       13%    10%     4%    12%     5%     6%    10%     5%
Smwht confident      47     49     53     50     53     44     48     52
Not too confident    25     20     22     20     24     27     22     23
Not confident at all 14     19     19     17     17     22     18     19
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      1      -      2      1
 
 
36. How long do you think it will take for the program to work - less than a year, more than a year, or will it never work?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Less than a year      4%     4%     6%     2%     2%     6%
More than a year     73     54     88     74     66     79
Never                19     40      3     19     28     12
DK/NA                 4      3      3      5      4      4
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Less than a year      3%     4%     4%     5%     3%
More than a year     80     70     72     77     70
Never                18     22     21     14     22
DK/NA                 -      3      3      5      5
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  NoColl College
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Degree Degree
 
Less than a year      5%     4%     3%     6%     3%     2%     5%     3%
More than a year     72     74     73     72     76     72     72     76
Never                16     21     18     17     18     25     18     19
DK/NA                 6      -      6      5      3      1      5      2
 
 
37. Do you think the economic stimulus package will help your personal financial situation?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  42%    20%    55%    41%    38%    44%
No                   50     72     35     51     54     47
DK/NA                 9      8     10      8      8      9
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Yes                  43%    37%    38%    45%    41%
No                   50     54     53     45     51
DK/NA                 6      9      8     10      7
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  NoColl College
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Degree Degree
 
Yes                  40%    48%    37%    46%    42%    35%    44%    38%
No                   53     45     53     45     52     57     47     55
DK/NA                 7      7     10      9      6      8      9      7