April 6, 2009 - Voters Say 3-1 Paterson Does Not Deserve Election, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Most Say He Should Announce Now He Won't Run

Word format


New York State voters disapprove 60 - 28 percent of the job Gov. David Paterson is doing, the lowest approval ever for a New York Governor, and say 63 - 22 percent that he does not deserve to be elected to a full four-year term, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Gov. Paterson's approval is so low that he should announce now that he won't run for election to a four-year term next year, 53 percent of voters tell the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll, while 39 percent say he can restore his reputation and should run next year. Even Democrats say 49 - 45 percent that he should drop out of the race now.

New York State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo, with a near-record high 75 - 14 percent approval rating, tops Paterson in a Democratic primary 61 - 18 percent.

In a general election, Republican Rudolph Giuliani, the former New York City mayor, tops Paterson 53 - 32 percent.

Cuomo tops Giuliani 53 - 36 percent in a head-to-head matchup.

Voters disapprove 70 - 19 percent of the way Paterson is handling the New York State budget. Democrats disapprove 63 - 25 percent. "So long, David, voters tell Gov. Paterson. His job approval tanks at 28 percent. The slide started with the Caroline Kennedy flap and deepened with the humongous state budget passed last week. The budget was an opportunity for Paterson to reverse his slide, but voters disapprove almost 4-1 of the way he handled it," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Don't wait for 2010, Governor, New Yorkers say. Announce now that you won't run. Voters say almost 3-1 Paterson doesn't deserve a full 4-year term."

"There's nothing good for Paterson in this poll. Cuomo, who has minded his manners during Paterson's collapse, saying nothing about the Governor, trounces Paterson in a theoretical match-up. Giuliani whomps Paterson, too."

"This poll has nothing but good news for Cuomo. His job approval is stratospheric, duplicating his 76 percent approval in February. And in election matchups, he leads Paterson more than 3-1 and shows he's the Democrat who can beat Giuliani," Carroll said.

New York State voters give Cuomo a 63 - 17 percent favorability rating, with a 43 - 33 percent positive among Republicans. Paterson gets a negative 27 - 55 percent favorability and Giuliani gets a positive 55 - 35 percent.

Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand

New York's newest U.S. Senator, Kirsten Gillibrand, gets a 33 - 13 percent approval rating, with 54 percent undecided. In fact, 64 percent of voters do not know enough about Sen. Gilliband to form an opinion of her.

In a Democratic primary matchup, Gillibrand trails U.S. Rep. Carolyn McCarthy 33 - 29 percent, with 33 percent undecided. Here, too, 68 percent do not know enough about McCarthy to form an opinion.

In a 2010 general election matchup, Gillibrand leads U.S. Rep. Peter King, a possible Republican challenger, 40 - 28 percent, with 28 percent undecided.

"While watching Paterson's dive, voters aren't paying much attention to the Senate. Sen. Gillibrand, the new kid, trails Congresswoman McCarthy in a Democratic match-up and leads Congressman King in a general election. But the 'don't know' numbers are high for all three," Carroll said.

From April 1- 5, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,528 New York State registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. The survey includes 664 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed - http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.

1. (If registered Democrat) If the 2010 Democratic primary for Governor were being held today and the candidates were David Paterson and Andrew Cuomo, for whom would you vote?
                     Reg
                     Dems
 
Paterson             18%
Cuomo                61
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3
DK/NA                17
 
TREND: (If registered Democrat) If the 2010 Democratic primary for Governor were being held today and the candidates were David Paterson and Andrew Cuomo, for whom would you vote?
                     Apr 06  Feb 17
                     2009    2009
 
Paterson             18      23
Cuomo                61      55
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3       1
DK/NA                17      20
 
 
2. (If registered Democrat) If the 2010 Democratic primary for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Kirsten Gillibrand and Carolyn McCarthy, for whom would you vote?
                     Reg
                     Dems
 
Gillibrand           29%
McCarthy             33
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3
DK/NA                33
 
TREND: (If registered Democrat) If the 2010 Democratic primary for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Kirsten Gillibrand and Carolyn McCarthy, for whom would you vote?
                     Apr 06  Feb 17
                     2009    2009
 
Gillibrand           29      24
McCarthy             33      34
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3       2
DK/NA                33      39
 
 
3. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were David Paterson the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Paterson             32%     6%    57%    21%    33%    32%    26%    69%
Giuliani             53     84     29     61     53     52     60     15
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      1      5      3      1      3      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      2      5      4      3      4      3      8
DK/NA                 9      7      8     10      8     10      9      7
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Paterson             25%    24%    24%    49%    22%
Giuliani             62     60     60     36     64
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      3      3      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      3      3      5      3
DK/NA                 9      9      9      8     10
 
TREND: If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were David Paterson the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Apr 06  Feb 17
                     2009    2009
 
Paterson             32      43
Giuliani             53      43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4       2
DK/NA                 9      10
 
 
4. If the 2010 election for governor were being held today and the candidates were Andrew Cuomo the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Cuomo                53%    20%    78%    49%    51%    55%    48%    82%
Giuliani             36     71     16     38     40     32     41      8
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      1      1      -      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      2      1      1      2      1      1      5
DK/NA                 9      7      5     12      6     11     10      5
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Cuomo                47%    48%    48%    63%    47%
Giuliani             35     41     40     27     43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      1      1      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      1      1      3      1
DK/NA                17      9     10      7     10
 
 
TREND: If the 2010 election for governor were being held today and the candidates were Andrew Cuomo the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Apr 06  Feb 17
                     2009    2009
 
Cuomo                53      51
Giuliani             36      37
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       2
DK/NA                 9       9
 
 
5. If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Kirsten Gillibrand the Democrat and Peter King the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Gillibrand           40%    14%    63%    33%    40%    40%    38%    57%
King                 28     60     10     29     33     24     32     13
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      1      1      2      1      1      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      1      4      2      3      4      3      4
DK/NA                28     24     22     35     22     32     25     27
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Gillibrand           39%    44%    43%    44%    30%
King                 27     25     26     20     44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      3      3      6      1
DK/NA                29     27     27     30     25
 
TREND: If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Kirsten Gillibrand the Democrat and Peter King the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Apr 06  Feb 17
                     2009    2009
 
Gillibrand           40      42
King                 28      26
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3       2
DK/NA                28      28
 
 
6. Is your opinion of Andrew Cuomo favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            63%    43%    77%    61%    62%    64%    61%    76%
Unfavorable          17     33      7     18     22     13     19     12
Hvn't hrd enough     18     21     15     19     14     21     18      9
REFUSED               2      3      1      2      2      3      3      2
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Favorable            64%    58%    59%    67%    65%
Unfavorable          17     19     19     16     16
Hvn't hrd enough     17     21     20     15     16
REFUSED               2      2      2      2      3
 
 
7. Is your opinion of David Paterson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            27%    17%    39%    18%    27%    26%    23%    50%
Unfavorable          55     65     42     66     57     54     61     32
Hvn't hrd enough     14     14     14     11     11     16     11     16
REFUSED               4      4      4      5      6      4      5      2
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Favorable            31%    21%    22%    34%    24%
Unfavorable          57     62     61     45     58
Hvn't hrd enough     11     12     12     18     13
REFUSED               2      6      5      3      5
 
 
8. Is your opinion of Rudy Giuliani favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            55%    84%    35%    60%    57%    53%    60%    15%
Unfavorable          35      6     56     30     35     34     29     74
Hvn't hrd enough      7      7      6      7      4     10      8      5
REFUSED               4      3      3      4      4      4      3      6
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Favorable            54%    62%    60%    41%    65%
Unfavorable          26     25     25     53     26
Hvn't hrd enough     14     11     12      3      4
REFUSED               6      2      3      4      5
 
 
9. Is your opinion of Kirsten Gillibrand favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            24%    23%    25%    26%    28%    21%    26%    20%
Unfavorable          11     15      8     11     12     10     12      2
Hvn't hrd enough     64     60     65     62     58     69     61     77
REFUSED               1      2      1      2      2      1      2      1
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Favorable            31%    35%    34%    15%    18%
Unfavorable           7     11     10     11     12
Hvn't hrd enough     61     53     54     73     69
REFUSED               2      2      2      1      2
 
 
10. Is your opinion of Carolyn McCarthy favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            23%    10%    32%    22%    22%    23%    22%    26%
Unfavorable           8     16      3     10     11      6      9      3
Hvn't hrd enough     68     73     66     67     66     71     68     71
REFUSED               1      1      -      1      1      1      1      1
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Favorable             7%    11%    10%    28%    39%
Unfavorable           5      4      4      5     21
Hvn't hrd enough     87     84     84     67     38
REFUSED               -      1      1      -      2
 
 
11. Is your opinion of Peter King favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            22%    35%    12%    25%    28%    16%    23%    21%
Unfavorable          11      3     18      8     15      7     11      9
Hvn't hrd enough     67     60     70     66     56     75     65     70
REFUSED               1      1      -      1      1      1      1      -
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Favorable            15%    13%    13%    21%    40%
Unfavorable           7      7      7     14     12
Hvn't hrd enough     78     79     79     65     45
REFUSED               -      1      1      1      2
 
 
12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way David Paterson is handling his job as Governor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              28%    21%    34%    25%    29%    26%    25%    45%
Disapprove           60     66     51     68     62     58     65     42
DK/NA                13     13     15      7      9     16     11     14
 
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Approve              30%    25%    25%    32%    25%
Disapprove           63     65     64     53     61
DK/NA                 8     11     10     15     14
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way David Paterson is handling his job as Governor?
                                                             Highest Lowest
                                                             Approve Approve
                     Apr 06  Feb 17  Jan 26  Jan 15  Dec 24  Aug 06  Apr 06
                     2009    2009    2009    2009    2008    2008    2009
 
Approve              28      45      50      53      53      64      28
Disapprove           60      41      30      25      29      14      60
DK/NA                13      14      20      22      18      22      13                
 
 
 
13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kirsten Gillibrand is handling her job as United States Senator?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              33%    30%    42%    26%    36%    30%    33%    36%
Disapprove           13     17      8     14     16     10     12     16
DK/NA                54     53     50     60     48     60     55     48
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Approve              37%    41%    40%    30%    21%
Disapprove           16     12     13     14     11
DK/NA                47     47     47     56     68
 
 
14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              61%    48%    77%    53%    59%    63%    59%    77%
Disapprove           25     43      9     34     32     20     29     10
DK/NA                14     10     14     13      9     17     13     13
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Approve              61%    54%    55%    70%    59%
Disapprove           27     30     29     17     30
DK/NA                12     16     15     13     11
 
 
15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              71%    40%    95%    66%    68%    74%    66%    95%
Disapprove           21     45      2     27     26     17     25      2
DK/NA                 7     15      2      8      6      8      9      4
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Approve              69%    64%    65%    80%    71%
Disapprove           25     26     25     14     24
DK/NA                 6     11     10      6      5
 
 
16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              26%    23%    36%    17%    25%    27%    21%    45%
Disapprove           58     68     46     68     66     51     64     34
DK/NA                16     10     19     15      9     22     16     21
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Approve              23%    21%    21%    31%    27%
Disapprove           66     64     65     51     56
DK/NA                11     15     14     18     17
 
 
17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Thomas DiNapoli is handling his job as State Comptroller?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              26%    26%    29%    22%    27%    25%    27%    24%
Disapprove           19     25     16     19     23     15     18     22
DK/NA                56     49     54     59     50     60     55     54
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Approve              33%    26%    28%    22%    28%
Disapprove           22     21     21     18     15
DK/NA                45     53     52     60     56
 
 
18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as State Attorney General?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              75%    64%    85%    73%    75%    75%    73%    92%
Disapprove           14     25      5     16     19     10     15      6
DK/NA                11     11     10     11      6     15     12      2
 
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Approve              77%    70%    71%    78%    77%
Disapprove           16     16     16     13     11
DK/NA                 8     14     13      9     12
 
 
19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sheldon Silver is handling his job as State Assembly Speaker?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              28%    26%    36%    22%    29%    28%    25%    48%
Disapprove           36     45     25     47     47     27     42     14
DK/NA                36     29     39     32     24     45     33     38
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Approve              26%    24%    24%    36%    26%
Disapprove           40     41     41     31     33
DK/NA                34     36     35     33     41
 
 
20. Looking ahead to the 2010 election for Governor, do you feel that David Paterson deserves to be elected to a full 4 year term, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be elected to a full 4 year term?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes/Deserves         22%    15%    31%    16%    21%    22%    18%    42%
No/Does Not          63     75     52     70     65     61     68     46
DK/NA                16     11     18     14     14     17     15     13
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Yes/Deserves         18%    19%    19%    29%    16%
No/Does Not          70     66     67     55     65
DK/NA                12     15     14     16     19
 
 
30. Do you approve or disapprove of the way David Paterson is handling the state budget?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              19%    16%    25%    13%    20%    18%    17%    29%
Disapprove           70     77     63     77     71     69     72     63
DK/NA                11      7     12      9      8     13     11      8
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Approve              18%    16%    16%    23%    21%
Disapprove           78     74     75     65     68
DK/NA                 4     10      9     13     11
 
 
41. Do you think Governor Paterson can restore his reputation and should run for election next year for a full term as Governor or do you think his standing in public opinion polls is so low that he should announce now that he won't run for election?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Should run           39%    36%    45%    35%    40%    38%    37%    50%
Should announce
 won't run           53     53     49     59     53     53     54     43
DK/NA                 9     11      6      6      7     10      9      8
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Should run           39%    33%    34%    43%    41%
Should announce
 won't run           51     58     56     49     50
DK/NA                10      9     10      7      9