June 23, 2009 - New York State Voters Support Same-Sex Marriage Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Mayor Should Keep School Control, But Share It

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New York State voters support 51 - 41 percent, with 8 percent undecided, a law allowing same-sex couples to marry, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This is the first poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University showing support for same-sex marriage in New York State, where voters split 46 - 46 percent on this issue in a May 14 survey and opposed same-sex marriage 55 - 37 percent in an April 15, 2004, poll.

In this latest survey, women support same-sex marriage 58 - 35 percent, while men oppose it by a narrow 48 - 44 percent margin. Same-sex marriage wins 65 - 28 percent from Democrats and 52 - 42 percent from independent voters, while Republicans oppose it 66 - 27 percent. The proposal wins 52 - 42 percent support from white voters and 55 - 39 percent from Hispanics. Black voters split with 43 percent in favor and 42 percent opposed.

Voters who attend religious services at least once a week are opposed 63 - 31 percent, while those who attend less frequently support same-sex marriages 61 - 31 percent. Support also rises with income and education level.

New York State voters support same-sex civil unions 68 - 25 percent, with support from all groups, including 55 - 37 percent among Republicans. Overall support was 65 - 27 percent May 14.

"It's the slimmest of majorities, but for the first time in a Quinnipiac University poll of New York State, same-sex marriage is ahead," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "Supporters have worked hard in the last six weeks, moving the needle from dead even to slightly ahead. Who knows how far they can move that needle in the next six weeks if the State Legislature doesn't act.

"It is interesting to note that support for same-sex civil unions, which gay marriage advocates say is an unacceptable alternative, has barely moved," Carroll added.

Given three choices:
  • 46 percent of New York State voters say same-sex couples should be allowed to marry;
  • 27 percent say they should be allowed to form civil unions;
  • 20 percent say there should be no legal recognition. Mayoral Control of New York City Schools
New York State voters say 51 - 33 percent that the State Legislature should renew the law that gives the New York City Mayor control of the public schools. Support is 61 - 32 percent among New York City voters and 63 - 23 percent in the suburbs, while upstate voters split with 37 percent in favor of mayoral control and 38 percent opposed.

But when voters are asked if the Mayor should share control of the schools with the New York City Council, they agree 50 - 37 percent. Voters do not agree 43 - 40 percent, that the Mayor should share school control with the borough presidents, a public office about which few people outside of New York City are aware.

"Voters overall think Mayor Michael Bloomberg, or his successor, should retain control of New York City schools. Support is higher among suburban voters, who have experience with school boards, than it is among New York City voters, who have experience with Bloomberg," Carroll said.

"Just as in last week's Quinnipiac University poll of New York City voters, voters would like to have the Mayor share control with the City Council. Since nobody north of The Bronx knows what a borough president is, they didn't fare so well.

"And of course none of this means anything unless the State Senate puts its house in order and gets back to work."

From June 16 - 21, Quinnipiac University surveyed 2,477 New York State registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed - http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.

31. As you may know, in New York City the mayor has control of the public schools. Mayoral control of the New York City public schools expires this year, unless the state legislature renews it. Do you think mayoral control of the New York City public schools should continue or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
 
Continue             51%    50%    51%    53%    55%    46%    50%    52%    45%
Stop                 33     32     34     30     32     33     31     39     43
DK/NA                17     18     15     16     13     20     19      9     12
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Continue             36%    37%    37%    61%    63%
Stop                 30     39     38     32     23
DK/NA                34     24     25      8     15
 
 
32. Do you think the New York City mayor should share control of the public schools with the city council or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
 
Yes                  50%    44%    55%    47%    48%    51%    47%    64%    53%
No                   37     42     31     40     42     32     38     26     39
DK/NA                14     14     14     13     10     17     15     10      8
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Yes                  45%    48%    48%    53%    47%
No                   28     33     33     39     40
DK/NA                27     18     19      7     13
 
 
33. Do you think the New York City mayor should share control of the public schools with the borough presidents or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
 
Yes                  40%    35%    46%    35%    37%    42%    36%    59%    49%
No                   43     46     37     48     50     36     45     31     37
DK/NA                18     19     17     17     14     22     20     10     14
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Yes                  30%    35%    34%    46%    40%
No                   36     39     38     46     46
DK/NA                35     26     27      8     14
 
 
34. Would you support or oppose a law that would allow same-sex couples to get married?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
 
Support              51%    27%    65%    52%    44%    58%    52%    43%    55%
Oppose               41     66     28     42     48     35     42     42     39
DK/NA                 8      7      8      6      8      7      6     16      5
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Support              56%    48%    49%    52%    54%
Oppose               37     46     45     37     39
DK/NA                 7      5      6     10      7
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  NoColl Coll
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Degree Degree
 
Support              67%    55%    40%    44%    56%    64%    45%    63%
Oppose               27     39     52     47     40     30     47     31
DK/NA                 6      6      8      9      4      7      8      6
 
                     ATTEND SERVS  WHITE......
                     Weekly Less   Prot   Cath   Jew
 
Support              31%    61%    43%    44%    65%
Oppose               63     31     51     50     29
DK/NA                 7      8      6      6      6
 
TREND: Would you support or oppose a law that would allow same-sex couples to get married?
                     Jun 23  May 14  Apr 15
                     2009    2009    2004
 
Support              51      46      37
Oppose               41      46      55
DK/NA                 8       8       8
 
 
35. Would you support or oppose a law that would allow civil unions for same-sex couples?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
 
Support              68%    55%    72%    73%    63%    72%    70%    57%    71%
Oppose               25     37     21     22     29     21     24     29     24
DK/NA                 7      9      7      5      8      6      6     14      5
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Support              67%    66%    66%    65%    75%
Oppose               21     27     26     27     20
DK/NA                11      7      7      8      6
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  NoColl Coll
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Degree Degree
 
Support              79%    71%    59%    58%    76%    79%    62%    79%
Oppose               18     22     33     33     20     16     30     16
DK/NA                 3      7      8      9      4      5      8      5
 
                     ATTEND SERVS  WHITE......
                     Weekly Less   Prot   Cath   Jew
 
Support              54%    75%    62%    68%    72%
Oppose               39     18     32     26     23
DK/NA                 7      7      6      6      6
 
TREND: Would you support or oppose a law that would allow civil unions for same-sex couples?
                     Jun 23  May 14
                     2009    2009
 
Support              68      65
Oppose               25      27
DK/NA                 7       8
 
 
36. Do you think same-sex couples should be allowed legally to marry, should be allowed legally to form civil unions but not marry, or should not be allowed to obtain legal recognition of their relationships?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    His
 
Marry                46%    22%    59%    46%    39%    51%    46%    42%    46%
Civil unions         27     37     18     32     30     25     29     25     22
No recognition       20     32     16     17     25     16     19     25     24
DK/NA                 7      8      6      5      6      8      6      8      8
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
 
Marry                47%    43%    44%    46%    48%
Civil unions         29     29     29     25     28
No recognition       18     22     21     21     17
DK/NA                 6      6      6      8      6
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  NoColl Coll
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Degree Degree
 
Marry                62%    50%    33%    41%    50%    54%    40%    55%
Civil unions         21     27     31     25     30     28     28     27
No recognition       12     18     28     27     16     12     24     12
DK/NA                 5      5      8      7      4      6      8      5
 
                     ATTEND SERVS  WHITE......
                     Weekly Less   Prot   Cath   Jew
 
Marry                26%    55%    36%    38%    58%
Civil unions         33     25     32     36     17
No recognition       33     14     26     21     17
DK/NA                 8      6      7      5      9
 
TREND: Do you think same-sex couples should be allowed legally to marry, should be allowed legally to form civil unions but not marry, or should not be allowed to obtain legal recognition of their relationships?
                     Jun 23  May 14  Apr 07  Jun 12  Dec 12  Jun 19
                     2009    2009    2009    2008    2007    2007
 
Marry                46      40      41      42      40      35
Civil unions         27      29      33      31      29      35
No recognition       20      23      19      21      23      22
DK/NA                 7       7       7       6       8       8