April 13, 2010 - Cuomo Stomps Little-Known Republicans 2-1, Quinnipiac University New York State Poll Finds; Pataki Would Top GOP Field, Lead Gillibrand

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New York State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo has a 74 - 14 percent job approval rating and commanding leads of 2-1 or more against the little-known Republican contenders in the race for Governor, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

With 40 percent of Republican voters undecided, former U.S. Senate candidate Rick Lazio leads in a primary for Governor with 34 percent, followed by Buffalo businessman Carl Paladino and Suffolk County Executive Steve Levy, each with 11 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.

Cuomo leads in possible general election:
  • 55 - 26 percent over Lazio;
  • 60 - 24 percent over Paladino;
  • 57 - 24 percent over Levy.
In each matchup, Cuomo gets at least 80 percent of the Democratic vote, plus 20 percent or more of the Republican vote and 50 percent or more of the independent vote.

Cuomo's 74 percent job approval, continuing a nine-month string of plus 70 scores, includes a 64 - 24 percent approval among Republicans.

"None of the Republican wannabes draws more than the generic Republican vote against Attorney General Andrew Cuomo, but let's see what happens when we have a campaign," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Besides burying the opposition, Cuomo continues to score high on job-performance.

"Who are those guys? Steve Levy and Carl Paladino don't register at this stage. But neither of them is a shrinking violet. As they start to make noise, we'll see if they can cut into Rick Lazio's lead - for the questionable reward of facing Cuomo."

New York State voters give Cuomo a 59 - 19 percent favorability rating. For Lazio, Paladino and Levy, 56 to 79 percent of voters say they don't know enough about each candidate to form an opinion.

U.S. Senate Race

If former Gov. George Pataki jumps into the U.S. Senate race, he would get 45 percent to Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand's 40 percent. In a Republican primary, Pataki leads announced candidate Bruce Blakeman 64 - 15 percent. Gillibrand tops Blakeman 47 - 25 percent.

New York State voters approve 47 - 25 percent of the job Gillibrand is doing and give her a 37 - 23 percent favorability, as 39 percent don't know enough about her to form an opinion. This is her highest approval and best favorability score since she was named Senator last year.

Pataki gets a 52 - 33 percent favorability while 87 percent of voters don't know enough about Blakeman to form an opinion.

"The threat to Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand always has been from the Democratic left, but that seems to have evaporated," Carroll said. "On the Republican side, former Gov. George Pataki could give her a run. IF he decides to run, that is. Bruce Blakeman remains anonymous."

New York State voters disapprove 65 - 25 percent of the job Gov. David Paterson is doing, but say 62 - 33 percent that he should serve his full term rather than resign. This ties Gov. Paterson's worst approval score since he became Governor in 2008.

New York State voters approve 61 - 26 percent of the job U.S. Sen. Charles Schumer is doing and say 53 - 32 percent that he should be reelected.

"Sen. Chuck Schumer is back over 60 percent on his job approval, defying the conventional wisdom that this is a bad year for incumbents," Carroll said.

President Barack Obama gets a 62 - 33 percent approval, up from 57 - 38 percent February 3 and reversing a slide that began last fall.

From April 6 - 11, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,381 New York State registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. The survey includes 411 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.8 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. (If registered Republican) If the 2010 Republican primary for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Rick Lazio, Steve Levy and Carl Paladino, for whom would you vote?
                     REGISTERED REPS..
                     Tot    Men    Wom
Lazio                34%    40%    29%
Levy                 11     14      9
Paladino             11     13      9
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      2      2
DK/NA                40     30     49
 
 
2. (If registered Republican) If the 2010 Republican primary for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were George Pataki and Bruce Blakeman, for whom would you vote?
                     REGISTERED REPS..
                     Tot    Men    Wom
Pataki               64%    72%    57%
Blakeman             15     12     19
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      1      1
DK/NA                19     15     23
 
 
3. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Andrew Cuomo the Democrat and Rick Lazio the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
Cuomo                55%    21%    82%    50%    50%    60%    50%    73%
Lazio                26     65      4     26     34     18     32      5
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      -      1      4      2      1      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      2      -      3      2      1      2      2
DK/NA                15     12     13     18     11     19     14     19
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
Cuomo                62%    49%    50%    65%    49%
Lazio                13     31     29     17     34
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      2      2      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      3      3      1      -
DK/NA                25     15     16     14     16
 
TREND: If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Andrew Cuomo the Democrat and Rick Lazio the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Apr 13  Feb 3   Dec 15  Oct 21
                     2010    2010    2009    2009
Cuomo                55      57      62      61
Lazio                26      25      22      22
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       1       1       2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2       2       1       2
DK/NA                15      11      14      13
 
 
4. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Andrew Cuomo the Democrat and Steve Levy the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
Cuomo                57%    27%    82%    50%    53%    60%    52%    74%
Levy                 24     57      5     27     31     18     30      5
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      -      4      3      1      2      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      3      -      3      3      1      2      2
DK/NA                15     11     12     17     10     19     13     20
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
Cuomo                71%    50%    53%    69%    43%
Levy                 11     28     25     16     37
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      2      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      4      4      1      1
DK/NA                17     16     16     13     17
 
 
5. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Andrew Cuomo the Democrat and Carl Paladino the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
Cuomo                60%    23%    88%    55%    56%    64%    54%    77%
Paladino             24     58      4     24     31     17     29      6
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      1      2      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      3      -      2      2      1      2      2
DK/NA                14     16      6     16     10     17     14     15
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
Cuomo                70%    50%    52%    72%    54%
Paladino             20     32     30     15     27
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      3      3      1      1
DK/NA                11     15     14     11     18
 
 
6. Is your opinion of - Andrew Cuomo favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
Favorable            59%    39%    75%    55%    54%    62%    56%    63%
Unfavorable          19     38      4     25     29     11     25      4
Hvn't hrd enough     20     21     19     18     15     24     17     29
REFUSED               2      2      1      1      1      2      2      4
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Andrew Cuomo favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? (*High also 63% Apr 2009 and Feb 2009)
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 13  Feb 3   Dec 15  Oct 21  Aug 16  Jun 24  May 13
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009*   2009
Favorable            59      54      57      61      52      63      51
Unfavorable          19      16      14      13      12      15      13
Hvn't hrd enough     20      28      27      23      34      20      34
REFUSED               2       2       1       3       2       2       2
 
 
7. Is your opinion of - Rick Lazio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
Favorable            24%    47%    14%    19%    30%    19%    27%     8%
Unfavorable          19      9     26     19     21     17     19     17
Hvn't hrd enough     56     44     57     60     47     63     51     73
REFUSED               2      1      2      2      3      1      2      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Rick Lazio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Apr 13  Feb 3   Dec 15  Oct 21
                     2010    2010    2009    2009
Favorable            24      20      19      15
Unfavorable          19      15      13      13
Hvn't hrd enough     56      64      67      70
REFUSED               2       1       1       2
 
 
8. Is your opinion of - Steve Levy favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
Favorable            13%    17%     9%    16%    14%    12%    15%     8%
Unfavorable          11      9     14     10     12     10     10      9
Hvn't hrd enough     74     73     75     74     71     77     73     81
REFUSED               1      1      2      1      2      -      1      2
 
 
9. Is your opinion of - Carl Paladino favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
Favorable            12%    22%     8%    10%    14%    10%    13%     6%
Unfavorable           8      3     10      8      8      7      7     10
Hvn't hrd enough     79     74     81     81     76     82     80     84
REFUSED               1      1      1      -      1      1      -      -
 
 
10. If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Kirsten Gillibrand the Democrat and Bruce Blakeman the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
Gillibrand           47%    15%    72%    43%    47%    47%    40%    61%
Blakeman             25     62      5     23     30     21     31      8
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      1      2      2      1      1      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      3      3      3      5      2      4      1
DK/NA                24     20     19     28     17     30     24     30
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
Gillibrand           46%    42%    42%    60%    34%
Blakeman             18     29     28     15     36
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      5      4      4      3      2
DK/NA                31     24     25     21     28
 
TREND: If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Kirsten Gillibrand the Democrat and Bruce Blakeman the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Apr 13  Feb 3
                     2010    2010
Gillibrand           47      44
Blakeman             25      27
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3       2
DK/NA                24      26
 
 
11. If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Kirsten Gillibrand the Democrat and George Pataki the . Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
Gillibrand           40%     9%    65%    32%    40%    40%    34%    55%
Pataki               45     81     22     49     50     40     50     27
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      1      2      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      3      1      1      3      1      2      -
DK/NA                13      7     11     16      7     18     13     17
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
Gillibrand           42%    36%    37%    49%    31%
Pataki               39     48     47     37     52
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      2      2      2      1
DK/NA                18     13     13     12     14
 
 
12. Is your opinion of - Kirsten Gillibrand favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
Favorable            37%    23%    51%    32%    40%    34%    35%    36%
Unfavorable          23     43     11     24     27     20     28     10
Hvn't hrd enough     39     32     38     43     32     45     36     55
REFUSED               1      2      -      1      1      1      1      -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Kirsten Gillibrand favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Apr 13  Feb 3   Dec 15  Jun 24  Apr 6   Feb 17  Jan 26
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009    2009
Favorable            37      33      26      25      24      24      25
Unfavorable          23      22      15      10      11       9      10
Hvn't hrd enough     39      44      58      63      64      65      63
REFUSED               1       1       1       2       1       1       1
 
 
13. Is your opinion of - Bruce Blakeman favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
Favorable             7%    16%     4%     5%    10%     5%     8%     3%
Unfavorable           6      3     10      4      6      6      5      6
Hvn't hrd enough     87     81     87     90     84     89     87     91
REFUSED               -      -      -      1      -      -      -      -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Bruce Blakeman favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Apr 13  Feb 3
                     2010    2010
Favorable             7      11
Unfavorable           6       4
Hvn't hrd enough     87      84
REFUSED               -       1
 
 
14. Is your opinion of - George Pataki favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
Favorable            52%    75%    42%    52%    56%    48%    56%    46%
Unfavorable          33     14     43     32     34     32     30     35
Hvn't hrd enough     14     11     14     12      9     18     13     18
REFUSED               2      -      -      4      1      2      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of George Pataki favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Apr 13  Feb 14
                     2010    2007
Favorable            52      35
Unfavorable          33      55
Hvn't hrd enough     14       7
REFUSED               2       2
 
 
15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way David Paterson is handling his job as Governor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
Approve              25%    22%    25%    27%    29%    22%    25%    36%
Disapprove           65     70     66     64     64     66     67     54
DK/NA                10      9      9      8      7     12      8     10
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
Approve              27%    27%    27%    25%    24%
Disapprove           61     64     64     65     67
DK/NA                13      9      9     11      8
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way David Paterson is handling his job as Governor? (*Low also 21% Mar 5 2010)
                                                     APPROVE.......  DIS...
                                                     High    Low     High
                     Apr 13  Mar 10  Mar 5   Mar 3   Aug 6   Mar 10  Apr 13
                     2010    2010    2010    2010    2008    2010    2010
Approve              25      21      21      24      64      21*     25
Disapprove           65      61      61      62      14      61      65
DK/NA                10      17      18      15      22      17      10
 
 
16. Do you think Governor Paterson should serve his full term until December 31 or should he resign?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
Serve full term      62%    53%    66%    62%    68%    57%    61%    75%
Resign               33     42     28     34     31     36     34     24
DK/NA                 5      5      5      4      2      8      5      1
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
Serve full term      58%    59%    59%    64%    63%
Resign               34     37     36     30     32
DK/NA                 8      4      4      6      5
 
TREND: Do you think Governor Paterson should serve his full term until December 31 or should he resign?
                     Apr 13  Mar 10  Mar 5   Mar 3
                     2010    2010    2010    2010
Serve full term      62      50      46      61
Resign               33      39      42      31
DK/NA                 5      11      12       9
 
 
17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kirsten Gillibrand is handling her job as United States Senator?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
Approve              47%    30%    64%    40%    49%    45%    43%    43%
Disapprove           25     44      9     31     30     20     29     15
DK/NA                29     26     27     29     21     35     28     43
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
Approve              48%    47%    47%    50%    40%
Disapprove           19     28     26     20     29
DK/NA                33     25     26     30     31
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kirsten Gillibrand is handling her job as United States Senator?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 13  Feb 3   Dec 15  Oct 21  Aug 16  Apr 13  Feb 17
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2010    2009
Approve              47      42      40      32      33      47      28
Disapprove           25      28      21      20      19      25      10
DK/NA                29      31      39      48      48      29      62
 
 
18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
Approve              61%    41%    78%    59%    59%    62%    59%    71%
Disapprove           26     44     10     31     31     21     29     13
DK/NA                13     15     12     10     10     17     12     16
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
Approve              55%    58%    57%    70%    51%
Disapprove           18     24     23     21     37
DK/NA                26     18     19      8     11
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator? (*High app also 69% Oct 2001)
                                                     APPROVE.......  DIS...
                                                     High    Low     High
                     Apr 13  Feb 3   Dec 15  Oct 21  Dec 8   Apr 15  Feb 3
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2004*   1999    2010
Approve              61      58      62      62      69      51      58
Disapprove           26      30      27      24      16      22      30
DK/NA                13      12      11      14      15      28      12
 
 
19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
Approve              62%    21%    89%    58%    56%    66%    52%    96%
Disapprove           33     74      7     36     39     29     43      3
DK/NA                 5      5      4      6      5      5      5      1
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
Approve              78%    54%    57%    72%    52%
Disapprove           19     42     39     22     43
DK/NA                 3      4      4      6      5
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                             APPROVE......
                                                             High    Low
                     Apr 13  Feb 3   Dec 15  Oct 21  Aug 16  Feb 19  Feb 3
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009    2010
Approve              62      57      59      62      60      72      57
Disapprove           33      38      36      32      35      17      38
DK/NA                 5       5       5       6       6      10       5
 
 
21. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as State Attorney General?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
Approve              74%    64%    84%    71%    73%    74%    72%    81%
Disapprove           14     24      6     17     17     12     17      4
DK/NA                12     13     10     12     10     14     11     15
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
Approve              75%    71%    72%    80%    66%
Disapprove            8     15     14     12     19
DK/NA                16     14     14      8     15
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as State Attorney General?
                                                     APPROVE.......  DIS...
                                                     High    Low     High
                     Apr 13  Mar 3   Feb 3   Dec 15  Feb 17  Feb 13  Jul 31
                     2010    2010    2010    2009    2009    2007    2007
Approve              74      70      71      74      76      42      68
Disapprove           14      16      15      12      11      16      19
DK/NA                12      14      15      14      13      42      14
 
 
24. Is your opinion of - Richard Ravitch favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
Favorable            12%    10%    15%    14%    16%     9%    15%     8%
Unfavorable           7      5      5      9      9      5      7      4
Hvn't hrd enough     80     85     79     76     74     85     78     87
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      1      1      1      -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Richard Ravitch favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Apr 13  Mar 10  Mar 3
                     2010    2010    2010
Favorable            12      12      12
Unfavorable           7       6       9
Hvn't hrd enough     80      80      78
REFUSED               1       1       1
 
 
25. Looking ahead to the 2010 election for United States Senator, do you feel that Charles Schumer deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
Yes/deserves         53%    29%    75%    48%    52%    55%    52%    70%
No/does not          32     54     13     39     39     25     33     16
DK/NA                15     16     12     13      9     20     14     13
 
                     UpState.....  UpState
                     Urban  Othr   Total  NYC    Sub
Yes/deserves         64%    47%    49%    61%    48%
No/does not          20     35     32     26     40
DK/NA                17     19     18     13     12
 
TREND: Looking ahead to the 2010 election for United States Senator, do you feel that Charles Schumer deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Apr 13  Feb 3
                     2010    2010
Yes/deserves         53      54
No/does not          32      33
DK/NA                15      13