September 21, 2011 - Upstate New York Voters Divided On Gas Drilling, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Voters Statewide Support Vegas-Style Casinos

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While New York State voters support by a thin 45 - 41 percent margin drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale because they think economic benefits outweigh the environmental concerns, upstate voters are divided, with 47 percent opposed because they are more worried about the environment and 43 percent in support, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

New York City voters split on drilling 41 - 41 percent and suburban voters support drilling 56 - 31 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. Support is 69 - 20 percent among Republicans and 47 - 42 percent among independent voters while Democrats are opposed 52 - 35 percent.

There is a gender gap as men support drilling 52 - 39 percent while women are opposed 44 - 39 percent.

Tax the companies that drill for natural gas, New York State voters say 51 - 36 percent.

By a strong 74 - 19 percent, New Yorkers believe drilling will create jobs. Support among upstate, New York City and suburban voters is similar.

But voters believe 51 - 13 percent, with 35 percent who don't know, that hydro-fracking will damage the environment. There is strong concern about the environment, 54 - 16 percent, among upstate voters.

"Would hydro-fracking produce jobs? Overwhelmingly voters say yes. Would it damage the environment? Another yes - but less emphatically," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Upstate voters, who have the most to gain in terms of jobs and the most to lose in terms of the environment, oppose natural gas drilling, while suburban voters support it."

New York State voters support 56 - 37 percent the creation of casinos "similar to those in Atlantic City and Las Vegas." Support is 56 - 37 percent in New York City, 58 - 36 percent in the suburbs and 54 - 37 percent upstate. All groups support casinos with the strongest support, 61 - 32 percent, among voters with a union member in the household.

Casinos would be good for the economy, voters say 64 - 31 percent, with all groups agreeing.

By a similar 63 - 33 percent, voters say casinos will lead to an increase in gambling addiction, also with agreement among all groups.

"Roll the dice. Spin the wheel. Hit me. New Yorkers of every stripe say what stays in Vegas should stay in the Empire State as well," Carroll said.

"Casinos would be good for the economy, voters think, but they also think there'd be an increase in gambling addiction."

From September 13 - 18, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,016 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.


21. Some people say there should be drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale because of the economic benefits. Others say there should not be drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale because of the environmental impact. Which comes closer to your point of view?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Drilling             45%    69%    35%    47%    52%    39%
No drilling          41     20     52     42     39     44
DK/NA                13     12     13     11      9     17
 
                                          Union
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHlds
 
Drilling             43%    41%    56%    48%
No drilling          47     41     31     41
DK/NA                10     18     13     11
 
TREND: Some people say there should be drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale because of the economic benefits. Others say there should not be drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale because of the environmental impact. Which comes closer to your point of view?
                     Sep 21  Aug 11
                     2011    2011
 
Drilling             45      47
No drilling          41      42
DK/NA                13      12
 
 
22. Do you support or oppose a new tax on companies drilling for natural gas in the state's Marcellus Shale?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Support              51%    35%    61%    55%    52%    51%
Oppose               36     52     28     32     40     33
DK/NA                12     13     11     12      8     16
 
                                          Union
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHlds
 
Support              49%    54%    52%    55%
Oppose               39     32     38     34
DK/NA                12     14     11     12
 
TREND: Do you support or oppose a new tax on companies drilling for natural gas in the state's Marcellus Shale?
                     Sep 21  Aug 11
                     2011    2011
 
Support              51      59
Oppose               36      29
DK/NA                12      12
 
 
23. Do you think that drilling for natural gas in the state's Marcellus Shale will create jobs or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  74%    86%    71%    74%    78%    70%
No                   19      8     22     19     17     21
DK/NA                 7      6      8      7      5      9
 
                                          Union
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHlds
 
Yes                  75%    71%    77%    74%
No                   20     20     15     19
DK/NA                 5      9      8      7
 
TREND: Do you think that drilling for natural gas in the state's Marcellus Shale will create jobs or not?
                     Sep 21  Aug 11
                     2011    2011
 
Yes                  74      75
No                   19      17
DK/NA                 7       8
 
 
24. Have you heard or read anything about hydro-fracking?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  53%    57%    45%    61%    61%    45%
No                   46     43     54     38     38     54
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      1      1
 
                                          Union
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHlds
 
Yes                  73%    35%    45%    56%
No                   25     64     55     43
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1
 
TREND: Have you heard or read anything about hydro-fracking?
                     Sep 21  Aug 11
                     2011    2011
 
Yes                  53      57
No                   46      42
DK/NA                 1       1
 
 
25. Natural gas drilling companies want to practice hydro-fracking in New York State. Hydro-fracking is the process of pumping water and chemicals into the ground under high pressure to fracture rocks. This releases natural gas trapped in the rocks which is then collected. Do you think hydro-fracking will cause environmental damage or not, or don't you know?
                                                               HEARD Q24
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
                                                                        
Yes/Will damage      51%    33%    65%    47%    45%    56%    55     47
No/Won't Damage      13     26      5     15     18      8     19      6
Don't Know           35     39     30     38     36     35     25     47
REFUSED               -      1      -      1      -      -      -      -
 
                                          Union
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHlds
 
Yes/Will damage      54%    54%    40%    49%
No/Won't Damage      16      9     15     16
Don't Know           29     37     45     34
REFUSED               -      -      -      -
 
TREND: Natural gas drilling companies want to practice hydro-fracking in New York State. Hydro-fracking is the process of pumping water and chemicals into the ground under high pressure to fracture rocks. This releases natural gas trapped in the rocks which is then collected. Do you think hydro-fracking will cause environmental damage or not, or don't you know?
                     Sep 21  Aug 11
                     2011    2011
 
Yes/Will damage      51      52
No/Won't Damage      13      15
Don't Know           35      33
REFUSED               -       -
 
 
31. Do you support or oppose the creation of non-indian casinos in New York State, similar to those in Atlantic City and Las Vegas?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Support              56%    60%    52%    61%    60%    52%
Oppose               37     35     42     33     35     39
DK/NA                 7      5      6      6      6      8
 
                                          Union
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHlds
 
Support              54%    56%    58%    61%
Oppose               37     37     36     32
DK/NA                 8      6      6      7
 
 
32. Do you think the creation of these casinos would be good for the economy or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  64%    67%    61%    69%    66%    62%
No                   31     28     34     27     30     32
DK/NA                 5      5      5      5      4      6
 
                                          Union
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHlds
 
Yes                  62%    67%    63%    71%
No                   32     28     33     25
DK/NA                 6      5      4      4
 
 
33. Do you think the creation of these casinos would lead to an increase in gambling addiction or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Yes                  63%    57%    66%    62%    65%    61%
No                   33     37     30     35     31     35
DK/NA                 4      6      4      2      3      4
 
                                          Union
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHlds
 
Yes                  67%    62%    57%    57%
No                   30     34     37     39
DK/NA                 3      3      6      4
 
 

Demographic Summary