September 13, 2012 - Obama Tops Romney Almost 2-1 In New York, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Gillibrand Does Even Better In Senate Race

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President Barack Obama buries Gov. Mitt Romney, his Republican challenger, 62 - 34 percent among New York State likely voters, with a 20-point lead among men and a 35-point lead among women, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This is the first measure of likely voters by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University and can not be compared with earlier surveys of registered voters.

In today's survey, President Obama leads 94 - 4 percent among Democrats and 58 - 37 percent among independent voters, while Republicans turn to Romney 89 - 10 percent. Obama has big leads among all income and age groups.

White Catholics back Romney 56 - 42 percent while white Protestants back Obama by a narrow 51 - 47 percent. White men are split 48 - 48 percent while white women back the president 57 - 40 percent.

"The only reason President Barack Obama or Gov. Mitt Romney will come to New York is to raise money. Unless something unforeseen happens, the poll numbers say it's an Obama blow-out," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Besides his usual close to unanimous vote in the Black community, Obama also carries the white vote in New York. Men like him a lot; women like him even more."

President Obama gets a 61 - 36 percent favorability rating from New York State likely voters, compared to Romney's negative 34 - 52 percent rating.

Vice President Joseph Biden gets a 51 - 34 percent favorability, while U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan, Romney's running mate, gets a negative 27 - 45 percent score.

New York State likely voters say 49 - 31 percent that Biden is qualified to be president. Ryan is not qualified to be president, voters say 35 - 30 percent, with 35 percent undecided.

U.S. Senate Race

In the first likely voter look at New York's U.S. Senate race, Democratic incumbent Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand leads Republican challenger Wendy Long 64 - 27 percent. Republicans back long 71 - 23 percent, but Gillibrand takes every other group by wide margins.

By a 54 - 16 percent margin, likely voters have a favorable opinion of Gillibrand. For Long, 74 percent don't know enough about her to form an opinion.

"The significant number in the Senate race is how many voters don't know enough to decide whether they like or dislike Wendy Long," Carroll said. "Hardly anyone knew Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand when she was first appointed but it looks like an easy six more years.

The economy is "extremely" important to their vote for president, 62 percent of voters say, followed by 54 percent who list health care as "extremely important" and 49 percent who cite Medicare.

Obama will do a better job than Romney on each issue, voters say:
  • 57 - 36 percent on the economy;
  • 63 - 32 percent on health care;
  • 61 - 32 percent on Medicare.
"Issues? Just like everywhere else, New Yorkers list the economy first, then health care," Carroll said. "New York voters say the president will do a better job than the challenger on every issue."

From September 4 - 9, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,486 New York State likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or Romney? (Table includes leaners) (* Subgroup size less than 75, additional caution should be taken when interpreting findings of this group because of the large margin of error)
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk   Hsp*
                                                                                
Obama                62%    10%    94%    58%    58%    66%    52%    95%    84%
Romney               34     89      4     37     38     31     44      2     14 
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      1      2      2      1      2      -      - 
DK/NA                 2      -      2      3      2      3      2      2      3 
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom
 
Obama                66%    42%    51%    42%    48%    57%
Romney               30     54     47     56     48     40
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      1      -      3      1
DK/NA                 2      2      2      2      1      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                71%    57%    67%    64%    63%    61%    75%    64%    57%
Romney               26     39     28     33     35     35     20     33     40
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      2      2      1      1      1      4      1      -
DK/NA                 2      2      3      1      1      2      1      2      3
 
 
1a. (If candidate chosen q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......
                     CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1
                     Tot    Obama  Romney
 
Mind made up         91%    92%    90%
Might change          8      7      9
DK/NA                 1      1      1
 
 
2. Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? (* Subgroup size less than 75, additional caution should be taken when interpreting findings of this group because of the large margin of error)
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk   Hsp*
                                                                                
Favorable            34%    82%     9%    38%    39%    30%    42%     9%    12%
Unfavorable          52      8     79     47     49     55     47     69     75 
Hvn't hrd enough     11      9     11     13     10     13     10     20     10 
REFUSED               2      1      2      2      2      2      1      2      4 
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom
 
Favorable            33%    49%    43%    54%    47%    38%
Unfavorable          59     38     42     37     44     49
Hvn't hrd enough      6     12     13      8      8     11
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      1      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            28%    38%    27%    36%    34%    36%    26%    32%    40%
Unfavorable          63     45     52     51     55     54     58     57     46
Hvn't hrd enough      6     15     20     12      9      8     15     10     12
REFUSED               2      1      2      2      2      2      -      2      2
 
 
3. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? (* Subgroup size less than 75, additional caution should be taken when interpreting findings of this group because of the large margin of error)
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk   Hsp*
                                                                                
Favorable            61%    13%    92%    54%    57%    65%    52%    94%    80%
Unfavorable          36     85      6     41     39     33     45      4     14 
Hvn't hrd enough      1      1      1      3      1      2      1      1      4 
REFUSED               2      1      1      3      2      1      2      1      3 
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom
 
Favorable            66%    42%    50%    42%    48%    56%
Unfavorable          32     54     47     54     49     41
Hvn't hrd enough      1      2      3      1      1      1
REFUSED               1      2      -      2      2      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            69%    56%    66%    65%    62%    58%    72%    63%    57%
Unfavorable          28     40     27     34     35     40     28     34     39
Hvn't hrd enough      1      2      3      -      1      2      -      1      2
REFUSED               2      2      4      1      2      -      -      2      2
 
 
4. If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Wendy Long the Republican and Conservative party candidate and Kirsten Gillibrand the Democrat, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Long or Gillibrand? (Table includes leaners)
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Long                 27%    71%     2%    29%    33%    21%    32%     7%
Gillibrand           64     23     92     56     60     68     59     83
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      1      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 9      6      6     15      7     11      9     10
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom
 
Long                 25%    37%    36%    41%    40%    25%
Gillibrand           67     53     51     52     54     63
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 7     10     13      7      6     12
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Long                 22%    30%    25%    22%    26%    29%    18%    26%    31%
Gillibrand           71     59     61     68     66     64     64     67     62
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                 7     11     13     10      8      6     18      8      7
 
 
4a. (If Senate candidate chosen q4) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
                     LIKELY VOTERS...........
                     CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q4.....
                     Tot    Long   Gillibrand
 
Mind made up         81%    81%    81%
Might change         19     19     19
DK/NA                 -      1      -
 
 
5. Is your opinion of Kirsten Gillibrand favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            54%    24%    74%    50%    51%    56%    53%    64%
Unfavorable          16     42      2     17     20     12     20      4
Hvn't hrd enough     29     34     23     33     27     31     27     32
REFUSED               1      1      1      -      1      -      1      1
 
 
6. Is your opinion of Wendy Long favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            15%    37%     5%    12%    18%    12%    16%     9%
Unfavorable          10      3     16      6      9     10      9     16
Hvn't hrd enough     74     59     78     81     72     77     74     75
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      1      1      1      -
 
 
9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kirsten Gillibrand is handling her job as United States Senator?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              60%    33%    77%    59%    56%    64%    59%    72%
Disapprove           20     50      4     21     26     15     23      8
DK/NA                20     18     19     20     18     21     18     20
 
 
10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? (* Subgroup size less than 75, additional caution should be taken when interpreting findings of this group because of the large margin of error)
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk   Hsp*
                                                                                
Approve              61%    12%    91%    56%    57%    64%    52%    93%    84%
Disapprove           36     87      7     41     40     33     46      5     16 
DK/NA                 3      1      2      3      2      3      2      2      - 
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom
 
Approve              66%    42%    49%    43%    48%    55%
Disapprove           33     56     49     55     51     42
DK/NA                 1      2      2      2      1      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              69%    56%    67%    64%    61%    60%    71%    62%    58%
Disapprove           28     42     28     35     37     39     26     36     40
DK/NA                 3      2      5      2      1      1      3      2      3
 
 
14. Currently, Republicans control the House of Representatives and Democrats control the United States Senate. After the election in November, would you prefer that the Democrats control both houses of Congress, the Republicans control both houses of Congress, or would you prefer that control is split as it is today?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Democrats control    45%     4%    72%    40%    45%    46%    41%    62%
Republicans control  27     73      2     27     32     21     34      2
Control is split     24     21     23     28     20     29     21     35
DK/NA                 4      3      2      5      3      4      4      2
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom
 
Democrats control    57%    30%    33%    31%    41%    41%
Republicans control  23     41     34     43     41     27
Control is split     16     25     27     22     15     27
DK/NA                 3      5      6      4      4      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Democrats control    60%    36%    41%    43%    47%    50%    50%    47%    43%
Republicans control  20     30     21     26     27     28     20     25     30
Control is split     17     29     32     29     23     19     28     24     23
DK/NA                 2      4      6      2      3      2      1      3      4
 
 
15. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
More                 42%    51%    42%    35%    42%    42%    40%    46%
Less                 14      9     11     22     13     15     15      5
About the same       43     40     46     42     45     42     44     46
DK/NA                 1      -      1      1      1      1      1      2
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom
 
More                 36%    43%    38%    45%    40%    40%
Less                 16     14     16     13     14     16
About the same       47     42     45     42     45     43
DK/NA                 1      -      1      -      1      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
More                 38%    45%    45%    46%    42%    38%    35%    42%    46%
Less                 15     13     13     12     13     15     14     14     13
About the same       46     42     42     42     44     47     50     44     40
DK/NA                 1      1      -      1      1      1      1      -      1
 
 
16. Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            56%     8%    90%    46%    52%    60%    48%    87%
Unfavorable          36     85      7     43     42     30     45      5
Hvn't hrd enough      6      7      2      7      4      8      5      8
REFUSED               2      -      1      4      2      2      2      -
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom
 
Favorable            60%    39%    43%    40%    43%    52%
Unfavorable          36     51     44     55     52     38
Hvn't hrd enough      2      8     10      4      2      8
REFUSED               2      2      3      2      2      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            63%    52%    60%    61%    57%    57%    64%    58%    52%
Unfavorable          32     38     27     36     35     40     28     36     39
Hvn't hrd enough      2      8     11      3      6      2      7      4      7
REFUSED               2      2      2      1      3      1      -      2      2
 
 
17. Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            32%    85%     5%    33%    35%    30%    38%     6%
Unfavorable          59     10     87     55     57     60     54     83
Hvn't hrd enough      6      4      6      8      5      8      5      8
REFUSED               3      1      2      4      4      2      2      3
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom
 
Favorable            26%    47%    39%    51%    40%    37%
Unfavorable          70     43     48     42     54     54
Hvn't hrd enough      3      7      9      5      3      7
REFUSED               1      3      4      2      4      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favorable            23%    38%    29%    32%    33%    31%    26%    31%    36%
Unfavorable          72     50     51     60     60     65     68     61     53
Hvn't hrd enough      3      8     17      6      2      3      5      6      8
REFUSED               2      4      2      2      5      1      1      2      3
 
 
18. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            51%     8%    78%    46%    48%    53%    46%    71%
Unfavorable          34     80      7     40     40     29     41      8
Hvn't hrd enough     14     11     15     13     12     16     12     20
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      1      1      1      -
 
 
19. Is your opinion of Paul Ryan favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            27%    69%     5%    27%    32%    22%    34%     2%
Unfavorable          45      7     67     44     45     45     43     55
Hvn't hrd enough     28     24     28     29     23     33     23     42
REFUSED               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      1
 
 
20. Do you think Joe Biden is or is not qualified to serve as President if it becomes necessary, or don't you know enough about Joe Biden to say?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Qualified            49%    13%    71%    44%    46%    51%    45%    68%
Not qualified        31     68      9     34     35     28     37      9
Don't know enough    20     18     19     22     18     21     18     22
DK/NA                 -      -      1      -      1      -      -      1
 
 
21. Do you think Paul Ryan is or is not qualified to serve as President if it becomes necessary, or don't you know enough about Paul Ryan to say?
                     LIKELY VOTERS.......................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Qualified            30%    65%    13%    29%    35%    25%    37%    10%
Not qualified        35      6     51     32     35     34     31     41
Don't know enough    35     30     35     38     29     40     32     49
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      -      -      1
 
 
Q22a. (Summary table for ques 22-29 & ques 32-39) Will -issue- be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President? Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on -issue- Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? (This table reports only those saying an issue is extremely important to their vote)
                     LIKELY VOTERS SAYING -ISSUE- IS EXTREMELY IMPORTANT TO VOTE
                     IssueExtremely    CAND WHO WOULD BETTER HANDLE ISSUE Q32-39
(Issue)              ImpToVote Q22-29  Obama  Romney DK/NA
 
The economy          62                49     44      7
Health care          54                66     30      5
Medicare             49                68     26      6
Budget deficit       42                37     57      6
Taxes                39                50     45      5
Reproductive health  36                85     11      3
Foreign policy       33                56     39      5
Abortion             29                74     23      3
 
 
22. Will - health care be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Extremely important  54%    47%    60%    50%    46%    61%    55%    59%
Very important       34     36     32     36     38     30     31     38
Somewhat important   10     13      7     13     12      8     12      3
Not important         2      3      1      1      3      -      2      -
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      1      -      1      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Extremely important  58%    51%    51%    58%    56%    52%    56%    53%    54%
Very important       28     38     43     33     31     32     32     31     37
Somewhat important   12      9      3      8     10     16     10     13      7
Not important         1      2      1      1      3      1      2      2      1
DK/NA                 -      1      1      -      -      -      -      1      -
 
 
23. Will - taxes be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Extremely important  39%    47%    33%    38%    39%    39%    40%    46%
Very important       41     40     41     46     40     42     39     40
Somewhat important   17     12     22     12     16     18     17     12
Not important         3      1      3      4      5      1      3      3
DK/NA                 1      -      1      -      1      -      -      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Extremely important  40%    37%    32%    44%    40%    40%    33%    42%    38%
Very important       35     46     53     38     39     38     41     38     44
Somewhat important   21     14     12     15     18     19     22     19     13
Not important         3      2      3      2      2      3      3      1      4
DK/NA                 -      1      -      1      1      -      -      -      1
 
 
24. Will - the economy be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Extremely important  62%    73%    55%    64%    60%    64%    65%    54%
Very important       31     25     37     27     32     31     29     38
Somewhat important    5      1      5      9      7      4      5      3
Not important         1      -      2      -      1      1      1      4
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Extremely important  61%    63%    56%    60%    66%    66%    62%    68%    57%
Very important       31     32     38     35     28     28     31     26     36
Somewhat important    7      4      5      4      5      5      6      5      5
Not important         1      1      1      1      1      2      1      1      1
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
 
 
25. Will - the budget deficit be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Extremely important  42%    61%    31%    40%    41%    42%    45%    33%
Very important       35     31     40     33     34     37     31     48
Somewhat important   18      7     23     23     20     17     20     14
Not important         4      1      6      5      5      4      5      5
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Extremely important  37%    45%    38%    42%    39%    45%    36%    46%    42%
Very important       33     37     46     36     35     29     39     29     37
Somewhat important   25     14     12     18     22     21     20     20     17
Not important         6      3      3      4      4      4      5      4      4
DK/NA                 -      -      1      -      -      -      -      -      -
 
 
26. Will - foreign policy be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Extremely important  33%    40%    30%    32%    35%    31%    34%    30%
Very important       41     38     45     41     38     44     40     43
Somewhat important   22     19     22     24     22     22     23     22
Not important         3      3      3      3      4      2      3      3
DK/NA                 1      1      1      -      1      -      -      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Extremely important  35%    31%    27%    32%    34%    34%    30%    32%    36%
Very important       42     41     44     43     40     42     42     42     39
Somewhat important   22     23     23     22     23     22     26     24     19
Not important         1      4      6      4      2      2      2      2      4
DK/NA                 -      1      1      -      2      -      -      -      2
 
 
27. Will - Medicare, which is the government program which pays for health care for seniors be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Extremely important  49%    42%    56%    44%    43%    55%    47%    58%
Very important       33     36     33     33     36     31     32     39
Somewhat important   15     19     10     20     17     13     17      3
Not important         2      4      1      3      4      1      3      -
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Extremely important  44%    53%    55%    57%    47%    42%    42%    44%    56%
Very important       31     35     37     32     35     32     34     30     36
Somewhat important   22     10      6     11     16     24     18     22      8
Not important         2      2      3      1      3      2      6      3      -
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
 
 
28. Will - women's reproductive health issues be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Extremely important  36%    19%    52%    26%    25%    47%    34%    48%
Very important       27     19     29     30     30     24     25     27
Somewhat important   21     32     13     25     24     18     22     17
Not important        14     27      4     17     19     10     17      4
DK/NA                 2      2      2      2      2      2      2      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Extremely important  39%    34%    37%    40%    36%    36%    42%    39%    33%
Very important       26     27     31     28     25     25     23     24     29
Somewhat important   18     23     14     20     25     20     23     19     22
Not important        14     14     15      9     13     18     11     17     13
DK/NA                 2      2      3      3      1      1      1      2      3
 
 
29. Will - the issue of abortion be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Extremely important  29%    22%    37%    22%    22%    36%    30%    27%
Very important       24     19     26     25     23     25     22     27
Somewhat important   23     29     21     24     25     21     24     19
Not important        21     28     14     26     26     17     22     24
DK/NA                 3      2      2      4      3      2      2      3
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom
 
Extremely important  32%    29%    29%    29%    21%    37%
Very important       23     21     22     21     22     22
Somewhat important   23     25     24     30     27     22
Not important        22     22     22     19     28     17
DK/NA                 1      2      3      1      2      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Extremely important  31%    28%    23%    31%    28%    33%    30%    28%    29%
Very important       26     23     28     30     22     20     25     22     24
Somewhat important   23     23     23     21     28     19     19     23     25
Not important        20     22     22     13     20     28     24     25     18
DK/NA                 1      4      4      4      2      -      1      1      4
 
 
30. Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes                  66%    19%    94%    62%    62%    69%    57%    95%
No                   31     79      5     33     35     28     40      3
DK/NA                 3      2      2      5      3      3      3      1
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom
 
Yes                  70%    48%    55%    48%    54%    61%
No                   28     48     42     49     44     36
DK/NA                 2      3      3      2      3      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  73%    61%    69%    69%    67%    65%    76%    66%    62%
No                   24     36     26     30     30     33     21     32     35
DK/NA                 2      3      4      1      3      2      4      2      3
 
 
31. Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Yes                  36%    75%    13%    40%    39%    33%    43%    12%
No                   57     21     81     52     55     59     51     81
DK/NA                 7      4      6      9      6      8      6      6
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom
 
Yes                  34%    49%    46%    51%    48%    38%
No                   62     43     48     43     47     54
DK/NA                 4      8      6      6      5      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Yes                  30%    39%    33%    36%    32%    38%    33%    31%    41%
No                   66     52     56     56     62     59     60     63     52
DK/NA                 4      9     11      8      6      3      7      7      7
 
 
32. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - health care, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                63%    13%    92%    61%    60%    65%    52%    97%
Romney               32     83      5     33     36     28     41      3
DK/NA                 5      4      3      6      4      7      6      -
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               Hlth Care Extrmly 
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Imp to Vote Q22     
                                                                                   
Obama                68%    41%    50%    42%    49%    55%    66%                 
Romney               28     51     43     54     46     37     30                  
DK/NA                 4      8      7      4      5      8      5                  
                                                               
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                72%    56%    69%    65%    61%    62%    75%    63%    58%
Romney               25     37     23     31     34     34     19     32     37
DK/NA                 3      7      9      4      5      4      6      5      5
 
 
33. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - taxes, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                60%    11%    92%    53%    56%    64%    51%    91%
Romney               34     85      5     40     39     30     43      5
DK/NA                 6      5      3      7      4      7      6      5
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               Taxes Extrmly   
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Imp to Vote Q23 
                                                                               
Obama                64%    42%    47%    41%    46%    55%    50%             
Romney               33     51     45     55     50     38     45              
DK/NA                 3      7      8      3      4      7      5              
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                68%    55%    65%    64%    59%    59%    72%    61%    55%
Romney               28     38     26     32     36     38     22     34     39
DK/NA                 4      7      9      4      4      3      6      5      5
 
 
34. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                57%    10%    88%    50%    55%    60%    48%    92%
Romney               36     88      6     43     41     32     46      5
DK/NA                 6      2      5      7      4      8      6      3
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               Economy Extrmly 
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Imp to Vote Q24 
                                                                               
Obama                60%    40%    43%    39%    44%    51%    49%             
Romney               35     53     49     57     52     41     44              
DK/NA                 5      7      8      4      4      8      7              
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                65%    52%    61%    60%    58%    55%    66%    59%    53%
Romney               30     40     30     34     37     40     26     35     42
DK/NA                 5      7     10      6      5      6      8      7      5
 
 
35. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - the budget deficit, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                53%     8%    82%    45%    49%    57%    43%    86%
Romney               39     89     11     45     44     35     49      8
DK/NA                 8      2      7     10      7      8      8      6
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               Defict Extrmly  
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Imp to Vote Q25
                                                                              
Obama                54%    36%    40%    35%    37%    49%    37%            
Romney               40     55     53     59     56     42     57             
DK/NA                 6      9      7      6      7      9      6             
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                60%    49%    56%    56%    55%    50%    60%    54%    49%
Romney               34     43     33     37     39     44     31     39     44
DK/NA                 6      9     12      7      6      6      9      7      7
 
 
36. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - foreign policy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                61%    15%    88%    59%    58%    63%    52%    89%
Romney               31     80      4     33     36     26     39      3
DK/NA                 8      5      9      8      5     11      9      8
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                              Forgn Plcy Extrmly 
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Imp to Vote Q26        
                                                                                      
Obama                68%    41%    50%    42%    50%    55%    56%                    
Romney               27     47     42     49     44     34     39                     
DK/NA                 4     12      7      9      6     11      5                     
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                71%    54%    63%    64%    61%    61%    67%    62%    58%
Romney               24     35     29     27     31     33     21     31     36
DK/NA                 5     10      8     10      8      6     11      7      7
 
 
37. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - Medicare, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                61%    12%    91%    58%    59%    64%    51%    96%
Romney               32     83      4     36     36     29     42      1
DK/NA                 6      5      5      5      5      8      7      3
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               Medicare Extrmly 
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Imp to Vote Q27  
                                                                                
Obama                65%    41%    47%    42%    48%    54%    68%              
Romney               30     50     44     53     46     37     26               
DK/NA                 5      9      9      5      6      9      6               
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                70%    56%    68%    62%    61%    59%    73%    61%    58%
Romney               26     36     23     31     35     35     22     32     37
DK/NA                 5      8      9      7      4      6      5      7      5
 
 
38. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - women's reproductive health issues, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                67%    27%    92%    65%    63%    71%    60%    93%
Romney               20     54      3     19     22     19     25      2
DK/NA                13     19      4     17     15     10     15      5
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                              Wom RepHth Extrmly 
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Imp to Vote Q28            
                                                                                          
Obama                73%    50%    57%    49%    55%    64%    85%                        
Romney               15     33     28     34     28     23     11                         
DK/NA                11     17     15     16     17     12      3                         
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                76%    62%    63%    70%    71%    71%    77%    72%    61%
Romney               13     25     22     21     17     16     12     15     27
DK/NA                11     14     15      9     12     13     11     13     12
 
 
39. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - the issue of abortion, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Obama                64%    24%    88%    63%    61%    67%    57%    90%
Romney               22     59      5     21     24     21     28      4
DK/NA                13     17      7     16     14     12     15      6
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               Abortion Extrmly
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Imp to Vote Q29 
                                                                               
Obama                70%    47%    53%    45%    51%    61%    74%             
Romney               18     35     31     40     31     26     23              
DK/NA                11     18     16     15     18     13      3              
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Obama                74%    58%    57%    68%    68%    70%    77%    71%    56%
Romney               16     27     24     21     22     18     15     18     30
DK/NA                10     15     19     10      9     12      9     11     15
 
 
40. Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Legal all cases      39%    19%    50%    39%    35%    43%    38%    46%
Legal most cases     33     35     33     33     35     31     34     35
Illegal most cases   14     25      8     12     14     13     15      5
Illegal all cases     7     13      6      5      8      7      7      8
DK/NA                 7      7      3     11      9      5      6      5
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom
 
Legal all cases      45%    33%    32%    26%    32%    43%
Legal most cases     34     34     35     38     37     31
Illegal most cases   12     17     18     19     16     14
Illegal all cases     3      9      8     10      6      7
DK/NA                 6      7      8      8      9      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Legal all cases      46%    35%    32%    42%    41%    46%    45%    45%    33%
Legal most cases     35     32     29     31     37     37     29     35     33
Illegal most cases   11     15     14     17     12     10     13     12     15
Illegal all cases     3     10     15      6      5      3      7      4     11
DK/NA                 5      8     11      5      6      3      5      4      9
 
 
41. How about when the pregnancy was caused by rape or incest? Do you think abortion should be legal in that situation or illegal?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..............................................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Legal                88%    79%    93%    87%    87%    89%    88%    92%
Illegal               7     14      4      6      6      8      6      7
DK/NA                 5      7      3      6      8      3      6      1
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom
 
Legal                92%    85%    85%    82%    87%    89%
Illegal               4      8      6     11      5      7
DK/NA                 3      7      9      7      8      4
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...  AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50  50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Legal                93%    84%    76%    90%    92%    94%    95%    93%    81%
Illegal               4      9     15      7      5      4      3      5     11
DK/NA                 3      7      9      3      3      2      2      2      8
 
 
42. (Post 9/6 speech) Did you watch Barack Obama's televised speech at the Democratic National Convention?
                     LIKELY VOTERS................................
                     FRIDAY THRU SUNDAY...........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht
 
Yes                  66%    53%    73%    64%    67%    64%    61%
No                   34     46     27     36     33     36     39
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      -      -
 
 
43. (Post 9/6 speech) Based on what you've seen, heard, or read, did Obama's speech at the Democratic National Convention make you think more favorably of Barack Obama, less favorably of Barack Obama, or didn't it affect your opinion of Barack Obama?
                     LIKELY VOTERS................................
                     FRIDAY THRU SUNDAY...........................
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht
 
More favorably       30%     7%    48%    19%    26%    34%    22%
Less favorably       10     31      1      9     11      9     12
Not affect opinion   56     59     47     69     59     53     62
DK/NA                 4      3      4      3      4      3      4