March 19, 2013 - New York Republicans Turn On Cuomo For First Time Ever, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Clinton Is Top 2016 Choice As Cuomo Beats Christie

Word format
PDF format

Republican voters disapprove of New York State Gov. Andrew Cuomo for the first time since he took office two years ago, leaving him with an overall 55 - 27 percent job approval rating, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Today's results compare to a 59 - 28 percent job approval January 30 and an all-time high of 74 - 13 percent in a December 12 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe- ack) University. Approval today is 69 - 12 percent among Democrats and 49 - 34 percent among independent voters, while Republicans disapprove 49 - 38 percent, the poll finds. Men approve 55 - 31 percent while women approve 55 - 24 percent.

Republican approval of Cuomo peaked at 69 - 19 percent July 25 and dropped to a 44 - 43 percent split January 30. Upstate voters approve 44 - 38 percent, while New York City voters approve 68 - 13 percent and suburban voters approve 53 - 33 percent.

New York State voters support 64 - 31 percent the stricter gun-control laws which Cuomo signed in January, with Republicans opposed 59 - 37 percent. Voters approve 49 - 38 percent of Cuomo's handling of gun policy, with Republicans disapproving 63 - 28 percent and upstate voters disapproving 55 - 35 percent. Approval is 67 - 18 percent among Democrats, 61 - 22 percent in New York City and 54 - 33 percent in the suburbs.

"New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo built his envy-of-the-nation string of approval ratings on huge support from the other party - unheard of in today's era of take-no-prisoners partisan politics," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"His first-in-the-nation move for gun control hurt Gov. Cuomo with Republicans and independent voters. The geographical split is wide: upstaters disapprove heavily of the way the governor handled the gun issue, but city voters support him even more heavily.

"But, by 2-1, voters approve of tougher laws and they approve 2-1 of Cuomo overall."

"This week's news on the state budget could help Cuomo win back some Republicans in the months ahead - or not," Carroll added.

In an early look at the 2016 presidential race in New York State, voters back former Senator and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton over New Jersey Gov. Christie 59 - 32 percent.

Cuomo tops Christie in New York 46 - 38 percent.

The big swing is among independent voters, who back Clinton over Christie 48 - 35 percent and back Christie over Cuomo 48 - 29 percent.

Cuomo gets a 52 - 27 percent favorability rating from New York State voters, almost matching his approval rating.

Clinton gets a 71 - 24 percent favorability rating, with 55 - 17 percent for Christie.

"Gov. Cuomo tops New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie in the way-down-the-road presidential election," Carroll said.

"But the Empire State's adopted daughter, Chappaqua's own Hillary Clinton, is the New Yorker with the big numbers.

"When we look at favorability, Cuomo's in third place, behind Clinton and Christie."

New York State votes approve 57 - 39 percent of the job President Barack Obama is doing.

U.S. Sen. Charles Schumer gets a 61 - 27 percent approval rating, with 57 - 21 percent for U.S. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand.

From March 11 - 17, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,165 New York State voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information or RSS feed, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, or call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as Governor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              55%    38%    69%    49%    55%    55%    53%    66%
Disapprove           27     49     12     34     31     24     32     15
DK/NA                18     14     20     17     14     21     16     20
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              64%    49%    53%    58%    62%    46%    54%    60%
Disapprove           25     29     26     31     27     26     30     27
DK/NA                11     22     20     11     11     28     16     13
 
                     AREA.............    UPSTATE NY.......
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    Rep    Dem    Ind
 
Approve              44%    68%    53%    30%    60%    38%
Disapprove           38     13     33     55     19     43
DK/NA                19     19     14     15     20     19
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as Governor?
                     REGISTERED VOTERS.....................................
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Mar 19  Jan 30  Dec 12  Sep 12  Jul 25  Dec 12  Mar 19
                     2013    2013    2012    2012    2012    2012    2013
 
Approve              55      59      74      70      73      74      55
Disapprove           27      28      13      16      16      13      27
DK/NA                18      13      13      14      12      13      18
 
                     REPUBLICANS...........................................
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Mar 19  Jan 30  Dec 12  Sep 12  Jul 25  Jul 25  Mar 19
                     2013    2013    2012    2012    2012    2012    2013
 
Approve              38      44      68      66      69      69      38
Disapprove           49      43      18      21      19      19      49
DK/NA                14      13      13      12      13      13      14
 
 
2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              61%    44%    75%    54%    56%    65%    58%    78%
Disapprove           27     47     10     35     33     21     30     12
DK/NA                13      9     15     11     10     14     12     10
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              68%    56%    58%    63%    68%    45%    63%    66%
Disapprove           23     29     24     28     29     29     28     24
DK/NA                 8     15     18      9      4     25      8      9
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator? (*High also 69% Oct 2001)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Mar 19  Jan 30  Dec 12  Sep 12  Jul 25  Dec 08  Apr 15
                     2013    2013    2012    2012    2012    2004*   1999
 
Approve              61      60      63      62      61      69      51
Disapprove           27      30      23      25      25      16      22
DK/NA                13      10      15      13      14      15      28
 
 
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kirsten Gillibrand is handling her job as United States Senator?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              57%    40%    71%    51%    54%    61%    56%    70%
Disapprove           21     37      9     27     26     16     23      7
DK/NA                22     22     21     23     20     23     21     22
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              66%    51%    55%    60%    65%    51%    60%    60%
Disapprove           18     23     18     23     20     25     19     20
DK/NA                16     26     27     17     15     24     21     20
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kirsten Gillibrand is handling her job as United States Senator?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Mar 19  Jan 30  Dec 12  Jul 25  May 30  Dec 12  Feb 17
                     2013    2013    2012    2012    2012    2012    2009
 
Approve              57      57      61      54      60      61      28
Disapprove           21      21      18      20      22      18      10
DK/NA                22      22      21      26      18      21      62
 
 
4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              57%    14%    86%    46%    53%    61%    49%    90%
Disapprove           39     81     12     48     43     35     48      9
DK/NA                 4      4      2      6      4      4      4      1
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom
 
Approve              56%    43%    42%    43%    45%    52%
Disapprove           41     53     53     54     51     45
DK/NA                 3      4      4      3      4      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              61%    55%    62%    55%    56%    59%    56%    58%
Disapprove           35     41     34     40     43     38     39     39
DK/NA                 3      4      3      5      2      3      5      4
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Mar 19  Jan 30  Dec 12  Jul 25  May 31  Feb 19  Aug 12
                     2013    2013    2012    2012    2012    2009    2011
 
Approve              57      57      62      57      58      72      45
Disapprove           39      39      35      38      39      17      49
DK/NA                 4       4       3       5       3      10       6
 
 
5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              30%    18%    42%    21%    32%    29%    25%    44%
Disapprove           55     68     42     64     56     54     60     45
DK/NA                15     14     16     15     12     18     15     11
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              31%    29%    32%    31%    30%    39%    27%    29%
Disapprove           53     56     49     57     59     46     60     54
DK/NA                16     15     18     12     11     14     13     17
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Mar 19  Jan 30  Dec 12  Sep 12  Jul 26  Dec 12  Sep 01
                     2013    2013    2012    2012    2012    2012    2010
 
Approve              30      32      35      34      31      35      15
Disapprove           55      50      46      50      51      46      75
DK/NA                15      18      18      15      18      18       9
 
 
6. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Andrew Cuomo the Democrat and Christopher Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Cuomo                46%    12%    75%    29%    42%    49%    38%    70%
Christie             38     77     13     48     40     35     44     17
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       4      3      3      5      4      3      4      4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      1      2      5      3      4      4      1
DK/NA                10      6      8     14     11      9     10      8
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom
 
Cuomo                47%    31%    32%    32%    34%    41%
Christie             39     48     51     51     46     43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      5      2      4      6      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      4      4      4      4      4
DK/NA                 8     12     10      9     10     10
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Cuomo                50%    43%    49%    44%    43%    49%    45%    45%
Christie             36     39     32     41     46     32     41     38
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      5      3      4      1      2      5      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      3      4      4      2      3      3      3
DK/NA                 8     11     12      7      8     14      6     10
 
 
7. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Christopher Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Clinton              59%    18%    88%    48%    53%    64%    51%    90%
Christie             32     74      9     35     35     29     39      7
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      3      2      1      2      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      1      -      4      4      1      2      -
DK/NA                 6      6      2      9      6      5      6      3
 
                     WHITE.................................
                     COLLEGE DEG
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom
 
Clinton              58%    46%    44%    47%    45%    57%
Christie             33     43     46     44     41     37
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      2      1      3      3      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      3      1      2      4      1
DK/NA                 6      5      8      4      6      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Clinton              62%    57%    65%    58%    54%    60%    60%    59%
Christie             29     33     26     32     39     31     31     32
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      2      1      2      -      2      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      3      2      3      1      5      2      1
DK/NA                 7      5      6      5      5      3      5      7
 
 
8. Is your opinion of Christopher Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            55%    71%    45%    60%    57%    53%    57%    46%
Unfavorable          17      6     24     13     19     15     16     20
Hvn't hrd enough     27     21     30     24     23     30     25     33
REFUSED               2      1      1      2      2      2      2      1
 
 
9. Is your opinion of Andrew Cuomo favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            52%    34%    69%    44%    49%    55%    51%    66%
Unfavorable          27     46     11     35     33     22     32      6
Hvn't hrd enough     17     14     17     19     16     19     15     23
REFUSED               3      6      3      3      2      4      3      6
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Andrew Cuomo favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? (*High also 63% Apr 2009 and Feb 2009/**"Governor Andrew Cuomo")
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Mar 19  Jan 26  Sep 01  Jun 22  Apr 13  Jun 24  Jan 26
                     2013    2011**  2010    2010    2010    2009*   2011**
 
Favorable            52      47      54      57      59      63      47
Unfavorable          27      11      21      18      19      15      11
Hvn't hrd enough     17      36      22      22      20      20      36
REFUSED               3       6       3       3       2       2       6
 
 
10. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favorable            71%    37%    92%    67%    65%    76%    66%    98%
Unfavorable          24     55      5     28     30     19     30      1
Hvn't hrd enough      5      7      3      5      5      4      4      2
REFUSED               -      1      -      -      -      -      -      -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Mar 19  Jun 11  Apr 18  Mar 21  Dec 17  Mar 19  Apr 18
                     2013    2008    2008    2008    2007    2013    2008
 
Favorable            71      53      48      53      53      71      48
Unfavorable          24      40      45      40      34      24      45
Hvn't hrd enough      5       4       5       5       9       5       5
REFUSED               -       3       2       3       3       -       2
 
 
11. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York State today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Very satisfied        4%     3%     5%     4%     4%     4%     3%     7%
Smwht satisfied      42     27     55     35     39     45     39     55
Smwht dissatisfied   29     37     26     30     28     30     32     26
Very dissatisfied    23     33     12     30     26     20     25      9
DK/NA                 1      -      2      1      2      1      1      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Very satisfied        5%     3%     4%     5%     4%     3%     5%     4%
Smwht satisfied      49     38     39     40     47     42     41     44
Smwht dissatisfied   28     30     32     26     28     33     29     27
Very dissatisfied    17     27     24     27     19     21     25     23
DK/NA                 1      1      -      2      1      -      1      2
 
                     AREA.............    UPSTATE NY.......
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    Rep    Dem    Ind
                                          
Very satisfied        3%     4%     6%     1%     7%     1%
Smwht satisfied      35     52     39     15     52     31 
Smwht dissatisfied   30     27     33     41     26     27 
Very dissatisfied    32     16     19     43     15     41 
DK/NA                 -      2      2      -      -      - 
 
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York State today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                                                             VERY+SMWHT SAT
                                                             High    Low
                     Mar 19  Jan 31  Dec 12  Sep 12  Jul 26  Feb 25  Jun 23
                     2013    2013    2102    2012    2012    1998    2010
 
Very satisfied        4       7       5       5       4      13       1
Smwht satisfied      42      43      50      47      42      60      18
Smwht dissatisfied   29      24      29      30      33      20      33
Very dissatisfied    23      25      15      17      21       7      47
DK/NA                 1       1       1       1       1       1       1
 
 
12. Do you approve or disapprove of Andrew Cuomo's handling of gun policy?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Approve              49%    28%    67%    40%    48%    50%    45%    70%
Disapprove           38     63     18     47     44     33     43     17
DK/NA                13      9     15     13      8     17     12     14
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Approve              57%    44%    47%    54%    55%    40%    49%    54%
Disapprove           33     41     36     40     36     46     39     34
DK/NA                10     15     17      6      9     14     11     12
 
                     AREA.............    DENSITY............  GUN HSHOLD
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    Urban  Suburb Rural  Yes    No
 
Approve              35%    61%    54%    59%    48%    32%    25%    58%
Disapprove           55     22     33     27     39     60     71     26
DK/NA                 9     17     13     14     13      8      5     16
 
                     UPSTATE NY.......
                     Rep    Dem    Ind
 
Approve              22%    55%    28%
Disapprove           73     32     63
DK/NA                 6     12      9
 
 
13. Do you support or oppose the stricter new gun control laws in New York State?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Support              64%    37%    86%    54%    57%    71%    57%    96%
Oppose               31     59     11     38     39     24     38      3
DK/NA                 4      4      2      7      4      5      5      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Support              71%    60%    63%    62%    72%    58%    66%    66%
Oppose               26     35     30     35     27     36     33     28
DK/NA                 3      5      7      3      1      6      1      5
 
                     AREA.............    DENSITY............  GUN HSHOLD
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    Urban  Suburb Rural  Yes    No
 
Support              45%    82%    70%    77%    65%    36%    33%    76%
Oppose               49     14     27     20     29     59     64     19
DK/NA                 6      4      3      2      6      6      3      5
 
                     UPSTATE NY.......
                     Rep    Dem    Ind
                                      
Support              25%    73%    35%
Oppose               71     24     55 
DK/NA                 4      4     10
 
 

Demographic Summary