March 20, 2013 - New York State Voters Oppose Gas Drilling, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Voters Want Casino, But Not In Their Back Yard

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For the first time ever, New York State voters oppose by a clear margin, 46 - 39 percent, drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale, as concerns for the environment win out over the promise of economic benefits, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Support for drilling peaked at 47 - 42 percent when the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN- uh-pe-ack) University poll first asked the question August 11, 2011. For the last year, voters have been virtually tied on the question of whether they support drilling because of economic benefits or oppose drilling because of environmental concerns.

Today, upstate voters remain divided, with 44 percent in favor of drilling and 42 percent opposed, while suburban voters are split 42 - 42 percent. New York City voters oppose drilling 53 - 32 percent. Republicans support drilling 62 - 21 percent while Democrats are opposed 60 - 24 percent. Independent voters are divided with 46 percent in favor and 42 percent opposed.

Gov. Andrew Cuomo is "carefully evaluating the issue of hydro-fracking," 21 percent of New York State voters say, but 30 percent say his is "dragging his feet...to avoid making a decision," with 46 percent offering no opinion.

"New Yorkers might be getting impatient with the long delay over natural gas drilling. They're turning negative on the basic idea and more of them see foot-dragging by Gov. Andrew Cuomo rather than a careful evaluation," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"The governor's strong leadership on gun-control cost him Republican support. A decision on drilling, or hydro-fracking, could win back some of that support, but what would it do to his Democratic support?"

"One surefire winner is the minimum wage, which continues to get overwhelming support, including strong Republican support," Carroll added.

New York State voters support 80 - 18 percent raising the $7.25 per-hour minimum wage in the state, continuing 78 to 80 percent support on this issue in five Quinnipiac University polls over the last 12 months. Republicans support a minimum wage hike 62 - 36 percent, also continuing a year-long trend. Support is 85 percent among women, 88 percent among New York City voters and 96 percent among black voters.

Offered several choices on where to set the new minimum wage:
  • 49 percent of voters want it higher than $8.50 per hour;
  • 26 percent want to set the wage at $8.50 per hour;
  • 4 percent want an increase, but less than $8.50 per hour;
  • 18 percent want no increase.
"We're still a liberal state. Support for raising the minimum wage is huge, especially among women, New York City voters and black voters," Carroll said.

New York State voters support 52 - 38 percent the creation of Las Vegas-type casinos in the state, with support among all groups.

Voters, however, are divided 46 - 46 percent on whether changing the State Constitution to allow for these casinos is a good idea or a bad idea.

And voters oppose 54 - 41 percent having a casino in their town or city. Upstate voters are divided with 45 percent willing to have a casino nearby and 49 percent opposed. Opposition is 55 - 41 percent among New York City voters and 63 - 34 percent among suburban voters.

"Casinos? Okay, New Yorkers say, but not in my town," Carroll said. "And voters balk at amending the State Constitution, although that's the only way to get casinos."

From March 11 - 17, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,165 New York State voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information or RSS feed, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, or call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

14. Some people say there should be drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale because of the economic benefits. Others say there should not be drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale because of the environmental impact. Which comes closer to your point of view?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Drilling             39%    62%    24%    46%    47%    33%    43%    28%
No drilling          46     21     60     42     43     49     44     52
DK/NA                14     18     16     12     10     18     13     20
 
                     AREA.............    Union
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHld
 
Drilling             44%    32%    42%    36%
No drilling          42     53     42     52
DK/NA                13     15     16     12
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Drilling             35%    42%    37%    41%    44%    36%    42%    41%
No drilling          54     41     48     47     44     54     45     43
DK/NA                11     17     15     11     12     10     13     16
 
TREND: Some people say there should be drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale because of the economic benefits. Others say there should not be drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale because of the environmental impact. Which comes closer to your point of view?
                                                             DRILLING......
                                                             High    Low
                     Mar 20  Jan 31  Dec 13  Sep 12  Jul 26  Aug 11  Mar 20
                     2013    2013    2012    2012    2012    2011    2013
 
Drilling             39      43      44      45      43      47      39
No drilling          46      42      42      41      44      42      46
DK/NA                14      15      15      13      13      12      14
 
 
15. Which comes closer to your point of view; Governor Cuomo is carefully evaluating the issue of hydro-fracking, or Governor Cuomo is dragging his feet and trying to avoid making a decision on the issue of hydro-fracking, or don't you have an opinion on that?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Carefully evaluating 21%    10%    26%    21%    21%    22%    23%    21%
Dragging his feet    30     40     20     35     35     25     33     14
No opinion           46     47     51     42     42     50     41     64
DK/NA                 3      3      3      2      2      4      3      1
 
                     AREA.............    Union
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHld
 
Carefully evaluating 23%    21%    18%    23%
Dragging his feet    36     22     31     31
No opinion           39     53     48     43
DK/NA                 2      4      3      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Carefully evaluating 27%    17%    20%    25%    23%    12%    22%    24%
Dragging his feet    33     28     24     38     31     30     31     30
No opinion           37     52     53     36     44     53     47     43
DK/NA                 3      3      3      1      3      5      1      3
 
TREND: Which comes closer to your point of view; Governor Cuomo is carefully evaluating the issue of hydro-fracking, or Governor Cuomo is dragging his feet and trying to avoid making a decision on the issue of hydro-fracking, or don't you have an opinion on that?
                     Mar 20  Dec 13
                     2013    2012
 
Carefully evaluating 21      26
Dragging his feet    30      25
No opinion           46      44
DK/NA                 3       4
 
 
16. Would you support or oppose raising the minimum wage in New York State, which is now $7.25 an hour?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Support              80%    62%    95%    73%    75%    85%    76%    96%
Oppose               18     36      5     23     23     14     21      4
DK/NA                 2      1      1      3      2      1      2      -
 
                     AREA.............    Union
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHld
 
Support              73%    88%    82%    82%
Oppose               25     11     16     17
DK/NA                 2      1      3      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Support              81%    80%    82%    80%    78%    83%    80%    79%
Oppose               17     19     16     19     20     17     19     18
DK/NA                 2      2      2      1      2      -      1      2
 
TREND: Would you support or oppose raising the minimum wage in New York State, which is now $7.25 an hour?
                     Mar 20  Jan 31  Dec 13  May 30  Apr 04
                     2013    2013    2012    2012    2012
 
Support              80      80      80      79      78
Oppose               18      17      18      18      20
DK/NA                 2       2       1       2       3
 
 
17. (If support q16) Do you think that the minimum wage should be $8.50 an hour, should be less than $8.50 an hour, or should be more than $8.50 an hour?
                     SUPPORT INCREASE Q16
                     Tot    Men    Wom
 
Exactly $8.50        32%    30%    34%
Less than $8.50       5      3      6
More than $8.50      61     65     59
DK/NA                 2      2      2
 
TREND: (If support) Do you think that the minimum wage should be $8.50 an hour, should be less than $8.50 an hour, or should be more than $8.50 an hour?
                     SUPPORT INCREASE..............
                     Mar 20  Dec 13  May 30  Apr 04
                     2013    2012    2012    2012
 
Exactly $8.50        32      35      40      37
Less than $8.50       5       7       7       8
More than $8.50      61      54      50      52
DK/NA                 2       3       2       3
 
 
17a. (COMBINED Q16 & Q17)Would you support or oppose raising the minimum wage in New York State, which is now $7.25 an hour? IF SUPPORT: Do you think that the minimum wage should be $8.50 an hour, should be less than $8.50 an hour, or should be more than $8.50 an hour?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Increase to $8.50    26%    28%    25%    28%    23%    29%    28%    21%
Increase < $8.50      4      5      2      5      3      5      4      2
Increase > $8.50     49     28     66     39     49     50     42     74
Oppose increase      18     36      5     23     23     14     21      4
DK/NA                 3      3      2      4      3      3      4      -
 
                     AREA.............    Union
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHld
 
Increase to $8.50    26%    24%    28%    23%
Increase < $8.50      5      3      3      4
Increase > $8.50     40     59     49     54
Oppose increase      25     11     16     17
DK/NA                 3      3      4      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Increase to $8.50    29%    24%    25%    25%    28%    34%    25%    23%
Increase < $8.50      5      3      3      3      7      5      4      3
Increase > $8.50     46     51     53     49     43     43     49     52
Oppose increase      17     19     16     19     20     17     19     18
DK/NA                 4      3      3      4      3      1      3      4
 
TREND: (COMBINED)Would you support or oppose raising the minimum wage in New York State, which is now $7.25 an hour? IF SUPPORT: Do you think that the minimum wage should be $8.50 an hour, should be less than $8.50 an hour, or should be more than $8.50 an hour?
                     Mar 20  Dec 13  May 30  Apr 04
                     2013    2012    2012    2012
 
Increase to $8.50    26      28      32      29
Increase < $8.50      4       6       6       6
Increase > $8.50     49      43      40      41
Oppose increase      18      18      18      20
DK/NA                 3       4       4       5
 
 
18. Do you support or oppose the creation of non-indian casinos in New York State, similar to those in Atlantic City and Las Vegas?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Support              52%    55%    49%    57%    56%    48%    54%    53%
Oppose               38     34     40     36     36     39     36     36
DK/NA                11     11     11      8      8     13     10     11
 
                     AREA.............    Union
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHld
 
Support              54%    50%    50%    56%
Oppose               34     41     40     35
DK/NA                12     10     10      9
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Support              49%    54%    52%    58%    52%    57%    54%    48%
Oppose               41     36     39     34     40     32     37     41
DK/NA                10     11     10      8      8     11      9     11
 
TREND: Do you support or oppose the creation of non-indian casinos in New York State, similar to those in Atlantic City and Las Vegas?
                     Mar 20  May 30  Feb 15  Dec 21  Sep 21
                     2013    2012    2012    2011    2011
 
Support              52      56      54      64      56
Oppose               38      33      38      31      37
DK/NA                11      11       8       5       7
 
 
19. There is a proposal to change the state constitution to allow for the creation of non-indian casinos in New York State, similar to those in Atlantic City and Las Vegas. Do you think this is a good idea or a bad idea?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Good idea            46%    49%    42%    50%    51%    41%    48%    44%
Bad idea             46     43     47     44     43     48     45     47
DK/NA                 9      8     10      6      6     11      7     10
 
                     AREA.............    Union
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHld
 
Good idea            48%    44%    44%    50%
Bad idea             43     47     49     42
DK/NA                 8     10      7      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Good idea            43%    47%    44%    51%    47%    50%    47%    45%
Bad idea             48     45     47     41     48     38     46     48
DK/NA                 9      8      9      8      5     11      8      8
 
TREND: There is a proposal to change the state constitution to allow for the creation of non-indian casinos in New York State, similar to those in Atlantic City and Las Vegas. Do you think this is a good idea or a bad idea?
                     Mar 20  May 30  Feb 15
                     2013    2012    2012
 
Good idea            46      49      50
Bad idea             46      42      42
DK/NA                 9       9       8
 
 
20. Do you favor or oppose having casino gambling in the town or city you live in?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favor                41%    39%    40%    44%    44%    39%    41%    47%
Oppose               54     56     55     53     50     57     54     50
DK/NA                 5      5      4      3      6      4      4      3
 
                     AREA.............    Union
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    HsHld
 
Favor                45%    41%    34%    47%
Oppose               49     55     63     49
DK/NA                 6      5      4      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favor                38%    43%    45%    48%    36%    50%    41%    38%
Oppose               56     53     49     50     61     47     55     56
DK/NA                 6      4      6      2      3      4      4      6
 
TREND: Do you favor or oppose having casino gambling in the town or city you live in?
                     Mar 20  Nov 15
                     2013    2001
 
Favor                41      30
Oppose               54      66
DK/NA                 5       4
 
 

Demographic Summary