June 6, 2013 - New York State Voters Back Cuomo On Abortion 3-1, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Voters Split On Gas Drilling, Casinos

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New York State voters support 67 - 24 percent Gov. Andrew Cuomo's proposal to expand a woman's right to an abortion, allowing late-term abortions when the woman's health is at risk, but her life is not at risk, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Support for the expanded abortion right is 77 - 14 percent among Democrats and 70 - 21 percent among independent voters. Republicans are divided 46 - 45 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.

There is almost no gender gap as women support the measure 67 - 22 percent, compared to 66 - 26 percent among men. Support is 63 - 27 percent among Protestants, 58 - 32 percent among Catholics and 60 - 27 percent among Jews.

Offered four choices on abortion:
  • 26 percent of voters say abortion should be legal in all cases;
  • 36 percent say legal in most cases;
  • 20 percent say illegal in most cases;
  • 9 percent say illegal in all cases.
"Gov. Andrew Cuomo says he wants to establish Roe v Wade in state law, in case the U.S. Supreme Court overturns the landmark decision, and voters are with him on its controversial support for late-term abortions," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"On abortion overall, the numbers don't change much: a small right-to-life minority, a larger abortion-on-demand minority, a majority in the middle saying it depends on the case."

Legalizing medical marijuana, with a doctor's prescription, is a good idea, New York State voters say 70 - 26 percent, including 58 - 39 percent among Republicans. Support is strong among all groups.

By a smaller 34 - 20 percent margin, voters say legalizing mixed martial arts is a good idea. Another 42 percent say they haven't heard enough about it to form an opinion.

Almost everyone has an opinion on legalizing Atlantic City-type casinos in New York State, with support at 51 - 39 percent.

Only 48 percent of voters say changing the State Constitution to allow casino gambling is a good idea, while 45 percent say bad idea. Support for a constitutional amendment is 49 - 43 percent upstate and 50 - 44 percent in the suburbs. New York City voters are divided as 46 percent say good idea and 47 percent say bad idea.

And voters oppose 55 - 41 percent having casino gambling in the town or city where they live. Opposition to a casino nearby is 50 - 46 percent among upstate voters, 53 - 44 percent among New York City voters and 67 - 28 percent among suburban voters.

New York State voters remain divided on drilling for natural gas as 46 percent support drilling because of economic benefits while 44 percent oppose it because of environmental concerns. Support for drilling is 52 - 41 percent upstate and 50 - 40 percent in the suburbs, while New York City voters are opposed 50 - 39 percent.

Gov. Cuomo is carefully evaluating the issue of natural gas drilling, 22 percent of voters say, while 36 percent say he is dragging his feet to avoid making a decision.

"New Yorkers are OK with Atlantic City-type casinos, but not in my backyard," Carroll said. "They are divided on changing the State Constitution, which must happen if they want casinos. New York City voters are not enthusiastic about changing the Constitution and lots of them will be voting in November because there are races for mayor, City Council and city-wide offices. Even upstate voters, presumably with the most to gain from casinos, are lukewarm,"

From May 29 - June 3, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,075 New York State voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Iowa, Ohio, Virginia, and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

15. Some people say there should be drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale because of the economic benefits. Others say there should not be drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale because of the environmental impact. Which comes closer to your point of view?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Drilling             46%    70%    31%    50%    52%    41%    49%    45%
No drilling          44     22     58     42     40     48     43     45
DK/NA                 9      8     11      8      8     10      8     11
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Drilling             37%    52%    47%    46%    48%    50%    48%    45%
No drilling          54     38     43     47     47     45     43     44
DK/NA                 9     10     10      8      5      5      9     11
 
                     AREA.............    UPSTATE NY.......
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    Rep    Dem    Ind
 
Drilling             52%    39%    50%    70%    29%    56%
No drilling          41     50     40     25     66     36
DK/NA                 7     12     10      6      5      7
 
TREND: Some people say there should be drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale because of the economic benefits. Others say there should not be drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale because of the environmental impact. Which comes closer to your point of view?
                                                             DRILLING......
                                                             High    Low
                     Jun 06  Apr 18  Mar 20  Jan 31  Dec 13  Aug 11  Mar 20
                     2013    2013    2013    2013    2012    2011    2013
 
Drilling             46      42      39      43      44      47      39
No drilling          44      46      46      42      42      42      46
DK/NA                 9      12      14      15      15      12      14
 
 
16. Which comes closer to your point of view; Governor Cuomo is carefully evaluating the issue of hydro-fracking, or Governor Cuomo is dragging his feet and trying to avoid making a decision on the issue of hydro-fracking, or don't you have an opinion on that?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Carefully evaluating 22%    14%    28%    23%    24%    21%    24%    20%
Dragging his feet    36     44     25     41     42     31     38     29
No opinion           38     39     41     34     30     44     34     50
DK/NA                 4      4      6      3      5      4      4      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Carefully evaluating 27%    19%    24%    19%    25%    18%    19%    25%
Dragging his feet    38     34     28     48     38     25     44     36
No opinion           31     42     44     32     32     51     34     35
DK/NA                 5      4      5      2      5      5      3      4
 
                     AREA.............    UPSTATE NY.......
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    Rep    Dem    Ind
 
Carefully evaluating 25%    18%    23%    14%    36%    29%
Dragging his feet    41     32     33     49     26     43
No opinion           32     45     37     35     36     27
DK/NA                 2      5      7      2      3      1
 
TREND: Which comes closer to your point of view; Governor Cuomo is carefully evaluating the issue of hydro-fracking, or Governor Cuomo is dragging his feet and trying to avoid making a decision on the issue of hydro-fracking, or don't you have an opinion on that?
                     Jun 06  Apr 18  Mar 20  Dec 13
                     2013    2013    2013    2012
 
Carefully evaluating 22      24      21      26
Dragging his feet    36      32      30      25
No opinion           38      41      46      44
DK/NA                 4       3       3       4
 
 
17. Do you support or oppose the creation of non-indian casinos in New York State, similar to those in Atlantic City and Las Vegas?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Support              51%    52%    50%    50%    55%    47%    50%    53%
Oppose               39     37     41     40     36     42     41     32
DK/NA                10     11      9     10      9     11      9     15
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Support              46%    53%    48%    53%    52%    64%    50%    46%
Oppose               44     37     42     34     42     27     43     43
DK/NA                10     10     10     13      6     10      7     11
 
                     AREA.............    UPSTATE NY.......    Union
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    Rep    Dem    Ind    HsHld
 
Support              52%    48%    53%    47%    54%    54%    48%
Oppose               37     42     39     39     40     35     41
DK/NA                10     10      8     15      6     11     10
 
TREND: Do you support or oppose the creation of non-indian casinos in New York State, similar to those in Atlantic City and Las Vegas?
                     Jun 06  Mar 20  May 30  Feb 15  Dec 21  Sep 21
                     2013    2013    2012    2012    2011    2011
 
Support              51      52      56      54      64      56
Oppose               39      38      33      38      31      37
DK/NA                10      11      11       8       5       7
 
 
18. There is a proposal to change the state constitution to allow for the creation of non-indian casinos in New York State, similar to those in Atlantic City and Las Vegas. Do you think this is a good idea or a bad idea?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Good idea            48%    51%    49%    46%    52%    44%    47%    56%
Bad idea             45     41     46     47     41     49     46     38
DK/NA                 7      8      5      7      7      7      7      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Good idea            44%    50%    44%    52%    49%    58%    48%    44%
Bad idea             49     42     49     38     46     36     45     48
DK/NA                 6      7      7     10      4      6      7      8
 
                     AREA.............    UPSTATE NY.......    Union
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    Rep    Dem    Ind    HsHld
 
Good idea            49%    46%    50%    49%    51%    49%    45%
Bad idea             43     47     44     44     44     43     49
DK/NA                 8      7      6      8      5      8      6
 
TREND: There is a proposal to change the state constitution to allow for the creation of non-indian casinos in New York State, similar to those in Atlantic City and Las Vegas. Do you think this is a good idea or a bad idea?
                     Jun 06  Mar 20  May 30  Feb 15
                     2013    2013    2012    2012
 
Good idea            48      46      49      50
Bad idea             45      46      42      42
DK/NA                 7       9       9       8
 
 
19. Do you favor or oppose having casino gambling in the town or city you live in?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Favor                41%    41%    45%    40%    45%    37%    40%    49%
Oppose               55     53     52     57     50     59     56     48
DK/NA                 4      6      3      3      4      4      4      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Favor                35%    45%    41%    47%    40%    54%    42%    36%
Oppose               60     51     55     51     56     44     55     59
DK/NA                 4      4      4      2      5      2      3      5
 
                     AREA.............    UPSTATE NY.......    Union
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    Rep    Dem    Ind    HsHld
 
Favor                46%    44%    28%    42%    50%    48%    40%
Oppose               50     53     67     53     45     50     56
DK/NA                 4      3      5      4      5      2      4
 
TREND: Do you favor or oppose having casino gambling in the town or city you live in?
                     Jun 06  Mar 20  Nov 15
                     2013    2013    2001
 
Favor                41      41      30
Oppose               55      54      66
DK/NA                 4       5       4
 
 
20. Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Legal all cases      26%    10%    35%    27%    22%    30%    26%    24%
Legal most cases     36     31     42     37     37     36     38     42
Illegal most cases   20     35     13     20     22     19     20     14
Illegal all cases     9     14      5      9      9      9      9      8
DK/NA                 8     11      5      7      9      7      7     11
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Legal all cases      32%    23%    26%    29%    28%    28%    31%    22%
Legal most cases     43     32     32     37     46     38     33     39
Illegal most cases   15     24     22     21     18     16     25     19
Illegal all cases     7     10     10      8      5     10      5     11
DK/NA                 4     11     10      5      4      8      6      9
 
                                          WHITE......
                     Prot   Cath   Jew    Prot   Cath
 
Legal all cases      20%    16%    32%    23%    15%
Legal most cases     35     40     31     33     43
Illegal most cases   23     24     29     23     22
Illegal all cases    14     10      1     16     11
DK/NA                 8      9      7      6      8
 
TREND: Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases?
                     Jun 06  May 31  Jun 22  Feb 9   Mar 18
                     2013    2012    2006    2005    2003
 
Legal all cases      26      30      28      25      32
Legal most cases     36      37      41      37      34
Illegal most cases   20      19      18      20      16
Illegal all cases     9      10       7      11      13
DK/NA                 8       5       7       8       5
 
 
21. How about late-term abortions when the pregnant woman's - health is at risk? Do you think abortion should be legal in that situation or illegal?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Legal                68%    51%    77%    72%    68%    68%    70%    69%
Illegal              22     36     16     19     22     23     22     21
DK/NA                10     13      7     10     10      9      9     10
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Legal                76%    63%    65%    73%    73%    63%    72%    67%
Illegal              17     25     22     22     21     29     19     22
DK/NA                 7     11     14      6      6      8      9     11
 
                                          WHITE......
                     Prot   Cath   Jew    Prot   Cath
 
Legal                65%    57%    75%    67%    58%
Illegal              26     33     13     24     32
DK/NA                 9     10     12      9     10
 
 
22. How about late-term abortions when the pregnant woman's - life is at risk? Do you think abortion should be legal in that situation or illegal?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Legal                76%    66%    83%    79%    77%    75%    78%    68%
Illegal              15     22     12     13     14     17     13     26
DK/NA                 9     12      5      8      9      8      9      6
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Legal                83%    72%    76%    80%    79%    75%    80%    74%
Illegal              10     18     13     14     15     21     12     15
DK/NA                 7     10     11      6      6      4      9     11
 
                                          WHITE......
                     Prot   Cath   Jew    Prot   Cath
 
Legal                71%    69%    86%    73%    71%
Illegal              19     22      5     16     20
DK/NA                10      9      9     11      9
 
 
23. New York State law currently makes it legal for a woman to have a late-term abortion if her life is at risk. Governor Cuomo has proposed legislation to change the state law to make it legal for a woman to have a late-term abortion also if her health is at risk. Do you support or oppose this legislation?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Support              67%    46%    77%    70%    66%    67%    66%    77%
Oppose               24     45     14     21     26     22     26     15
DK/NA                 9      9      9      9      8     11      9      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Support              71%    64%    69%    65%    69%    60%    73%    65%
Oppose               22     25     21     27     27     30     20     25
DK/NA                 7     11      9      8      5     10      7     10
 
                                          WHITE......
                     Prot   Cath   Jew    Prot   Cath
 
Support              63%    58%    60%    58%    58%
Oppose               27     32     27     29     34
DK/NA                10     10     13     13      8
 
 
24. There is a proposal in the state legislature that would allow adults to legally use marijuana for medical purposes if their doctor prescribes it. Do you think this is a good idea or a bad idea?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Good idea            70%    58%    74%    73%    69%    71%    74%    72%
Bad idea             26     39     23     22     28     25     23     25
DK/NA                 4      3      3      5      3      4      3      3
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Good idea            80%    64%    67%    71%    78%    75%    75%    65%
Bad idea             16     32     29     26     19     23     22     31
DK/NA                 4      4      4      4      3      2      4      5
 
                     AREA.............    UPSTATE NY.......
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    Rep    Dem    Ind
 
Good idea            74%    65%    72%    60%    83%    77%
Bad idea             22     31     26     37     14     18
DK/NA                 4      4      3      3      3      4
 
TREND: There is a proposal in the state legislature that would allow adults to legally use marijuana for medical purposes if their doctor prescribes it. Do you think this is a good idea or a bad idea?
                     Jun 06  Feb 4
                     2013    2010
 
Good idea            70      71
Bad idea             26      25
DK/NA                 4       4
 
 
25. There is a proposal in the state legislature that would allow mixed martial arts as a sport. Do you think this is a good idea or a bad idea, or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Good idea            34%    38%    27%    39%    43%    26%    33%    39%
Bad idea             20     21     21     19     22     18     22     16
Hvn't hrd enough     42     39     47     40     30     54     41     44
DK/NA                 4      3      5      2      4      3      4      1
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-34  35-54  55+
 
Good idea            31%    36%    31%    38%    35%    63%    40%    16%
Bad idea             21     19     23     19     20     10     14     29
Hvn't hrd enough     43     42     44     38     43     24     42     52
DK/NA                 4      3      2      5      2      3      4      3
 
                     AREA.............    UPSTATE NY.......
                     UpStat NYC    Sub    Rep    Dem    Ind
 
Good idea            35%    35%    30%    33%    31%    40%
Bad idea             21     17     22     22     28     17
Hvn't hrd enough     40     44     44     42     36     40
DK/NA                 3      3      4      3      5      2
 
 

Demographic Summary