February 12, 2014 - New York Voters Back Cuomo's No-Tax Pre-K Plan, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Voters Closer Soul Mates To Gov Than Mayor De Blasio
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By a 47 - 37 percent margin, including 49 - 40 percent among New York City voters, all New York State voters back Gov. Andrew Cuomo's plan for universal pre-kindergarten with no new taxes over New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio's plan to fund pre-K with a city income tax hike on high-income families, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Voters support 76 - 20 percent state funding in general of universal pre-K, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds, with support at 59 - 35 percent among Republicans, 91 - 7 percent among Democrats and 73 - 23 percent among independent voters.

A total of 78 percent of voters say universal pre-K would be "very effective" or "somewhat effective" in improving education for all New York State children. A total of 74 percent say universal pre-K would be very or somewhat effective in putting poor children "on a path out of poverty."

Voters say 55 - 42 percent that pre-kindergarten education should be optional, not mandatory. Women say optional 51 - 46 percent and men say optional 59 - 38 percent.

Backing Gov. Cuomo's no-tax pre-K plan are Republicans, 60 - 20 percent, independent voters 48 - 37 percent, men 44 - 37 percent, women, 49 - 37 percent, upstate voters 43 - 36 percent and suburban voters 50 - 34 percent. Democrats back de Blasio's plan 49 - 39 percent.

"Just about everyone in this most liberal of states likes universal pre-kindergarten and they think - overwhelmingly - that kids will learn and that it will help them out of poverty," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"But voters prefer Gov. Andrew Cuomo's no-new-taxes approach to New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio's tax-the-rich plan to pay for those new classes."

"The mayor made his argument again in his State-of-the-City speech. It will be interesting to see how a mayor elected with a huge margin of a small turnout fares with up-for- election state officials," Carroll added.

In an open-ended question, allowing for any answer, a total of 28 percent of New York State voters list the economy or jobs or wages as the top priority for Gov. Cuomo and the State Legislature. A total of 18 percent list education or education funding. This group includes 1 percent who specifically said pre-Kindergarten or early childhood education.

A total of 12 percent list priorities related to taxes and only 2 percent list income inequality or class inequality.

Environmental concerns outweigh economic benefits as New York State voters oppose 45 - 41 percent drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale. Suburban voters support drilling by a slim 44 - 40 percent margin, while New York City voters are opposed 48 - 35 percent. Upstate voters are divided with 46 percent in favor of drilling and 45 percent opposed.

Cuomo is "dragging his feet" to avoid making a decision on hydraulic fracturing, 35 percent of voters say, while 23 percent say he is "carefully evaluating the issue," with 37 percent undecided. Upstate voters say 45 - 24 percent the governor is dragging his feet.

Cuomo or de Blasio

Gov. Cuomo most closely represents their political views, 44 percent of New York State voters say, while 27 percent line up with Mayor de Blasio, leaving 28 percent undecided. Cuomo wins more hearts and minds among every party, gender and regional group except New York City voters, who identify with de Blasio 44 - 38 percent.

"Who do voters feel more at home with philosophically? Cuomo has the edge over de Blasio, except in New York City," Carroll said.

From February 6 - 10, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,488 New York State voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Iowa, Ohio, Virginia, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

8. Is your opinion of Bill de Blasio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AREA.............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Favorable            31%    13%    49%    23%    34%    27%    13%    51%    28%
Unfavorable          24     39      9     29     25     22     18     22     37
Hvn't hrd enough     44     47     41     45     39     48     67     24     33
REFUSED               2      2      1      3      2      2      1      3      2
 
 
20. What do you think should be the top priority for Governor Cuomo and the State Legislature in 2014?
                            Tot
 
Economy(General)             5%
Jobs/Unemployment           21
Wages/Minimum Wage           1
Economy(Other)               1
 
Income inequality            1
Class inequality             1
 
Budget(General)              3
Government spending          1
 
Taxes(General)              10
Property taxes               1
Taxes(Other)                 1
 
Education(General)          13
Funding/Spending education   1
Pre-K/Early childhood ed     1
Education(Other)             3
 
Unions (General)             1
 
Crime/Safety                 1
Gun Issues/Policy/Control    3
 
Healthcare                   3
Social Issues/Soc Services   1
Poverty/Homelessness         1
Housing/Affordable housing   1
Marijuana                    2
Roads/Infrastructure         1
Environment                  1
Hydro-fracking               2
Caring about people          1
Govt Corruption/Ethics       1
Other                        9
DK/NA                        8
 
 
31. Who do you believe most closely represents your political views, Governor Andrew Cuomo or New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio?
                                                               AREA.............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Cuomo                44%    43%    45%    47%    44%    45%    45%    38%    54%
de Blasio            27     13     41     22     29     26     16     44     19
DK/NA                28     44     14     31     28     29     39     18     27
 
 
32. Do you support or oppose the state government funding universal pre-K education, so that all New York State children can attend pre-school?
                                                               AREA.............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Support              76%    59%    91%    73%    75%    78%    73%    83%    72%
Oppose               20     35      7     23     21     18     23     13     24
DK/NA                 4      6      3      4      4      4      4      4      3
 
 
33. How effective do you think universal pre-K would be in improving education for New York State children; very effective, somewhat effective, not so effective, or not effective at all?
                                                               AREA.............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Very effective       44%    26%    61%    38%    36%    51%    41%    52%    38%
Smwht effective      34     35     31     37     37     31     35     30     37
Not so effective      9     14      4     12     11      8     11      7     10
Not effective at all 10     21      2     10     12      7     10      7     14
DK/NA                 3      4      2      3      4      2      3      4      1
 
 
34. How effective do you think universal pre-K would be in helping to put poor children on a path out of poverty; very effective, somewhat effective, not so effective, or not effective at all?
                                                               AREA.............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Very effective       35%    21%    52%    27%    33%    37%    31%    43%    32%
Smwht effective      39     33     39     44     37     41     39     39     39
Not so effective     10     16      4     12     12      8     12      6     14
Not effective at all 13     26      3     14     15     10     15      9     15
DK/NA                 3      3      2      3      3      3      3      3      1
 
 
35. Governor Andrew Cuomo wants to pay for pre-K for all New York State children without raising taxes by using existing state funds. New York City Mayor Bill De Blasio wants to pay for pre-K for New York City children by raising New York City income taxes on households earning more than $500,000 saying that if state funding gets cut, pre-K for New York City children will still be funded. Do you think that New York City should raise these taxes to fund New York City pre-K or do you think that New York State should fund statewide pre-K without raising taxes?
                                                               AREA.............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    UpStat NYC    Sub
 
NYC tax funds pre-K  37%    20%    49%    37%    37%    37%    36%    40%    34%
NYS funds w/no tax   47     60     39     48     44     49     43     49     50
BOTH (VOL)            3      2      4      2      3      3      3      3      3
NEITHER (VOL)         7     13      1      8      9      5     10      3      8
DK/NA                 6      4      6      5      6      6      8      6      5
 
 
36. Do you think pre-K education should be mandatory or optional?
                                                               AREA.............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Mandatory            42%    28%    57%    36%    38%    46%    38%    48%    41%
Optional             55     68     41     61     59     51     59     49     57
DK/NA                 3      4      3      3      3      3      4      3      2
 
 
37. Some people say there should be drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale because of the economic benefits. Others say there should not be drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale because of the environmental impact. Which comes closer to your point of view?
                                                               AREA.............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Drilling             41%    66%    28%    41%    50%    33%    46%    35%    44%
No drilling          45     24     56     45     40     49     45     48     40
DK/NA                14     11     15     13     10     17      9     17     16
 
TREND: Some people say there should be drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale because of the economic benefits. Others say there should not be drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale because of the environmental impact. Which comes closer to your point of view?
                                                             DRILLING......
                                                             High    Low
                     Feb 12  Nov 27  Jun 06  Apr 18  Mar 20  Aug 11  Mar 20
                     2014    2013    2013    2013    2013    2011    2013
 
Drilling             41      44      46      42      39      47      39
No drilling          45      46      44      46      46      42      46
DK/NA                14      10       9      12      14      12      14
 
 
38. Which comes closer to your point of view; Governor Cuomo is carefully evaluating the issue of hydro-fracking, or Governor Cuomo is dragging his feet and trying to avoid making a decision on the issue of hydro-fracking, or don't you have an opinion on that?
                                                               AREA.............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Carefully evaluating 23%    15%    31%    19%    24%    22%    24%    22%    23%
Dragging his feet    35     49     23     38     41     29     45     26     32
No opinion           37     31     42     37     30     43     27     45     39
DK/NA                 5      5      4      6      5      6      4      7      6
 
TREND: Which comes closer to your point of view; Governor Cuomo is carefully evaluating the issue of hydro-fracking, or Governor Cuomo is dragging his feet and trying to avoid making a decision on the issue of hydro-fracking, or don't you have an opinion on that?
                     Feb 12  Nov 27  Jun 06  Apr 18  Mar 20  Dec 13
                     2014    2013    2013    2013    2013    2012
 
Carefully evaluating 23      21      22      24      21      26
Dragging his feet    35      39      36      32      30      25
No opinion           37      38      38      41      46      44
DK/NA                 5       3       4       3       3       4
 
 

Demographic Summary