November 6, 2003 - Pataki Tops 50 % Approval For First Time This Year, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Corruption Is A Serious Problem In NY, Voters Say
New York State voters approve 52 - 36 percent of Gov. George Pataki, the first time this year his approval has topped the 50 percent mark, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

New Jersey Gov. James McGreevey has yet to reach 50 percent and Connecticut Gov. John Rowland hasn't been there since an October 2, 2002, poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

New York voters say 52 - 41 percent that Gov. Pataki should not seek a fourth term in 2006, but 68 percent of voters expect him to run again.

"The budget blahs have bitten his neighbors in New Jersey and Connecticut, but Gov. Pataki seems to be immune. It's a long way to 2006 and politicians and pundits suspect that Pataki has his eye on Washington. New Yorkers don't want him to emulate Nelson Rockefeller and go for a fourth term - but they think he will," said Maurice Carroll director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

Voters say 53 - 45 percent they would like to have a California-type recall provision in New York. But 76 percent say they would not vote to recall Pataki. And 75 percent say they would not vote for Arnold Schwarzenegger for governor of New York.

"New Yorkers would like the power to recall a governor, but they wouldn't do it to this governor. And as for Ahh-nold, California is welcome to him," Carroll said.

New York State's budget problems are "very serious," 62 percent of voters say, and 30 percent say they are "somewhat serious."

Only 13 percent of voters blame the state's budget problems on Pataki, while 18 percent blame the State Legislature; 32 percent blame the economy and 25 percent blame the September 11th terrorist attacks.

To balance the budget, New York should cut services and keep taxes at their present level, 52 percent say, while 36 percent say raise taxes to keep services at their present level.

"'Albany, we have a problem,' voters say. The first task in balancing a government budget is to convince voters there's a problem. They're convinced," Carroll said. "Voters give politicians a pass on the problem, blaming 'conditions' instead."

Government corruption is a "very serious" problem in New York, 28 percent of voters say, while 44 percent say it's "somewhat serious." But 70 percent of voters say New York's elected officials are about as honest as those in other states.

Despite high-visibility efforts to overturn the so-called Rockefeller Drug Laws, New York Voters oppose 56 - 39 percent efforts to reduce the penalties for drug convictions.

Looking at other issues for the legislature to address next year, voters say:
  • 50 - 47 percent that lawmakers should make the statewide ban on smoking in bars and restaurants less strict;
  • 56 - 39 percent to legalize casino gambling statewide.
From October 29 - November 3, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,304 New York State registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania and nationwide as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu or call (203) 582-5201

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George Pataki is handling his job as Governor of New York?

                      App     Dis     DK/NA


Nov 6, 2003 52% 36% 12% Oct 2, 2003 46 42 12 Jun 25, 2003 43 45 11 Apr 23, 2003 43 45 12 Feb 12, 2003 49 41 10 Dec 19, 2002 58 31 11 Sep 25, 2002 62 26 12 Jul 2, 2002 66 18 17 May 1, 2002 67 19 14 Apr 18, 2002 66 19 15 Feb 27, 2002 70 18 13 Jan 23, 2002 70 16 14 Nov 14, 2001 78 12 10 Oct 2, 2001 81 12 7 Jun 26, 2001 56 30 14 Apr 24, 2001 58 27 15 Mar 28, 2001 61 24 16 Feb 14, 2001 57 28 15 Dec 14, 2000 66 23 11 Aug 10, 2000 61 24 15 Jul 13, 2000 60 27 12 Jun 7, 2000 62 25 13 May 16, 2000 63 27 10 May 2, 2000 58 29 12 Apr 6, 2000 56 31 13 Mar 2, 2000 57 31 12 Feb 10, 2000 57 32 12 Jan 20, 2000 60 29 11 Dec 14, 1999 60 29 11 Nov 11, 1999 60 29 12 Oct 5, 1999 57 31 11 Sep 15, 1999 60 27 12 Aug 2, 1999 56 34 10 Jul 1, 1999 54 35 11 May 24, 1999 58 32 10 Apr 25, 1999 57 31 12 Apr 15, 1999 59 31 10 Mar 24, 1999 60 30 11 Feb 24, 1999 60 27 13 Feb 4, 1999 64 27 8 Oct 28, 1998 64 25 11 Oct 15, 1998 63 26 11 Sep 27, 1998 62 26 11 Jun 17, 1998 64 29 7 Mar 25, 1998 69 24 7 Feb 25, 1998 70 22 8 Dec 10, 1997 62 30 7 Sep 24, 1997 60 35 6 Jul 22, 1997 52 41 7 Apr 24, 1997 54 35 11 Mar 4, 1997 56 34 10 Oct 30, 1996 53 31 16 Sep 22, 1996 51 35 14 Jun 18, 1996 46 45 9 Apr 28, 1996 48 40 12 Mar 4, 1996 47 41 12 Dec 11, 1995 46 40 14 Nov 6, 1995 42 41 18 Apr 27, 1995 41 40 20



TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator?

                      App     Dis     DK/NA


Nov 5, 2003 56% 25% 19% Oct 2, 2003 60 24 16 Jun 25, 2003 57 23 21 Apr 24, 2003 59 22 19 Feb 12, 2003 56 22 22 Dec 19, 2002 57 22 21 Sep 26, 2002 58 17 25 Jul 3, 2002 61 17 22 May 1, 2002 58 18 24 Apr 18, 2002 60 17 23 Feb 27, 2002 61 16 23 Jan 25, 2002 63 17 21 Nov 14, 2001 64 16 20 Oct 2, 2001 69 11 19 Jun 28, 2001 60 18 22 Apr 26, 2001 61 17 22 Mar 28, 2001 60 18 22 Feb 14, 2001 56 21 23 Dec 13, 2000 62 19 19 May 2, 2000 52 18 30 Nov 11, 1999 55 19 26 Sep 16, 1999 55 18 27 Apr 15, 1999 51 22 28 Mar 23, 1999 52 20 28



TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Hillary Rodham Clinton is handling her job as United States Senator?

                      App     Dis     DK/NA


Nov 5, 2003 59% 34% 8% Oct 2, 2003 61 33 7 Jun 25, 2003 57 34 9 Apr 24, 2003 52 36 12 Feb 12, 2003 56 34 9 Dec 19, 2002 57 31 12 Sep 26, 2002 53 35 12 Jul 3, 2002 56 31 13 May 1, 2002 57 30 13 Apr 18, 2002 58 28 13 Feb 27, 2002 58 32 10 Jan 25, 2002 55 31 14 Nov 14, 2001 54 34 13 Oct 2, 2001 59 28 12 Jun 28, 2001 52 31 17 Apr 26, 2001 47 34 19 Mar 28, 2001 40 38 23 Feb 14, 2001 38 30 33



1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George Pataki is handling his job as Governor?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Approve 52% 72% 43% 46% 55% 50% 46% Disapprove 36 19 45 41 35 36 43 DK/NA 12 9 12 14 10 14 10

UpState...... UpState Urban Other Total NYC Sub

Approve 43% 53% 49% 49% 62% Disapprove 45 34 38 40 26 DK/NA 12 13 13 12 12



2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Approve 56% 50% 65% 52% 56% 56% 59% Disapprove 25 34 15 30 28 23 25 DK/NA 19 16 20 19 16 21 16

UpState...... UpState Urban Other Total NYC Sub

Approve 53% 54% 54% 57% 58% Disapprove 25 25 25 23 29 DK/NA 22 21 21 20 13



3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Hillary Rodham Clinton is handling her job as United States Senator?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Approve 59% 32% 79% 56% 53% 63% 60% Disapprove 34 61 14 35 39 29 32 DK/NA 8 7 7 9 8 8 8

UpState...... UpState Urban Other Total NYC Sub

Approve 52% 52% 52% 70% 53% Disapprove 41 39 40 21 42 DK/NA 7 9 8 9 5



5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Eliot Spitzer is handling his job as State Attorney General?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Approve 59% 62% 59% 60% 64% 55% 61% Disapprove 15 14 14 16 15 16 16 DK/NA 26 24 27 25 21 29 23

UpState...... UpState Urban Other Total NYC Sub

Approve 61% 58% 59% 56% 64% Disapprove 13 17 16 17 12 DK/NA 26 25 25 27 24



6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Alan Hevesi is handling his job as State Comptroller?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Approve 44% 42% 48% 44% 48% 41% 52% Disapprove 14 14 13 15 16 13 15 DK/NA 42 44 39 41 36 46 33

UpState...... UpState Urban Other Total NYC Sub

Approve 37% 36% 36% 50% 49% Disapprove 18 14 15 13 13 DK/NA 46 50 48 36 37



7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sheldon Silver is handling his job as State Assembly Speaker?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Approve 32% 28% 41% 25% 32% 32% 32% Disapprove 29 36 20 35 37 22 32 DK/NA 39 36 39 40 31 46 36

UpState...... UpState Urban Other Total NYC Sub

Approve 31% 36% 34% 32% 26% Disapprove 37 28 31 27 28 DK/NA 33 35 35 41 46



8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joseph Bruno is handling his job as State Senate Majority Leader?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Approve 33% 44% 33% 25% 34% 32% 32% Disapprove 25 21 24 31 31 20 26 DK/NA 42 35 44 43 35 48 42

UpState...... UpState Urban Other Total NYC Sub

Approve 40% 37% 38% 28% 32% Disapprove 31 22 25 26 24 DK/NA 29 41 37 46 44



17. Charles Schumer will be up for re-election in 2004. Would you like to see Charles Schumer re-elected Senator, or would you rather see someone else elected Senator?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Schumer 55% 46% 66% 48% 54% 55% 57% Someone else 34 43 22 40 38 31 34 DK/NA 11 11 12 12 8 14 9

UpState...... UpState Urban Other Total NYC Sub

Schumer 49% 53% 52% 59% 53% Someone else 37 33 34 30 39 DK/NA 14 14 14 11 8



18. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York State today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Very satisfied 4% 8% 2% 4% 5% 4% 3% Smwht satisfied 42 54 38 40 45 39 41 Smwht dissatisfied 30 25 32 31 27 33 28 Very dissatisfied 23 13 27 24 22 23 27 DK/NA 1 - - 1 1 1 1

UpState...... UpState Urban Other Total NYC Sub

Very satisfied 3% 4% 4% 5% 4% Smwht satisfied 34 38 37 38 58 Smwht dissatisfied 27 35 32 33 23 Very dissatisfied 36 22 26 23 15 DK/NA - 1 1 1 -



19. Would you like to see Governor Pataki run for re-election in 2006 or not?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Yes 41% 66% 28% 35% 44% 39% 34% No 52 28 66 56 50 53 57 DK/NA 7 6 6 10 6 8 9

UpState...... UpState Urban Other Total NYC Sub

Yes 39% 44% 42% 37% 46% No 52 49 50 58 45 DK/NA 9 8 8 5 9



20. Do you think Governor Pataki will run for re-election in 2006 or not?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Yes 68% 68% 72% 65% 65% 70% 66% No 15 12 15 17 17 14 18 DK/NA 17 20 14 18 19 16 16

UpState...... UpState Urban Other Total NYC Sub

Yes 67% 70% 69% 67% 67% No 13 12 12 17 17 DK/NA 20 19 19 16 16



21. How serious do you think New York State's budget problems are - very serious, somewhat serious, not too serious, or not at all serious?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Very serious 62% 48% 68% 67% 60% 64% 62% Smwht serious 30 43 24 28 32 29 29 Not too serious 5 7 6 2 5 4 5 Not at all serious 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 DK/NA 1 - 1 2 2 1 2

UpState...... UpState Urban Other Total NYC Sub

Very serious 72% 66% 68% 62% 53% Smwht serious 26 30 29 27 39 Not too serious 2 2 2 7 5 Not at all serious - - - 2 2 DK/NA - 1 1 2 1



22. Who or what do you think is most responsible for New York States's budget deficit -- poor economic conditions, Governor Pataki, the September 11th terrorist attacks or the state legislature?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Economic cond. 32% 31% 30% 34% 32% 31% 33% Pataki 13 6 19 11 13 13 16 September 11th 25 33 25 21 22 27 22 State leg. 18 23 14 20 22 15 17 OTHER(VOL) 5 5 5 5 6 5 7 DK/NA 7 3 7 9 5 9 5

UpState...... UpState Urban Other Total NYC Sub

Economic cond. 29% 31% 30% 31% 35% Pataki 21 13 15 11 11 September 11th 13 22 19 30 28 State leg. 28 22 24 13 16 OTHER(VOL) 4 4 4 9 3 DK/NA 6 8 7 8 7



23. (If "state legislature" on q22 ask) Is it mainly the Republicans in the state legislature or the Democrats who are more responsible for the budget deficit?

                      State leg.
                      q22 


Republicans 26% Democrats 27 DK/NA 47



24. Projections are that next year's state budget deficit will be 5 to 6 billion dollars. To balance the state budget next year, if you had to choose, which would you prefer -- raising taxes to keep state services at their current level or cutting state services to keep taxes at their current level

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Raising taxes 36% 27% 45% 35% 34% 38% 40% Cutting services 52 62 44 52 57 48 52 DK/NA 12 11 11 13 10 14 9

UpState...... UpState Urban Other Total NYC Sub

Raising taxes 32% 32% 32% 40% 37% Cutting services 57 56 56 46 53 DK/NA 11 12 12 14 10



25. When the state legislature meets next year do you think it should or should not -- make the law which bans smoking in bars and restaurants less strict?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Should 50% 49% 51% 48% 52% 48% 48% Should not 47 48 47 49 46 49 51 DK/NA 3 3 2 2 2 3 1

Smoke UpState...... UpState q34 Urban Other Total NYC Sub Should 70% 56% 49% 51% 51% 45% Should not 28 41 47 45 46 54 DK/NA 1 3 3 3 3 1



26. When the state legislature meets next year do you think it should or should not -- make the penalties for violating drug laws less strict?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Should 39% 33% 39% 44% 46% 33% 44% Should not 56 62 58 47 49 62 51 DK/NA 5 5 3 9 5 6 5

UpState...... UpState Urban Other Total NYC Sub

Should 37% 35% 36% 43% 36% Should not 57 61 60 52 56 DK/NA 5 4 4 5 7



27. When the state legislature meets next year do you think it should or should not -- legalize casino gambling statewide?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Should 56% 57% 57% 55% 58% 54% 56% Should not 39 38 36 41 38 39 41 DK/NA 6 5 6 4 4 7 3

Gamble UpState...... UpState q33 Urban Other Total NYC Sub Should 66% 51% 57% 55% 56% 58% Should not 28 42 39 40 37 39 DK/NA 6 8 4 5 8 3



28. How much of a problem, if at all, is government corruption in New York State today? Is it a very serious problem, a somewhat serious problem, a not too serious problem, or not a problem at all?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Very serious 28% 18% 32% 29% 26% 29% 30% Smwht serious 44 44 44 48 40 48 44 Not too serious 19 27 17 16 25 15 18 Not a problem at all 3 6 3 2 5 2 2 DK/NA 5 5 5 5 4 6 5

UpState...... UpState Urban Other Total NYC Sub

Very serious 25% 26% 26% 33% 25% Smwht serious 48 47 47 41 46 Not too serious 16 18 17 20 22 Not a problem at all 5 3 4 3 3 DK/NA 5 7 6 4 4



29. Compared to elected officials in other states, do you think that New York State's elected officials have more honesty and integrity, less honesty and integrity, or about as much honesty and integrity?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


More 9% 9% 11% 8% 9% 8% 11% Less 17 16 18 16 17 17 13 About as much 70 71 67 71 69 70 72 DK/NA 5 4 5 5 5 5 4

UpState...... UpState Urban Other Total NYC Sub

More 7% 6% 6% 11% 9% Less 18 18 18 18 13 About as much 72 71 71 66 72 DK/NA 4 5 4 5 5



30. Do you think that New York state should or should not have a recall provision, where people can vote to remove an elected official from office, such as has happened in California?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Yes/Should 53% 49% 55% 53% 49% 56% 52% No/Shold not 45 48 42 43 49 40 45 DK/NA 3 2 2 3 1 4 3

UpState...... UpState Urban Other Total NYC Sub

Yes/Should 56% 51% 52% 58% 45% No/Shold not 41 45 44 40 53 DK/NA 3 4 4 2 2



31. If you had the chance, would you vote to recall Governor Pataki or not?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Yes 22% 13% 25% 24% 18% 25% 24% No 76 85 71 74 81 72 73 DK/NA 3 2 4 1 2 3 3

UpState...... UpState Urban Other Total NYC Sub

Yes 18% 24% 23% 28% 10% No 80 74 76 69 87 DK/NA 2 1 1 3 4



32. If you had the chance, would you vote for Arnold Schwarzenegger to be governor of New York or not?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Yes 18% 22% 15% 17% 16% 20% 16% No 75 72 77 77 79 71 80 DK/NA 7 7 7 6 5 9 4

UpState...... UpState Urban Other Total NYC Sub

Yes 26% 18% 21% 13% 20% No 68 74 72 79 73 DK/NA 6 8 7 8 7



33. How many times have you visited a gambling casino in the last 12 months - would you say several times, only once or twice, or not at all?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Several times 11% 10% 11% 12% 12% 10% 13% Only once or twice 26 29 26 21 25 27 26 Not at all 63 61 63 66 63 63 60 DK/NA - - - 1 - - -

UpState...... UpState Urban Other Total NYC Sub

Several times 13% 11% 12% 10% 10% Only once or twice 23 23 23 23 35 Not at all 63 66 65 67 54 DK/NA - - - - 1



34. Have you, yourself, smoked any cigarettes in the past week?

                                                                      Union
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom     HsHolds


Yes 23% 18% 22% 26% 23% 23% 19% No 77 82 78 74 77 77 81 DK/NA - - - - - - -

UpState...... UpState Urban Other Total NYC Sub

Yes 27% 25% 26% 22% 18% No 73 75 74 78 82 DK/NA - - - - -