February 27, 2002 - Pataki Is `About Right' On Political Chart, New York State Voters Tell Quinnipiac University Poll; Cuomo Edges Ahead Of McCall In Dem Primary
New York Gov. George Pataki is "about right" on the political scale, 63 percent of New York State voters say in a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

If the November election for governor were held today:
  • Pataki tops State Comptroller H. Carl McCall 57 - 29 percent;
  • Pataki beats former U.S. Housing Secretary Andrew Cuomo 59 - 28 percent.
Cuomo edges McCall in a Democratic primary 40 - 35 percent, with 22 percent undecided, compared to a 38 - 38 percent tie in a January 23 poll by the independent Quinnipiac University. In prior polls, Cuomo had been ahead of McCall.

While 12 percent of New York voters see Pataki as a liberal and 30 percent see him as a conservative, 45 percent say he is a moderate. Pataki is "too liberal," 8 percent of voters say, and 16 percent say he is "too conservative." But 63 percent of voters, including 51 percent of Democrats, say he is "about right."

From February 19 - 25, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,402 New York State registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percent. The survey includes 590 registered Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4 percent.

"`Conservative' and `liberal' can be scare words in politics. Politicians love to be tagged as `moderate,' and that's where almost half of New Yorkers place Gov. Pataki," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.


"Pataki's approval is flying at close to stratospheric levels at 70 percent and he continues to dominate the Democrats who want his job, H. Carl McCall and Andrew Cuomo," Carroll added.

"A month ago, McCall edged up to a tie in the Democratic primary, but now Cuomo is back in the lead."

Pataki has a 49 - 11 percent favorability rating, with 29 percent mixed and 10 percent saying they don't know enough to form an opinion. Favorability ratings for the challengers are:
                 Favorable         Unfavorable          Mixed               No Opinion
McCall		   24			7		  15		        53
Cuomo		   18		        19		  16		        46
	


The memory of former Gov. Mario Cuomo has little effect on whether 64 percent of New York Democrats would consider voting for his son, Andrew, while 24 percent say Mario's legacy makes them more likely to vote for Andrew and 9 percent say it makes them less likely. The fact that McCall would be New York's first African-American governor has little effect on 80 percent of Democratic voters, while 14 percent say it would make them more likely to vote for McCall and 3 percent say it would make them less likely.

"New York voters insist that they're color blind and have forgotten about Mario," Carroll said.

"About half of New York's voters don't know enough about either Democrat to make a favorable-unfavorable judgement. A good campaign is about turning those `don't-knows' into supporters. Let's see how the candidates do."

President Bush has a 74- 20 percent approval rating, down from his 80 - 16 percent New York State approval in a January 25 Quinnipiac University poll.

Sen. Charles Schumer has a 61 - 16 percent approval rating, followed by Sen. Hillary Clinton's 58 - 32 percent approval.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut and nationwide as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu or call (203) 582-5201

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George Pataki is handling his job as Governor?

                 Tot  Rep  Dem  Ind  Lib  Mod  Con  Men  Wom  Wht  Blk  His


Approve 70% 83% 61% 70% 60% 72% 78% 72% 68% 73% 54% 67% Disapprove 18 7 25 18 27 17 12 18 17 16 24 18 DK/NA 13 10 14 12 13 12 10 10 15 11 22 14

UPSTATE........... UPS NYC Sub Urban Non-Urban

Approve 68% 69% 74% 59% 71% Disapprove 19 19 15 25 17 DK/NA 13 13 11 15 12



2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator?

                 Tot  Rep  Dem  Ind  Lib  Mod  Con  Men  Wom  Wht  Blk  His


Approve 61% 55% 68% 62% 69% 64% 53% 64% 59% 63% 62% 50% Disapprove 16 20 8 17 8 15 22 20 12 16 15 14 DK/NA 23 25 24 20 23 21 24 16 29 21 23 36

UPSTATE........... UPS NYC Sub Urban Non-Urban

Approve 57% 66% 61% 58% 57% Disapprove 14 13 22 10 16 DK/NA 29 21 18 32 28



3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Hillary Rodham Clinton is handling her job as United States Senator?

                 Tot  Rep  Dem  Ind  Lib  Mod  Con  Men  Wom  Wht  Blk  His


Approve 58% 33% 78% 58% 76% 58% 44% 52% 62% 50% 85% 75% Disapprove 32 60 13 31 17 33 44 38 27 40 5 15 DK/NA 10 8 8 11 7 9 12 10 10 10 11 11

UPSTATE........... UPS NYC Sub Urban Non-Urban

Approve 54% 69% 47% 60% 52% Disapprove 35 21 46 27 37 DK/NA 12 11 6 13 11



4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?

                 Tot  Rep  Dem  Ind  Lib  Mod  Con  Men  Wom  Wht  Blk  His


Approve 74% 94% 62% 72% 54% 75% 91% 73% 75% 79% 52% 75% Disapprove 20 3 31 22 38 19 6 23 18 16 40 18 DK/NA 6 4 7 6 8 6 3 4 7 5 9 7

UPSTATE........... UPS NYC Sub Urban Non-Urban

Approve 79% 67% 77% 71% 82% Disapprove 17 26 17 25 14 DK/NA 4 7 6 4 4



6. Is your opinion of Governor George Pataki favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                 Tot  Rep  Dem  Ind  Lib  Mod  Con  Men  Wom  Wht  Blk  His


Favorable 49% 69% 38% 48% 39% 49% 62% 52% 47% 53% 29% 45% Unfavorable 11 3 15 11 17 10 7 12 9 9 20 9 Mixed 29 18 36 30 33 33 19 28 31 29 36 22 Hvn't hrd enough 10 8 11 10 10 7 12 8 12 8 15 23 REFUSED 1 1 - - - 1 - - 1 - - -

UPSTATE........... UPS NYC Sub Urban Non-Urban

Favorable 51% 42% 58% 39% 54% Unfavorable 11 12 8 16 9 Mixed 28 32 26 29 28 Hvn't hrd enough 9 13 7 15 8 REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1



7. Is your opinion of State Comptroller H.Carl McCall favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                 Tot  Rep  Dem  Ind  Lib  Mod  Con  Men  Wom  Wht  Blk  His


Favorable 24% 19% 28% 25% 29% 27% 16% 26% 22% 22% 32% 16% Unfavorable 7 8 6 8 4 6 11 10 5 8 7 4 Mixed 15 14 15 16 11 18 15 18 13 15 18 13 Hvn't hrd enough 53 57 51 50 56 48 56 45 60 54 43 66 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 - 1

UPSTATE........... UPS NYC Sub Urban Non-Urban

Favorable 23% 24% 24% 25% 22% Unfavorable 8 6 8 7 8 Mixed 15 14 17 17 14 Hvn't hrd enough 53 55 51 50 54 REFUSED 1 2 - 1 1



8. Is your opinion of former Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Andrew Cuomo favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                 Tot  Rep  Dem  Ind  Lib  Mod  Con  Men  Wom  Wht  Blk  His


Favorable 18% 10% 25% 17% 26% 17% 15% 15% 20% 17% 25% 22% Unfavorable 19 31 9 21 11 19 27 25 14 21 14 8 Mixed 16 11 17 19 17 18 13 17 15 18 10 11 Hvn't hrd enough 46 47 47 41 46 46 43 41 50 43 50 57 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 1

UPSTATE........... UPS NYC Sub Urban Non-Urban

Favorable 16% 21% 15% 20% 15% Unfavorable 19 16 24 13 21 Mixed 18 14 16 16 19 Hvn't hrd enough 45 47 45 50 44 REFUSED 1 2 - - 1



9. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Andrew Cuomo the Democrat, and George Pataki the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                 Tot  Rep  Dem  Ind  Lib  Mod  Con  Men  Wom  Wht  Blk  His


Cuomo 28% 6% 51% 20% 43% 27% 16% 23% 31% 24% 48% 32% Pataki 59 89 35 64 44 60 74 64 55 64 36 55

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 2 3 4 2 1 3 1 1 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 1 3 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 5 DK/NA 9 4 11 10 7 10 7 7 11 9 12 6

UPSTATE........... UPS NYC Sub Urban Non-Urban

Cuomo 25% 34% 22% 38% 21% Pataki 62 51 66 50 66

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 4 2 DK/NA 9 11 9 6 9



10. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were H. Carl McCall the Democrat, and George Pataki the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                 Tot  Rep  Dem  Ind  Lib  Mod  Con  Men  Wom  Wht  Blk  His


McCall 29% 6% 52% 23% 44% 30% 15% 27% 30% 22% 59% 29% Pataki 57 84 33 60 40 57 73 60 54 64 26 58

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 2 1 - 1 - 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 3 1 2 2 4 DK/NA 12 8 13 13 12 11 10 9 14 11 13 9

UPSTATE........... UPS NYC Sub Urban Non-Urban

McCall 25% 36% 23% 35% 22% Pataki 61 49 61 53 64

SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 5 1 DK/NA 11 13 12 6 12



11. (If registered Democrat) If the Democratic Primary for Governor were being held today and the candidates were H.Carl McCall and Andrew Cuomo, for whom would you vote?

                 REGISTERED DEMOCRATS.......................


Tot Lib Mod Con Men Wom Wht Blk His

McCall 35% 37% 35% 32% 43% 29% 29% 51% 25% Cuomo, 40 34 44 44 36 42 46 22 50

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 3 3 1 3 2 3 4 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 1 1 3 1 2 2 2 DK/NA 22 24 17 20 18 24 20 23 19



12. (If registered Democrat) How will the fact that Andrew Cuomo is the son of former Governor Mario Cuomo influence your vote in the Democratic primary for Governor this year? Will it make you more likely to vote for Andrew Cuomo in the primary, less likely to vote for Andrew Cuomo in the primary, or won't it have much effect one way or the other?

                 REGISTERED DEMOCRATS.......................


Tot Lib Mod Con Men Wom Wht Blk His

More likely 24% 25% 20% 34% 24% 24% 25% 19% 32% Less likely 9 9 9 7 11 7 9 9 7 Not much effect 64 60 68 54 63 64 64 69 53 DK/NA 4 5 2 5 2 5 3 3 8



13. (If registered Democrat) How will the fact that H.Carl McCall would be New York State's first black governor influence your vote in the Democratic primary for Governor this year? Will it make you more likely to vote for H.Carl McCall in the primary, less likely to vote for H. Carl McCall in the primary, or won't it have much effect one way or the other?

                 REGISTERED DEMOCRATS.......................


Tot Lib Mod Con Men Wom Wht Blk His

More likely 14% 23% 8% 16% 13% 15% 7% 27% 23% Less likely 3 - 3 7 2 3 3 1 8 Not much effect 80 73 87 73 82 78 88 70 58 DK/NA 3 4 3 4 2 4 2 2 12



34. Do you think of George Pataki more as a liberal, moderate, or conservative?

                 Tot  Rep  Dem  Ind  Lib  Mod  Con  Men  Wom  Wht  Blk  His


Liberal 12% 8% 13% 12% 15% 8% 17% 13% 11% 10% 19% 14% Moderate 45 57 40 46 39 55 40 45 45 51 29 30 Conservative 30 24 35 28 34 28 32 32 28 27 30 46 DK/NA 13 11 12 14 12 9 11 10 16 12 21 11

UPSTATE........... UPS NYC Sub Urban Non-Urban

Liberal 13% 12% 10% 17% 12% Moderate 44 44 48 34 47 Conservative 28 32 30 31 27 DK/NA 15 12 11 18 14



35. Do you think George Pataki is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?

                 Tot  Rep  Dem  Ind  Lib  Mod  Con  Men  Wom  Wht  Blk  His


Too liberal 8% 10% 8% 6% 2% 7% 15% 11% 5% 8% 7% 6% Too conservative 16 3 26 17 33 17 5 17 16 15 18 19 About right 63 79 51 66 53 68 69 63 64 67 54 61 DK/NA 13 8 15 11 12 9 12 9 16 10 21 15

UPSTATE........... UPS NYC Sub Urban Non-Urban

Too liberal 11% 5% 7% 13% 11% Too conservative 13 21 16 20 11 About right 63 59 70 51 66 DK/NA 13 16 7 15 12



How would you describe your views on most political matters? Generally do you think of yourself as liberal, moderate, or conservative?

                     
                 Tot 


Liberal 24% Moderate 43 Conservative 28 DK/NA 5