April 18, 2002 - Cuomo Tops McCall Among Dems, Inches Up On Pataki, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Pataki Has Small Lead Among Jewish Voters
Former U.S. Housing Secretary Andrew Cuomo leads Comptroller H. Carl McCall 44 - 30 percent in their Democratic primary for Governor, and has made a small gain against Republican Gov. George Pataki, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

If the November election for governor were held today:
  • Pataki tops McCall 56 - 29 percent;
  • Pataki beats Cuomo 54 - 30 percent.
In a February 27 poll by the independent Quinnipiac University, Cuomo edged McCall 40 - 35 percent among Democrats. McCall has made no gain against Pataki, while Cuomo has closed the gap from a 59 - 28 percent deficit.

In a separate measure of Jewish voters, McCall ties Cuomo 38 - 37 percent in a Democratic primary and gets 39 percent to Pataki's 46 percent in the general election. Among Jewish voters, Pataki tops Cuomo 46 - 39 percent.

"The earth turns, the blossoms bloom, but the numbers change only slightly. Pataki still has a huge lead over either Cuomo or McCall," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Cuomo has broadened his lead where it counts, among Democrats. But among Jewish Democrats - high in party loyalty and in political participation - the race is much closer," Carroll added.

Pataki has a 46 - 13 percent favorability rating, with 25 percent mixed and 14 percent who don't know enough to form an opinion. Favorability ratings for the challengers are:
              Favorable    Unfavorable    Mixed    No Opinion
McCall           23            7           16          52
Cuomo            20           18           17          44

	Among Jewish voters:
* Pataki gets a 48 - 12 percent favorability;
  • McCall gets a 35 - 6 percent favorability;
  • Cuomo gets a 22 - 16 percent favorability.
Among Jewish voters, 70 percent say they are more likely to vote for a candidate who is a strong supporter of Israel, while 27 percent say it makes no difference. Among all voters, 22 percent are more likely to vote for a supporter of Israel, while 16 percent are less likely and 52 percent say it has no effect on their vote.

Cuomo is a stronger supporter of Israel, 27 percent of Democrats and 21 percent of Jewish Democrats say, while 9 percent of Democrats and 11 percent of Jewish Democrats say McCall is a stronger supporter of Israel.

New York State voters approve 66 - 19 percent of the job Pataki is doing; Jewish voters approve 62 - 20 percent.

Sen. Charles Schumer has a 60 - 17 percent approval among voters statewide, and 83 - 7 percent among Jewish voters. Sen. Hillary Clinton's approval statewide is 58 - 28 percent, with a 71 - 18 percent approval among Jewish voters.

From April 11 - 16, Quinnipiac University surveyed 905 New York State registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percent. The survey includes 380 registered Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 5.0 percent. An oversample of Jewish registered voters produced a net sample of 323 Jewish voters with a margin of error of +/- 5.5 percent for the separate survey. The survey includes 237 Jewish registered Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 6.4 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut and nationwide as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu or call (203) 582-5201

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George Pataki is handling his job as Governor?

                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Jewish


Approve 66% 59% 71% 60% 70% 80% 59% 61% 68% 49% 62% Disapprove 19 29 16 19 18 11 25 20 18 31 20 DK/NA 15 12 14 20 11 9 16 19 14 20 19



2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator?

                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Jewish


Approve 60% 63% 57% 57% 66% 58% 65% 56% 63% 58% 83% Disapprove 17 15 17 17 20 24 9 19 17 20 7 DK/NA 23 22 25 27 14 18 26 25 20 22 10



3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Hillary Rodham Clinton is handling her job as United States Senator?

                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Jewish


Approve 58% 61% 48% 65% 58% 36% 78% 55% 52% 69% 71% Disapprove 28 25 35 22 31 50 11 31 35 14 18 DK/NA 13 14 17 12 11 14 12 14 13 17 12



6. Is your opinion of Governor George Pataki favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Jewish


Favorable 46% 37% 47% 41% 55% 68% 36% 38% 49% 27% 48% Unfavorable 13 13 11 18 10 6 17 15 11 22 12 Mixed 25 32 26 23 24 16 29 30 28 26 35 Hvn't hrd enough 14 17 15 16 10 9 17 15 11 25 4 REFUSED 2 1 2 2 - 1 1 1 1 - 1



7. Is your opinion of State Comptroller H.Carl McCall favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Jewish


Favorable 23% 28% 23% 23% 23% 20% 27% 23% 22% 40% 35% Unfavorable 7 12 6 7 7 10 4 8 9 2 6 Mixed 16 17 13 20 15 17 18 16 17 16 22 Hvn't hrd enough 52 40 58 48 53 53 50 50 51 38 37 REFUSED 1 2 - 2 1 1 1 3 1 3 1



8. Is your opinion of former Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Andrew Cuomo favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?
                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Jewish


Favorable 20% 20% 17% 25% 16% 11% 30% 16% 19% 27% 22% Unfavorable 18 18 20 14 24 27 11 20 20 15 16 Mixed 17 16 16 16 20 19 20 15 19 11 27 Hvn't hrd enough 44 46 48 44 38 41 39 48 41 48 34 REFUSED 1 - - 1 2 1 - 1 1 - 1



9. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Andrew Cuomo the Democrat, and George Pataki the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Jewish


Cuomo 30% 37% 20% 36% 30% 6% 54% 24% 26% 45% 39% Pataki 54 46 62 46 61 82 31 59 60 31 46

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 3 1 1 - 1 3 1 4 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 11 4 3 1 3 3 4 3 7 2 DK/NA 11 5 12 13 8 9 11 11 10 12 12



10. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were H. Carl McCall the Democrat, and George Pataki the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Jewish


McCall 29% 26% 23% 37% 24% 8% 48% 26% 22% 56% 39% Pataki 56 59 63 46 61 80 38 56 64 27 46

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 1 - - 2 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 2 3 2 3 2 2 2 4 1 DK/NA 12 11 11 13 12 9 12 13 11 12 14



11. (If registered Democrat) If the Democratic Primary for Governor were being held today and the candidates were H.Carl McCall and Andrew Cuomo, for whom would you vote?

                 REGISTERED
                 DEMOCRATS
                 Tot  Jewish


McCall 30% 38% Cuomo, 44 37

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 4 DK/NA 22 21



12. (If registered Democrat) How will a candidate's position on Israel influence your vote in the Democratic primary this year?

If a candidate for governor is a strong supporter of Israel, will that make you more likely to vote for that candidate in the primary, less likely to vote for that candidate in the primary, or won't it have much effect one way or the other?

                 REGISTERED
                 DEMOCRATS
                 Tot  Jewish


More likely 22% 70% Less likely 16 2 No effect 52 27 DK/NA 11 1



13. (If registered Democrat) Which Democratic candidate for governor do you think is a stronger supporter of Israel - H.Carl McCall or Andrew Cuomo?

                 REGISTERED
                 DEMOCRATS
                 Tot  Jewish


McCall 9% 11% Cuomo 27 21

BOTH/NO DIFF(VOL) 5 9 DK/NA 59 58