April 22, 2002 - Keep American Troops Out Of Mideast, Most New York Voters Tell Quinnipiac University Poll; Arafat Is A Terrorist, But Only 44 % Side With Israel
By a 64 - 29 percent margin, New York State voters oppose sending U.S. troops to serve as peace keepers between the Israelis and Palestinians, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. In a separate measure, Jewish voters oppose the use of U.S. troops 52 - 38 percent.

Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat is a terrorist, New York State voters say 57 - 27 percent; 85 percent of Jewish voters say Arafat is a terrorist.

Seventeen percent of voters, and 7 percent of Jewish voters, say Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon is a terrorist, while 64 percent of all voters and 90 percent of Jewish voters say he is not.

Only 44 percent of New York State voters say their sympathies lie more with Israel, while 17 percent say their sympathies lie more with the Palestinians and 39 percent are undecided. Among Jewish voters, 89 percent sympathize with Israel while 2 percent side with the Palestinians.

"While there is very little support for Arafat and the Palestinians, support for Israel among voters in general is not overwhelming," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"And voters say 2 -1 keep our troops out of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict."

The Palestinians are more responsible for the outbreak of violence, 53 percent of all voters say, while 17 percent say the Israelis are more responsible. Among Jewish voters, 89 percent blame the Palestinians.

Voters split 45 - 44 percent on whether Israeli military action is justified or whether the Israelis should have tried harder to reach a diplomatic solution. Israeli military action is justified, Jewish voters say 82 - 15 percent.

Only 29 percent of New York State voters say there will be peace someday between Israel and the Palestinians, while 62 percent say there will never be peace; 36 percent of Jewish voters expect peace someday, while 53 percent do not.

Current Mideast fighting makes a terrorist attack in the U.S. more likely, 50 percent of voters say, while 6 percent say the current violence makes a terrorist attack less likely and 36 percent say it does not make a difference. Results among Jewish voters are similar.

New York State voters split 46 - 44 percent on whether Israel's military response to Palestinian attacks is likely to increase hostility against Jews in the U.S. Jewish voters expect 63 - 32 percent an increase in hostility against Jews.

"Just read the headlines from Europe and you can see why Jewish voters are concerned that increased violence in the Middle East could touch off an increase in anti- Semitism in the U.S.," Carroll said.

From April 11 - 16, Quinnipiac University surveyed 905 New York State registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percent. An oversample of Jewish registered voters produced a net sample of 323 Jewish voters with a margin of error of +/- 5.5 percent for the separate survey.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut and nationwide as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu or call (203) 582-5201

4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
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                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Jewish


Approve 68% 71% 77% 58% 69% 89% 55% 66% 74% 42% 53% Disapprove 27 27 19 38 22 9 40 28 21 53 37 DK/NA 5 3 4 4 9 2 5 6 6 6 10

14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation between Israel and the Palestinians?

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                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Jewish


Approve 55% 53% 69% 42% 57% 76% 44% 53% 60% 30% 41% Disapprove 34 38 22 46 28 17 44 36 29 57 47 DK/NA 11 9 10 12 15 7 12 11 11 13 12

15. From what you know about the situation in the Middle East, do your sympathies lie more with Israel or more with the Palestinians?

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                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Jewish


More with Israel 44% 33% 44% 44% 47% 46% 42% 46% 50% 24% 89% More with Palestinians 17 12 15 21 15 13 17 20 14 22 2 DK/NA 39 54 41 35 38 41 40 34 36 55 8

16. Is your opinion of Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

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                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Jewish


Favorable 4% 5% 3% 6% 2% 4% 4% 3% 2% 6% 1% Unfavorable 57 61 60 50 63 65 51 60 68 24 93 Mixed 23 20 22 22 27 18 28 22 21 33 5 Hvn't hrd enough 13 14 12 19 6 10 15 12 8 27 - REFUSED 3 1 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 10 -

17. Is your opinion of Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

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                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Jewish


Favorable 16% 12% 15% 18% 16% 21% 15% 15% 21% 5% 38% Unfavorable 29 29 25 34 29 20 33 36 29 30 20 Mixed 31 25 33 26 39 38 29 26 35 20 40 Hvn't hrd enough 22 33 26 21 13 20 22 21 15 40 1 REFUSED 2 1 1 2 3 1 2 1 1 5 -

18. How closely have you been following news about the current fighting between Israelis and Palestinians? Have you been following it very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not at all?

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                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Jewish


Very closely 40% 33% 32% 49% 40% 44% 41% 37% 41% 38% 71% Smwht closely 39 34 45 34 42 39 37 42 42 31 27 Not too closely 16 23 19 13 16 13 18 15 14 24 2 Not at all 4 9 4 4 2 3 3 5 3 7 - DK/NA - - - - - - - - - - -

19. Regardless of your overall feelings toward the Israelis and the Palestinians, who do you think is more responsible for the outbreak of violence in the Middle East - Israel or the Palestinians?

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                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Jewish


Israel 17% 15% 15% 20% 15% 13% 19% 16% 14% 26% 2% Palestinians 53 44 55 49 58 58 48 55 62 20 89 DK/NA 30 41 29 31 27 29 33 30 24 54 8



20. Which statement is closer to your own view: ROTATED A) The Israelis are justified in taking military action in response to the recent suicide bombing attacks by the Palestinians. or B) The Israelis should have tried harder to reach a diplomatic solution to the conflict with the Palestinians before taking military action.

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                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Jewish


Justified in military action 45% 47% 48% 41% 47% 52% 39% 46% 53% 22% 82% Should have tried harder for solution 44 37 44 46 43 38 48 47 40 55 15 DK/NA 11 15 8 13 9 10 12 7 7 23 2



21. Which statement is closer to your own view: ROTATED A) The goal of most Palestinians is to have their own state and then live in peace with Israel OR B) The goal of most Palestinians is to have their own state and then destroy Israel?
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                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Jewish


Have state/ Live in peace 55% 58% 54% 59% 50% 52% 59% 57% 52% 67% 28% Have state/ Destroy Israel 34 37 32 32 37 36 32 33 38 26 65 DK/NA 11 5 13 9 13 12 10 10 10 8 7



22. Would you describe Yasser Arafat as a terrorist or not?

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                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Jewish


Yes 57% 50% 62% 52% 63% 61% 53% 59% 68% 32% 85% No 27 30 25 31 22 22 30 29 21 48 12 DK/NA 16 20 13 17 15 17 17 12 12 20 3

23. Would you describe Ariel Sharon as a terrorist or not?

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                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Jewish


Yes 17% 21% 19% 18% 13% 16% 14% 23% 17% 29% 7% No 64 57 59 65 72 67 67 57 68 50 90 DK/NA 19 22 23 17 15 17 18 20 15 21 3

24. Would you favor or oppose sending American troops to act as peacekeepers between the Israelis and the Palestinians?

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                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Jewish


Favor 29% 28% 28% 33% 23% 26% 30% 31% 27% 30% 38% Oppose 64 65 67 57 71 68 61 63 68 62 52 DK/NA 7 7 5 10 6 6 8 6 5 8 10

25. Do you think there will ever be peace between Israel and the Palestinians, or not?

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                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Jewish


Yes 29% 25% 22% 35% 29% 22% 35% 28% 26% 26% 36% No 62 64 68 54 64 69 54 62 64 64 53 DK/NA 10 12 10 11 7 9 11 9 10 10 11

26. Do you think the current fighting between Israel and the Palestinians will make a terrorist attack against the United States more likely to happen in the near future, less likely to happen, or won't it make any difference?
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                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Jewish


More likely 50% 48% 47% 49% 56% 50% 49% 51% 50% 53% 51% Less likely 6 5 9 6 5 5 6 7 6 9 3 No difference 36 32 40 35 33 39 34 36 38 31 40 DK/NA 8 15 5 10 6 5 11 7 6 6 6

27. Do you think Israel's military response to attacks by Palestinians is likely to increase hostility against Jewish people in the United States or not?
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                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Jewish


Yes 46% 41% 38% 49% 54% 45% 47% 46% 49% 39% 63% No 44 47 53 41 37 44 44 45 43 53 32 DK/NA 10 13 9 10 8 11 9 8 8 8 5