July 2, 2002 - Golisano Has Little Impact On Pataki's 2-1 Lead, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Cuomo Ahead In Dem Primary
Republican Gov. George Pataki holds a 2 -1 lead over either Democratic challenger, even with independent businessman Thomas Golisano in the race, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Among New York State registered voters, Gov. Pataki tops former U.S. Housing Secretary Andrew Cuomo 54 - 26 percent, with 6 percent for Golisano. In a two-man race, Pataki tops Cuomo 57 - 30 percent, showing that Golisano is taking votes from both sides.

Pataki beats State Comptroller H. Carl McCall 53 - 26 percent, with 7 percent for Golisano. In the two-way matchup, Pataki tops McCall 55 - 28 percent.

A May 1 poll by the independent Quinnipiac University, conducted before Golisano jumped into the race, showed Pataki over Cuomo 59 - 26 percent and Pataki over McCall 58 - 27 percent.

Cuomo leads McCall in a Democratic primary 47 - 32 percent, compared to his 43 - 33 percent lead May 1.

"Thomas Golisano's dive into the political pool has made hardly a ripple. He shaves a few points from each of the three candidates. That's good news for the Republican incumbent sitting on a 2 -1 lead," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Say what you want about me but spell my name right. Andrew Cuomo is in the news regularly - whether it's favorable or unfavorable - and Democratic voters look like they're spelling his name right," Carroll added.

By a 66 - 18 percent margin, New York State registered voters approve of the job Pataki is doing as Governor.

Pataki has a 47 - 12 percent favorability rating, with 26 percent mixed and 14 percent who don't know enough to form an opinion. He had a 50 - 10 percent favorability May l.

Cuomo has a negative 16 - 24 percent favorability, with 22 percent mixed and 37 percent who haven't heard enough to form an opinion. This is little changed from his negative 15 - 28 percent rating May 1.

McCall's 23 - 6 percent favorability rating, with 15 percent mixed and 54 percent who haven't heard enough, is little changed from May 1.

By a 56 - 25 percent margin, New York State voters approve of the job Mario Cuomo did as Governor. Even Republican voters split 41 - 40 percent in their approval of Cuomo.

The fact that McCall would be New York's first black governor makes 13 percent of Democratic voters more likely to vote for him, while 2 percent are less likely and 82 percent say it will make no difference in their vote.

"At first Pataki was ABC, Anybody But Cuomo. Then he was a lucky guy with weak opposition. Now he's 'The Governor.' Nothing seems to dent his huge approval rating and his lead over the challengers," Carroll said.

"He's been out of office almost eight years, but voters still have a good feeling for Cuomo the Elder. Cuomo the Younger could use some of that good feeling right now."

From June 24 - 30, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,068 New York State registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3 percent. The survey includes 448 registered Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.6 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania and nationwide as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu or call (203) 582-5201
1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George Pataki is handling his job as Governor?
                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Approve 66% 55% 68% 64% 71% 82% 58% 66% 70% 44% 69% 63% Disapprove 18 25 18 19 11 11 24 15 16 27 18 18 DK/NA 17 20 14 17 18 8 18 19 14 28 13 20

6. Is your opinion of Governor George Pataki favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Favorable 47% 38% 49% 44% 55% 73% 34% 46% 52% 29% 54% 42% Unfavorable 12 18 13 12 9 8 15 12 11 17 11 13 Mixed 26 31 27 26 22 10 32 30 26 26 24 28 Hvn't hrd enough 14 13 10 17 14 8 18 11 9 27 11 16 REFUSED 1 - 1 1 - - - 1 - - 1 1

7. Is your opinion of State Comptroller H.Carl McCall favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Favorable 23% 23% 28% 19% 23% 19% 26% 23% 22% 36% 27% 20% Unfavorable 6 3 8 8 5 9 5 8 8 - 7 6 Mixed 15 17 19 13 13 16 15 16 17 16 18 13 Hvn't hrd enough 54 56 43 59 57 54 54 52 52 48 47 59 REFUSED 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 - 1 2

8. Is your opinion of former Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Andrew Cuomo favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?
                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Favorable 16% 21% 15% 18% 12% 12% 23% 13% 16% 22% 17% 15% Unfavorable 24 16 24 23 30 38 14 28 28 13 30 20 Mixed 22 27 24 19 20 17 23 23 22 21 21 22 Hvn't hrd enough 37 37 35 39 36 31 40 34 34 43 31 42 REFUSED 1 - 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 - 1 -

9. Is your opinion of businessman Thomas Golisano favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Favorable 7% 23% 9% 2% 3% 9% 5% 9% 8% 2% 9% 5% Unfavorable 7 6 8 9 4 7 7 7 8 4 10 6 Mixed 9 13 13 5 6 9 8 10 9 7 10 7 Hvn't hrd enough 76 56 69 82 84 73 79 74 73 87 70 81 REFUSED 1 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 - 1 1

10. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Andrew Cuomo the Democrat, and George Pataki the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Cuomo 30% 38% 24% 36% 26% 5% 53% 25% 25% 57% 26% 34% Pataki 57 50 63 51 63 89 37 61 64 28 63 52

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 3 2 2 DK/NA 9 8 10 9 9 5 8 13 9 9 7 11

11. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were H. Carl McCall the Democrat, and George Pataki the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


McCall 28% 30% 24% 33% 24% 6% 47% 23% 22% 57% 25% 31% Pataki 55 49 60 49 63 85 36 61 63 20 61 51

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 1 1 - 1 1 - 1 - 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 4 2 3 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 2 DK/NA 13 15 14 13 12 7 14 14 12 21 10 16

12. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were H. Carl McCall the Democrat, George Pataki the Republican, and Thomas Golisano the independent, for whom would you vote?

                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


McCall 26% 22% 23% 31% 23% 6% 45% 19% 20% 56% 22% 30% Pataki 53 41 56 50 60 82 36 54 59 23 58 49 Golisano 7 24 7 3 4 5 4 12 8 5 8 6

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 2 - - 1 - - - 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 5 2 3 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 DK/NA 11 7 12 11 12 5 12 13 10 13 8 14

13. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Andrew Cuomo the Democrat, George Pataki the Republican, and Thomas Golisano the independent, for whom would you vote?

                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Cuomo 26% 27% 20% 34% 22% 3% 49% 19% 21% 50% 22% 30% Pataki 54 42 59 48 63 86 34 57 60 30 60 50 Golisano 6 21 8 2 3 5 3 12 8 2 7 5

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 2 2 1 - 1 1 1 3 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 5 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 DK/NA 10 4 9 12 11 5 11 11 9 14 7 12



14. (If registered Democrat) If the Democratic Primary for Governor were being held today and the candidates were H.Carl McCall and Andrew Cuomo, for whom would you vote?

                 Registered
                 Democrats 


McCall 32% Cuomo, 47

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 DK/NA 16

15. (If registered Democrat) How will the fact that H. Carl McCall would be New York State's first black governor influence your vote in the Democratic primary for Governor this year?

Will it make you more likely to vote for H. Carl McCall in the primary, less likely to vote for H. Carl McCall in the primary, or won't it have much effect one way or the other?

                 Registered
                 Democrats 


More likely 13% Less likely 2 Not much effect 82 DK/NA 3

16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mario Cuomo handled his job as Governor?
                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Approve 56% 65% 48% 62% 52% 41% 69% 51% 54% 71% 58% 54% Disapprove 25 24 32 19 26 40 14 30 29 12 27 24 DK/NA 19 11 19 19 21 19 17 19 17 17 15 22