July 3, 2002 - Terror Concerns Won't Stop Holiday Plans, New Yorkers Tell Quinnipiac University Poll; Many Expect July 4th Attack
New York State voters are going ahead with holiday plans even though many of them say a terrorist attack somewhere in the U.S. on July 4th is likely, a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Ten percent of voters say an attack is "very likely," while 38 percent say an attack is "somewhat likely;" 27 percent say an attack is "not very likely," and 17 percent say it is "not likely at all."

But 92 percent of New York State voters say they have not changed July 4th travel arrangements or plans to attend public events because of the threat of a terrorist attack, while 7 percent say they have changed their plans.

"Almost half of New Yorkers expect a terrorist attack this week," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"But in typical in-your-face New York style, almost no one in the Empire State admits that they are running scared."

Thirty-three percent of all New York State voters, including 54 percent of New York City voters, say they have visited Ground Zero since September 11.

The redevelopment of Lower Manhattan is going "very well," 33 percent of State voters say, while 39 percent say it is going "somewhat well;" 7 percent say it is going "somewhat badly," and 2 percent say it is going "very badly."

By a 65- 29 percent margin, New York State registered voters say Americans will have to give up some personal freedoms to make the U.S. safe from terrorist attacks. There is little difference among Democrats or Republicans, men or women on this feeling.

"Two-thirds of New Yorkers say their personal freedoms will have to be curbed to defend against terrorism. We'll measure attitudes on this in the coming months as the fear fades and the aggravation grows," Carroll said.

President George W. Bush has a 64 – 28 percent approval rating in New York State, down from his all-time 82 – 14 percent approval in an October 2, 2001, poll by the independent Quinnipiac University.

Sen. Charles Schumer has a 61 – 17 percent approval, while Sen. Hillary Clinton's approval is 56 – 31 percent.

From June 24 - 30, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,068 New York State registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania and nationwide as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu or call (203) 582-5201

2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator?

                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Approve 61% 56% 60% 64% 58% 49% 72% 59% 61% 61% 60% 61% Disapprove 17 19 16 16 21 25 9 18 17 17 21 14 DK/NA 22 25 24 21 21 26 18 22 22 21 19 25



3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Hillary Rodham Clinton is handling her job as United States Senator?

                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Approve 56% 59% 50% 64% 49% 32% 77% 51% 50% 75% 52% 59% Disapprove 31 31 36 22 39 55 12 36 37 10 36 27 DK/NA 13 10 13 14 12 14 11 13 13 14 11 14



4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Approve 64% 62% 74% 53% 71% 87% 51% 65% 72% 38% 65% 64% Disapprove 28 31 19 35 26 8 40 28 22 52 28 28 DK/NA 8 7 7 12 4 5 9 7 6 9 8 8



17. How likely do you think it is that there will be a terrorist attack in the United States on the fourth of July? Very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not likely at all?

                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Very likely 10% 9% 11% 10% 7% 11% 10% 8% 9% 15% 8% 11% Smwht likely 38 43 41 32 42 40 33 44 39 38 37 39 Not very likely 27 26 28 27 28 29 25 31 31 17 30 25 Not likely at all 17 17 12 23 15 16 22 12 14 23 18 17 DK/NA 7 4 8 7 8 4 9 6 7 8 6 9



18. Thinking about the fourth of July, have you canceled or changed any of your travel plans or plans to attend a public event on the fourth of July because you were concerned about the possibility of terrorism?

                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Yes 7% 2% 6% 10% 8% 5% 8% 7% 4% 16% 5% 8% No 92 98 94 88 92 94 90 91 95 81 94 89 DK/NA 1 - 1 3 - 1 2 2 1 3 - 2



19. Do you think Americans will have to give up some of their personal freedoms in order to make the country safe from terrorist attacks, or not?

                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Yes 65% 57% 66% 65% 70% 69% 64% 71% 69% 65% 64% 67% No 29 38 29 30 22 26 31 26 27 31 31 27 DK/NA 6 5 5 6 8 5 4 3 4 4 5 6



20. Since September 11th, have you, personally, visited the site in New York City where the Twin Towers of the World Trade Center used to be, or not?

                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Yes 33% 11% 13% 54% 34% 26% 36% 32% 28% 30% 39% 27% No 67 89 87 46 66 74 64 68 72 70 61 72 DK/NA - - - - - - - - - - - -



21. What is your impression of how well the redevelopment of lower Manhattan is going? Would you say very well, somewhat well, somewhat badly or very badly?

                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Very well 33% 31% 30% 36% 36% 41% 36% 25% 33% 23% 31% 36% Somewhat well 39 34 36 39 45 39 39 41 38 47 38 39 Somewhat badly 7 5 5 8 8 4 5 10 7 5 9 5 Very badly 2 4 - 4 1 1 3 2 1 5 3 2 DK/NA 19 25 29 14 10 16 18 21 21 20 19 18