September 26, 2002 - Hevesi, Spitzer Have Big Leads In New York Races, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Slim Majority Of State Voters Back NYC Commuter Tax
Former New York City Comptroller Alan Hevesi, a Democrat, leads Republican State Assembly member John Faso 50 - 30 percent among likely voters, including voters leaning towards a candidate, in the race for New York State Comptroller, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Another 19 percent are undecided.

By a 80 - 7 percent margin, Democrats back Hevesi, who also wins among independent voters 46 - 24 percent. Republicans back Faso 66 - 15 percent.

Hevesi leads 67 - 21 percent in New York City, 54 - 31 percent in the suburbs and 42 - 26 percent in upstate cities. Faso leads 40 - 29 percent in upstate non-urban areas.

Democratic Attorney General Eliot Spitzer tops Republican challenger Dora Irizarry 58 - 19 percent, with 22 percent undecided. The incumbent leads in all areas of the state.

"The early line looks good for Democrats in these two statewide races," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Name recognition counts in the State Comptroller's race: Alan Hevesi got more media attention as New York City Comptroller than John Faso did as Assembly Minority Leader.

"And Attorney General Eliot Spitzer is no stranger to a camera." Commuter Tax

By a 52 - 40 percent margin, New York State voters say suburban commuters who work in New York City should pay a city income tax. New York City voters back the commuter tax 65 - 29 percent, while suburban voters oppose it 60 - 36 percent. Among upstate urban and non-urban voters, 49 percent back the income tax.

Even Republicans statewide back the measure 48 - 43 percent.

"The people who would pay it - suburbanites - think the New York City commuter tax is a bad idea. The people who pay the city's bills now - city residents - would love to share this burden with their neighbors," Carroll said.

"Surprisingly, upstate voters wade in on the side of New York City on this issue."

Voters statewide oppose 51 - 39 percent having the State Legislature allow New York City to raise taxes on New York City residents. City residents oppose this move 69 - 23 percent; suburban voters are split 46 - 45 percent; voters in upstate cities are split 42 - 38 percent and other upstate voters support a New York City tax hike 51 - 36 percent.

By a 60 - 31 percent margin, voters statewide say the State Legislature should increase state aid to New York City. City and suburban voters back this measure, while upstate urban and non-urban voters oppose it.

New York State voters oppose 51 - 22 percent moving the primary elections from September to June. Opposition is uniform among all parties and in all areas of the state.

"We did not mention that the state's primary usually will fall within a week of the September 11 anniversary when we asked this question, but those who want to change the primary date will have to spend more time educating the voters," Carroll said.

From September 17 - 23, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,298 New York State registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percent. The survey includes 936 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.2 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania and nationwide as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu or call (203) 582-5201

2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator?

                 REGISTERED VOTERS.........................................
                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Approve 58% 52% 49% 64% 61% 51% 66% 55% 57% 66% 59% 56% Disapprove 17 18 22 14 18 25 12 16 19 13 21 14 DK/NA 25 30 29 22 22 24 22 28 24 21 20 30

3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Hillary Rodham Clinton is handling her job as United States Senator?

                 REGISTERED VOTERS.........................................
                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Approve 53% 55% 42% 61% 54% 28% 74% 50% 44% 85% 46% 60% Disapprove 35 34 43 29 35 60 17 36 43 7 44 27 DK/NA 12 11 14 11 11 13 9 14 13 8 10 14

4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?
                 REGISTERED VOTERS.........................................
                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Approve 58% 62% 65% 48% 62% 88% 35% 61% 66% 23% 60% 55% Disapprove 36 33 27 47 32 11 57 33 30 65 34 38 DK/NA 6 5 8 5 5 1 8 6 5 12 5 7



21. If the election for state attorney general were being held today, and the candidates were Eliot Spitzer the Democrat, and Dora Irizarry the Republican, for whom would you vote?

(If undecided q21) As of today, do you lean more to Spitzer or Irizarry?

                 LIKELY VOTERS(Includes Leaners)...........................
                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Spitzer 58% 55% 51% 65% 59% 34% 81% 59% 54% 78% 60% 57% Irizarry 19 22 23 12 22 44 2 15 22 5 19 19

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 - 1 - - 2 1 1 1 0 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - - 1 1 1 - - 1 - 1 0 DK/NA 22 22 25 22 17 21 16 25 22 16 19 24



22. If the election for state comptroller were being held today, and the candidates were Alan Hevesi the Democrat, and John Faso the Republican, for whom would you vote?

(If undecided q22) As of today, do you lean more to Hevesi or Faso?

                 LIKELY VOTERS(Includes Leaners)...........................
                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Hevesi 50% 42% 29% 67% 54% 15% 80% 46% 41% 80% 49% 51% Faso 30 26 40 21 31 66 7 24 35 12 33 27

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - 1 - - - - - - - 1 - DK/NA 19 32 29 11 13 18 12 28 22 8 17 22



23. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York State today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?

                 REGISTERED VOTERS.........................................
                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Very satisfied 8% 6% 6% 12% 7% 13% 6% 6% 9% 4% 9% 7% Smwht satisfied 54 38 50 52 70 62 47 57 56 45 55 52 Smwht dissatisfied 23 36 28 19 18 19 26 24 23 24 20 26 Very dissatisfied 14 18 15 17 4 5 20 12 11 27 14 13

DK/NA 1 2 1 1 2 1 - 1 1 - 1 1

25. Would you describe the state of New York state's economy these days as: Excellent, good, not so good, or poor?

                 REGISTERED VOTERS.........................................
                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Excellent 1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% Good 29 23 29 27 37 42 21 29 32 21 33 26 Not so good 47 48 45 48 47 41 51 48 46 49 47 47 Poor 19 26 24 19 11 13 25 18 19 26 16 23 DK/NA 3 3 1 4 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 3

26. During the next 12 months, do you think the economic conditions in New York state will get better, get worse, or stay about the same?

                 REGISTERED VOTERS.........................................
                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Get better 32% 31% 27% 34% 34% 40% 29% 28% 30% 36% 32% 31% Get worse 19 17 22 19 16 15 21 20 19 22 20 18 Stay the same 42 45 45 38 42 40 42 45 44 38 42 41 DK/NA 8 7 6 9 8 5 8 6 7 4 6 9

27. Would you describe the state of your local area's economy these days as: Excellent, good, not so good, or poor?

                 REGISTERED VOTERS.........................................
                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Excellent 4% 1% 3% 4% 7% 6% 2% 6% 5% 2% 4% 4% Good 41 30 34 42 57 47 39 42 44 30 44 40 Not so good 36 42 36 38 28 32 39 35 35 42 32 38 Poor 16 25 26 12 6 13 18 16 16 23 17 16 DK/NA 2 1 2 3 2 1 2 1 2 3 2 3

28. During the next 12 months, do you think the economic conditions in your local area will get better, get worse, or stay about the same?

                 REGISTERED VOTERS.........................................
                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Get better 25% 26% 24% 28% 22% 25% 27% 22% 22% 27% 27% 23% Get worse 14 18 17 11 12 13 14 15 16 11 13 14 Stay the same 56 53 55 55 61 56 55 60 57 59 55 57 DK/NA 5 3 5 7 6 6 4 3 5 3 4 6

29. If George Pataki is re-elected Governor, do you think state taxes will go up, go down, or stay about the same?

                 REGISTERED VOTERS.........................................
                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Go up 39% 43% 39% 37% 39% 27% 47% 39% 36% 61% 38% 40% Go down 4 4 3 6 3 5 4 6 3 5 5 4 Stay about the same 48 46 51 47 50 63 42 45 53 30 51 46 DK/NA 8 7 7 10 9 5 7 10 8 4 6 10

30. If H.Carl McCall is elected Governor, do you think state taxes will go up, go down, or stay about the same?

                 REGISTERED VOTERS.........................................
                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Go up 38% 37% 41% 36% 40% 52% 31% 36% 40% 32% 41% 36% Go down 6 4 5 6 7 4 9 4 5 15 6 6 Stay about the same 35 38 34 36 35 28 43 35 34 40 36 35 DK/NA 21 21 21 22 18 16 17 25 22 13 17 24



31. To balance the state budget next year, if you had to choose, which would you prefer -

A) Raising taxes to keep state services at their current level B) Cutting state services to keep taxes at their current level

                 REGISTERED VOTERS.........................................
                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Raise taxes 41% 43% 33% 49% 39% 33% 52% 40% 39% 54% 39% 43% Cut services 46 48 52 39 50 57 35 49 50 31 50 42 DK/NA 13 10 15 13 11 10 13 11 11 15 11 14

32. Do you think that New York State suburban residents who work in New York City should pay a New York City income tax to help cover the cost of city services or not?
                 REGISTERED VOTERS.........................................
                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Yes 52% 49% 49% 65% 36% 48% 57% 52% 49% 62% 54% 51% No 40 41 40 29 60 43 37 42 44 32 41 40 DK/NA 7 9 11 6 4 9 6 6 7 6 5 9

33. As you may know, some have suggested that New York City raise taxes on New York City residents in order to help reduce the city budget deficit. This measure would require approval from the state legislature. Do you think the state legislature should or should not approve of New York City increasing taxes on New York City residents?

                 REGISTERED VOTERS.........................................
                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Should approve 39% 42% 51% 23% 46% 47% 33% 42% 45% 26% 42% 35% Should not approve 51 38 36 69 45 46 56 47 44 67 48 52 DK/NA 11 19 13 8 9 8 12 11 11 8 10 12

34. Do you think the state legislature should or should not increase state aid to New York City?

                 REGISTERED VOTERS.........................................
                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Should 60% 36% 35% 83% 69% 57% 66% 57% 54% 87% 58% 62% Should not 31 53 54 12 22 35 27 32 36 8 33 30 DK/NA 9 11 11 6 9 8 7 10 10 5 9 8

33. Do you favor or oppose moving New York state's primary elections from September to June?

                 REGISTERED VOTERS.........................................
                      UpState..
                 Tot  Urbn Othr NYC  Sub  Rep  Dem  Ind  Wht  Blk  Men  Wom


Favor 22% 21% 20% 23% 25% 20% 22% 29% 21% 25% 25% 19% Oppose 51 53 49 53 49 54 53 45 50 53 52 51 DK/NA 27 27 31 25 26 26 25 26 29 22 23 30