June 26, 2001 - Cuomo Inches Up, But Pataki Still Holds Big Lead, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Dems Like Governor's Shift To `Left' More Than GOP
Former U.S. Housing Secretary Andrew Cuomo has widened his lead over State Comptroller H. Carl McCall in a Democratic primary for the New York State 2002 governor's race, but Pataki still holds a comfortable lead over either Democrat, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Among Democrats, Cuomo gets 44 percent to McCall's 31 percent, with 21 percent undecided. In an April 24 poll by the independent Quinnipiac University, Cuomo led 39 - 33 percent, with 26 percent undecided.

Gov. Pataki beats McCall in a general election matchup 46 - 35 percent, with 15 percent undecided. Pataki tops Cuomo 47 - 39 percent, with 9 percent undecided.

The April 24 matchup showed Pataki ahead of McCall 43 - 36 percent, and Pataki ahead of Cuomo 46 - 36 percent.

From June 20 - 24, Quinnipiac University surveyed 906 New York State registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percent. The survey includes 369 registered Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 5.1 percent.

"All the numbers come up strong for Gov. Pataki. He holds healthy leads over both of the Democrats who want his job. His overall approval rating, 56 - 30 percent, has been slipping, but still OK for a Republican governor in a Democratic state," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Andrew Cuomo edges further ahead of Comptroller McCall," Carroll added.

Pataki's 56 - 30 percent approval rating is down slightly from his 61 - 24 percent approval in the March 28 Quinnipiac University poll, and 58 - 27 percent April 24.

By a 47 - 19 percent margin, New York State voters have a favorable opinion of Pataki, with 27 percent mixed and 6 percent saying they don't know enough to form an opinion. Favorability ratings for other possible candidates are:
                Favorable         Unfavorable     Mixed       No Opinion
Cuomo            25                20              16          39
McCall           30                 5               9          55



By a 67 - 11 percent margin, New York State voters think "more favorably" of Pataki because of his call for tougher gun control measures, while 21 percent say this position has "no effect' on how they regard the Governor; 74 percent of Democrats, 57 percent of Republicans and 68 percent of independent voters think "more favorably."

Pataki's call for tougher environmental standards for New York leads 65 percent of all voters, including 70 percent of Democrats, 58 percent of Republicans and 69 percent of independents to think "more favorably" of him.

The Governor's trip to Vieques to protest Navy bombing practice leaves only 30 percent of voters thinking "more favorably" of him, while 23 percent think "less favorably" and 44 percent say it has "no effect." The Vieques trip leaves 23 percent of Republicans, 38 percent of Democrats and 26 percent of independents thinking "more favorably" of Pataki.

"If Pataki is shifting to the left, as some observers suggest, Democrats and independent voters welcome the shift, and Republicans don't seem to mind," Carroll said.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu or call (203) 582-5201

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George Pataki is handling his job as Governor of New York?

                 Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Men   Wom


Approve 56% 58% 50% 61% 74% 45% 58% 59% 46% 59% 54%

Disapprove 30 28 35 26 15 38 31 27 37 29 31

DK/NA 14 14 15 13 11 17 12 13 17 12 15

7. Is your opinion of Governor George Pataki favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                 Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Men   Wom


Favorable 47% 47% 44% 50% 69% 33% 49% 49% 31% 50% 45%

Unfavorable 19 18 24 17 8 26 17 18 32 20 19

Mixed 27 28 25 27 19 32 28 28 24 26 28

Hvn't hrd engh 6 6 7 6 4 8 6 5 10 4 8

REFUSED - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - -

8. Is your opinion of State Comptroller H.Carl McCall favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                 Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Men   Wom


Favorable 30% 25% 33% 35% 24% 34% 30% 28% 47% 34% 27%

Unfavorable 5 5 4 7 7 3 6 5 5 6 5

Mixed 9 10 8 8 12 10 7 9 8 10 8

Hvn't hrd engh 55 59 54 50 56 53 56 58 40 49 60

REFUSED 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 1 - 1 -

9. Is your opinion of former Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Andrew Cuomo favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                 Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Men   Wom


Favorable 25% 19% 30% 28% 14% 35% 20% 22% 29% 24% 26%

Unfavorable 20 22 18 20 35 10 21 21 12 24 17

Mixed 16 14 15 18 13 18 15 15 23 14 17

Hvn't hrd engh 39 45 36 33 38 37 43 40 37 37 41

REFUSED 1 - 1 - - - 1 1 - 1 -



10. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Andrew Cuomo the Democrat, and George Pataki the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                 Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Men   Wom


Cuomo 39% 31% 52% 37% 8% 67% 30% 35% 61% 38% 40% Pataki 47 54 38 47 84 22 52 52 26 50 45

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 2 1 - 3 1 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 3 2 2 2 4 3 6 3 3 DK/NA 9 10 6 12 5 9 11 10 5 8 10



11. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were H. Carl McCall the Democrat, and George Pataki the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                 Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Men   Wom


McCall 35% 29% 43% 36% 10% 56% 30% 31% 64% 38% 33% Pataki 46 52 41 44 79 25 49 50 18 47 46

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 2 1 - 1 3 1 2 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 2 2 1 2 3 2 4 2 2 DK/NA 15 15 13 17 10 15 15 15 11 12 17



12. (If registered Democrat) If the Democratic Primary for Governor were being held today and the candidates were H. Carl McCall and Andrew Cuomo for whom would you vote?

                    REGISTERED DEMOCRATS ........................


Tot Ups NYC Sub Wht Blk Men Wom

McCall 31% 26% 34% 31% 27% 50% 36% 28% Cuomo 44 44 43 45 47 27 42 45

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 1 1 3 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 3 3 3 3 1 4 DK/NA 21 24 20 20 22 18 20 22



13a. I am going to read you a list of things that you may or may not know about George Pataki. Please tell me whether it makes you feel more favorably about George Pataki, less favorably about George Pataki, or if it has no effect on your opinion of George Pataki. (Intro to ques 13, 14, 15)

13. (See George Pataki intro 13a) He has called for stricter gun control laws in New York State. Does that make you feel more favorably about George Pataki, less favorably about George Pataki, or does it have no effect on your opinion of George Pataki?

                 Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Men   Wom


More fav 67% 59% 72% 74% 57% 74% 68% 68% 63% 60% 72%

Less fav 11 18 5 8 21 4 11 12 6 15 8

No effect 21 22 22 18 22 21 20 19 30 25 18

DK/NA 1 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 - 2

14. (See George Pataki intro 13a) He has said he wants New York State to have the strictest environmental standards in the country. Does that make you feel more favorably about George Pataki, less favorably about George Pataki, or does it have no effect on your opinion of George Pataki?

                 Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Men   Wom


More fav 65% 60% 67% 71% 58% 70% 69% 68% 56% 64% 66%

Less fav 7 12 5 3 11 4 6 8 3 8 7

No effect 26 25 28 25 28 25 24 23 41 27 25

DK/NA 2 3 1 1 3 1 1 2 - 1 2

15. (See George Pataki intro 13a) He went to the island of Vieques in Puerto Rico to protest the Navy's bombing exercises there. Does that make you feel more favorably about George Pataki, less favorably about George Pataki, or does it have no effect on your opinion of George Pataki?

                 Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Men   Wom


More fav 30% 28% 37% 25% 23% 38% 26% 26% 42% 24% 35%

Less fav 23 22 23 24 32 16 21 25 14 30 17

No effect 44 47 36 47 43 43 49 45 41 43 44

DK/NA 3 3 3 4 2 4 3 4 3 2 5

16. Does the fact that Andrew Cuomo is former governor Mario Cuomo's son, make you feel more favorably toward Andrew Cuomo, less favorably toward Andrew Cuomo, or does it have no effect on your opinion of Andrew Cuomo?

                 Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Men   Wom


More fav 17% 14% 21% 16% 7% 30% 10% 16% 17% 14% 19%

Less fav 16 20 11 16 31 6 18 17 9 20 13

No effect 65 65 65 66 61 63 69 65 72 64 67

DK/NA 2 2 2 1 1 1 3 2 2 2 2

17. Does the fact that H.Carl McCall is the first African American to run for Governor of New York State as a major party candidate make you feel more favorably toward H.Carl McCall, less favorably toward H.Carl McCall, or does it have no effect on your opinion of H.Carl McCall?

                 Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Wht   Blk   Men   Wom


More fav 13% 9% 18% 14% 6% 22% 9% 9% 39% 13% 14%

Less fav 2 2 3 1 2 2 3 3 - 3 2

No effect 82 87 75 84 90 74 85 86 59 82 82

DK/NA 2 2 3 1 2 2 3 2 2 2 2