December 8, 2004 - Colin Powell Tops Spitzer In New York Gov Race Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Pataki Loses Big In '06 Run For Governor Or Senate
Secretary of State Colin Powell beats Attorney General Eliot Spitzer 47 - 42 percent in an early look at the 2006 New York governor's race, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Spitzer tops Republican Gov. George Pataki 50 - 38 percent if the two face off, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.

In these early matchups, there is some shift of black and independent voters from Spitzer if he runs against Pataki, to Powell, if he faces Spitzer.

If Gov. Pataki decides to run for U.S. Senate in 2006, he would lose to incumbent Hillary Clinton 58 - 36 percent. Sen. Clinton holds off Powell by a narrow 49 - 44 percent margin.

"It's hypothetical and way in the future, but if Colin Powell, a New Yorker who soon will be looking for a job, decides to run for Governor, he'll give Eliot Spitzer a run for his money," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"When Powell goes up against another superstar, Sen. Hillary Clinton, he comes up a bit short.

"Pataki loses to Spitzer. If the Governor decides to try his hand in Washington instead, Sen. Clinton thumps him by more than 20 points."

New York State voters give Pataki a 44 - 41 approval rating, compared to 61 - 15 percent for Spitzer.

Approval for the state's two Senators is soaring as Sen. Charles Schumer gets a 69 - 16 percent thumbs up and Clinton gets 63 - 26 percent, tying the highest ratings for either official.

President George W. Bush gets a negative 39 - 56 percent approval rating, among his lowest ever in New York.

Looking to the 2008 presidential election, New Yorkers say 54 - 40 percent that they do not want Sen. Clinton to go for the White House. Among Democrats, 57 percent want Clinton to run for President. Women are split 46 - 46 percent. Voters split 47 - 49 percent over whether they want Rudolph Giuliani to run. Among Republicans, 78 percent say go for it.

In a hypothetical presidential matchup, Clinton gets 46 percent to 45 percent for Giuliani, a tie.

"It's early, but New Yorkers aren't eager to see their favorite son, Rudy Giuliani, or favorite daughter, Hillary Clinton, throw their Yankee hats into the presidential ring. Their own parties would love to pick them, especially Republican Rudy-rooters," Carroll said.

From December 3 - 6, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,186 New York State registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida and nationwide as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu or call (203) 582-5201

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George Pataki is handling his job as Governor of New York?

                        App     Dis     DK/NA


Dec 8, 2004 44 41 15 Sep 14, 2004 49 35 15 Aug 11, 2004 44 43 13 Jun 16, 2004 47 41 12 Apr 14, 2004 49 36 15 Nov 6, 2003 52 36 12 Oct 2, 2003 46 42 12 Jun 25, 2003 43 45 11 Apr 23, 2003 43 45 12 Feb 12, 2003 49 41 10 Dec 19, 2002 58 31 11 Sep 25, 2002 62 26 12 Jul 2, 2002 66 18 17 May 1, 2002 67 19 14 Apr 18, 2002 66 19 15 Feb 27, 2002 70 18 13 Jan 23, 2002 70 16 14 Nov 14, 2001 78 12 10 Oct 2, 2001 81 12 7 Jun 26, 2001 56 30 14 Apr 24, 2001 58 27 15 Mar 28, 2001 61 24 16 Feb 14, 2001 57 28 15 Dec 14, 2000 66 23 11 Aug 10, 2000 61 24 15 Jul 13, 2000 60 27 12 Jun 7, 2000 62 25 13 May 16, 2000 63 27 10 May 2, 2000 58 29 12 Apr 6, 2000 56 31 13 Mar 2, 2000 57 31 12 Feb 10, 2000 57 32 12 Jan 20, 2000 60 29 11 Dec 14, 1999 60 29 11 Nov 11, 1999 60 29 12 Oct 5, 1999 57 31 11 Sep 15, 1999 60 27 12 Aug 2, 1999 56 34 10 Jul 1, 1999 54 35 11 May 24, 1999 58 32 10 Apr 25, 1999 57 31 12 Apr 15, 1999 59 31 10 Mar 24, 1999 60 30 11 Feb 24, 1999 60 27 13 Feb 4, 1999 64 27 8 Oct 28, 1998 64 25 11 Oct 15, 1998 63 26 11 Sep 27, 1998 62 26 11 Jun 17, 1998 64 29 7 Mar 25, 1998 69 24 7 Feb 25, 1998 70 22 8 Dec 10, 1997 62 30 7 Sep 24, 1997 60 35 6 Jul 22, 1997 52 41 7 Apr 24, 1997 54 35 11 Mar 4, 1997 56 34 10 Oct 30, 1996 53 31 16 Sep 22, 1996 51 35 14 Jun 18, 1996 46 45 9 Apr 28, 1996 48 40 12 Mar 4, 1996 47 41 12 Dec 11, 1995 46 40 14 Nov 6, 1995 42 41 18 Apr 27, 1995 41 40 20



TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                           
                        App     Dis     DK/NA   


Dec 8, 2004 29 54 17 Sep 14, 2004 31 54 15 Aug 11, 2004 26 57 16 Jun 17, 2004 29 51 20 Jun 25, 2003 32 51 17

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator?
                           
                        App     Dis     DK/NA   


Dec 8, 2004 69 16 15 Sep 14, 2004 63 21 17 Aug 13, 2004 59 22 19 Jun 16, 2004 62 21 17 Apr 14, 2004 61 19 20 Nov 6, 2003 56 25 19 Oct 2, 2003 60 24 16 Jun 25, 2003 57 23 21 Apr 24, 2003 59 22 19 Feb 12, 2003 56 22 22 Dec 19, 2002 57 22 21 Sep 26, 2002 58 17 25 Jul 3, 2002 61 17 22 May 1, 2002 58 18 24 Apr 18, 2002 60 17 23 Feb 27, 2002 61 16 23 Jan 25, 2002 63 17 21 Nov 14, 2001 64 16 20 Oct 2, 2001 69 11 19 Jun 28, 2001 60 18 22 Apr 26, 2001 61 17 22 Mar 28, 2001 60 18 22 Feb 14, 2001 56 21 23 Dec 13, 2000 62 19 19 May 2, 2000 52 18 30 Nov 11, 1999 55 19 26 Sep 16, 1999 55 18 27 Apr 15, 1999 51 22 28 Mar 23, 1999 52 20 28
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Hillary Rodham Clinton is handling her job as United States Senator?
                           
                        App     Dis     DK/NA


Dec 8, 2004 63 26 11 Sep 14, 2004 61 32 7 Aug 13, 2004 62 30 8 Jun 16, 2004 63 30 7 Apr 14, 2004 62 30 8 Nov 6, 2003 59 34 8 Oct 2, 2003 61 33 7 Jun 25, 2003 57 34 9 Apr 24, 2003 52 36 12 Feb 12, 2003 56 34 9 Dec 19, 2002 57 31 12 Sep 26, 2002 53 35 12 Jul 3, 2002 56 31 13 May 1, 2002 57 30 13 Apr 18, 2002 58 28 13 Feb 27, 2002 58 32 10 Jan 25, 2002 55 31 14 Nov 14, 2001 54 34 13 Oct 2, 2001 59 28 12 Jun 28, 2001 52 31 17 Apr 26, 2001 47 34 19 Mar 28, 2001 40 38 23 Feb 14, 2001 38 30 33



TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Eliot Spitzer is handling his job as State Attorney General?
                           
                        App     Dis     DK/NA


Dec 8, 2004 61 15 24 Sep 14, 2004 62 15 23 Aug 11, 2004 61 14 25 Jun 16, 2004 64 14 23 Apr 14, 2004 60 14 26 Nov 6, 2003 59 15 26 Oct 2, 2003 62 15 23 Jun 25,2003 57 14 29 Apr 23, 2003 59 14 27 Feb 12, 2003 60 13 27 Apr 6, 2000 51 14 35

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Alan Hevesi is handling his job as State Comptroller?
                           
                        App     Dis     DK/NA


Dec 8, 2004 41 17 42 Sep 14, 2004 42 18 39 Aug 11, 2004 39 19 42 Jun 16, 2004 43 17 40 Nov 6, 2003 44 14 42 Oct 2, 2003 44 16 40 Jun 25, 2003 40 18 42 Apr 23, 2003 39 18 43 Feb 12,2003 40 14 46



TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sheldon Silver is handling his job as State Assembly Speaker?
                           
                        App     Dis     DK/NA


Dec 8, 2004 31 31 38 Sep 14, 2004 29 33 38 Aug 11, 2004 26 33 41 Jun 17, 2004 30 31 38 Nov 6, 2003 32 29 39 Oct 2, 2003 35 26 39 Jun 25, 2003 33 25 42 Apr 23, 2003 33 27 40



TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joseph Bruno is handling his job as State Senate Majority Leader?
                           
                        App     Dis     DK/NA


Dec 8, 2004 26 32 41 Sep 14, 2004 30 30 40 Aug 11, 2004 27 32 41 Jun 17, 2004 29 32 40 Nov 6, 2003 33 25 42 Oct 2, 2003 36 25 39 Jun 25, 2003 32 25 43 Apr 23, 2003 30 27 43
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his
job as President?          
                        
                        App     Dis     DK/NA


Dec 8, 2004 39 56 5 Sep 15, 2004 43 53 4 Aug 13, 2004 37 59 4 Jun 16, 2004 36 58 5 Apr 14, 2004 40 56 4 Nov 7, 2003 44 51 5 Oct 1, 2003 42 53 5 Jun 26, 2003 52 42 6 Apr 24, 2003 58 37 4 Feb 13, 2003 50 44 5 Dec 19, 2002 51 42 7 Sep 26, 2002 58 36 6 Jul 3, 2002 64 28 8 May 1, 2002 69 25 6 Apr 22, 2002 68 27 5 Feb 27, 2002 74 20 6 Jan 25, 2002 80 16 4 Nov 14, 2001 82 15 3 Oct 2, 2001 82 14 4 Jun 28, 2001 44 47 9 Apr 26, 2001 50 40 10 Mar 28, 2001 48 38 15 Feb 14, 2001 45 30 24



1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George Pataki is handling his job as Governor?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Approve 44% 70% 32% 40% 46% 42% Disapprove 41 19 55 44 40 42 DK/NA 15 11 13 16 14 15

UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Wht Blk Approve 36% 44% 42% 40% 53% 46% 32% Disapprove 42 41 41 47 34 39 61 DK/NA 22 15 17 13 14 15 7



2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Hillary Rodham Clinton is handling her job as United States Senator?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Approve 63% 37% 85% 58% 54% 71% Disapprove 26 52 8 29 35 20 DK/NA 11 11 7 13 12 10

UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Wht Blk Approve 56% 56% 56% 70% 64% 57% 89% Disapprove 29 32 31 19 29 32 7 DK/NA 15 12 12 10 7 11 4



3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Approve 69% 58% 77% 69% 67% 70% Disapprove 16 26 10 17 20 13 DK/NA 15 16 12 14 13 16

UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Wht Blk Approve 61% 63% 62% 72% 75% 71% 66% Disapprove 16 19 18 15 14 15 25 DK/NA 23 18 19 13 11 13 9



4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Approve 39% 83% 13% 37% 46% 34% Disapprove 56 13 83 57 51 60 DK/NA 5 4 3 7 3 6

UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Wht Blk Approve 44% 49% 48% 26% 45% 47% 15% Disapprove 48 45 46 70 51 48 83 DK/NA 7 6 6 3 4 5 2



5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Approve 29% 33% 26% 28% 28% 29% Disapprove 54 50 55 57 59 50 DK/NA 17 17 19 15 13 21

UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Wht Blk Approve 28% 24% 25% 34% 26% 27% 40% Disapprove 59 62 61 46 52 56 44 DK/NA 13 13 13 19 22 17 16



6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Eliot Spitzer is handling his job as State Attorney General?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Approve 61% 63% 60% 63% 63% 59% Disapprove 15 16 14 17 19 13 DK/NA 24 21 25 20 18 28

UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Wht Blk Approve 61% 60% 60% 59% 64% 64% 64% Disapprove 11 12 12 20 15 13 22 DK/NA 28 28 28 21 22 23 14



7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Alan Hevesi is handling his job as State Comptroller?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Approve 41% 39% 49% 36% 43% 40% Disapprove 17 17 14 20 22 14 DK/NA 42 44 37 44 36 46

UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Wht Blk Approve 33% 33% 33% 52% 37% 40% 56% Disapprove 21 17 18 18 15 15 24 DK/NA 47 50 49 29 48 45 20



8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joseph Bruno is handling his job as State Senate Majority Leader?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Approve 26% 35% 23% 26% 24% 28% Disapprove 32 30 34 33 43 24 DK/NA 41 35 44 42 33 48

UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Wht Blk Approve 25% 26% 26% 26% 28% 25% 27% Disapprove 35 37 36 31 27 34 35 DK/NA 41 37 38 43 45 41 38



9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sheldon Silver is handling his job as State Assembly Speaker?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Approve 31% 33% 36% 24% 29% 32% Disapprove 31 36 27 35 42 23 DK/NA 38 31 38 41 29 45

UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Wht Blk Approve 24% 25% 25% 37% 30% 28% 50% Disapprove 42 38 39 25 27 35 20 DK/NA 34 36 36 37 43 38 29



10. If the 2006 election for governor were being held today, and the candidates were Eliot Spitzer the Democrat and George Pataki the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Spitzer 50% 14% 75% 49% 48% 51% Pataki 38 78 18 31 40 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 2 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 2 5 3 3 DK/NA 8 7 4 14 7 9

UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Wht Blk Spitzer 45% 46% 46% 59% 41% 46% 74% Pataki 37 40 39 33 45 41 20 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 1 - 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 3 3 4 3 2 DK/NA 12 10 11 4 10 9 2



11. If the 2006 election for governor were being held today, and the candidates were Eliot Spitzer the Democrat and Colin Powell the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Spitzer 42% 12% 66% 39% 41% 43% Powell 47 81 25 47 49 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 - 1 2 2 1 DK/NA 9 6 7 12 7 11

UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Wht Blk Spitzer 31% 34% 33% 56% 37% 37% 61% Powell 56 53 54 35 53 51 33 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 - - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 DK/NA 11 11 11 6 10 11 4



12. If the 2006 election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Rodham Clinton the Democrat and George Pataki the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Clinton 58% 16% 87% 56% 52% 63% Pataki 36 80 8 34 42 30 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 1 3 2 2 DK/NA 4 2 3 6 3 5

UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Wht Blk Clinton 53% 50% 51% 70% 51% 50% 93% Pataki 37 43 41 22 47 44 3 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 2 3 2 - 2 - DK/NA 5 5 5 4 2 3 2



13. If the 2006 election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Rodham Clinton the Democrat and Colin Powell the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Clinton 49% 12% 78% 43% 41% 56% Powell 44 86 14 50 53 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - 1 - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 1 1 DK/NA 5 1 6 6 4 6

UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Wht Blk Clinton 37% 42% 40% 64% 42% 41% 76% Powell 57 53 54 29 53 54 15 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - 1 1 - 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 1 1 - 1 - DK/NA 3 5 5 6 4 4 7



14. Would you like Hillary Rodham Clinton to run for President in 2008 or not?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Yes 40% 16% 57% 39% 33% 46% No 54 82 36 55 64 46 DK/NA 6 3 7 6 4 7

UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Wht Blk Yes 33% 36% 35% 54% 27% 29% 77% No 63 57 59 41 66 64 19 DK/NA 4 7 6 5 7 7 4



15. Would you like Rudolph Giuliani to run for President in 2008 or not?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Yes 47% 78% 23% 50% 49% 44% No 49 18 72 46 49 49 DK/NA 5 4 5 4 2 6

UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Wht Blk Yes 54% 54% 54% 33% 55% 55% 9% No 40 41 41 63 41 41 85 DK/NA 6 6 6 3 5 4 6



16. If the 2008 election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Rodham Clinton the Democrat and Rudolph Giuliani the Republican for whom would you vote?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Clinton 46% 10% 75% 42% 39% 52% Giuliani 45 86 18 46 52 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 2 2 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 2 4 4 2 DK/NA 5 2 3 7 3 6

UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Wht Blk Clinton 33% 39% 37% 65% 34% 36% 94% Giuliani 56 53 54 29 55 55 3 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 1 2 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 2 2 2 3 3 - DK/NA 6 6 6 2 6 5 2