July 13, 2000 - Most New Yorkers Have Gas Pains, But Won't Drive Less; Quinnipiac University Poll Finds Gore Tops Bush In New York 49 - 37 Percent
Most New York State voters are feeling the effects of rising gasoline prices, but by an almost 2 -1 margin, they do not plan to cut down on their summer driving plans, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Twenty-six percent of New York State voters say the rise in gas prices has impacted themselves and their family "a great deal," while 32 percent say there has been "some" impact and 42 percent say there has been "not much" impact. Findings are consistent upstate, in New York City and in the suburbs.

By a 63 - 34 percent margin, New Yorkers say the rise in gas prices will not cause them to cut down on driving this summer. Even subway-served New York City voters say 67 - 27 percent that they will keep on driving.

Asked who is most responsible for the increase in gasoline prices:
  • 30 percent blame the oil companies;
  • 31 percent blame the oil-producing nations;
  • 23 percent blame the federal government;
  • 7 percent blame American consumers.
"We blame the people in the oil business -- the countries that produce it and the companies that sell it -- and not the federal government, for the summertime boost in gasoline prices," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"New Yorkers think the President can do something to reduce the price of gas, but they don't see any difference in the way Vice President Al Gore or Texas Gov. George W. Bush would handle it," Carroll added.

Asked how much a President can do to reduce gas prices, 34 percent say "a lot," while 35 percent say "some" and 28 percent say "only a little," or "nothing at all." Voters are split 36 - 36 percent on whether Vice President Gore or Gov. Bush would do a better job as President in reducing gas prices.
                                 Presidential Matchup	


In the Presidential race in New York, Gore tops Bush 49 - 37 percent. In a May 2 poll by the independent Quinnipiac University, Gore held a 52 - 36 percent lead in New York.

With Pat Buchanan running as the Reform Party candidate and Ralph Nader running as the Green Party candidate, Gore tops Bush 45 - 35 percent, with 2 percent for Buchanan and 7 percent for Nader.

By a 36 - 28 percent margin, voters statewide have a favorable opinion of Gore, with 29 percent mixed and 6 percent saying they don't know enough to form an opinion. This is virtually unchanged from the May 2 Quinnipiac University poll.

Bush's favorability is a negative 28 - 39 percent, with 26 percent mixed and 7 percent saying they don't know enough to form an opinion. This compares with his 24 - 38 percent favorability May 2.

"The minor party candidates make only minor -- and just about equal -- dents in the real match-up between Gore and Bush," Carroll said. "And in New York, Gore remains comfortably ahead in that matchup.

From July 5 - 10 Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,086 New York State registered voters. The survey has a margin of error of +/-3 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu or (203) 582-5201.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George Pataki is handling his job as Governor of New York?

                      Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Approve 60% 61% 52% 69% 80% 48% 60% 60% 60%

Disapprove 27 27 34 19 11 39 26 26 28

DK/NA 12 12 14 12 9 13 14 14 12



2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling his job as President?
                      Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Approve 61% 55% 72% 57% 31% 85% 60% 59% 63%

Disapprove 36 41 24 40 67 14 34 37 35

DK/NA 3 4 3 3 2 1 6 4 3



15. How much attention have you been paying to the election campaign for President -- a lot, some, only a little, or none at all?

                      Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


A lot 30% 27% 30% 35% 38% 27% 27% 36% 26%

Some 38 43 35 35 37 37 42 39 38

Only a little 24 23 27 23 18 29 23 20 27

None at all 7 6 9 7 7 7 8 6 8

DK/NA - 1 - - 1 - - - -



16. Is your opinion of Al Gore favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                      Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Favorable 36% 30% 44% 35% 11% 57% 34% 36% 36%

Unfavorable 28 32 22 30 56 9 27 32 25

Mixed 29 30 27 30 26 28 33 27 31

Haven't hrd enough 6 7 7 4 7 6 6 5 8

REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 - 1 1 1



17. Is your opinion of George W. Bush favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                      Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Favorable 28% 33% 19% 30% 60% 8% 24% 33% 23%

Unfavorable 39 31 50 38 7 65 35 35 41

Mixed 26 29 22 26 25 21 32 25 27

Haven't hrd enough 7 7 7 5 7 5 9 6 7

REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1



18. Is your opinion of Pat Buchanan favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                      Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Favorable 6% 6% 6% 3% 8% 3% 6% 7% 5%

Unfavorable 52 47 57 53 43 58 53 57 47

Mixed 15 14 12 20 22 10 16 16 14

Haven't hrd enough 27 31 25 23 26 27 24 19 33

REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 1



19. Is your opinion of Ralph Nader favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                      Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Favorable 19% 16% 23% 20% 9% 23% 25% 21% 19%

Unfavorable 22 25 18 21 30 17 20 26 18

Mixed 18 16 17 23 17 18 19 20 17

Haven't hrd enough 40 42 41 35 42 41 36 32 45

REFUSED 1 1 - 1 2 1 - 1 1



20. If the election for President were being held today and the candidates were Al Gore the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican for whom would you vote?
                      Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Gore 49% 42% 61% 45% 9% 82% 47% 44% 53% Bush 37 42 26 44 79 11 36 43 33

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 2 - 1 1 4 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 4 2 2 2 3 3 2 DK/NA 9 11 7 9 10 5 9 7 10



21. If the election for President were being held today and the candidates were Al Gore the Democrat, George W. Bush the Republican, Pat Buchanan the Reform Party candidate and Ralph Nader the Green Party candidate for whom would you vote?
                      Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Gore 45% 37% 58% 41% 8% 76% 42% 41% 48% Bush 35 41 22 40 77 8 32 41 30 Buchanan 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 Nader 7 7 8 6 3 6 12 6 7

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 - - 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 3 1 2 1 2 2 1 DK/NA 10 11 8 9 8 7 9 7 11



22. Who do you you think is most responsible for the increase in gas prices, the oil companies, the oil producing nations, the federal government or American consumers?

                      Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Oil companies 30% 31% 30% 29% 23% 36% 32% 31% 30%

Oil-producing nations 31 29 32 33 34 32 28 33 29

Federal government 23 27 22 20 29 17 26 19 27

American consumer 7 5 8 7 5 7 8 9 5

OTHER(VOL) 2 2 2 3 2 1 2 2 2

DK/NA 7 6 7 7 7 7 5 5 8



23. Looking ahead to one month from now, do you think gas prices at that time will be - higher than they are today, about the same, or lower than they are today?
                      Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Higher 27% 27% 28% 26% 26% 27% 26% 23% 30%

Lower 31 30 33 32 35 33 28 37 27

About the same 36 38 32 39 34 33 42 35 37

DK/NA 5 5 7 3 4 7 4 5 5



24. How much of an impact has the recent rise in gas prices had on you and your family - a great deal, some, or not much?

                      Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Great deal 26% 28% 24% 24% 25% 25% 25% 22% 29%

Some 32 38 23 34 36 29 33 34 31

Not much 42 34 52 41 38 46 41 43 40

DK/NA 1 - 1 1 - 1 - 1 -



25. Will the price of gas cause you to drive less than you might have otherwise this summer, or not?

                      Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Yes 34% 39% 27% 34% 32% 32% 36% 31% 37%

No 63 59 67 65 66 65 61 67 60

DK/NA 3 2 5 1 2 3 3 2 3



26. How much do you think a President can do to reduce the price of gas? A lot, some, only a little, or nothing at all?

                      Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


A lot 34% 32% 33% 39% 39% 27% 39% 35% 34%

Some 35 34 37 34 35 40 30 32 37

Only a little 22 25 21 19 20 24 23 23 22

Nothing at all 6 7 5 6 5 6 5 7 5

DK/NA 3 2 4 2 1 4 3 2 3



27. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job as President reducing gas prices - Bush or Gore?

                      Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Bush 36% 40% 29% 38% 63% 17% 37% 41% 32%

Gore 36 31 45 34 13 56 33 32 39

DK/NA 28 30 26 27 24 27 30 27 29