September 12, 2000 - Clinton Edges Lazio With New York Likely Voters, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; 79 Percent Plan To Watch Senate Candidates Debate
First Lady Hillary Rodham Clinton holds a 49 - 44 percent lead over U.S. Rep. Rick Lazio among New York State likely voters in the neck-and-neck race for the U.S. Senate, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Among likely voters, Lazio leads 50 - 42 percent upstate and 49 - 45 percent in the suburbs, while Clinton leads 62 - 32 percent in New York City.

From September 5 - 10, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,080 New York State registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3 percent. The survey included 803 likely voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percent.

"Four out of five New Yorkers plan to tune in when Mrs. Clinton and Rep. Lazio debate on Wednesday. It will be the Senate candidates' first face-to-face test and we want to see how they measure up," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Almost everyone knows a lot about Mrs. Clinton. For many New Yorkers, Rep. Lazio remains a work in progress."

By a 79 - 16 percent margin, New York likely voters say they plan to watch Wednesday's televised debate between Clinton and Lazio.

Clinton's favorability among likely voters is 39 - 39 percent, with 19 percent mixed and 2 percent saying they don't know enough to form an opinion.

By a 32 - 27 percent margin, likely voters have a favorable opinion of Lazio, with 22 percent mixed and 19 percent saying they don't know enough to form an opinion.

Among registered voters, Mrs. Clinton leads Rep. Lazio 49 - 43 percent, compared to a 46 - 43 percent registered voter lead in an August 9 poll by the independent Quinnipiac University.

Looking at likely voters, Clinton leads 71 - 22 percent among Jews and 50 - 42 percent among white women, two critical voting groups.

Looking at the characteristics they want in a U.S. Senator, likely New York voters say:
  • 23 percent that it is absolutely necessary that a Senator has live in the state for many years;
  • 43 percent that it is absolutely necessary that a Senator share their views on key issues;
  • 65 percent say it is absolutely necessary that a Senator be honest and trustworthy.
Among likely voters who feel a candidate's position on issues is critical, Clinton wins 52 - 42 percent.

Among likely voters who say a candidate's honesty is critical, Lazio wins 53 - 39 percent.

While 47 percent of likely voters feel less favorably about Clinton because she is not from New York, 50 percent say it doesn't affect how they feel.

Likely voters split 46 - 44 percent on whether Clinton is honest and trustworthy.

By a 58 - 36 percent margin, likely voters say Clinton shares their views on key issues.

By a 46 - 40 percent margin, likely voters say Lazio shares their views on key issues.

By a 60 - 16 percent margin, likely voters say Lazio is honest and trustworthy.

A big minus for Lazio is that 53 percent of likely voters feel negatively about him because he voted against using government money to pay for abortions.

"Almost half of likely voters question whether Mrs. Clinton is honest and trustworthy. And her image as an outsider has not faded completely. Lazio does better on the `honest and trustworthy' front, but otherwise, voters seem lukewarm about him," Carroll said.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu or (203) 582-5201.

4. How much attention have you been paying to the election campaign for United States Senator from New York -- a lot, some, only a little, or none at all?
                  .................  Likely Voters  .................
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


A lot 51% 47% 54% 54% 58% 51% 49% 50% 52%

Some 39 41 38 38 34 39 42 41 39

Only a little 8 10 6 7 8 7 8 7 9

None at all 1 1 2 1 1 3 1 2 1

DK/NA - - - - - - - - -



5. Is your opinion of Hillary Rodham Clinton favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about her? (Likely Voters)

                  .................  Likely Voters  .................
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Favorable 39% 37% 47% 32% 12% 65% 31% 32% 44%

Unfavorable 39 44 30 43 73 10 48 49 32

Mixed 19 17 21 21 13 22 18 16 21

Hvn't hrd enough 2 2 2 3 1 3 2 2 2

REFUSED 1 - - 1 1 - 1 - 1



5. Is your opinion of Hillary Rodham Clinton favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about her? (Registered Voters)

                  ALL REGISTERED VOTERS


Aug 9 Tot 2000

Favorable 38% 37%

Unfavorable 37 37

Mixed 21 22

Hvn't hrd enough 4 3

REFUSED 1 1



6. Is your opinion of Rick Lazio favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him? (Likely Voters)

                  .................  Likely Voters  .................
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Favorable 32% 34% 22% 40% 63% 8% 35% 39% 26%

Unfavorable 27 23 36 23 7 47 20 26 27

Mixed 22 23 19 23 16 22 25 21 22

Hvn't hrd enough 19 20 23 14 14 22 20 14 24

REFUSED - - - - - - - - -



6. Is your opinion of Rick Lazio favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him? (Registered Voters)

                  ALL REGISTERED VOTERS


Aug 9 Tot 2000

Favorable 30% 32%

Unfavorable 25 17

Mixed 22 16

Hvn't hrd enough 22 33

REFUSED - 1



7. If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Rodham Clinton the Democrat and Rick Lazio the Republican for whom would you vote? (Likely Voters)

                  .................  Likely Voters  .................
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Clinton 49% 42% 62% 45% 12% 82% 42% 42% 55% Lazio 44 50 32 49 82 11 53 52 38

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - - - - 2 1 - DK/NA 6 7 6 6 6 7 3 4 7



7. If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Rodham Clinton the Democrat and Rick Lazio the Republican for whom would you vote? (Registered Voters)

                  ALL REGISTERED VOTERS
 
                          Aug 9
                  Tot     2000


Clinton 49% 46% Lazio 43 43

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE 1 1 DK/NA 7 9



8. Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
                       .. Likely Voters ..
                         Clinton  Lazio
                         Voters   Voters


Made up 78% 80%

Might change 22 19

DK/NA - 1



9. Would you describe your support for Clinton/Lazio as strongly favoring him/her, or do you like Clinton/Lazio but with reservations, or do you support Clinton/Lazio because you dislike the other candidate?

                       .. Likely Voters ..
                         Clinton  Lazio
                         Voters   Voters


Strongly favor 53% 34%

Like with reservations 36 28

Dislike other cand 9 35

DK/NA 2 3



23. Do you plan on watching the televised debate between Hillary Rodham Clinton and Rick Lazio on Wednesday, September 13?

                  .................  Likely Voters  .................
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Yes 79% 72% 83% 84% 73% 84% 77% 76% 81%

No 16 22 11 13 21 11 19 20 14

DK/NA 5 6 6 3 6 5 4 5 5



24. I'd like you to think generally about the characteristics a United States Senate candidate must have in order to win your support.

How important do you think it is that a United States Senator from New York has lived for many years in NY - is it absolutely necessary, or important but not absolutely necessary, or not that important?

                  .................  Likely Voters  .................
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Absolutely necessary 23% 20% 22% 29% 43% 7% 26% 24% 23%

Important, not necessary 38 43 33 36 43 35 39 38 38

Not important 38 37 44 34 14 58 35 37 39

DK/NA - - - - 1 - - 1 -



25. How important do you think it is that a United States Senator from New York shares your views on issues that you care about - ...?

                  .................  Likely Voters  .................
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom
Absolutely
 necessary        43%   36%   51%   44%   41%   45%   38%   41%   44%


Important, not necessary 54 60 46 54 56 51 60 54 54

Not important 3 4 2 3 3 4 2 4 2

DK/NA - - - - - - - - -



26. How important do you think it is that a United States Senator from New York is honest and trustworthy - ...?

                  .................  Likely Voters  .................
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Absolutely necessary 65% 64% 63% 70% 79% 56% 63% 64% 66%

Important, not necessary 31 34 33 24 18 39 33 31 31

Not important 3 2 3 5 2 4 3 4 3

DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1



27. How important do you think it is that a United States Senator from New York has a likable personality - ...?

                  .................  Likely Voters  .................
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Absolutely necessary 16% 15% 20% 13% 15% 19% 12% 14% 18%

Important, not necessary 48 50 44 51 55 49 43 46 50

Not important 35 35 36 36 30 32 45 39 32

DK/NA - - - - - - - - -



28. How important do you think it is that a United States Senator from New York has had many years of experience in politics and government - ...?

                  .................  Likely Voters  .................
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Absolutely necessary 22% 20% 24% 23% 23% 22% 21% 20% 24%

Important, not necessary 57 58 55 60 59 59 57 56 58

Not important 20 22 20 16 18 19 21 23 17

DK/NA 1 1 1 - 1 1 - 1 1



29. How important do you think it is that a United States Senator from New York shares your values - ...?

                  .................  Likely Voters  .................
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Absolutely necessary 33% 28% 39% 37% 36% 29% 34% 33% 34%

Important, not necessary 56 64 49 52 57 61 52 54 58

Not important 10 8 11 11 5 10 14 13 8

DK/NA - 1 - - 1 - - - 1



30. How important do you think it is that a United States Senator from New York has the stature to be a distinguished Senator - ...?

                  .................  Likely Voters  .................
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Absolutely necessary 25% 21% 30% 27% 27% 23% 26% 23% 27%

Important, not necessary 51 52 48 54 53 55 48 51 51

Not important 19 23 18 14 15 17 23 22 17

DK/NA 4 4 4 6 4 5 4 4 5



31. Would you say that Hillary Rodham Clinton -- shares your views on issues that you care about?

                  .................  Likely Voters  .................
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Yes 58% 54% 66% 56% 25% 86% 52% 49% 66%

No 36 40 28 38 69 11 41 45 28

DK/NA 6 7 6 5 6 3 8 6 6



32. Would you say that Hillary Rodham Clinton -- is honest and trustworthy or not?

                  .................  Likely Voters  .................
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Yes 46% 42% 56% 42% 18% 73% 39% 40% 51%

No 44 46 36 51 72 16 55 51 39

DK/NA 9 11 8 8 10 11 6 9 10



33. Would you say that Hillary Rodham Clinton -- has a likeable personality or not?

                  .................  Likely Voters  .................
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Yes 63% 68% 65% 51% 43% 82% 57% 58% 67%

No 33 28 30 44 52 14 38 38 29

DK/NA 5 4 5 5 5 4 5 5 5



34. Would you say that Hillary Rodham Clinton -- has had many years of experience in politics and government or not?

                  .................  Likely Voters  .................
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Yes 60% 61% 64% 54% 39% 77% 56% 55% 64%

No 37 37 33 43 57 22 41 42 34

DK/NA 3 2 3 4 4 1 4 3 3



35. Would you say that Hillary Rodham Clinton -- shares your values or not?

                  .................  Likely Voters  .................
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Yes 50% 45% 59% 46% 17% 81% 41% 41% 57%

No 41 46 33 44 74 13 48 50 35

DK/NA 9 9 8 10 9 6 11 10 8



36. Would you say that Hillary Rodham Clinton -- has the stature to be a distinguished United States Senator or not?

                  .................  Likely Voters  .................
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Yes 64% 63% 70% 61% 37% 85% 61% 60% 68%

No 30 33 24 34 57 11 33 35 26

DK/NA 5 4 6 6 5 3 6 4 6



37. Would you say that Rick Lazio -- shares your views on issues that you care about?

                  .................  Likely Voters  .................
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Yes 46% 48% 35% 54% 80% 19% 51% 53% 40%

No 40 33 52 35 10 64 34 37 42

DK/NA 15 19 13 11 10 16 15 11 18



38. Would you say that Rick Lazio -- is honest and trustworthy or not?

                  .................  Likely Voters  .................
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Yes 60% 59% 53% 69% 80% 45% 62% 69% 52%

No 16 13 24 12 5 23 17 13 19

DK/NA 24 28 23 19 15 32 21 18 29



39. Would you say that Rick Lazio -- has a likeable personality or not?

                  .................  Likely Voters  .................
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Yes 71% 70% 67% 77% 86% 59% 74% 74% 68%

No 14 12 21 11 5 24 11 12 16

DK/NA 15 19 13 12 9 17 15 14 16



40. Would you say that Rick Lazio -- has had many years of experience in politics and government or not?

                  .................  Likely Voters  .................
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Yes 68% 68% 67% 70% 71% 60% 74% 74% 64%

No 21 19 24 23 20 26 19 17 25

DK/NA 10 13 10 8 9 14 6 9 12



41. Would you say that Rick Lazio -- shares your values or not?

                  .................  Likely Voters  .................
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Yes 45% 49% 35% 52% 75% 25% 50% 52% 41%

No 36 31 47 32 14 55 32 34 39

DK/NA 18 20 18 15 11 20 18 15 21



42. Would you say that Rick Lazio -- has the stature to be a distinguished United States Senator or not?

                  .................  Likely Voters  .................
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Yes 60% 66% 47% 67% 86% 39% 64% 62% 59%

No 27 20 39 24 9 43 24 26 28

DK/NA 13 14 14 9 6 18 11 12 14



43. Does the fact that Hillary Rodham Clinton is not from New York make you feel more favorably about her campaign for Senate, less favorably about her campaign for Senate, or doesn't it affect how you feel about her campaign for Senate?

                  .................  Likely Voters  .................
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


More favorably 3% 2% 5% 1% 2% 3% 3% 4% 3%

Less favorably 47 51 36 52 76 24 51 52 43

Doesn't affect 50 46 58 46 22 73 45 44 54

DK/NA - - - - - - - - -



44. Does the way she has handled her role as First Lady make you feel more favorably about her campaign for Senate, less favorably about her campaign for Senate, or doesn't it affect how you feel about her campaign for Senate?

                  .................  Likely Voters  .................
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


More favorably 50% 49% 58% 44% 22% 76% 42% 45% 54%

Less favorably 25 25 20 30 48 6 30 28 22

Doesn't affect 24 25 22 25 29 17 26 26 23

DK/NA 1 1 - - 1 - 1 1 1



45. Does the way she has handled her marriage make you feel more favorably about her campaign for Senate, less favorably about her campaign for Senate, or doesn't it affect how you feel about her campaign for Senate?

                  .................  Likely Voters  .................
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


More favorably 29% 30% 33% 23% 22% 39% 24% 29% 29%

Less favorably 27 29 21 32 44 11 31 29 26

Doesn't affect 42 39 44 43 32 49 44 41 42

DK/NA 2 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 2



46. Does the fact that she has never held elective office make you feel more favorably about her campaign for Senate, less favorably about her campaign for Senate, or doesn't it affect how you feel about her campaign for Senate?

                  .................  Likely Voters  .................
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


More favorably 6% 6% 10% 4% 1% 8% 8% 8% 5%

Less favorably 38 40 30 45 67 17 43 44 33

Doesn't affect 55 54 61 51 31 75 48 48 61

DK/NA 1 1 - 1 1 1 - 1 1



47. Does the fact that as a Congressman Rick Lazio voted to impeach President Clinton make you feel more favorably about his campaign for Senate, less favorably about his campaign for Senate, or doesn't it affect how you feel about his campaign for Senate?

                  .................  Likely Voters  .................
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


More favorably 30% 33% 22% 35% 62% 6% 32% 33% 27%

Less favorably 35 26 51 32 10 61 28 33 37

Doesn't affect 34 39 27 33 27 31 39 33 35

DK/NA 1 2 1 - 1 1 1 1 2



48. Does the fact that he opposes the use of government money to pay for abortions for poor women make you feel more favorably about his campaign for Senate, less favorably about his campaign for Senate, or doesn't it affect how you feel about his campaign for Senate?

                  .................  Likely Voters  .................
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


More favorably 22% 27% 13% 23% 46% 8% 20% 24% 19%

Less favorably 53 42 69 52 25 70 54 49 56

Doesn't affect 23 28 15 24 28 18 24 25 21

DK/NA 3 3 3 2 1 3 3 2 3



49. Does the fact that as a Congressman he supported Newt Gingrich's Contract with America make you feel more favorably about his campaign for Senate, less favorably about his campaign for Senate, or doesn't it affect how you feel about his campaign for Senate?

                  .................  Likely Voters  .................
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


More favorably 17% 21% 12% 17% 37% 3% 20% 24% 12%

Less favorably 49 40 64 46 17 75 46 44 53

Doesn't affect 28 32 19 31 39 15 29 28 28

DK/NA 6 7 5 6 7 6 5 4 7



50. Does the fact that he has been a member of Congress for 8 years make you feel more favorably about his campaign for Senate, less favorably about his campaign for Senate, or doesn't it affect how you feel about his campaign for Senate?
                  .................  Likely Voters  .................
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


More favorably 60% 62% 53% 66% 82% 41% 66% 64% 57%

Less favorably 6 6 7 4 2 10 4 6 5

Doesn't affect 33 31 38 30 16 46 30 29 36

DK/NA 1 1 3 - - 3 1 1 2