September 13, 2000 - Gore Buries Bush 2-1 Among New York Likely Voters, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Almost All New Yorkers Interested In Seeing Debates
Vice President Al Gore holds a commanding 60 - 31 percent lead among New York State likely voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

With Pat Buchanan running as the Reform Party candidate and Ralph Nader running as the Green Party candidate, Gore gets 56 percent of likely voters to Bush's 29 percent, with 2 percent for Buchanan and 6 percent for Nader.

In the face-to-face matchup, Gore wins 51 - 39 percent among men and 67 - 25 percent among women. Democrats have come home to Gore, giving him 94 percent of their vote, while Republicans back Bush 77 - 17 percent. Independent voters back Gore 53 - 33 percent.

From September 5 - 10, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,080 New York State registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3 percent. The survey included 803 likely voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percent.

"After the Republican Convention, Gov. Bush got a good New York bounce. But, Vice President Gore's post-convention bounce makes him look like he's on a trampoline," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"With this shaping up as such a one-sided race, there is little likelihood that Gore or Bush will spend much time campaigning in New York, which makes the televised debates that much more important for New Yorkers."

Gore's favorability among likely voters is 53 - 23 percent, with 23 percent mixed and 1 percent saying they don't know enough to form an opinion.

Bush's favorability rating is a very negative 25 - 47 percent, with 24 percent mixed and 3 percent saying they don't know enough to form an opinion.

Fifty-five percent of New York likely voters say they are "very interested" in watching televised debates among the presidential candidates, while 35 percent say they are "somewhat interested;" 6 percent say they are "not very interested" and 4 percent say they are "not interested at all."

The debates should be limited to Gore and Bush, according to 45 percent of New York likely voters, while 53 percent say Buchanan and Nader should be included.

Turning to religion, 36 percent of New York likely voters say it is a "good idea" for political candidates to publicly discuss their religion, while 46 percent say it is a "bad idea,' with 17 percent undecided.

"In the debate about debates, almost all New Yorkers want to see the candidates square off. By the slimmest of majorities, they want to include the third and fourth-party candidates, even though these `other guys' get almost no votes," Carroll said.

Among likely voters, Gov. Pataki enjoys a 63 - 27 percent approval rating, while President Clinton gets a 65 - 34 percent approval.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu or (203) 582-5201.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George Pataki is handling his job as Governor of New York?

                  .................  Likely Voters  ................. 
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Approve 63% 65% 55% 71% 85% 49% 63% 66% 61%

Disapprove 27 26 36 19 11 40 28 26 29

DK/NA 9 9 9 10 4 11 9 9 10



2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling his job as President?

                  .................  Likely Voters  ................. 
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Approve 65% 61% 74% 61% 34% 92% 58% 62% 68%

Disapprove 34 37 24 39 65 8 40 37 31

DK/NA 1 2 1 - 1 - 2 1 1



12. Is your opinion of Al Gore favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him? (Likely Voters)

                  .................  Likely Voters  ................. 
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Favorable 53% 46% 65% 49% 19% 87% 40% 47% 57%

Unfavorable 23 27 16 27 58 3 23 30 19

Mixed 23 26 19 23 21 10 36 22 23

Hvn't hrd enough 1 1 - 1 2 - 1 1 1

REFUSED - - - - - - - - -

12. Is your opinion of Al Gore favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?(Registered Voters)

                  ALL REGISTERED VOTERS


Aug July Tot 10/00 13/00

Favorable 49% 38% 36%

Unfavorable 23 27 28

Mixed 24 26 29

Hvn't hrd enough 4 7 6

REFUSED - 2 1



13. Is your opinion of George W. Bush favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him? (Likely Voters)

                  .................  Likely Voters  ................. 
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Favorable 25% 30% 15% 29% 63% 5% 23% 31% 21%

Unfavorable 47 39 58 48 10 79 40 42 52

Mixed 24 28 24 19 23 15 33 25 24

Hvn't hrd enough 3 3 2 4 4 1 4 3 4

REFUSED - - - - - - - - -

13. Is your opinion of George W. Bush favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him? (Registered Voters)

                  ALL REGISTERED VOTERS


Aug July Tot 10/00 13/00

Favorable 25% 36% 28%

Unfavorable 45 33 39

Mixed 24 22 26

Hvn't hrd enough 6 8 7

REFUSED - 1 1



14. Is your opinion of Pat Buchanan favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                  .................  Likely Voters  ................. 
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Favorable 5% 7% 4% 5% 11% 2% 5% 6% 5%

Unfavorable 61 54 67 66 52 66 64 66 57

Mixed 12 15 9 12 20 8 11 15 11

Hvn't hrd enough 21 24 21 17 17 23 20 13 28

REFUSED - 1 - - - 1 - - -



15. Is your opinion of Ralph Nader favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                  .................  Likely Voters  ................. 
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Favorable 24% 24% 28% 20% 18% 24% 27% 24% 25%

Unfavorable 24 24 21 27 32 22 21 28 20

Mixed 21 20 21 23 16 24 22 21 21

Hvn't hrd enough 31 31 30 30 33 29 29 26 34

REFUSED - 1 - - 1 1 - 1 -



16. If the election for President were being held today and the candidates were Al Gore the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican for whom would you vote?
                  .................  Likely Voters  ................. 
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Gore 60% 53% 71% 58% 17% 94% 53% 51% 67% Bush 31 38 20 32 77 3 33 39 25

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 - - - 2 2 - DK/NA 8 7 7 9 6 2 13 7 8



17. If the election for President were being held today and the candidates were Al Gore the Democrat, George W. Bush the Republican, Pat Buchanan the Reform Party candidate and Ralph Nader the Green Party candidate for whom would you vote? (Likely Voters)
                  .................  Likely Voters  ................. 
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Gore 56% 49% 67% 54% 15% 91% 48% 48% 63% Bush 29 35 20 31 74 3 30 37 23 Buchanan 2 3 - 2 2 1 1 2 2 Nader 6 7 7 5 2 3 11 8 5

SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - - - - DK/NA 7 6 7 8 6 3 10 6 7

17. If the election for President were being held today and the candidates were Al Gore the Democrat, George W. Bush the Republican, Pat Buchanan the Reform Party candidate and Ralph Nader the Green Party candidate for whom would you vote? (Registered Voters)

                  ALL REGISTERED VOTERS


Aug July Tot 10/00 13/00

Gore 54% 42% 45% Bush 28 38 35 Buchanan 2 1 2 Nader 7 6 7

SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 2 DK/NA 9 11 10



19. How interested are you in watching televised debates between the Presidential candidates? Very interested, somewhat interested, not very interested, or not interested at all?

                  .................  Likely Voters  ................. 
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Very int 55% 47% 65% 56% 49% 61% 54% 53% 56%

Smwht int 35 39 28 36 36 30 37 35 34

Not very int 6 9 4 4 8 5 6 7 6

Not interested at all 4 5 2 4 6 4 3 5 4

DK/NA - - 1 - 1 - - 1 -



20. Do you think the televised Presidential debates this fall should be between Al Gore and George W. Bush or should the Presidential debates be between Al Gore, George W. Bush, Ralph Nader, and Pat Buchanan?

                  .................  Likely Voters  ................. 
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Gore & Bush 45% 39% 48% 51% 51% 51% 38% 45% 45%

Gore, Bush, Nader, Buchanan 53 59 50 47 47 46 61 53 53

DK/NA 2 2 1 2 2 3 2 2 2



22. In general, do you think it is a good idea or a bad idea for a political candidate to publicly discuss their religious beliefs?

                  .................  Likely Voters  ................. 
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Good idea 36% 40% 30% 39% 42% 35% 34% 38% 35%

Bad idea 46 42 53 45 46 43 51 44 48

DK/NA 17 18 18 16 13 22 16 18 17