September 27, 2000 - Clinton Hits 50 % Mark With New York Likely Voters, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; She Ties Lazio In Republican Upstate
First Lady Hillary Rodham Clinton holds a 50 - 43 percent lead over U.S. Rep. Rick Lazio among New York State likely voters, the first candidate to hit the 50 percent mark, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

In a September 12 poll by the independent Quinnipiac University, Mrs. Clinton led Rep. Lazio 49 - 44 percent among likely voters.

Among likely voters in normally Republican upstate New York, Lazio gets 46 percent to Clinton's 44 percent, a statistical tie. Lazio leads 53 - 40 percent in the suburbs, while Clinton leads 67 - 29 percent in New York City.

From September 20 - 25, Quinnipiac University surveyed 889 New York State likely voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percent.

"What a difference a point makes. Mrs. Clinton went from 49 percent in the last Quinnipiac University poll to the magic 50 percent mark today. Now she must hold on to that 50 percent for six more weeks," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "Most politicians and pundits think Lazio outpointed Clinton in the `soft money' maneuvering, but voters still give her the edge in the Senate race."

Clinton's favorability among likely voters is 40 - 38 percent, with 21 percent mixed and 1 percent saying they don't know enough to form an opinion. This compares to a 39 - 39 favorability in the September 12 Quinnipiac University poll.

By a 33 - 29 percent margin, likely voters have a favorable opinion of Lazio, with 25 percent mixed and 13 percent saying they don't know enough to form an opinion. Lazio had a 32 - 27 percent favorability in the September 12 poll.

Clinton leads Lazio 60 - 35 percent among likely Jewish voters and has a narrow 49 - 44 percent edge among white women likely voters.

Forty-six percent of New York voters say they watched the Clinton-Lazio debate.

Debate-watchers say 44 - 34 percent that Clinton won.

By a 67 - 29 percent majority, New York voters say a candidate's position on the issues is more important than a candidate's "experience and personal qualities," or "character." Republicans are split: 50 percent prefer character while 48 percent prefer issues. Democrats go with issues 78 - 19 percent and independent voters prefer issues 70 - 25 percent.


Looking at the candidates' qualities, likely New York voters say:
  • 59 percent that Clinton shares their views on key issues, while 51 percent say Lazio shares their views;
  • 61 percent that Lazio is honest and trustworthy, compared to 45 percent who say Clinton is honest and trustworthy;
  • 66 percent that Lazio has a likable personality, while 61 percent say Clinton is likable;
  • 72 percent that Lazio understands the issues and problems facing New York State, while 57 percent say Clinton understands New York issues.



By a 61 - 34 percent margin, voters say Clinton would do a better job on health care.

By a 58 - 38 percent margin, voters say Clinton would do a better job on education.

"New York likely voters think Clinton is closer to them on issues, but that Lazio better understands the problems facing New York State," Carroll said. "This is Clinton's highest grade for understanding New York issues and the first time she has broken 50 percent on the question."

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu or (203) 582-5201.

5. Is your opinion of Hillary Rodham Clinton favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about her?

                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Favorable 40% 38% 51% 31% 11% 65% 36% 34% 46%

Unfavorable 38 38 28 49 77 12 36 46 31

Mixed 21 22 20 19 12 21 26 19 22

Hvn't hrd enough 1 2 1 1 - 2 2 1 1

REFUSED - - - - - 1 - - -



6. Is your opinion of Rick Lazio favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Favorable 33% 35% 24% 40% 67% 11% 31% 40% 27%

Unfavorable 29 23 40 25 6 45 27 26 31

Mixed 25 29 20 24 14 28 30 22 27

Hvn't hrd enough 13 13 16 10 14 15 11 12 14

REFUSED - - - - - 1 - - -



7. If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Rodham Clinton the Democrat and Rick Lazio the Republican for whom would you vote?

                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Clinton 50% 44% 67% 40% 10% 80% 49% 42% 57% Lazio 43 46 29 53 86 14 42 49 37

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 DK/NA 6 9 3 5 3 5 8 7 5



8. Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?

                     ... Likely Voters ....
                         Clinton  Lazio
                         Voters   Voters


Made up 75% 83%

Might change 24 16

DK/NA 1 1



9. Would you describe your support for Clinton/Lazio as strongly favoring him/her, or do you like Clinton/Lazio but with reservations, or do you support Clinton/Lazio because you dislike the other candidate?

                     ... Likely Voters ....
                         Clinton  Lazio
                         Voters   Voters


Strongly favor 52% 46%

Like with reservations 38 24

Dislike other candidate 9 28

DK/NA 1 2



19. Which is more important to you when voting for United States Senator from New York, the experience and personal qualities of the candidates or the candidates' positions on specific issues?

                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Experience/Personal qualities 29% 29% 26% 32% 50% 19% 25% 32% 26%

Positions on specific issues 67 67 70 66 48 78 70 64 70

DK/NA 4 4 5 2 3 3 6 4 4



20. Would you say that Hillary Rodham Clinton -- shares your views on issues that you care about?

                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Yes 59% 58% 68% 52% 21% 85% 60% 52% 66%

No 35 37 24 44 74 10 34 41 29

DK/NA 6 5 7 5 5 5 6 7 5



21. Would you say that Hillary Rodham Clinton -- is honest and trustworthy or not?

                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Yes 45% 45% 53% 35% 12% 70% 41% 39% 50%

No 44 44 36 54 81 17 47 51 38

DK/NA 11 11 11 11 7 12 12 10 12



22. Would you say that Hillary Rodham Clinton -- has a likeable personality or not?

                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Yes 61% 65% 67% 49% 36% 79% 59% 55% 66%

No 34 29 30 44 58 17 34 40 28

DK/NA 5 6 3 7 6 3 7 4 6



23. Would you say that Hillary Rodham Clinton -- understands the issues and problems facing New York State or not?

                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Yes 57% 55% 67% 50% 25% 78% 59% 51% 62%

No 38 41 27 47 70 17 37 44 34

DK/NA 4 4 6 2 4 5 3 5 4



24. Would you say that Hillary Rodham Clinton -- has the stature to be a distinguished United States Senator or not?

                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Yes 66% 65% 74% 60% 37% 86% 67% 63% 69%

No 30 31 24 37 59 11 30 35 27

DK/NA 3 4 2 3 3 2 3 2 4



25. Would you say that Hillary Rodham Clinton -- has the right kind of experience to be a United States Senator from New York State or not?
                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Yes 46% 45% 55% 39% 14% 69% 47% 39% 52%

No 49 51 40 55 83 26 48 57 42

DK/NA 5 4 5 7 3 6 5 4 6



26. Would you say that Rick Lazio -- shares your views on issues that you care about?

                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Yes 51% 58% 38% 55% 86% 25% 54% 57% 46%

No 40 32 53 38 5 67 37 36 43

DK/NA 9 10 10 7 9 8 10 7 11



27. Would you say that Rick Lazio -- is honest and trustworthy or not?

                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Yes 61% 64% 51% 66% 86% 46% 59% 66% 56%

No 21 18 27 18 6 29 23 19 22

DK/NA 19 18 22 16 8 26 18 15 22



28. Would you say that Rick Lazio -- has a likeable personality or not?

                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Yes 66% 69% 57% 71% 89% 53% 64% 70% 63%

No 24 21 32 19 5 35 24 21 26

DK/NA 10 10 11 10 6 12 12 9 11



29. Would you say that Rick Lazio -- understands the issues and problems facing New York State or not?

                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Yes 72% 74% 63% 80% 92% 56% 73% 78% 67%

No 20 18 27 13 4 32 19 17 22

DK/NA 9 8 10 7 4 12 8 5 11



30. Would you say that Rick Lazio -- has the stature to be a distinguished United States Senator or not?

                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Yes 61% 67% 49% 64% 88% 39% 64% 67% 56%

No 29 24 41 25 6 50 26 26 33

DK/NA 10 9 10 11 6 11 10 8 11



31. Would you say that Rick Lazio -- has the right kind of experience to be a United States Senator from New York State or not?
                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Yes 69% 74% 60% 70% 90% 55% 69% 72% 66%

No 23 19 30 22 6 35 23 22 24

DK/NA 8 6 10 8 4 10 8 5 10



32. Do you think of Rick Lazio more as a liberal, moderate, or conservative?

                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Liberal 8% 8% 10% 6% 8% 11% 5% 7% 8%

Moderate 38 38 32 47 53 27 42 38 38

Conservative 41 38 49 37 28 50 42 46 38

DK/NA 12 16 10 10 11 11 11 8 16



33. Do you think Rick Lazio is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?

                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Too liberal 5% 5% 8% 2% 3% 9% 3% 5% 5%

Too conservative 32 25 42 31 5 48 35 32 31

About right 49 53 37 55 84 28 47 54 45

DK/NA 14 17 13 12 8 15 15 9 19



34. Do you think of Hillary Rodham Clinton more as a liberal, moderate, or conservative?
                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Liberal 62% 59% 63% 66% 80% 53% 61% 66% 59%

Moderate 23 23 26 20 8 29 27 23 23

Conservative 8 8 8 9 4 13 6 6 10

DK/NA 7 10 3 6 7 5 7 4 9



35. Do you think Hillary Rodham Clinton is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Too liberal 35% 38% 27% 39% 72% 11% 36% 44% 28%

Too conservative 4 4 4 4 3 4 5 4 4

About right 53 47 64 51 18 79 52 46 59

DK/NA 7 10 5 5 7 6 8 5 9



36. What do you think Hillary Rodham Clinton is spending more time doing in her campaign - explaining what she would do if elected Senator or attacking Rick Lazio?

                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Explaining 58% 55% 64% 56% 30% 76% 60% 54% 61%

Attacking 33 35 26 36 57 19 29 35 30

DK/NA 9 10 10 9 13 5 10 11 8



37. What do you think Rick Lazio is spending more time doing in his campaign - explaining what he would do if elected Senator or attacking Hillary Rodham Clinton?

                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Explaining 32% 35% 26% 35% 56% 19% 29% 35% 29%

Attacking 59 56 63 58 32 74 63 55 62

DK/NA 9 9 11 7 12 7 8 10 9



38. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on Health care, -- Clinton or Lazio?

                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Clinton 61% 57% 71% 56% 24% 86% 64% 59% 63%

Lazio 34 37 25 39 71 12 30 37 31

DK/NA 5 6 4 5 5 3 7 4 5



39. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on Education, -- Clinton or Lazio?

                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Clinton 58% 55% 68% 49% 18% 83% 58% 51% 63%

Lazio 38 41 27 46 77 13 37 44 33

DK/NA 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 4



40. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on Taxes, -- Clinton or Lazio?

                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Clinton 35% 29% 45% 31% 10% 56% 30% 29% 39%

Lazio 53 58 42 57 82 31 57 62 46

DK/NA 12 12 13 11 7 13 13 8 16



41. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on Abortion, -- Clinton or Lazio?

                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Clinton 55% 46% 70% 52% 20% 78% 56% 48% 60%

Lazio 26 29 18 29 54 7 24 31 22

DK/NA 20 25 12 20 26 15 20 21 19



42. Did you watch the televised debate between Hillary Rodham Clinton and Rick Lazio that was moderated by Tim Russert on Sept 13?

                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Yes 46% 44% 45% 53% 45% 44% 50% 48% 45%

No 53 56 54 46 54 55 50 51 54

DK/NA 1 1 - 1 1 1 - 1 1



43. (If saw debate Q42) Who do you think won the debate -- Clinton or Lazio?

                                           Saw debate Q42
                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Clinton 44% 40% 61% 35% 12% 73% 40% 41% 47%

Lazio 34 35 24 45 72 10 31 39 31

DK/NA 21 25 16 21 16 17 28 20 22



44. (If saw debate Q42) Did the debate make you think more favorably of Clinton, less favorably of Clinton, or didn't it affect your opinion of Clinton?

                                           Saw debate Q42
                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


More favorably 27% 25% 34% 21% 6% 40% 28% 25% 28%

Less favorably 18 20 13 20 36 5 16 18 18

Didn't affect opinion 55 54 53 58 58 55 55 57 54

DK/NA - - - 1 - - 1 - 1



45. (If saw debate Q42) Did the debate make you think more favorably of Lazio, less favorably of Lazio, or didn't it affect your opinion of Lazio?

                                           Saw debate Q42
                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


More favorably 27% 27% 19% 34% 52% 9% 27% 29% 24%

Less favorably 48 47 60 37 16 71 48 42 53

Didn't affect opinion 25 27 21 28 33 20 24 29 22

DK/NA - - - 1 - - 1 - 1



47. Do you plan on watching the next televised debate between Hillary Rodham Clinton and Rick Lazio on Sunday, October 8?

                        .................  Likely Voters  ..................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Yes 77% 78% 77% 77% 82% 75% 75% 75% 79%

No 17 16 19 17 15 19 18 20 15

DK/NA 5 6 4 6 3 6 7 5 6