October 6, 2000 - Clinton Clings To 50 Percent In New York Senate Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Lazio Can't Dig Out Of 7-Point Hole
First Lady Hillary Rodham Clinton is holding on to her 50 - 43 percent lead over U.S. Rep. Rick Lazio among New York State likely voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Mrs. Clinton was the first candidate in the hotly-contested Senate race to hit the 50 percent mark, in a September 27 poll by the independent Quinnipiac University.

Lazio inches ahead of Clinton 49 - 44 percent among likely voters upstate, and leads 49 - 42 percent in the suburbs, while Clinton leads 64 - 29 percent in New York City.

From October 2 - 5, Quinnipiac University surveyed 801 New York State likely voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percent.

"After their first debate, Mrs. Clinton hit the magic 50 percent mark and has held on to it. As they head into their second debate, the question is whether Rep. Lazio can do something to close that 7-point gap," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"The good news for Lazio is that he's moved up a bit upstate, where a Republican has to win big. The bad news is that he has slipped in the suburbs and President Clinton, with a 63 - 36 percent approval rating in New York, has started using his formidable campaign skills here."

Mrs. Clinton's favorability among likely voters is 39 - 38 percent, with 22 percent mixed nd 2 percent saying they don't know enough to form an opinion. This compares to a 40 - 38 favorability in the September 27 Quinnipiac University poll.

By a 36 - 29 percent margin, likely voters have a favorable opinion of Lazio, with 24 percent mixed and 11 percent saying they don't know enough to form an opinion. Lazio had a 33 - 29 percent favorability in the September 27 poll.

Clinton leads Lazio 62 - 28 percent among likely Jewish voters and gets 48 percent of white women likely voters to Lazio's 44 percent, a statistical tie.

"Are Jewish voters coming back to the Democratic column because of Hillary Clinton, orbecause of Sen. Joseph Lieberman? For whatever reason, it's good news for Clinton," Carroll said.

"People react strongly -- pro and con -- to Mrs. Clinton. More than half of those who support her support her strongly. Almost one-third of Lazio voters say they're voting against Clinton."

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu or (203) 582-5201.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George Pataki is handling his job as Governor of New York?

                        .................  Likely Voters  .................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Approve 64% 69% 53% 68% 83% 51% 65% 68% 61%

Disapprove 24 20 31 21 12 32 23 22 25

DK/NA 12 10 16 10 5 16 12 10 14



2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling his job as President?
                        .................  Likely Voters  .................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Approve 63% 55% 78% 58% 28% 90% 60% 59% 66%

Disapprove 36 43 21 41 69 9 39 39 33

DK/NA 2 2 1 2 3 1 1 2 2



5. Is your opinion of Hillary Rodham Clinton favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about her?

                        .................  Likely Voters  .................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Favorable 39% 34% 48% 34% 7% 66% 34% 33% 43%

Unfavorable 38 41 26 46 76 10 39 46 31

Mixed 22 23 23 18 14 23 24 20 23

Hvn't hrd enough 2 1 3 2 2 1 1 1 2

REFUSED - 1 - 1 1 - - 1 -



6. Is your opinion of Rick Lazio favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        .................  Likely Voters  .................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Favorable 36% 40% 26% 40% 73% 11% 34% 39% 33%

Unfavorable 29 22 40 26 4 51 24 26 31

Mixed 24 27 23 19 16 24 29 23 25

Hvn't hrd enough 11 10 10 13 7 13 13 12 11

REFUSED - 1 - 1 - - 1 1 -



7. If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Rodham Clinton the Democrat and Rick Lazio the Republican for whom would you vote?

                        .................  Likely Voters  .................
                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Clinton 50% 44% 64% 42% 11% 83% 47% 43% 55% Lazio 43 49 29 49 84 13 45 49 38

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 - - 1 2 - DK/NA 6 6 6 7 4 4 8 6 7



8. Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election?
                     ... Likely Voters ....
                         Clinton  Lazio
                         Voters   Voters


Made up 79% 89%

Might change 20 11

DK/NA 1 -



9. Would you describe your support for Clinton/Lazio as strongly favoring her/him,or do you like Clinton/Lazio but with reservations, or do you support Clinton/Lazio because you dislike the other candidate?

                     ... Likely Voters ....
                         Clinton  Lazio
                         Voters   Voters


Strongly favor 55% 44%

Like with reservations 34 23

Dislike other candidate 9 31

DK/NA 2 2