May 5, 2005 - Clinton Buries All Challengers 2 -1 Or More, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Most New Yorkers Want Her To Serve Full 2nd Term
New York State voters give Sen. Hillary Clinton a 63 - 28 percent approval rating and leads of 2 -1 or better against several possible Republican challengers in the 2006 U.S. Senate race, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Sen. Clinton had an all-time high 65 - 27 percent approval rating in a February 9 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

Clinton easily defeats a number of possible Republican challengers:
  • 60 - 32 percent over Gov. George Pataki;
  • 62 - 27 percent over Westchester District Attorney Jeanine Pirro;
  • 63 - 26 percent over former Massachusetts Gov. William Weld;
  • 63 - 25 percent over Edward Cox, son-in-law of the late President Richard Nixon.
New York State voters say 67 - 27 percent that Sen. Clinton deserves to be reelected. Voters also say 60 - 30 percent that if she runs for reelection in 2006, she should promise to serve another full six-year Senate term. In another question, voters say 51 - 41 percent that they do not want Clinton to run for president in 2008.

"Set 'em up. Knock 'em down. There doesn't seem to be oomph behind any of the Republicans mentioned as possible challengers to Sen. Hillary Clinton," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"But if the Clinton-for-President talk stays strong, she has problems. More New Yorkers don't want her to run for President. And, 2 -1, they think that if she runs for re- election as Senator, she should promise to serve the full six years," Carroll added.

Clinton gets a 53 - 22 percent favorability rating, with 19 percent mixed and 5 percent who say they don't know enough to form an opinion.

Gov. Pataki has a negative 24 - 33 percent favorability, with 35 percent mixed and 6 percent who say they don't know enough to form an opinion.

Looking at the other possible challengers, more than 65 percent of voters in each case say they don't know enough to form an opinion.

"Voters have a negative opinion of Gov. Pataki and no opinion of the other possible Clinton challengers. Take Edward Cox, for instance: Some respondents thought we were asking about former Mayor Edward Koch," Carroll said.

Grading Sen. Clinton, 17 percent of voters give her an 'A,' with 40 percent who give her a 'B,' 24 percent who give a 'C,' 10 percent who give a 'D,' and 7 percent who give an 'F.'

Clinton is a liberal, 52 percent of New York State voters say, while 29 percent say she is a moderate and 10 percent say she is conservative. She is becoming more moderate, 51 percent of voters say. Of this group, 62 percent say she is moving to the middle to run for President.

From April 28 - May 2, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,191 New York State registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida and nationwide as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu or call (203) 582-5201

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Hillary Rodham Clinton is handling her job as United States Senator?

                        App     Dis     DK/NA


May 5, 2005 63 28 10 Feb 9, 2005 65 27 8 Dec 8, 2004 63 26 11 Sep 14, 2004 61 32 7 Aug 13, 2004 62 30 8 Jun 16, 2004 63 30 7 Apr 14, 2004 62 30 8 Nov 6, 2003 59 34 8 Oct 2, 2003 61 33 7 Jun 25, 2003 57 34 9 Apr 24, 2003 52 36 12 Feb 12, 2003 56 34 9 Dec 19, 2002 57 31 12 Sep 26, 2002 53 35 12 Jul 3, 2002 56 31 13 May 1, 2002 57 30 13 Apr 18, 2002 58 28 13 Feb 27, 2002 58 32 10 Jan 25, 2002 55 31 14 Nov 14, 2001 54 34 13 Oct 2, 2001 59 28 12 Jun 28, 2001 52 31 17 Apr 26, 2001 47 34 19 Mar 28, 2001 40 38 23 Feb 14, 2001 38 30 33



TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator?

                        App     Dis     DK/NA   


May 5, 2005 61 19 20 Feb 9, 2005 66 19 15 Dec 8, 2004 69 16 15 Sep 14, 2004 63 21 17 Aug 13, 2004 59 22 19 Jun 16, 2004 62 21 17 Apr 14, 2004 61 19 20 Nov 6, 2003 56 25 19 Oct 2, 2003 60 24 16 Jun 25, 2003 57 23 21 Apr 24, 2003 59 22 19 Feb 12, 2003 56 22 22 Dec 19, 2002 57 22 21 Sep 26, 2002 58 17 25 Jul 3, 2002 61 17 22 May 1, 2002 58 18 24 Apr 18, 2002 60 17 23 Feb 27, 2002 61 16 23 Jan 25, 2002 63 17 21 Nov 14, 2001 64 16 20 Oct 2, 2001 69 11 19 Jun 28, 2001 60 18 22 Apr 26, 2001 61 17 22 Mar 28, 2001 60 18 22 Feb 14, 2001 56 21 23 Dec 13, 2000 62 19 19 May 2, 2000 52 18 30 Nov 11, 1999 55 19 26 Sep 16, 1999 55 18 27 Apr 15, 1999 51 22 28 Mar 23, 1999 52 20 28



TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?

                        App     Dis     DK/NA


May 5, 2005 33 61 6 Feb 10, 2005 38 58 5 Dec 8, 2004 39 56 5 Sep 15, 2004 43 53 4 Aug 13, 2004 37 59 4 Jun 16, 2004 36 58 5 Apr 14, 2004 40 56 4 Nov 7, 2003 44 51 5 Oct 1, 2003 42 53 5 Jun 26, 2003 52 42 6 Apr 24, 2003 58 37 4 Feb 13, 2003 50 44 5 Dec 19, 2002 51 42 7 Sep 26, 2002 58 36 6 Jul 3, 2002 64 28 8 May 1, 2002 69 25 6 Apr 22, 2002 68 27 5 Feb 27, 2002 74 20 6 Jan 25, 2002 80 16 4 Nov 14, 2001 82 15 3 Oct 2, 2001 82 14 4 Jun 28, 2001 44 47 9 Apr 26, 2001 50 40 10 Mar 28, 2001 48 38 15 Feb 14, 2001 45 30 24



TREND: If the 2006 election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Rodham Clinton the Democrat and George Pataki the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                                        SMONE   WLDN'T
                        HC      GP      ELSE    VOTE    DK/NA
                        
May 5, 2005             60      32       1       1       7
Feb 9, 2005             61      30       1       2       5
Dec 8, 2004             58      36       1       2       4




TREND: Would you like Hillary Rodham Clinton to run for President in 2008 or not?

                        Yes     No      DK/NA
                        
May 5, 2005             41      51       7
Feb 9, 2005             46      48       6
Dec 8, 2004             40      54       6




TREND: Do you think of Hillary Rodham Clinton more as a liberal, moderate, or conservative?

                        Lib     Mod     Cons    DK/NA
                        
May 5, 2005             52      29      10       8
Feb 9, 2005             52      31       8       9
Sep 27, 2000            62      23       8       7
Jun 7, 2000             55      25       9      11
Apr 22, 1999            51      29      10      10
Apr 15, 1999            52      27      11      10




2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Hillary Rodham Clinton is handling her job as United States Senator?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Approve 63% 36% 85% 57% 55% 70% Disapprove 28 54 9 30 35 20 DK/NA 10 10 6 13 10 9



3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Approve 61% 50% 70% 63% 60% 62% Disapprove 19 33 12 18 23 16 DK/NA 20 16 18 20 17 22



4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Approve 33% 74% 11% 30% 38% 30% Disapprove 61 20 85 62 57 64 DK/NA 6 6 4 7 5 6



8. If the 2006 election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Rodham Clinton the Democrat and George Pataki the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Clinton 60% 22% 89% 54% 53% 66% Pataki 32 71 7 32 37 27 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 1 2 2 1 DK/NA 7 5 3 11 8 6

Union UpState NYC Sub HsHlds

Clinton 54% 71% 53% 60% Pataki 36 21 40 32 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 - 1 DK/NA 6 7 7 7



9. If the 2006 election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Rodham Clinton the Democrat and Jeanine Pirro the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Clinton 62% 25% 90% 56% 54% 68% Pirro 27 61 5 27 32 22 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 - DK/NA 11 13 5 16 12 10

Union UpState NYC Sub HsHlds

Clinton 54% 72% 59% 61% Pirro 32 17 34 30 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - - 1 DK/NA 13 10 7 9



10. If the 2006 election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Rodham Clinton the Democrat and Edward Cox the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Clinton 63% 23% 91% 60% 55% 70% Cox 25 58 5 22 31 20 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - 1 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 1 DK/NA 11 17 4 16 13 10

Union UpState NYC Sub HsHlds

Clinton 55% 74% 59% 61% Cox 33 13 29 27 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 DK/NA 11 12 12 10



11. If the 2006 election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Rodham Clinton the Democrat and William Weld the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Clinton 63% 27% 91% 58% 55% 70% Weld 26 55 6 27 32 20 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 1 DK/NA 10 16 3 13 11 10

Union UpState NYC Sub HsHlds

Clinton 56% 74% 59% 63% Weld 33 15 30 27 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 2 DK/NA 10 10 10 9



12. Looking ahead to the 2006 election for United States Senator, do you feel that Hillary Rodham Clinton deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that she does not deserve to be reelected?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Yes/Deserves reelect 67% 36% 91% 62% 57% 75% No/Does not 27 57 6 31 35 21 DK/NA 6 7 3 7 8 5



13. Would you like Hillary Rodham Clinton to run for President in 2008 or not?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Yes 41% 17% 61% 33% 32% 49% No 51 78 31 59 60 44 DK/NA 7 5 7 8 8 7



15. Is your opinion of Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about her?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Favorable 53% 20% 81% 45% 45% 60% Unfavorable 22 49 5 23 29 17 Mixed 19 24 12 25 19 19 Hvn't hrd enough 5 7 2 6 6 4 REFUSED - - - 1 1 -



16. Is your opinion of Governor George Pataki favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Favorable 24% 42% 15% 23% 29% 20% Unfavorable 33 17 44 32 32 35 Mixed 35 36 33 40 33 37 Hvn't hrd enough 6 5 7 3 5 7 REFUSED 1 - 1 2 1 1
17. Is your opinion of State Attorney General Eliot Spitzer favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Favorable 41% 38% 44% 46% 49% 35% Unfavorable 8 12 5 8 8 7 Mixed 20 22 20 19 19 20 Hvn't hrd enough 30 27 30 27 22 37 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1



18. Is your opinion of Manhattan lawyer Edward Cox favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Favorable 8% 12% 7% 6% 9% 7% Unfavorable 6 2 8 6 6 6 Mixed 12 12 11 11 12 11 Hvn't hrd enough 74 73 73 75 72 75 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1



19. Is your opinion of Westchester County District Attorney Jeanine Pirro favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about her?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Favorable 17% 22% 15% 17% 20% 14% Unfavorable 4 3 6 4 5 4 Mixed 10 10 11 11 11 9 Hvn't hrd enough 68 65 67 68 63 72 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1



20. Is your opinion of Former Massachusetts Governor William Weld favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Favorable 8% 14% 3% 11% 12% 5% Unfavorable 7 7 7 6 9 4 Mixed 11 13 11 10 13 9 Hvn't hrd enough 73 65 77 73 65 81 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1



27. Now I'd like you to rate the job Hillary Rodham Clinton has done as United States Senator - Please give her a grade from A through F, where A is excellent, B is good, C is average, D is poor, and F is failing.

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


A, Excellent 17% 6% 28% 11% 15% 19% B, Good 40 25 53 38 37 44 C, Average 24 36 14 28 22 26 D, Poor 10 15 2 15 13 7 F, Failing 7 16 2 7 11 4 DK/NA 2 2 1 1 2 1



28. If Hillary Rodham Clinton runs for reelection to the Senate in 2006, do you think she should pledge to serve the full 6 year term or not?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Yes 60% 55% 65% 57% 57% 61% No 30 35 27 30 33 27 DK/NA 11 10 8 13 10 12



29. Do you think of Hillary Rodham Clinton more as a liberal, moderate or conservative?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Liberal 52% 69% 45% 51% 55% 49% Moderate 29 15 38 29 27 31 Conservative 10 9 9 11 12 9 DK/NA 8 7 7 10 6 10



30. Do you think Hillary Rodham Clinton is becoming more moderate or not?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


Yes 51% 42% 60% 45% 49% 52% No 34 46 24 38 39 29 DK/NA 16 12 15 17 12 18



31. (If 'yes more moderate' q30) Do you think Hillary Rodham Clinton is becoming more moderate because she is running for President or not?

                        IF 'YES' Q30...............................


Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom

Yes 62% 77% 51% 68% 65% 59% No 30 20 40 22 26 34 DK/NA 8 3 9 10 9 7



32. If Hillary Rodham Clinton is elected President, her election would bring Bill Clinton back to the White House. Does this make you more likely to vote for Hillary Rodham Clinton for President, less likely to vote for her for President, or doesn't it make a difference?

                        Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom


More likely 21% 6% 36% 14% 22% 21% Less likely 19 44 5 18 19 19 No difference 57 46 59 65 55 59 DK/NA 3 4 1 3 4 2