July 1, 1999 - Bush-Gore Or Bush-Bradley, It's A Dead Heat In New York, Quinnipiac College Poll Finds; New Yorkers Split On Total Handgun Ban
Former New Jersey Sen. Bill Bradley runs just as well as Vice President Al Gore against either leading Republican contender, Texas Gov. George W. Bush or former Red Cross Director Elizabeth Dole among New York State voters, according to a Quinnipiac College poll released today.

Bush gets 45 percent to Gore's 44 percent, a tie, and Bush gets 44 percent to Bradley's 43 percent. Gore beats Mrs. Dole 50 - 37 percent, while Bradley tops Dole 50 - 35 percent.

But in a Democratic Primary, Gore tops Bradley, 52 - 34 percent.

In a Republican Primary, Bush gets 56 percent, trailed by Dole with 13 percent. No other possible GOP contender tops 7 percent, the independent Quinnipiac College Poll finds.

In a Bush-Gore race, men vote for Bush 52 - 36 percent, while women voters back Gore 49 - 40 percent. In a Bush-Bradley race, men and women split evenly for each candidate. "This latest poll comes on the heels of the New York Knicks valiant efforts in the NBA Championships, a fact which could have helped ex-Knick Bill Bradley, especially among men voters," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac College Polling Institute.

"While Vice President Gore looks like the clear winner in a Democratic Primary, he must be concerned that in reliably Democratic New York State, he can't muster better than a tie with Gov. Bush, a guy from Texas."

By a 41 - 21 percent margin, New York voters have a favorable opinion of Bush, with 19 percent mixed and 18 percent saying they haven't heard enough to form an opinion. Favorability ratings among other Republican presidential contenders are:
                       Favorable      Unfavorable      Mixed      No Opinion

Lamar Alexander           6%             21%            15%          58%
Gary Bauer                5              11              5           78
Patrick Buchanan         13              46             20           20
Elizabeth Dole           33              22             25           19
Steve Forbes             17              30             24           28 
John Kasich               6               8              8           77
John McCain              20               9             13           58 
Dan Quayle               13              56             22            8
Bob Smith                 5               7              7           80

Favorability ratings for Democratic presidential contenders are:
Gore                     33              23             33           10
Bradley                  35               6             18           41



"Mrs. Dole isn't moving here. And the other GOPers are a bunch of no-names, except for Buchanan, Forbes and Quayle. To know them, it seems, is to dislike them," Carroll said. Gun Control

New Yorkers say, 73 - 23 percent, it is more important to control guns than to protect the rights of gun-owners; 51 percent of gun owners say controlling guns is more important.

New Yorkers split 48 - 49 percent whether there should be a total ban on handguns, except for law enforcement and the military. By a 78 - 19 percent margin, with 74 percent of gun owners in support, New York State voters say there should be a ban on assault weapons. New Yorkers also support a law requiring childproof trigger locks 89 - 9 percent, with 86 percent of gun owners in support of such a requirement.

From June 22- 28, Quinnipiac College surveyed 1,131 New York State registered voters. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent. The Quinnipiac College Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George Pataki is handling his job as Governor of New York?

                                                                        May 24
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   1999


Approve 54% 61% 42% 58% 73% 40% 56% 57% 51% 58%

Disapprove 35 29 47 29 18 48 34 33 36 32

DK/NA 11 11 11 13 9 13 9 9 13 10



2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling his job as President?
                                                                        Apr 25
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   1999


Approve 63% 57% 73% 59% 29% 84% 66% 55% 69% 61%

Disapprove 35 39 25 39 69 14 30 42 29 34

DK/NA 3 4 2 1 2 2 4 3 3 5



12. How much attention have you been paying to the election campaign for President in the year 2000 -- a lot, some, only a little, or none at all?

                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


A lot 25% 23% 27% 26% 28% 22% 27% 32% 20% Some 45 43 44 50 47 47 42 42 48

Only a little 23 26 22 19 21 23 23 20 25

None at all 7 7 7 5 4 7 7 6 7

DK/NA - - - - - - - 1 -



13. Is your opinion of Vice President Al Gore favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                        March 24
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   1999


Favorable 33% 30% 37% 32% 15% 48% 31% 30% 35% 43%

Unfavorable 23 28 18 23 45 9 24 32 17 24

Mixed 33 34 31 35 31 31 37 29 36 24

Hvn't hrd enough 10 7 14 9 8 13 8 8 11 9

DK/NA 1 1 1 - 1 - 1 1 1 1



14. Is your opinion of former New Jersey Senator Bill Bradley favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                        March 24
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   1999


Favorable 35% 23% 39% 48% 26% 40% 38% 45% 27% 43%

Unfavorable 6 7 6 5 5 6 7 9 4 6

Mixed 18 16 21 18 23 16 19 19 18 11

Hvn't hrd enough 41 54 33 29 46 38 37 27 51 40

DK/NA - - 1 - - - - - - 1



15. Is your opinion of former Tennessee Governor Lamar Alexander favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Favorable 6% 7% 5% 4% 9% 4% 6% 8% 4

Unfavorable 21 15 26 24 11 26 24 27 16

Mixed 15 16 11 17 18 10 16 17 13

Hvn't hrd enough 58 61 56 55 60 59 52 48 65

DK/NA 1 1 1 - 1 1 2 1 2



16. Is your opinion of Family Research Council Chairman Gary Bauer favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Favorable 5% 5% 5% 2% 6% 3% 5% 5% 4%

Unfavorable 11 7 14 13 7 14 11 17 6

Mixed 5 5 4 7 5 4 7 5 5

Hvn't hrd enough 78 81 75 78 81 79 76 72 84

DK/NA 1 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1



17. Is your opinion of Political Commentator Patrick Buchanan favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Favorable 13% 14% 9% 15% 20% 8% 14% 15% 11%

Unfavorable 46 39 50 52 34 53 49 54 40

Mixed 20 22 17 20 26 15 20 18 22

Hvn't hrd enough 20 24 23 12 19 24 16 12 27

DK/NA 1 1 1 - 1 1 - 1 1



18. Is your opinion of Texas Governor George W. Bush favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                        March 24
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   1999


Favorable 41% 49% 28% 43% 70% 20% 43% 46% 37% 40%

Unfavorable 21 14 28 21 3 35 19 20 21 14

Mixed 19 20 20 17 13 21 21 20 19 13

Hvn't hrd enough 18 15 23 17 14 23 16 14 21 31

DK/NA 1 1 - 1 - 1 1 1 1 1



19. Is your opinion of former Red Cross Director Elizabeth Dole favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about her?

                                                                        March 24
                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   1999


Favorable 33% 42% 20% 35% 46% 26% 33% 30% 35% 50%

Unfavorable 22 16 28 26 15 29 21 24 21 11

Mixed 25 24 27 24 22 23 27 24 25 14

Hvn't hrd enough 19 18 24 15 17 22 19 20 19 24

DK/NA 1 1 1 - 1 - - 1 - -



20. Is your opinion of Businessman Steve Forbes favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Favorable 17% 20% 12% 17% 26% 9% 20% 20% 14%

Unfavorable 30 24 32 37 19 37 31 37 24

Mixed 24 27 20 25 29 19 25 22 26

Hvn't hrd enough 28 29 34 20 26 35 22 20 35

DK/NA 1 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1



21. Is your opinion of Ohio Congressman John Kasich favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Favorable 6% 6% 4% 9% 10% 4% 6% 8% 4%

Unfavorable 8 5 11 10 5 11 9 13 4

Mixed 8 9 8 5 9 6 9 9 7

Hvn't hrd enough 77 79 77 74 76 78 75 69 83

DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1



22. Is your opinion of Arizona Senator John McCain favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Favorable 20% 20% 16% 24% 25% 15% 21% 30% 11%

Unfavorable 9 7 10 10 5 12 9 10 8

Mixed 13 13 14 13 12 13 15 15 12

Hvn't hrd enough 58 59 59 53 58 60 53 45 67

DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 - 2



23. Is your opinion of Former Vice President Dan Quayle favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Favorable 13% 16% 10% 12% 23% 8% 11% 15% 11%

Unfavorable 56 48 64 61 35 69 60 61 52

Mixed 22 26 16 24 33 13 24 19 24

Hvn't hrd enough 8 9 10 3 9 9 5 4 11

DK/NA 1 1 1 - - 1 1 1 1



24. Is your opinion of New Hampshire Senator Bob Smith favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                  Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Favorable 5% 5% 4% 6% 6% 4% 5% 5% 5%

Unfavorable 7 6 9 6 5 9 7 11 4

Mixed 7 7 6 8 8 4 9 9 6

Hvn't hrd enough 80 80 80 79 79 82 77 74 84

DK/NA 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1



25. If the election for President in the year 2000 were being held today and the candidates were Vice President Al Gore the Democrat and Texas Governor George W. Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                                                                         March 24
                   Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   1999


Vice President Al Gore 44% 34% 58% 41% 7% 73% 40% 36% 49% 47%

Texas Governor George W. Bush 45 55 30 48 86 17 46 52 40 42

SOMEONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 - - - 2 1 1 1 WOULDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 3 1 1 2 3 3 2 1 DK/NA 8 7 7 10 4 7 9 7 8 8



26. If the election for President in the year 2000 were being held today and the candidates were former New Jersey Senator Bill Bradley the Democrat and Texas Governor George W. Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                                                                         March 24
                   Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   1999


former New Jersey Senator Bill Bradley 43% 28% 60% 47% 11% 69% 43% 44% 42% 45%

Texas Governor George W.Bush 44 58 27 42 82 19 42 44 44 39

SOMEONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 WOULDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 3 1 1 3 2 2 2 2 DK/NA 10 11 9 9 6 8 12 8 11 13



27. If the election for President in the year 2000 were being held today and the candidates were Vice President Al Gore the Democrat and former Red Cross Director Elizabeth Dole the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                                                                         March 24
                   Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   1999


Vice President Al Gore 50% 40% 62% 51% 17% 76% 47% 47% 53% 49%

former Red Cross Director Elizabeth Dole 37 47 24 38 70 15 37 38 36 38

SOMEONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 1 2 - 2 2 1 2 WOULDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 5 4 5 1 5 6 2 2 DK/NA 7 8 8 6 7 7 8 7 8 10



28. If the election for President in the year 2000 were being held today and the candidates were former New Jersey Senator Bill Bradley the Democrat and former Red Cross Director Elizabeth Dole the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                                                                         March 24
                   Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   1999


former New Jersey Senator Bill Bradley 50% 34% 63% 59% 25% 74% 46% 55% 46% 47%

former Red Cross Director Elizabeth Dole 35 49 22 29 61 17 36 31 38 35

SOMEONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 - 1 - 1 1 1 1 WOULDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 4 2 5 2 3 4 3 3 DK/NA 11 13 10 9 9 7 14 8 13 14



30a. If the Democratic Primary for President in the year 2000 were being held today and the candidates were Vice President Al Gore and former New Jersey Senator Bill Bradley, for whom would you vote?

                   Tot


Gore 52%

Bradley 34

SOMEONE ELSE(VOL) 1 WON'T VOTE(VOL) 1 DK/NA 12



30b. If the Republican Primary for President in the year 2000 were being held today and the candidates were former Tennessee Governor Lamar Alexander, Family Research Council Chairman Gary Bauer, Political Commentator Patrick Buchanan, Texas Governor George W. Bush, former Red Cross Director Elizabeth Dole, Businessman Steve Forbes, Ohio Congressman John Kasich, Arizona Senator John McCain, former Vice President Dan Quayle, and New Hampshire Senator Bob Smith, for whom would you vote?

                   Tot


Alexander 6% Bauer 1 Buchanan 1 Bush 56 Dole 13 Forbes 3 Kasich 2 McCain 7 Quayle 2 Smith 1

SOMEONE ELSE(VOL) - WON'T VOTE(VOL) 1 DK/NA 7

40. What do you think is more important: To protect the right of Americans to own guns or to control gun ownership?

                                                                         Gun
                   Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   owners


Protect rights 23% 34% 13% 18% 37% 12% 24% 30% 18% 43%

Control ownership 73 62 82 79 58 85 73 65 79 51

DK/NA 4 4 5 3 6 3 3 4 4 5



41. Which political party, the Democrats or the Republicans, do you trust to do a better job handling the issue of gun control?

                                                                      Gun
                Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   owners


Democrats 47% 37% 61% 46% 17% 78% 39% 45% 49% 33%

Republicans 24 32 13 24 56 6 21 29 20 35

BOTH(VOL) 2 2 2 - 1 1 3 1 2 1 NEITHER(VOL) 15 15 12 17 14 7 21 17 13 17 DK/NA 13 14 12 13 12 8 16 8 17 14



42. Do you favor or oppose banning the sale of all handguns, except those that are issued to law enforcement officers and military?

                                                                      Gun
                Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   owners


Favor 48% 37% 59% 53% 36% 59% 45% 41% 54% 28%

Oppose 49 60 39 42 61 37 53 58 41 69

DK/NA 3 3 2 5 4 4 2 1 5 4



43. Do you favor or oppose banning the sale of assault weapons?

                                                                      Gun
                Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   owners


Favor 78% 76% 78% 81% 71% 80% 81% 78% 78% 74%

Oppose 19 21 19 17 25 17 17 21 18 25

DK/NA 3 3 3 2 4 3 2 1 4 1



44. Do you favor or oppose requiring childproof trigger locks on guns?

                                                                      Gun
                Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   owners


Favor 89% 88% 90% 89% 88% 93% 87% 86% 91% 86%

Oppose 9 9 9 7 10 6 10 12 6 12

DK/NA 2 3 1 4 2 1 4 2 3 2



45. Is your opinion of the National Rifle Association favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about it?

                                                                      Gun
                Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom   owners


Favorable 18% 26% 10% 15% 28% 9% 19% 27% 11% 42%

Unfavorable 39 29 47 47 24 50 41 36 41 21

Mixed 29 32 26 28 35 22 32 31 27 30

Hvn't hrd enough 14 13 18 10 12 18 8 6 20 6

DK/NA - - - - 1 - - - - -



46. Do you or does anyone in your house own a gun, or not?

                Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom


Yes/Own gun 26% 40% 10% 21% 33% 17% 28% 33% 20%

No/Do not own gun 73 59 88 77 65 83 71 65 80

DK/NA 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 1