September 16, 1999 - New York Voters Nix President's F.A.L.N. Clemency Bid, Quinnipiac College Poll Finds; But Clinton-Giuliani Senate Race Is Locked In Dead Heat
By a 52 - 12 percent margin, New York State voters disapprove of President Clinton's decision to free Puerto Rican prisoners convicted of crimes linked to terror bombings, according to a Quinnipiac College poll released today. Another 35 percent say they don't know enough about the subject to offer an opinion.

Despite the controversy, the undeclared Senate race between First Lady Hillary Rodham Clinton and New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani remains locked in a dead heat, with 45 percent for Mrs. Clinton and 44 percent for Mayor Giuliani, the independent Quinnipiac College Poll finds.

A July 29 Quinnipiac College Poll showed them in a 45 - 45 percent tie.

This latest poll of 911 New York State registered voters was conducted September 7 - 13 and has a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percent.

Mrs. Clinton's opposition to clemency makes 15 percent of New York voters more likely to vote for her, while 10 percent are less likely and 71 percent say it won't influence their vote.

"The Puerto Rican clemency issue, which has dominated political news in New York for weeks, has left the head-to-head Senate race unchanged. Fully one-third of the voters have no opinion on the President's decision and two-thirds say Hillary Clinton's opposition makes no difference," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac College Polling Institute.

"The other big political development, the Clintons' purchase of a real New York home, also has barely helped Mrs. Clinton with her `carpetbagger' problem.

New Yorkers split 49 - 50 percent on whether it bothers them that Mrs. Clinton is not currently a resident of New York, compared to 52 - 46 percent in the July 29 poll.

"The good news for Mrs. Clinton is that New Yorkers apparently like politicians who listen, " Carroll added.

Candidates should spend more time listening to the voters, according to 54 percent of New Yorkers, while 32 percent say candidates should spend more time explaining their positions.

By a 37 - 34 percent margin, New Yorkers have a favorable opinion of Clinton, with 22 percent mixed and 6 percent who haven't heard enough to form an opinion. Giuliani's favorability ratings are 37 - 27 percent, with 25 percent mixed and 11 percent who haven't heard enough to form an opinion.

Clinton "cares about the needs and problems of people like you," New Yorkers say 60 - 35 percent. But only 39 percent of voters say she "understands the issues and problems facing New York State," while 53 percent say she does not understand.

By a smaller 55 - 34 percent margin, New Yorkers say Giuliani "cares about the needs and problems of people like you," but by a big 66 - 26 percent margin, they say he "understands the issues and problems facing New York State."

"We see a split where Mrs. Clinton gets credit for `caring' at a personal level, while Mayor Giuliani is way ahead on understanding New York State issues," Carroll said. "Voters also trust Giuliani more, but like Clinton better."

New Yorkers split 48 - 43 percent on whether Clinton is "honest and trustworthy," while they say 59 - 29 percent that Giuliani is "honest and trustworthy."

By a 69 - 26 percent margin, New York State voters say Clinton has a "likable personality," and by a 66 - 24 percent they say she would make a good neighbor.

New Yorkers split 45 - 44 percent on whether Giuliani has a "likable personality," and by a 57 - 31 percent margin, they say he would make a good neighbor.

The Quinnipiac College Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut as a public service and for research.

For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu

2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator?

                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom
                       
Approve                 55%   50%   62%   55%   46%   70%   53%   55%   55%
                       
Disapprove              18    18    17    18    27    11    17    20    16
                       
DK/NA                   27    32    21    27    28    19    30    25    29
                       


3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Daniel Patrick Moynihan is handling his job as United States Senator?

                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom
                       
Approve                 59%   59%   57%   61%   50%   67%   62%   61%   57%
                       
Disapprove              21    20    20    23    33    13    18    23    19
                       
DK/NA                   20    21    23    16    17    19    20    15    24




4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling his job as President?

                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom
                       
Approve                 60%   54%   74%   53%   34%   87%   57%   58%   62%
                       
Disapprove              36    42    22    44    63    11    38    39    34
                       
DK/NA                    4     4     4     3     2     2     6     3     4




6. How much attention have you been paying to the election campaign for United States Senator from New York in the year 2000 -- a lot, some, only a little, or none at all?

                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom
                       
A lot                   35%   31%   36%   39%   36%   34%   35%   38%   32%
                       
Some                    34    36    34    32    34    38    32    29    38
                       
Only a little           23    25    21    22    22    22    24    23    23
                       
None at all              8     8     8     7     7     7     8     8     7
                       
DK/NA                    -     -     -     1     1     -     1     1     -




7. Is your opinion of First Lady Hillary Rodham Clinton favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about her?

                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom
                       
Favorable               37%   32%   51%   30%   16%   61%   31%   32%   41%
                       
Unfavorable             34    37    24    40    58    12    35    40    28
                       
Mixed                   22    25    18    24    19    21    28    18    26
                       
Hvn't hrd enough         6     6     6     6     6     5     6     9     4
                       
REFUSED                  1     1     1     -     1     1     -     1     1




8. Is your opinion of New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom
                       
Favorable               37%   32%   35%   47%   62%   21%   33%   44%   32%
                       
Unfavorable             27    17    43    22     9    42    26    25    28
                       
Mixed                   25    26    20    29    17    26    30    21    27
                       
Hvn't hrd enough        11    24     1     2    10    10    11     9    12
                       
REFUSED                  1     1     1     -     1     1     -     1     1




9. If the election for United States Senator in the year 2000 were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Rodham Clinton the Democrat, and Rudolph Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom
                       
Rodham Clinton          45%   40%   60%   34%   12%   78%   38%   38%   50%
                       
Giuliani                44    48    31    53    77    15    47    52    37
                       
SOMEONE ELSE           
(VOL)                    2     2     2     3     3     1     3     2     2
                       
WOULDN'T VOTE          
(VOL)                    2     3     -     2     2     1     2     1     2
                       
DK/NA                    7     8     6     8     6     6    10     7     8




10. Which would you rather see a candidate for United States Senate spend their time doing - listening to what voters have to say, or explaining their positions to voters?

                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom
                      
Listening               54%   59%   52%   49%   56%   55%   50%   51%   56%
                      
Explaining              32    29    31    39    33    28    34    36    29
                      
BOTH(VOL)               12    10    14    13     9    16    12     9    14
                      
DK/NA                    2     3     3     -     2     1     3     4     1




11. I'm going to read off some personal characteristics and qualities. As I read each one, tell me if you think it applies to Hillary Rodham Clinton or not? Would you say that Hillary Rodham Clinton -- cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom
                      
Yes                     60%   57%   66%   58%   42%   81%   54%   52%   66%
                      
No                      35    39    28    36    50    15    41    44    27
                      
DK/NA                    5     5     6     6     8     4     5     4     7




12. Would you say that Hillary Rodham Clinton -- is honest and trustworthy or not?

                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom
                       
Yes                     48%   42%   59%   42%   27%   74%   40%   43%   51%
                       
No                      43    47    33    47    64    17    49    49    38
                       
DK/NA                   10    11     8    11     8     9    11     8    11




13. Would you say that Hillary Rodham Clinton -- has a likeable personality or not?

                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom
                      
Yes                     69%   69%   74%   64%   56%   85%   69%   66%   72%
                      
No                      26    26    20    35    41    12    25    29    24
                      
DK/NA                    4     6     5     2     3     3     6     5     4




14. Would you say that Hillary Rodham Clinton -- understands the issues and problems facing New York State or not?

                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom
                    
Yes                     39%   32%   50%   36%   19%   62%   33%   31%   45%
                    
No                      53    60    42    55    75    28    58    61    46
                    
DK/NA                    9     9     8     9     6    10     9     8     9




15. Would you say that Hillary Rodham Clinton -- would make a good neighbor or not?

                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom
                       
Yes                     66%   60%   74%   68%   49%   82%   68%   65%   67%
                       
No                      24    28    18    26    42    10    23    27    23
                       
DK/NA                    9    12     8     6     9     8     9     8    10




16. I'm going to read off some personal characteristics and qualities. As I read each one, tell me if you think it applies to Rudolph Giuliani or not? Would you say that Rudolph Giuliani -- cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom
                     
Yes                     55%   51%   47%   73%   72%   44%   53%   57%   54%
                     
No                      34    31    48    22    19    48    33    34    35
                     
DK/NA                   10    18     4     5     9     8    14     9    11




17. Would you say that Rudolph Giuliani -- is honest and trustworthy or not?

                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom
                     
Yes                     59%   57%   53%   70%   78%   48%   58%   65%   54%
                     
No                      29    22    42    24    13    41    29    27    31
                     
DK/NA                   12    21     5     6     9    12    14     8    15




18. Would you say that Rudolph Giuliani -- has a likeable personality or not?

                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom
                      
Yes                     45%   54%   28%   53%   65%   32%   42%   48%   43%
                      
No                      44    28    68    41    23    59    47    45    44
                      
DK/NA                   11    19     4     7    13     8    11     7    13




19. Would you say that Rudolph Giuliani -- understands the issues and problems facing New York State or not?

                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom
                     
Yes                     66%   59%   62%   83%   84%   55%   66%   72%   62%
                     
No                      26    28    34    13     9    37    26    22    29
                     
DK/NA                    8    13     5     4     8     8     8     6     9




20. Would you say that Rudolph Giuliani -- would make a good neighbor or not?

                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom
                      
Yes                     57%   57%   50%   66%   77%   44%   57%   60%   54%
                      
No                      31    23    45    27    13    44    30    30    32
                      
DK/NA                   12    20     5     7    10    13    13     9    14




21. If Hillary Rodham Clinton were to run for the United States Senate in New York, would the fact that she is not currently a resident of New York bother you or not bother you?

                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom
                       
Yes, would             
bother me               49%   56%   36%   55%   75%   24%   55%   53%   46%
                       
No, wouldn't           
bother me               50    43    64    43    23    74    44    45    53
                       
DK/NA                    1     2     1     2     2     1     1     1     2




30. President Clinton has offered clemency to 16 jailed Puerto Rican nationalists serving federal prison sentences for terrorism. Do you approve or disapprove of President Clinton's offer of clemency, or haven't you heard enough about it?

                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom
                      
Approve                 12%    6%   20%   11%    8%   17%   12%   14%   11%
                      
Disapprove              52    54    42    61    69    35    58    58    48
                      
Haven't hrd           
enough                  35    38    35    28    22    46    29    28    40
                      
REFUSED                  1     1     2     -     -     2     1     1     2




31. Hillary Rodham Clinton opposes clemency for the 16 jailed Puerto Rican nationalists serving federal prison sentences for terrorism. Does this make you more likely to vote for Hillary Rodham Clinton for Senator, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference?

                        Tot   Ups   NYC   Sub   Rep   Dem   Ind   Men   Wom
                      
More likely             15%   14%   15%   18%   13%   19%   12%   14%   16%
                      
Less likely             10     8    11    12    16     5    12    12     8
                      
No diff                 71    74    69    67    67    74    70    70    71
                      
DK/NA                    4     4     5     4     4     2     5     4     4