June 18, 1998 - Schumer's Liberal Line Ties Up The D'Amato-Ferraro Race Quinnipiac College Poll Finds; Parents, Not TV, Seen As Cause Of School Violence
With U.S. Rep. Charles Schumer running on the Liberal Party line, a U.S. Senate matchup between Republican incumbent Sen. Alfonse D'Amato and Democrat Geraldine Ferraro would be a virtual tie, with D'Amato ahead 41 - 38 percent, according to a Quinnipiac College poll released today. Schumer gets 12 percent.

In a three-way matchup where New York City Public Advocate Mark Green wins the Democratic nomination and Schumer stays on the Liberal line, D'Amato gets 44 percent, to 28 percent for Green and 14 percent for Schumer.

If Schumer wins the Democratic Primary and goes head to head with the incumbent, D'Amato wins 49 - 37 percent.

Ferraro wins a Democratic Primary with 46 percent, followed by Green with 23 percent and Schumer with 19 percent.

"The Liberal Party is just what the doctor ordered for D'Amato. In previous Quinnipiac College polls, D'Amato trailed Ferraro, the Democrat we measure as the most formidable, by 12 - 16 points," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac College Polling Institute.

"But Schumer siphons off enough votes on the Liberal line in a three-way race to make to make it a stand-off between Ferraro and D'Amato. In any other matchup, D'Amato is the clear winner. On top of that, D'Amato's approval rating is going up as the election nears."

D'Amato's approval is 51 - 39 percent, the first time he has topped 50 percent since Quinnipiac College Poll began measuring the Senator's approval in 1994.

D'Amato's favorability is 37 - 32 percent, with 25 percent mixed and 6 percent who say they haven't heard enough to form an opinion. Among possible Democratic challengers and other statewide leaders, favorability ratings are:
                               Favorable   Unfavorable   Mixed   No opinion
Ferraro                           38%          22%         28%      11%
Green                             28            6          14       51
Schumer                           20            7          14       59
Sen. Daniel Patrick Moynihan      49           11          25       15
State Comptroller Carl McCall     27            3          12       58
Attorney General Dennis Vacco     31            6          16       47



In an open-ended question, where respondents can give any answer, 44 percent point to parents or the lack of parental discipline as the chief cause of school violence, with only 7 percent listing TV, movies, music or entertainment.

"Who do we blame for school violence? New Yorkers did not point the finger at the usual scapegoats in Hollywood. They blamed parents," Carroll said.

In another open-ended question 29 percent say the most important problem facing New York's public schools today is inadequate funds or resources or overcrowding, followed by 17 percent who list violence/crime/gangs/drugs.

When offered a list of proposals to improve public schools, the top responses are 42 percent in support of making it easier to fire incompetent teachers; 39 percent for standardized tests to determine promotion to the next grade and 38 percent for reduced class size.

The idea of charter schools fails 35 - 51 percent, with 13 percent undecided.

Looking at public schools statewide, 62 percent say they are very good or fairly good, while 32 percent say they are fairly bad or very bad. In their own community, 76 percent say schools are very good or fairly good, while 18 percent say they are fairly bad or very bad.

From June 9 - 15, Quinnipiac College surveyed 811 New Yorkers who say they are registered voters. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percent. The Quinnipiac College Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut as a public service and for research.
For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu

2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Daniel Patrick Moynihan is handling his job as United States Senator?

                                                                          Mar 26
                    Tot     Ups     NYC     Sub     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998


Approve 62% 59% 60% 70% 60% 67% 63% 64%

Disapprove 18 20 16 16 22 13 18 17

DK/NA 20 21 24 15 17 21 19 19



2a. Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

                                                                          Mar 26
                    Tot     Ups     NYC     Sub     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998


Approve strongly 26% 26% 24% 28% 21% 32% 28% 24%

Approve smwht 36 34 36 41 39 34 35 40

Disapprove smwht 10 11 8 10 11 7 12 9

Disapprove strongly 7 8 8 5 11 6 6 8

DK/NA 20 21 24 15 17 21 19 19



3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Alfonse D'Amato is handling his job as United States Senator?

                                                                          Mar 26
                    Tot     Ups     NYC     Sub     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998


Approve 51% 50% 46% 59% 75% 36% 47% 47%

Disapprove 39 37 42 37 18 54 41 43

DK/NA 10 13 12 5 7 10 12 10

3A. Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

                                                                          Mar 26
                    Tot     Ups     NYC     Sub     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998  


Approve strongly 22% 16% 24% 28% 39% 14% 17% 16%

Approve smwht 29 33 22 30 36 22 30 31

Disapprove smwht 14 16 13 11 9 17 15 13

Disapprove strongly 25 21 29 26 9 38 26 30

DK/NA 10 13 12 5 7 10 12 10



14. Is your opinion of State Controller H. Carl McCall favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                          Mar 26
                    Tot     Ups     NYC     Sub     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998  


Favorable 27% 26% 29% 26% 22% 31% 27% 25%

Unfavorable 3 3 3 1 5 1 2 3

Mixed 12 12 10 15 15 10 12 10

Hvn't hrd enough 58 59 58 57 58 58 58 61

Refused - 1 - - - - 1 -



15. Is your opinion of State Attorney General Dennis Vacco favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                          Mar 26
                    Tot     Ups     NYC     Sub     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998


Favorable 31% 42% 20% 27% 42% 22% 29% 25%

Unfavorable 6 4 10 4 1 9 5 7

Mixed 16 14 18 16 15 15 19 15

Hvn't hrd enough 47 39 52 52 42 53 46 53

Refused - 1 - - - - - -



16. Is your opinion of United States Senator Daniel Patrick Moynihan favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                          Mar 26
                    Tot     Ups     NYC     Sub     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998


Favorable 49% 48% 49% 51% 41% 57% 52% 51%

Unfavorable 11 13 9 9 14 7 9 11

Mixed 25 25 21 30 33 20 25 21

Hvn't hrd enough 15 14 20 10 12 16 14 17

Refused - - - - - - - 1



17. Is your opinion of United States Senator Alfonse D'Amato favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                          Mar 26
                    Tot     Ups     NYC     Sub     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998


Favorable 37% 38% 34% 41% 58% 31% 30% 36%

Unfavorable 32 28 36 33 14 44 35 35

Mixed 25 26 25 24 23 19 30 20

Hvn't hrd enough 6 8 5 2 5 7 5 8

Refused - 1 - - - - 1 1



18. Is your opinion of former United States Representative Geraldine Ferraro favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about her?

                                                                          Mar 26
                    Tot     Ups     NYC     Sub     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998


Favorable 38% 35% 42% 38% 20% 57% 35% 37%

Unfavorable 22 21 20 26 42 9 20 20

Mixed 28 29 28 28 27 25 32 23

Hvn't hrd enough 11 13 11 7 10 8 13 19

Refused 1 1 - 1 1 - - 1



19. Is your opinion of New York City Public Advocate Mark Green favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                          Mar 26
                    Tot     Ups     NYC     Sub     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998


Favorable 28% 7% 51% 35% 19% 44% 23% 29%

Unfavorable 6 4 7 10 13 1 5 7

Mixed 14 8 17 18 15 12 16 9

Hvn't hrd enough 51 80 25 37 53 43 56 54

Refused - 1 - - - - 1 1



20. Is your opinion of United States Representative Charles Schumer favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                          Mar 26
                    Tot     Ups     NYC     Sub     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998


Favorable 20% 8% 35% 21% 12% 30% 19% 21%

Unfavorable 7 7 4 10 13 1 7 7

Mixed 14 7 18 18 12 12 16 11

Hvn't hrd enough 59 78 42 50 63 56 57 61

Refused 1 - 1 1 1 - 1 -



21. If the 1998 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Alfonse D'Amato the Republican and Conservative party candidate, Geraldine Ferraro the Democratic party candidate, and Charles Schumer the Liberal Party candidate, for whom would you vote?

                          Tot     Ups     NYC     Sub     Rep     Dem     Ind


D'Amato 41% 45% 29% 49% 73% 19% 35%

Ferraro 38 37 40 35 17 55 39

Schumer 12 7 22 8 4 18 14

SOMEONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 1 1

WOULDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 3 2 2 2 5

DK/NA 6 7 5 5 3 5 8



22. If the 1998 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Alfonse D'Amato the Republican and Conservative party candidate, Mark Green the Democratic party candidate, and Charles Schumer the Liberal Party candidate, for whom would you vote?

                          Tot     Ups     NYC     Sub     Rep     Dem     Ind


D'Amato 44% 50% 30% 51% 74% 19% 43%

Green 28 17 41 28 11 48 22

Schumer 14 11 21 11 4 21 16

SOMEONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 - 1 - 1 2

WOULDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 8 3 3 5 3 6

DK/NA 9 12 6 7 5 9 10



23. If the 1998 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Alfonse D'Amato the Republican and Conservative Party candidate and Charles Schumer the Democratic and Liberal party candidate, for whom would you vote? (* Question read "If the 1998 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Alfonse D'Amato the Republican and Charles Schumer the Democrat, for whom would you vote?")

                                                                          Mar 26
                    Tot     Ups     NYC     Sub     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998*


D'Amato 49% 53% 36% 57% 78% 23% 48% 45%

Schumer 37 29 51 33 12 63 34 41

SOMEONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 - 1 1 - 3 2

WOULDN'T VOTE(VOL) 6 8 6 2 5 5 8 2

DK/NA 8 8 7 7 5 9 7 10



25. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling his job as President?

                                                                          Mar 25
                    Tot     Ups     NYC     Sub     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998


Approve 66% 62% 72% 66% 42% 87% 68% 73%

Disapprove 29 34 24 29 53 11 27 25

DK/NA 4 4 4 5 5 2 5 2



28. If the 1998 Democratic primary for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Mark Green, Geraldine Ferraro and Charles Schumer for whom would you vote?

                        Registered   Mar 26
                        Democrats     1998


Green 23% 20%

Ferraro 46 50

Schumer 19 15

SOMEONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1

WOULDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2

DK/NA 10 11



38. How would you rate the quality of New York State's public schools? Very good, fairly good, fairly bad, or very bad?

                                                                         Dec 11
                          Tot     Ups     NYC     Sub     Men     Wom     1997


Very good 10% 13% 4% 13% 10% 10% 8%

Fairly good 52 60 36 57 52 52 47

Fairly bad 22 15 34 18 23 21 23

Very bad 10 8 18 4 9 11 15

DK/NA 6 4 8 9 6 7 7



39. How would you rate the quality of the public schools in your community? Very good, fairly good, fairly bad, or very bad?

                                                                         Dec 11
                          Tot     Ups     NYC     Sub     Men     Wom     1997


Very good 33% 39% 13% 50% 32% 34% 29%

Fairly good 43 42 48 38 43 43 45

Fairly bad 12 10 20 7 14 11 16

Very bad 6 6 9 2 6 6 6

DK/NA 5 3 10 2 5 5 4



40. What do you think is the most important problem facing New York State's public schools today?

                          Tot     Ups     NYC     Sub     Men     Wom
Crime/Violence/
 Gangs/Safety             12%     15%     11%      8%     10%     14%


Drugs 5 7 3 5 7 4

Behavior problems 5 7 4 5 5 6

Drop out rate 1 1 - 1 - 1

Students not interested in learning 1 1 2 2 1 1

Racism/Lack of tolerance/ understanding - 1 - - - -

Parents/Lack of discipline/supervision 5 7 3 4 4 5

Parental involvement with teachers/schools 2 2 2 1 1 2

Teacher quality/apathy 7 6 10 6 8 7

Teacher salaries too low 1 1 2 2 2 -

Teacher's Union 1 1 1 1 1 -

Lack of discipline/ authority in school 3 5 2 1 3 3

Tenure/No quality check on teachers 2 3 - 4 2 2

Quality of education/ Low academic standards 5 4 5 5 3 6

Curriculum/Programs 4 4 3 5 4 4

Lack of prayer in schools 1 1 1 1 1 1

Inadequate funds/ Allocation of funds/ Budget 17 14 19 21 18 17

Inadequate resources/facilities 2 2 4 1 3 2

Overcrowding 10 6 15 10 8 11

Administration/Board of Ed 2 1 1 2 2 1

Other 8 9 6 7 8 7

DK/NA 6 5 5 9 8 4



41. I'm going to read you a list of proposals to improve the public schools in New York State. For each one I read, please tell me if you think it should be a top priority, a high priority, a low priority, or not a priority at all? (Each proposal asked of half the sample)

                                    A top    A high   A low    Not a 
                                    priority priority priority priority DK/NA


Make it easier to fire teachers 42% 42% 13% 3% 1% who are not doing a good job

Require students to pass a 39 44 13 2 1 standardized test in order to move on to the next grade

Reduce class size 38 40 13 6 2

Improve computer equipment and 35 49 14 3 - training

Make students take more 34 44 16 4 2 academically challenging courses and fewer elected courses

Spend more money on the public 33 42 15 8 2 schools

Create alternative schools for 31 37 21 7 3 students who are discipline problems

Pay the best teachers more money 28 37 21 11 3

Give greater control to parents 20 36 34 9 2

Increase the amount of homework 18 27 36 16 3 assignments

Reduce the emphasis on sports, 16 23 41 18 2 clubs, and other extracurricular activities

Lengthen the school year 13 22 38 25 2

Require students to wear uniforms 10 20 41 27 1

Lengthen the school day 10 20 43 26 2



48. Do you favor or oppose charter schools, which are taxpayer supported schools, that are run by local groups instead of the local board of education?

                          Tot     Ups     NYC     Sub     Men     Wom


Favor 35% 33% 42% 30% 35% 35%

Oppose 51 54 42 59 52 51

DK/NA 13 13 16 12 13 14



49. In general, do you feel the public schools in your community are very safe, somewhat safe, somewhat unsafe, or very unsafe?

                          Tot     Ups     NYC     Sub     Men     Wom


Very safe 32% 38% 16% 41% 32% 32%

Smwht safe 47 44 52 48 49 47

Smwht unsafe 13 12 17 8 12 13

Very unsafe 5 5 8 2 4 6

DK/NA 3 1 6 1 3 3



50. What do you blame most for the violence in public schools today?

                          Tot     Ups     NYC     Sub     Men     Wom
TV/Movies/Music/
 Violent entertainment     7%     10%      4%      7%      8%      7%


News/Publicity of violence 1 1 1 2 2 1

Guns/Weapons 4 3 7 4 3 5

Drugs 5 4 4 5 5 4

Gangs 1 - 2 - 1 1

Lack of discipline/ authority in school 3 3 4 3 4 2

Need more security/ police in schools 3 1 7 2 1 5

Parents/Lack of discipline/supervision 44 48 35 48 43 44

Parental involvement with teachers/schools - - 1 - 1 -

Lack of respect/ morals/values 4 5 5 2 5 4

Society/General 4 3 5 7 3 5

Peer pressure - - - - - -

Racism/Lack of tolerance/ understanding 1 1 1 1 1 1

Lack of prayer in schools 1 1 - 1 1 1

Overcrowding 1 - 1 1 1 -

School curiculum/ Programs/Standards 1 - 1 1 1 1

Lack of discipline/ General 6 5 7 6 5 7

Children need/want more individual attention 1 1 1 1 - 1

Lack of after school programs/activities - 1 - - - -

The individual students 1 1 1 1 - 1

Other 8 8 9 5 9 7

DK/NA 5 5 5 4 6 3