September 27, 1998 - Pataki Holds 2-1 Lead Over Vallone, Quinnipiac College Poll Finds; Attorney General's Race Is Close
Republican incumbent Gov. George Pataki holds a 50 - 25 percent lead over Democratic challenger Peter Vallone, among New York State registered voters, with 7 percent for Independence Party candidate Thomas Golisano and 6 percent for Liberal Party candidate Betsy McCaughey Ross, according to a Quinnipiac College Poll released today.

Pataki gets 53 percent of likely voters, to 26 percent for Vallone, 9 percent for Golisano and 4 percent for Lt. Governor Ross.

Vallone, the New York City Council Speaker, beats Pataki 46 - 33 percent among registered voters in the City, with 6 percent for Ross and 3 percent for Golisano. Upstate, Pataki beats Vallone 55 - 12 percent, with 6 percent for Ross and 13 percent for Golisano. Suburban voters back Pataki 62 - 20 percent over Vallone, with 5 percent for Ross and 1 percent for Golisano.

Pataki's approval rating is 62 - 26 percent among registered voters, similar to his 64 - 29 percent approval in a June 17 poll by the independent Quinnipiac College.

"Gov. Pataki is popular and most New Yorkers say he's doing a good job. Speaker Vallone is popular, too, among those who know him. But most people don't know him," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac College Polling Institute.

"Unless Vallone can build on his New York City base -- and build big -- the race for governor is shaping up as a blowout."

"Many observers suggested that Lt. Governor Ross wouldn't run an active campaign as a Liberal. The new Quinnipiac College Poll numbers suggest that maybe she shouldn't bother. She's the only candidate measured who get negative favorability ratings," Carroll said.

"And Golisano barely registers on the recognition meter."

By a 51 - 19 percent margin, New York voters have a favorable opinion of Pataki, with 23 percent mixed and 7 percent who say they haven't heard enough to form an opinion.

Among his challengers, ratings are:
                        Favorable  Unfavorable  Mixed  No opinion	
Ross                    13         28           19     39
Vallone                 21          8           13     57
Golisano                10          7           10     72


In the race for Attorney General, Republican incumbent Dennis Vacco holds a narrow 40 - 35 percent lead over Democratic challenger Eliot Spitzer among registered voters, with 23 percent undecided. Vacco wins among likely voters 46 - 37 percent.

Democratic incumbent State Comptroller H. Carl McCall holds a 47 - 20 percent lead over Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman among registered voters. Among likely voters, McCall wins 54 - 22 percent.

"While Comptroller McCall's lead in his race for reelection tops the 2 - 1 mark, the race for Attorney General is wide open. Vacco's lead over Spitzer is much less than the number of people who tell Quinnipiac College pollsters they haven't made up their minds," Carroll said.

From September 16 -22, Quinnipiac College surveyed 1,170 New York State registered voters, including 574 likely voters. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent for registered voters and 4.1 percent for likely voters. The Quinnipiac College Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut as a public service and for research. For additional data: www.quinnipiac.edu

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George Pataki is handling his job as Governor of New York?

                                                                          Jun 17
                    Tot     Ups     NYC     Sub     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998


Approve 62% 67% 47% 75% 86% 47% 58% 64%

Disapprove 26 21 40 19 10 40 25 29

DK/NA 11 12 13 7 4 13 18 7



3. How much attention have you been paying to this year's campaigns for Governor and United States Senator? A lot, some, only a little, or none at all?

                                                                          Jun 17
                    Tot     Ups     NYC     Sub     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998


A lot 22% 19% 25% 22% 24% 24% 17% 29%

Some 43 42 42 48 44 41 46 35

Only a little 26 29 25 24 26 25 29 13

None at all 8 10 7 7 6 9 9 16

DK/NA - - 1 - - 1 - 7



4. Is your opinion of Betsy McCaughey Ross favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about her?

                                                                          Jun 17
                    Tot     Ups     NYC     Sub     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998


Favorable 13% 14% 14% 11% 10% 16% 14% 14%

Unfavorable 28 23 28 39 41 23 28 25

Mixed 19 17 20 21 11 21 23 18

Hvn't hrd enough 39 46 38 30 38 40 35 43

Refused 1 1 1 - - - 1 1



5. Is your opinion of George Pataki favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                          Jun 17
                    Tot     Ups     NYC     Sub     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998


Favorable 51% 55% 35% 65% 79% 33% 46% 51%

Unfavorable 19 13 31 14 6 31 16 19

Mixed 23 25 24 18 11 27 30 24

Hvn't hrd enough 7 7 10 3 4 8 7 5

Refused 1 - 1 - - - 1 -



6. Is your opinion of Peter Vallone favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?

                                                                          Jun 17
                    Tot     Ups     NYC     Sub     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998


Favorable 21% 8% 38% 21% 11% 32% 19% 13%

Unfavorable 8 8 7 8 15 3 6 5

Mixed 13 7 17 19 10 13 17 14

Hve't hrd enough 57 76 37 52 63 51 58 66

Refused 1 1 2 - 1 1 1 1



7. Is your opinion of Thomas Golisano favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                                             
                          Tot     Ups     NYC     Sub     Rep     Dem     Ind 


Favorable 10% 18% 5% 5% 10% 6% 16%

Unfavorable 7 9 5 7 11 6 7

Mixed 10 14 7 7 12 9 8

Haven't heard enough 72 58 83 81 67 79 69

Refused 1 1 1 - - - 1



11. If the 1998 election for Governor were being held today would you vote for George Pataki, the Republican candidate, Peter Vallone, the Democratic candidate, Betsey McCaughey Ross, the Liberal party candidate, or Thomas Golisano, the Independence party candidate? (* Golisano was not included in June 17 question.)

                                                                          Jun 17
                    Tot     Ups     NYC     Sub     Rep     Dem     Ind     1998*


Vallone 25% 12% 46% 20% 4% 49% 19% 19%

Pataki 50 55 33 62 82 28 47 59

McCaughey Ross 6 6 6 5 3 6 7 12

Golisano 7 13 3 1 5 3 11 -

SONEONE ELSE (VOL) - - 1 - 1 - - 1

WON'T VOTE (VOL) 2 2 2 - 1 2 2 2

DK/NA 12 13 10 11 5 12 15 7



11. If the 1998 election for Governor were being held today would you vote for George Pataki, the Republican candidate, Peter Vallone, the Democratic candidate, Betsey McCaughey Ross, the Liberal party candidate, or Thomas Golisano, the Independence party candidate? (Likely Voters)

                          Likely   
                          Voters
 
Vallone                   26%


Pataki 53

McCaughey Ross 4

Golisano 9

SONEONE ELSE (VOL) -

DK/NA 8



13. If the 1998 election for State Attorney General were being held today, would you vote for Dennis Vacco, the Republican candidate or Eliot Spitzer, the Democratic candidate?
                                                                              
                          Tot     Ups     NYC     Sub     Rep     Dem     Ind 


Vacco 40% 50% 23% 43% 74% 14% 40%

Eliot Spitzer 35 23 54 29 8 63 27

SOMEONE ELSE (VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 - 1

WON'T VOTE (VOL) 2 2 2 1 1 1 2

DK/NA 23 24 20 26 16 21 30



13. If the 1998 election for State Attorney General were being held today, would you vote for Eliot Spitzer, the Democratic candidate or Dennis Vacco, the Republican candidate? (Likely Voters)

                          Likely
                          Voters


Vacco 46%

Spitzer 37

DK/NA 17



14. If the 1998 election for State Controller were being held today, would you vote for H. Carl McCall, the Democratic candidate or Bruce Blakeman, the Republican candidate?
                                                                                
                          Tot     Ups     NYC     Sub     Rep     Dem     Ind   


McCall 47% 40% 61% 41% 23% 71% 45%

Blakeman 20 24 12 25 50 6 14

SOMEONE ELSE (VOL) - 1 1 - - - 1

WON'T VOTE (VOL) 2 2 2 2 1 3 3

DK/NA 30 32 25 32 25 21 38



14. If the 1998 election for State Controller were being held today would you vote forBruce Blakeman, the Republican candidate or H. Carl McCall, the Democratic candidate? (Likely Voters)

                          Likely
                          Voters


McCall 54%

Blakeman 22

DK/NA 24