February 6, 2009 - Obama's Stimulus Package Won't Help Me, Ohio Voters Tell Quinnipiac University Poll; Strong Support And Hope For New President

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Ohio voters give President Barack Obama a 67 - 16 percent approval rating and support his Economic Stimulus Package 57 - 32 percent, but voters say 51 - 42 percent that the stimulus plan won't help them personally, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Democrats hope the stimulus plan helps them 59 - 33 percent. The stimulus plan won't help them, Republicans say 71 - 24 percent and independent voters say 57 - 36 percent. Men and women are about equally pessimistic.

Voters 18 to 34 years old have a bright outlook, 60 - 33 percent, but pessimism sets in with age, with a 53 - 41 percent negative among voters 35 to 54 and a 58 - 33 percent negative among voters over 55 years old.

Voters making less than $50, 000 per year split 46 - 44 percent while voters in higher income brackets go negative, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-e-ack) University poll finds.

"The honeymoon between President Obama and Ohio voters is still going. Even though he's been in office only two weeks, President Obama's numbers are stratospheric. He even has a 52 - 29 percent approval rating among white evangelical Christians, a solid part of the Republican coalition," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"When a politician's approval rating among independent voters is 72 - 12 percent, he's riding the wave. When and if it crests only time will tell."

Ohioans think Obama is doing a better job handling the economy, 58 - 21 percent, than popular Gov. Ted Strickland, 44 - 37 percent.

"Given his short period on the job, this obviously reflects the general public infatuation with the new President as much as public approval of any specific part of his proposals," said Brown.

Even Republicans, by a 39 - 23 percent margin, expect by the end of Obama's term that the economy will be better.

"The President has the advantage of having to meet a relatively low bar, given the historic nature of the economic downturn, hence the belief even among his political opponents that things will improve on his watch," said Brown. "The key question for Obama is how well he will wear on the people of Ohio if the economy isn't much better at the end of his four years."

Although Ohioans support Obama's stimulus package by almost two-to-one, they are not nearly as confident that it will pull the nation out of its economic downward spiral. Only 7 percent say they are "very confident" it will help solve the nation's economy problems and 45 percent say they are "somewhat confident," while 46 percent say they are "not too confident" or "not confident at all" that it would do so.

The Economic Stimulus Package will take more than a year to work, 71 percent of Ohio voters say, while 22 percent say it will never work. Only 5 percent think it will work in less than a year.

"In a political sense, the fact that a small plurality of independent voters - 49 percent - say they are not too confident or not at all confident the stimulus plan will work is a potential warning sign for the President, since his job approval among that group is so high," said Brown.

From January 29 - February 2, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,127 Ohio voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Florida, Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research.

26. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Approve              67%    31%    90%    72%    64%    69%    52%
Disapprove           16     42      1     12     16     16     29
DK/NA                17     26      8     16     20     14     18
 
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt
 
Approve              69%    65%    71%    70%    69%    65%
Disapprove           14     16     15     14     16     22
DK/NA                17     20     14     15     15     14
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  NoColl College
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Degree Degree
 
Approve              79%    65%    64%    71%    68%    58%    66%    71%
Disapprove            8     18     19     13     19     20     16     17
DK/NA                13     17     18     16     13     22     18     13
 
 
30. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Approve              58%    25%    83%    60%    58%    59%    44%
Disapprove           21     51      2     18     20     22     36
DK/NA                21     24     15     21     22     19     20
 
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt
 
Approve              67%    55%    60%    58%    58%    58%
Disapprove           17     20     19     26     22     29
DK/NA                16     26     21     16     20     13
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  NoColl College
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Degree Degree
 
Approve              64%    58%    56%    65%    55%    46%    59%    57%
Disapprove           16     23     23     16     24     31     20     24
DK/NA                20     19     21     19     21     22     21     19
 
 
31. Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as - excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Excellent             -      -      1%     -      1%     -      -
Good                  2      3      2      2      2      2      3
Not so good          29     38     28     23     34     25     31
Poor                 68     59     69     74     63     72     65
DK/NA                 -      -      1      -      -      -      -
 
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt
 
Excellent             1%     -      -      -      2%     -
Good                  2      2      -      4      2      4
Not so good          27     32     35     28     25     25
Poor                 70     65     65     68     71     70
DK/NA                 -      1      -      -      -      -
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  NoColl College
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Degree Degree
 
Excellent             -      -      -      1%     -      -      -      -
Good                  2      2      3      3      3      2      3      2
Not so good          41     28     24     31     28     26     29     29
Poor                 57     69     72     66     69     72     67     68
DK/NA                 -      -      1      -      -      -      -      1
 
TREND: Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as - excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                     Feb 6   Dec 11  Feb 25
                     2009    2008    2008
 
Excellent             -       -       1%
Good                  2       4      13
Not so good          29      27      36
Poor                 68      68      50
DK/NA                 -       -       1
 
32. Would you describe the state of Ohio's economy these days as - excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Excellent             -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Good                  5      7      4      4      7      3      6
Not so good          33     39     32     29     33     33     41
Poor                 61     54     63     67     60     63     53
DK/NA                 1      -      1      1      -      1      -
 
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt
 
Excellent             -      -      -      -      -      -
Good                  6      4      -     13      5      4
Not so good          35     32     44     37     31     29
Poor                 58     63     56     49     63     66
DK/NA                 1      1      -      1      -      1
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  NoColl College
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Degree Degree
 
Excellent             -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Good                  8      4      3      6      5      -      6      2
Not so good          34     31     35     36     29     33     33     35
Poor                 56     64     61     57     65     67     61     63
DK/NA                 1      1      -      1      1      -      1      -
 
TREND: Would you describe the state of Ohio's economy these days as - excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                     Feb 6   Dec 11  Aug 14  Jun 4   Jul 11  Mar 21
                     2009    2008    2008    2008    2007    2007
 
Excellent             -       -       -       -       2       1
Good                  5       5      14      18      30      31
Not so good          33      36      49      42      44      46
Poor                 61      58      36      39      22      21
DK/NA                 1       1       -       1       2       2
 
 
33. Would you describe the state of your own personal finances these days as - excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Excellent             5%     7%     3%     4%     6%     4%     5%
Good                 38     42     37     36     40     36     40
Not so good          34     38     34     33     32     36     32
Poor                 21     12     24     25     20     22     22
DK/NA                 2      1      2      2      2      2      1
 
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt
 
Excellent             4%     6%     3%     4%     3%     6%
Good                 42     37     37     51     33     37
Not so good          32     37     43     23     31     34
Poor                 20     19     12     18     32     23
DK/NA                 2      2      4      4      -      1
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  NoColl College
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Degree Degree
 
Excellent             5%     4%     5%     2%     8%    12%     3%     9%
Good                 37     42     37     27     52     63     32     58
Not so good          30     32     38     39     32     20     37     27
Poor                 27     22     17     31      8      4     26      6
DK/NA                 -      1      3      1      1      1      2      1
 
TREND: Would you describe the state of your own personal finances these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
                     Feb 6   Dec 11  Feb 25
                     2009    2008    2008
 
Excellent             5       5       6
Good                 38      46      50
Not so good          34      32      30
Poor                 21      15      14
DK/NA                 2       2       1
 
 
34. Would you say that you are better off or worse off financially than you were a year ago?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Better off           24%    26%    25%    23%    26%    23%    29%
Worse off            53     51     53     56     54     52     50
SAME(VOL)            22     23     21     21     19     24     19
DK/NA                 1      -      1      -      1      1      1
 
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt
 
Better off           29%    22%    27%    41%    22%    21%
Worse off            55     54     46     35     61     53
SAME(VOL)            15     23     28     24     17     26
DK/NA                 1      2      -      -      -      1
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  NoColl College
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Degree Degree
 
Better off           35%    27%    17%    22%    31%    30%    23%    30%
Worse off            52     52     54     57     47     48     55     49
SAME(VOL)            13     19     27     20     22     21     22     21
DK/NA                 -      2      1      1      1      1      1      1
 
TREND: Would you say that you are better off or worse off financially than you were a year ago?
                     Feb 6   Dec 11
                     2009    2008
 
Better off           24      24
Worse off            53      55
SAME(VOL)            22      21
DK/NA                 1       1
 
 
35. During the next 12 months, do you think your own personal finances will get better, get worse, or stay about the same?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Get better           31%    27%    38%    24%    30%    31%    25%
Get worse            16     18     13     20     15     17     16
Stay the same        49     49     45     53     49     49     55
DK/NA                 4      5      4      4      5      3      4
 
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt
 
Get better           27%    30%    35%    28%    31%    35%
Get worse            15     15     11     24     20     16
Stay the same        54     50     50     47     46     44
DK/NA                 3      5      4      1      2      5
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  NoColl College
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Degree Degree
 
Get better           54%    33%    17%    35%    29%    22%    32%    26%
Get worse             6     21     18     13     20     20     16     16
Stay the same        38     43     61     47     49     56     47     54
DK/NA                 2      4      4      4      2      2      4      3
 
TREND: During the next 12 months, do you think your own personal finances will get better, get worse, or stay about the same? (*personal financial situation)
                     Feb 6   Dec 11  Feb 25
                     2009    2008    2008*
 
Get better           31      26      29
Get worse            16      17      12
Stay the same        49      52      57
DK/NA                 4       4       2
 
 
36. By the end of Barack Obama's term in office, do you expect the economy to be better than it is today, worse than it is today, or about the same?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Better               66%    39%    85%    68%    64%    67%    52%
Worse                11     23      2     10     10     11     19
Same                 19     31     11     17     21     17     24
DK/NA                 5      7      3      5      6      5      6
 
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt
 
Better               76%    64%    63%    54%    66%    62%
Worse                 8     11     12     10      8     13
Same                 12     19     18     32     21     20
DK/NA                 4      6      8      4      5      4
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  NoColl College
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Degree Degree
 
Better               74%    65%    63%    67%    68%    63%    63%    72%
Worse                 4     15     11      9     14     10     11      9
Same                 22     16     19     20     15     23     20     15
DK/NA                 -      4      7      5      3      4      6      4
 
 
37. Congress is debating President Obama's economic stimulus package which includes tax cuts and new federal spending of about 800 billion dollars. Do you support or oppose this economic stimulus package?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Support              57%    25%    82%    55%    59%    56%    41%
Oppose               32     64     10     32     33     32     48
DK/NA                10     10      8     13      8     12     11
 
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt
 
Support              63%    58%    54%    46%    58%    56%
Oppose               30     31     33     41     31     36
DK/NA                 7     11     13     13     11      8
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  NoColl College
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Degree Degree
 
Support              70%    56%    52%    63%    57%    42%    58%    54%
Oppose               23     34     36     26     36     50     31     37
DK/NA                 7     10     12     11      8      8     11      9
 
 
38. How confident are you that this economic stimulus package will help solve the nation's economic problems - very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not confident at all?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Very confident        7%     1%    14%     4%     7%     7%     6%
Smwht confident      45     21     65     42     43     47     31
Not too confident    23     35     14     24     24     22     30
Not confident at all 22     43      5     25     24     21     33
DK/NA                 3      -      2      5      2      3      -
 
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt
 
Very confident        7%     4%     4%    12%    11%    11%
Smwht confident      51     47     43     39     40     43
Not too confident    20     23     29     25     23     19
Not confident at all 21     22     19     24     22     27
DK/NA                 -      3      6      1      4      1
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  NoColl College
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Degree Degree
 
Very confident       10%     6%     7%     9%     5%     2%     8%     4%
Smwht confident      50     47     42     47     47     40     45     47
Not too confident    20     20     26     23     23     25     23     22
Not confident at all 19     24     23     18     24     31     22     25
DK/NA                 1      3      2      2      2      2      3      2
 
 
39. How long do you think it will take for the program to work - less than a year, more than a year, or will it never work?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Less than a year      5%     3%     8%     5%     7%     3%     4%
More than a year     71     49     88     68     67     75     61
Never                22     44      4     25     25     19     31
DK/NA                 2      4      1      3      2      3      4
 
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt
 
Less than a year      4%     4%     6%     4%     9%     5%
More than a year     73     70     73     60     70     73
Never                19     23     19     31     21     21
DK/NA                 3      2      2      5      1      2
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  NoColl College
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Degree Degree
 
Less than a year      8%     4%     5%     6%     4%     2%     6%     3%
More than a year     74     69     71     75     71     59     71     71
Never                18     24     21     17     23     35     21     24
DK/NA                 -      3      2      2      2      3      2      2
 
 
40. Do you think the economic stimulus package will help your personal financial situation?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
 
Yes                  42%    24%    59%    36%    42%    41%    29%
No                   51     71     33     57     51     50     64
DK/NA                 8      6      8      8      7      9      6
 
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt
 
Yes                  43%    41%    40%    41%    43%    40%
No                   50     50     50     47     53     54
DK/NA                 7      9     10     12      4      6
 
                     AGE IN YRS.......    INCOME.............  NoColl College
                     18-34  35-54  55+    <50    50-100 >100K  Degree Degree
 
Yes                  60%    41%    33%    46%    38%    30%    43%    36%
No                   33     53     58     44     59     65     48     59
DK/NA                 7      7      9     10      3      5      8      5