March 31, 2010 - Democrats On Top In Ohio Senate, Governor Races, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Obama Bounces Back From Big Negative To A Split

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Democrats are having a mini-surge in Ohio as two possible candidates for the open U.S. Senate seat have come from behind to pass the Republican contender, and Gov. Ted Strickland remains ahead of Republican challenger John Kasich, 43 - 38 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

And President Barack Obama's job approval is up from a negative 44 - 52 percent February 23 to an almost even 47 - 48 percent today, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe- ack) University poll finds.

In the Senate race, Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher leads Republican Rob Portman 41 - 37 percent, reversing a 40 - 37 percent Portman lead February 24. Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner edges Portman 38 - 37 percent, reversing a 40 - 35 percent Republican lead.

Although Ohioans remain opposed to President Obama's health care plan, the margin is down from a 55 - 36 percent disapproval in November to a 50 - 43 percent thumbs down today. But voters say 38 - 25 percent they are more likely to vote against their congressman if he or she voted for the Obama plan.

"Perhaps it's the passage of the health care overhaul and the fact that people like being with a winner: There has been a small, but consistent movement toward Democratic candidates and causes in Ohio in the last month," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "Whether this is the beginning of a long-term move or not won't be clear for some time, perhaps until November."

Strickland's reelection lead matches his 44 - 39 percent lead February 23. The Governor's 49 - 40 percent job approval and his 46 - 35 percent favorability rating both are statistically the same as his scores in February. There is no gender gap in the Governor's race with 44 percent of men and 42 percent of women backing Strickland.

"The good news for the Governor is that he remains ahead. The bad news is there is a long way to go until November and on virtually all measures he receives below 50 percent support and with no movement - typically worrisome signs for an incumbent," said Brown.

President Obama's jump in approval is driven at least partly by a shift among independent voters, who move from a negative 38 - 57 percent in February to a negative 40 - 54 percent today, from minus 19 points to minus 14 points. He gets exceptionally strong 84 percent support among Democrats. Women give him a thumbs up 51 - 45 percent while men disapprove 53 - 43 percent.

Obama is a better President than George W. Bush, voters say 45 - 32 percent. Even independents, who have been a particular political problem for Obama in recent months, say he has been better than Bush 35 - 31 percent.

"So much for absence makes the heart grow fonder, or the grass is always greener," said Brown, "although Ohio voters say 46 - 44 percent they don't want the state's next U.S. Senator to generally support Obama's policies."

Fisher has a narrow 33 - 26 percent lead in the May 4 primary, Quinnipiac University reported Tuesday in a survey of likely Democratic primary voters, a separate group from those polled for today's survey.

"Undecided voters, 17 percent in the Governor's race and 21 to 23 percent in the two possible Senate matchups, will decide both those races in November," said Brown.

Sen. George Voinovich, who is not seeking re-election, has a 46 - 36 percent approval rating while Sen. Sherrod Brown gets a 45 - 30 percent score.

From March 23 - 29, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,526 registered Ohio voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Florida, Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

2. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Ted Strickland the Democrat and John Kasich the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Strickland           43%     9%    80%    34%    44%    42%    30%
Kasich               38     75      9     38     41     35     54
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      -      -      1      1      1      -
DK/NA                17     15     10     26     14     21     15
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
Strickland           36%    46%    44%    55%    40%    42%    58%
Kasich               48     33     33     39     39     41     27
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      2      -      2      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      1      3      -      -      1      1
DK/NA                14     20     20      4     21     15     14
 
TREND: If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Ted Strickland the Democrat and John Kasich the Republican, for whom would you vote? (Data available upon request back to Feb 2009)
                     Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 11  Sep 15  Jul 3   May 6   Mar 17
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009    2009
Strickland           43      44      40      46      43      51      51
Kasich               38      39      40      36      38      32      31
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       1       1       2       2       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1       2       1       1       1       1       2
DK/NA                17      15      18      15      16      16      15
 
 
3. If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Lee Fisher the Democrat and Rob Portman the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Fisher               41%     7%    79%    31%    39%    42%    26%
Portman              37     76      6     41     42     33     52
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      1      1      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      1      1      -      -      1      1
DK/NA                21     17     14     27     18     23     20
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
Fisher               40%    43%    37%    43%    35%    42%    51%
Portman              39     34     25     43     49     37     31
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      -      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      -      6      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                20     22     32     13     16     20     17
 
TREND: If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Lee Fisher the Democrat and Rob Portman the Republican, for whom would you vote? (Data available upon request back to Feb 2009)
                     Mar 31  Feb 24  Nov 12  Sep 16  Jul 7   May 6   Mar 18
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009    2009
Fisher               41      37      36      42      37      42      41
Portman              37      40      39      31      33      31      33
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       -       -       1       2       1       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1       2       1       1       2       -       2
DK/NA                21      21      24      26      26      26      24
 
 
4. If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Jennifer Brunner the Democrat and Rob Portman the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Brunner              38%     2%    77%    31%    38%    38%    27%
Portman              37     78      5     38     39     35     53
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      1      1      -      -      1      1
DK/NA                23     18     17     29     21     24     19
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
Brunner              36%    41%    36%    43%    31%    40%    49%
Portman              37     33     25     40     52     38     30
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      1      -      -      1      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      1      5      -      1      -      -
DK/NA                24     23     35     17     16     21     20
 
TREND: If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Jennifer Brunner the Democrat and Rob Portman the Republican, for whom would you vote? (Data available upon request back to Feb 2009)
                     Mar 31  Feb 24  Nov 12  Sep 16  Jul 7   May 6   Mar 18
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009    2009
Brunner              38      35      34      39      35      40      39
Portman              37      40      38      34      34      32      34
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1       -       -       1       1       -       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1       2       1       1       1       -       2
DK/NA                23      23      27      25      29      27      25
 
 
5. Is your opinion of - Ted Strickland favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Favorable            46%    24%    72%    41%    46%    46%    34%
Unfavorable          35     57     12     39     36     33     47
Hvn't hrd enough     16     16     14     18     16     17     14
REFUSED               3      3      2      2      2      3      4
 
TREND: Is your opinion of - Ted Strickland favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 11  Sep 15  Jul 3   Feb 5   Nov 11
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009    2009
Favorable            46      45      38      43      42      60      38
Unfavorable          35      36      37      34      37      19      37
Hvn't hrd enough     16      16      23      20      18      17      23
REFUSED               3       2       2       3       3       3       2
 
 
6. Is your opinion of - John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Favorable            24%    43%    10%    25%    29%    21%    33%
Unfavorable          10      4     17      9     15      7      7
Hvn't hrd enough     64     52     71     66     55     71     59
REFUSED               1      1      2      1      2      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of - John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? (*High also 26% Jul 2009)
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 11  Sep 15  Jul 3   Feb 23  Dec 10
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2010*   2008
Favorable            24      26      23      22      26      26      18
Unfavorable          10      10       7      10       7      10       8
Hvn't hrd enough     64      62      69      68      66      62      73
REFUSED               1       1       1       -       1       1       1
 
 
7. Is your opinion of - Lee Fisher favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Favorable            27%    11%    41%    25%    28%    26%    18%
Unfavorable          13     21      6     12     16     10     15
Hvn't hrd enough     60     67     51     62     56     63     66
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      1      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of - Lee Fisher favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Mar 31  Feb 24  Nov 12  Sep 16  Jul 7   May 6   Dec 10
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009    2008
Favorable            27      26      25      33      29      37      23
Unfavorable          13      12      15      13      17      13      10
Hvn't hrd enough     60      61      58      54      53      48      66
REFUSED               1       1       2       1       1       1       1
 
 
8. Is your opinion of - Jennifer Brunner favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Favorable            21%     5%    38%    20%    23%    20%    16%
Unfavorable          12     25      3     12     15     10     15
Hvn't hrd enough     65     69     59     67     61     69     68
REFUSED               1      2      1      1      2      1      1
 
TREND: Is your opinion of - Jennifer Brunner favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Mar 31  Feb 24  Nov 12  Sep 16  Jul 7   Feb 4   Nov 12
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009    2009
Favorable            21      21      20      27      27      34      20
Unfavorable          12      12      18      14      16      10      18
Hvn't hrd enough     65      66      61      58      56      55      61
REFUSED               1       1       1       1       1       1       1
 
 
9. Is your opinion of - Rob Portman favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Favorable            25%    40%    10%    28%    30%    20%    30%
Unfavorable           8      2     19      4     11      6      4
Hvn't hrd enough     66     57     71     67     57     73     66
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      1      1      -
 
TREND: Is your opinion of - Rob Portman favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? (*High also 25% Feb 2010 & Mar 2009)
                                                             FAVORABLE.....
                                                             High    Low
                     Mar 31  Feb 24  Nov 12  Sep 16  Jul 7   Mar 31  Dec 10
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2010*   2008
Favorable            25      25      22      20      21      25      12
Unfavorable           8       7       7       7       6       8       7
Hvn't hrd enough     66      66      70      72      72      66      80
REFUSED               1       1       1       1       1       1       1
 
 
10. Is your opinion of - the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Favorable            37%    76%    14%    32%    38%    36%    50%
Unfavorable          45     10     71     46     47     44     36
Hvn't hrd enough     14      9     13     16     11     15      9
REFUSED               5      5      2      6      4      5      4
 
TREND: Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     Mar 31  Feb 24
                     2010    2010
Favorable            37      37
Unfavorable          45      46
Hvn't hrd enough     14      13
REFUSED               5       3
 
 
11. Is your opinion of - the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Favorable            41%     7%    81%    31%    38%    44%    28%
Unfavorable          45     83      9     53     50     41     63
Hvn't hrd enough      9      8      7     11      8     11      7
REFUSED               4      3      2      5      4      4      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     Mar 31  Feb 24
                     2010    2010
Favorable            41      38
Unfavorable          45      50
Hvn't hrd enough      9      10
REFUSED               4       3
 
 
12. Is your opinion of - the Tea Party movement favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Favorable            35%    57%    14%    39%    39%    32%    51%
Unfavorable          29     11     49     25     34     25     19
Hvn't hrd enough     35     30     36     35     27     42     29
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      1      1      2
 
TREND: Is your opinion of the Tea Party movement favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     Mar 31  Feb 24
                     2010    2010
Favorable            35      32
Unfavorable          29      23
Hvn't hrd enough     35      43
REFUSED               1       2
 
 
13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ted Strickland is handling his job as Governor?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Approve              49%    26%    71%    46%    46%    50%    39%
Disapprove           40     64     19     42     45     36     51
DK/NA                11     10     10     12      9     13     10
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
Approve              43%    51%    52%    55%    48%    45%    59%
Disapprove           46     38     35     37     42     41     34
DK/NA                12     11     14      8     10     14      7
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ted Strickland is handling his job as Governor? (*Low app also 45% Feb 2007)
                                                     APPROVE.......  DIS...
                                                     High    Low     High
                     Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 11  Sep 15  Feb 5   Nov 11  Nov 11
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009*   2009
Approve              49      48      45      48      63      45      45
Disapprove           40      40      43      42      25      43      43
DK/NA                11      12      12      10      12      12      12
 
 
14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sherrod Brown is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Approve              45%    20%    67%    42%    45%    44%    32%
Disapprove           30     50     12     32     38     24     40
DK/NA                25     29     21     26     17     32     28
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
Approve              44%    47%    44%    43%    38%    46%    55%
Disapprove           30     29     30     33     36     28     27
DK/NA                27     24     27     24     25     26     18
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sherrod Brown is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                     APPROVE.......  DIS....
                                                     High    Low     High
                     Mar 31  Feb 24  Nov 11  Sep 15  May 6   Jul 7   Sep 15
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009    2009
Approve              45      43      46      48      52      41      48
Disapprove           30      30      31      33      24      29      33
DK/NA                25      26      23      20      24      30      20
 
 
15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George Voinovich is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Approve              46%    45%    45%    48%    43%    48%    44%
Disapprove           36     38     38     34     42     31     38
DK/NA                18     18     18     18     14     22     18
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
Approve              48%    46%    40%    54%    38%    50%    47%
Disapprove           36     38     39     32     39     26     42
DK/NA                16     16     21     14     22     24     12
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George Voinovich is handling his job as United States Senator? (*High also 55% Feb 2009 / **Disapprove high also 36% Nov 2009)
                                                     APPROVE.......  DIS....
                                                     High    Low     High
                     Mar 31  Feb 24  Nov 11  Sep 15  May 6   Dec 13  Mar 31
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009*   2006    2010**
Approve              46      51      47      52      55      41      46
Disapprove           36      32      36      34      30      33      36
DK/NA                18      17      17      14      15      26      18
 
 
16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Approve              34%    26%    42%    33%    34%    34%    31%
Disapprove           46     59     35     48     53     41     50
DK/NA                20     16     23     19     14     25     20
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
Approve              35%    32%    32%    32%    32%    43%    45%
Disapprove           48     45     45     45     50     46     41
DK/NA                18     23     23     23     18     11     14
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 11  Sep 15  Jul 3   Dec 10  Dec 12
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2008    2006
Approve              34      31      33      33      31      46      25
Disapprove           46      51      47      48      49      35      55
DK/NA                20      19      20      19      20      19      20
 
 
17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Lee Fisher is handling his job as Ohio's Lieutenant Governor?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Approve              43%    26%    59%    41%    43%    42%    37%
Disapprove           23     37     11     23     28     18     28
DK/NA                35     37     30     36     29     40     35
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
Approve              42%    45%    40%    42%    36%    46%    52%
Disapprove           26     20     22     21     23     26     21
DK/NA                32     35     38     37     41     29     27
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Lee Fisher is handling his job as Ohio's Lieutenant Governor?
                     Mar 31  Feb 24  Nov 12  Sep 16  Jul 7   May 6
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009
Approve              43      39      39      44      39      49
Disapprove           23      22      23      21      24      17
DK/NA                35      39      37      35      38      33
 
 
18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jennifer Brunner is handling her job as Ohio's Secretary of State?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Approve              42%    21%    63%    39%    45%    39%    38%
Disapprove           23     40      8     25     27     20     30
DK/NA                34     39     29     36     28     40     32
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
Approve              40%    45%    39%    40%    36%    48%    55%
Disapprove           30     20     17     22     25     27     19
DK/NA                30     35     44     38     39     25     25
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jennifer Brunner is handling her job as Ohio's Secretary of State?
                                                             APPROVE......
                                                             High    Low
                     Mar 31  Feb 24  Nov 12  Sep 16  Jul 7   May 6   Feb 24
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009    2010
Approve              42      36      38      41      38      45      36
Disapprove           23      25      25      23      25      20      25
DK/NA                34      39      37      36      37      34      39
 
 
19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Approve              47%    10%    84%    40%    43%    51%    28%
Disapprove           48     87     12     54     53     45     67
DK/NA                 5      3      4      6      5      5      5
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 12  Sep 16  Jul 7   Feb 6   Feb 23
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009    2010
Approve              47      44      45      53      49      67      44
Disapprove           48      52      50      42      44      16      52
DK/NA                 5       5       5       5       8      17       5
 
 
20. Do you think Barack Obama has been a better President than George W. Bush, worse, or about the same as President Bush?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Better               45%    11%    84%    35%    44%    45%    28%
Worse                32     70      5     31     34     31     52
About the same       20     16     10     30     20     20     17
DK/NA                 3      4      1      3      2      4      4
 
 
21. Would you like to see the next United States Senator elected from Ohio generally support Barack Obama's policies or oppose Barack Obama's policies?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Support              44%     7%    84%    36%    42%    46%    28%
Oppose               46     85     10     52     50     42     63
DK/NA                10      8      6     12      8     12      9
 
 
22. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Ohio today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Very satisfied        3%     2%     5%     3%     3%     3%     2%
Smwht satisfied      35     25     48     31     33     36     30
Smwht dissatisfied   35     38     32     35     35     35     36
Very dissatisfied    26     35     14     29     28     24     31
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      -      2      1
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
Very satisfied        5%     2%     4%     4%     2%     5%     4%
Smwht satisfied      35     34     42     27     43     24     42
Smwht dissatisfied   36     34     30     45     35     37     30
Very dissatisfied    23     29     22     23     20     32     24
DK/NA                 2      1      3      1      -      2      -
 
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Ohio today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? (*Low also 32% Mar 2009)
                                                             VERY+SMWHT SAT
                                                             High    Low
                     Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 11  Sep 15  Jul 7   Mar 21  Feb 23
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2007    2010*
Very satisfied        3       2       3       2       2       5       2
Smwht satisfied      35      30      32      37      31      49      30
Smwht dissatisfied   35      36      37      35      36      28      36
Very dissatisfied    26      32      27      25      30      16      32
DK/NA                 1       1       1       1       1       1       1
 
 
23. Do you think that Ted Strickland has kept his campaign promises so far or not?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Yes                  36%    22%    51%    32%    37%    34%    31%
No                   41     55     29     41     42     40     46
DK/NA                24     23     20     26     21     26     23
 
TREND: Do you think that Ted Strickland has kept his campaign promises so far or not?
                                                             YES..........
                                                             High    Low
                     Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 11  Sep 15  Jul 3   Aug 14  Nov 11
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2008    2009
Yes                  36      34      32      37      34      47      32
No                   41      45      43      40      40      31      43
DK/NA                24      21      25      23      25      22      25
 
 
24. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ted Strickland is handling the economy?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Approve              35%    16%    58%    30%    36%    34%    27%
Disapprove           52     72     30     56     53     50     60
DK/NA                13     13     13     14     10     16     13
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ted Strickland is handling the economy? (*Low also 33% Sep 2009 & Jul 2009)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 11  Sep 15  Jul 3   Feb 5   Nov 11
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009    2009*
Approve              35      35      33      33      33      44      33
Disapprove           52      53      52      54      53      37      52
DK/NA                13      12      15      12      13      19      15
 
 
25. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Approve              40%     7%    76%    33%    39%    42%    24%
Disapprove           54     89     19     61     58     50     70
DK/NA                 6      4      5      6      3      8      6
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy?
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 12  Sep 16  Jul 7   Feb 6   Feb 23
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009    2010
Approve              40      39      42      48      46      58      39
Disapprove           54      57      53      46      48      21      57
DK/NA                 6       4       5       6       6      21       4
 
 
26. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ted Strickland is handling the state budget?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Approve              37%    19%    55%    35%    41%    34%    27%
Disapprove           47     66     30     49     46     47     55
DK/NA                16     16     16     15     14     18     18
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ted Strickland is handling the state budget? (*Low also 32% Jul 2009)
                                                             APPROVE.......
                                                             High    Low
                     Mar 31  Feb 23  Sep 15  Jul 3   May 6   Feb 5   Feb 23
                     2010    2010    2009    2009    2009    2009    2010*
Approve              37      32      36      32      43      48      32
Disapprove           47      51      47      53      40      30      51
DK/NA                16      17      17      15      17      21      17
 
 
27. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job rebuilding Ohio's economy - Ted Strickland or John Kasich?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Strickland           38%    12%    67%    31%    41%    36%    25%
Kasich               38     67     14     39     42     34     51
NO DIFF(VOL)          2      1      2      3      2      2      1
DK/NA                22     20     16     27     15     28     23
 
TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job rebuilding Ohio's economy - Ted Strickland or John Kasich?
                     Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 12
                     2010    2010    2009
Strickland           38      35      33
Kasich               38      41      41
NO DIFF(VOL)          2       2       -
DK/NA                22      22      27
 
 
28. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job handling Ohio's state budget - Ted Strickland or John Kasich?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Strickland           38%    11%    68%    31%    38%    37%    27%
Kasich               39     69     14     42     44     35     51
NO DIFF(VOL)          2      2      2      2      2      2      -
DK/NA                21     18     16     25     16     26     21
 
TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job handling Ohio's state budget - Ted Strickland or John Kasich?
                     Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 12
                     2010    2010    2009
Strickland           38      36      34
Kasich               39      42      42
NO DIFF(VOL)          2       1       -
DK/NA                21      21      25
 
 
29. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you trust more to do in office what they say they will do during the campaign - Ted Strickland or John Kasich?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Strickland           40%    16%    70%    33%    41%    40%    30%
Kasich               35     62     12     35     39     31     44
NO DIFF(VOL)          5      3      3      8      5      5      5
DK/NA                20     18     15     24     16     24     22
 
TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you trust more to do in office what they say they will do during the campaign - Ted Strickland or John Kasich?
                     Mar 31  Feb 23
                     2010    2010
Strickland           40      35
Kasich               35      36
NO DIFF(VOL)          5       6
DK/NA                20      22
 
 
30. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you believe most shares your values - Ted Strickland or John Kasich?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Strickland           42%    14%    72%    37%    45%    40%    30%
Kasich               34     64      9     35     38     30     44
NO DIFF(VOL)          2      2      1      3      1      3      2
DK/NA                22     20     18     24     15     27     23
 
TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you believe most shares your values - Ted Strickland or John Kasich?
                     Mar 31  Feb 23
                     2010    2010
Strickland           42      40
Kasich               34      36
NO DIFF(VOL)          2       3
DK/NA                22      21
 
 
31. Currently, Democrats control the Ohio House and Republicans control the Ohio Senate. After the 2010 election would you prefer that the Democrats control both houses of the legislature, the Republicans control both houses of the legislature, or would you prefer that control is split as it is today?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Democrats            24%     -     51%    17%    23%    24%    14%
Republicans          23     60      1     17     24     23     40
Split                50     38     46     61     49     50     44
DK/NA                 4      2      2      5      5      3      3
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
Democrats            23%    26%    23%    21%    23%    19%    27%
Republicans          23     21     19     28     28     25     20
Split                51     49     52     48     45     52     50
DK/NA                 3      4      6      4      4      3      3
 
TREND: Currently, Democrats control the Ohio House and Republicans control the Ohio Senate. After the 2010 election would you prefer that the Democrats control both houses of the legislature, the Republicans control both houses of the legislature, or would you prefer that control is split as it is today?
                     Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 11
                     2010    2010    2009
Democrats            24      22      19
Republicans          23      21      22
Split                50      51      52
DK/NA                 4       7       6
 
 
37. Do you think the U.S. is doing the right thing by fighting the war in Afghanistan now, or should the U.S. not be involved in Afghanistan now?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Right thing          50%    65%    37%    52%    56%    45%    59%
Shld not be inv      43     29     57     40     40     46     34
DK/NA                 7      7      6      8      4      9      6
 
TREND: Do you think the U.S. is doing the right thing by fighting the war in Afghanistan now, or should the U.S. not be involved in Afghanistan now?
                     Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 12
                     2010    2010    2009
Right thing          50      55      48
Shouldn't be inv     43      39      43
DK/NA                 7       6       9
 
 
38. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - health care?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Approve              41%     6%    77%    34%    39%    43%    25%
Disapprove           51     88     15     59     54     49     68
DK/NA                 8      6      8      8      7      8      7
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling health care?
                     Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 12  Sep 16
                     2010    2010    2009    2009
Approve              41      34      36      44
Disapprove           51      58      57      45
DK/NA                 8       7       6      10
 
 
39. Do you support or oppose President Obama's health care reform plan?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Support              43%     8%    80%    34%    41%    44%    24%
Oppose               50     87     13     58     53     47     67
DK/NA                 8      5      7      8      6      9      8
 
TREND: Do you support or oppose President Obama's health care reform plan?
                     Mar 31  Nov 12  Sep 16
                     2010    2009    2009
Support              43      36      44
Oppose               50      55      44
DK/NA                 8       9      12
 
 
40. Who do you trust to do a better job handling health care - President Obama or Republicans in Congress?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Pres Obama           45%     5%    85%    38%    44%    46%    29%
Reps in Congress     39     80      7     40     41     37     55
DK/NA                16     14      8     22     15     17     16
 
                     VIEW ON HLTH PLAN Q39
                     Sup    Opp
Pres Obama           92%     5%
Reps in Congress      3     74
DK/NA                 5     21
 
TREND: Who do you trust to do a better job handling health care - President Obama or the Republicans in Congress?
                     Mar 31  Feb 23  Nov 12  Sep 16
                     2010    2010    2009    2009
President Obama      45      40      40      49
Reps in Congress     39      37      40      28
DK/NA                16      23      21      23
 
 
41. If your member of Congress voted - for - President Obama's health care reform plan, does that make you more likely to vote for him or her in November, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
More likely          25%     3%    52%    19%    27%    24%    15%
Less likely          38     73      8     41     41     35     53
No difference        35     23     38     40     31     39     30
DK/NA                 2      1      2      1      2      2      1
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
More likely          27%    28%    19%    20%    20%    26%    29%
Less likely          40     34     27     41     49     37     31
No difference        32     36     50     37     29     36     40
DK/NA                 1      2      3      1      2      1      1
 
                     VIEW ON HLTH PLAN Q39
                     Sup    Opp
More likely          55%     2%
Less likely           3     72
No difference        41     24
DK/NA                 1      1
 
 
42. If your member of Congress voted - against - President Obama's health care reform plan, does that make you more likely to vote for him or her in November, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
More likely          33%    61%    11%    34%    32%    33%    48%
Less likely          25     11     43     19     29     22     19
No difference        40     26     43     46     38     42     32
DK/NA                 2      1      3      1      1      3      1
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
More likely          33%    31%    31%    36%    37%    33%    26%
Less likely          25     25     26     19     29     24     30
No difference        41     42     41     41     33     40     43
DK/NA                 1      2      2      3      1      3      1
 
                     VIEW ON HLTH PLAN Q39
                     Sup    Opp
More likely           5%    60%
Less likely          46      9
No difference        47     29
DK/NA                 2      2
 
 
43. If you agreed with a candidate for Congress on other issues, but completely disagreed on the issue of health care reform, do you think you could still vote for that candidate or not?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Yes                  46%    29%    52%    52%    48%    44%    39%
No                   43     60     34     39     43     43     48
DK/NA                11     11     14      8      9     13     12
 
                                                               Union
                     Cntrl  NrthE  NrthW  SthE   SthW   WstCnt HsHld
Yes                  47%    47%    46%    48%    37%    50%    45%
No                   40     41     40     43     53     41     44
DK/NA                12     11     14      8     11     10     10
 
                     VIEW ON HLTH PLAN Q39
                     Sup    Opp
Yes                  59%    33%
No                   31     57
DK/NA                10     10
 
 
44. In general, how well do you understand President Obama's health care reform plan - very well, somewhat well, not too well, or not at all?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Very well            17%    22%    19%    13%    19%    16%    19%
Smwht well           55     49     60     55     53     57     50
Not too well         20     19     17     24     20     20     24
Not at all            7      9      4      8      8      6      7
DK/NA                 -      1      -      1      -      -      -
 
                     VIEW ON HLTH PLAN Q39
                     Sup    Opp
Very well            16%    21%
Smwht well           63     50
Not too well         19     19
Not at all            2      9
DK/NA                 -      1
 
 
45. Does President Obama's handling of health care reform make you think more favorably of him, less favorably, or doesn't it make a difference?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
More favorably       33%     6%    60%    28%    33%    32%    20%
Less favorably       42     78     11     46     44     40     60
Doesn't make diff    24     14     28     25     22     26     17
DK/NA                 1      2      1      1      1      1      3
 
 
46. Does the Republican party's handling of health care reform make you think more favorably of the party, less favorably, or doesn't it make a difference?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
More favorably       25%    55%     6%    23%    24%    27%    36%
Less favorably       40     12     66     38     43     38     30
Doesn't make diff    32     30     26     37     31     33     32
DK/NA                 2      3      2      1      2      2      2
 
 
47. Does the Democratic party's handling of health care reform make you think more favorably of the party, less favorably, or doesn't it make a difference?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
More favorably       28%     4%    55%    21%    27%    29%    19%
Less favorably       44     79     13     49     48     40     57
Doesn't make diff    28     17     30     29     25     30     22
DK/NA                 1      1      1      -      1      1      1
 
 
48. Attorneys general from several states have said they will sue to block the recently passed healthcare overhaul plan. Do you think filing a lawsuit to stop the plan from taking effect is a good idea or a bad idea?
                                                               WtBrnAgn
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Evnglcl
Good idea            39%    70%    12%    42%    41%    38%    54%
Bad idea             54     22     83     51     52     55     40
DK/NA                 7      8      6      7      7      8      6